KAS

Kaspa · Kaspa · gru_s5

token id: #115
symbol: KAS
variant: –
chain: Kaspa
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-19
predictions: 2,079

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

63.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0622

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0156

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.037705	0.036938	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.03737	0.036694	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.0351	0.034678	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-18	oos	0.035465	0.035099	-1.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-17	oos	0.035295	0.035037	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.036135	0.035827	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.035945	0.035616	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.03702	0.03661	-1.11%	0.037705	+1.85%	0.0131	✗	1.19
2026-10-13	oos	0.038605	0.038011	-1.54%	0.03737	-3.20%	0.0147	✓	1.18
2026-10-12	oos	0.038425	0.037851	-1.49%	0.0351	-8.65%	0.0768	✓	1.18
2026-10-11	oos	0.041375	0.040553	-1.99%	0.035465	-14.28%	0.1118	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.040775	0.039961	-2.00%	0.035295	-13.44%	0.1040	✓	1.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.0414	0.040544	-2.07%	0.036135	-12.72%	0.1013	✓	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.03917	0.038411	-1.94%	0.035945	-8.23%	0.0720	✓	1.08
2026-10-07	oos	0.040535	0.039624	-2.25%	0.03702	-8.67%	0.0459	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.043225	0.04211	-2.58%	0.038605	-10.69%	0.0571	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.04348	0.042388	-2.51%	0.038425	-11.63%	0.0493	✓	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.042675	0.041593	-2.53%	0.041375	-3.05%	0.0293	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.043115	0.042055	-2.46%	0.040775	-5.43%	0.0079	✓	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.042085	0.041054	-2.45%	0.0414	-1.63%	0.0330	✗	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.041435	0.040391	-2.52%	0.03917	-5.47%	0.0092	✓	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.043475	0.042349	-2.59%	0.040535	-6.76%	0.0402	✓	1.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.042925	0.041806	-2.61%	0.043225	+0.70%	0.0095	✓	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.04546	0.044345	-2.45%	0.04348	-4.36%	0.0488	✓	1.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.04692	0.045754	-2.48%	0.042675	-9.05%	0.0953	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.04781	0.046555	-2.62%	0.043115	-9.82%	0.0809	✓	1.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.04216	0.041132	-2.44%	0.042085	-0.18%	0.0176	✓	1.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.0399	0.038947	-2.39%	0.041435	+3.85%	0.0559	✗	1.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.03851	0.037626	-2.29%	0.043475	+12.89%	0.1552	✗	1.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.04158	0.040648	-2.24%	0.042925	+3.23%	0.0864	✗	1.06
2026-09-21	oos	0.043235	0.042253	-2.27%	0.04546	+5.15%	0.1120	✗	1.05
2026-09-20	oos	0.039935	0.039081	-2.14%	0.04692	+17.49%	0.1417	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.03912	0.038306	-2.08%	0.04781	+22.21%	0.1820	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.03804	0.037291	-1.97%	0.04216	+10.83%	0.0824	✗	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0338	0.03331	-1.45%	0.0399	+18.05%	0.0876	✗	0.93
2026-09-16	oos	0.03291	0.032503	-1.24%	0.03851	+17.02%	0.0748	✗	0.92
2026-09-15	oos	0.032925	0.032561	-1.10%	0.04158	+26.29%	0.1205	✗	0.94
2026-09-14	oos	0.034885	0.034531	-1.01%	0.043235	+23.94%	0.1311	✗	0.92
2026-09-13	oos	0.033285	0.033078	-0.62%	0.039935	+19.98%	0.1386	✗	0.90
2026-09-12	oos	0.03521	0.034933	-0.79%	0.03912	+11.10%	0.0684	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.035965	0.035643	-0.89%	0.03804	+5.77%	0.0233	✗	0.90
2026-09-10	oos	0.035345	0.035056	-0.82%	0.0338	-4.37%	0.0343	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.03653	0.036239	-0.80%	0.03291	-9.91%	0.0717	✓	0.89
2026-09-08	oos	0.035455	0.035275	-0.51%	0.032925	-7.14%	0.0359	✓	0.89
2026-09-07	oos	0.03651	0.03616	-0.96%	0.034885	-4.45%	0.0256	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.0323	0.032584	+0.88%	0.033285	+3.05%	0.0656	✓	0.98
2026-09-05	oos	0.03057	0.031028	+1.50%	0.03521	+15.18%	0.1582	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.02944	0.030007	+1.93%	0.035965	+22.16%	0.2119	✓	0.98
2026-09-03	oos	0.029815	0.030502	+2.30%	0.035345	+18.55%	0.2067	✓	0.99
2026-09-02	oos	0.027975	0.028286	+1.11%	0.03653	+30.58%	0.2452	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.027505	0.027785	+1.02%	0.035455	+28.90%	0.2323	✓	0.85
2026-08-31	oos	0.027895	0.028189	+1.05%	0.03651	+30.88%	0.2541	✓	0.67
2026-08-30	oos	0.02709	0.027275	+0.68%	0.0323	+19.23%	0.1453	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.02766	0.027817	+0.57%	0.03057	+10.52%	0.0804	✓	0.69
2026-08-28	oos	0.02804	0.028127	+0.31%	0.02944	+4.99%	0.0295	✓	0.69
2026-08-27	oos	0.02955	0.029708	+0.53%	0.029815	+0.90%	0.0046	✓	0.67
2026-08-26	oos	0.02803	0.02809	+0.21%	0.027975	-0.20%	0.0102	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.02765	0.02764	-0.04%	0.027505	-0.52%	0.0046	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.029135	0.029052	-0.29%	0.027895	-4.26%	0.0372	✓	0.65
2026-08-23	oos	0.0293	0.029124	-0.60%	0.02709	-7.54%	0.0719	✓	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.029095	0.028927	-0.58%	0.02766	-4.93%	0.0548	✓	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.029695	0.029505	-0.64%	0.02804	-5.57%	0.0468	✓	0.66
2026-08-20	oos	0.02801	0.027698	-1.11%	0.02955	+5.50%	0.0053	✓	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.027	0.026627	-1.38%	0.02803	+3.81%	0.0323	✓	0.64
2026-08-18	oos	0.02527	0.024838	-1.71%	0.02765	+9.42%	0.0047	✓	0.58
2026-08-17	oos	0.02566	0.025215	-1.74%	0.029135	+13.54%	0.0243	✗	0.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.02552	0.025058	-1.81%	0.0293	+14.81%	0.0287	✗	0.60
2026-08-15	oos	0.025795	0.025331	-1.80%	0.029095	+12.79%	0.0187	✗	0.60
2026-08-14	oos	0.02542	0.024981	-1.73%	0.029695	+16.82%	0.0433	✗	0.59
2026-08-13	oos	0.0253	0.024876	-1.68%	0.02801	+10.71%	0.0339	✗	0.60
2026-08-12	oos	0.02554	0.025111	-1.68%	0.027	+5.72%	0.0155	✓	0.64
2026-08-11	oos	0.02595	0.025515	-1.68%	0.02527	-2.62%	0.0211	✓	0.64
2026-08-10	oos	0.02587	0.025442	-1.66%	0.02566	-0.81%	0.0029	✓	0.65
2026-08-09	oos	0.02595	0.025525	-1.64%	0.02552	-1.66%	0.0209	✗	0.67
2026-08-08	oos	0.02667	0.026214	-1.71%	0.025795	-3.28%	0.0036	✓	0.67
2026-08-07	oos	0.026445	0.025978	-1.76%	0.02542	-3.88%	0.0012	✓	0.68
2026-08-06	oos	0.02562	0.025178	-1.73%	0.0253	-1.25%	0.0138	✓	0.68
2026-08-05	oos	0.02607	0.025629	-1.69%	0.02554	-2.03%	0.0092	✓	0.68
2026-08-04	oos	0.02641	0.025947	-1.75%	0.02595	-1.74%	0.0058	✓	0.70
2026-08-03	oos	0.02606	0.025589	-1.81%	0.02587	-0.73%	0.0059	✓	0.71
2026-08-02	oos	0.02682	0.026331	-1.82%	0.02595	-3.24%	0.0299	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02677	0.026277	-1.84%	0.02667	-0.37%	0.0093	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.027205	0.026712	-1.81%	0.026445	-2.79%	0.0333	✓	0.72
2026-07-30	oos	0.02764	0.027166	-1.71%	0.02562	-7.31%	0.0535	✓	0.73
2026-07-29	oos	0.02739	0.026922	-1.71%	0.02607	-4.82%	0.0400	✓	0.72
2026-07-28	oos	0.027945	0.027469	-1.70%	0.02641	-5.49%	0.0416	✓	0.72
2026-07-27	oos	0.028125	0.027655	-1.67%	0.02606	-7.34%	0.0568	✓	0.72
2026-07-26	oos	0.02929	0.028834	-1.56%	0.02682	-8.43%	0.0523	✓	0.70
2026-07-25	oos	0.02807	0.027648	-1.50%	0.02677	-4.63%	0.0158	✓	0.68
2026-07-24	oos	0.027735	0.027333	-1.45%	0.027205	-1.91%	0.0088	✓	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02799	0.027609	-1.36%	0.02764	-1.25%	0.0046	✓	0.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.02828	0.02792	-1.27%	0.02739	-3.15%	0.0040	✓	0.69
2026-07-21	oos	0.02861	0.028252	-1.25%	0.027945	-2.32%	0.0171	✗	0.69
2026-07-20	oos	0.028365	0.027997	-1.30%	0.028125	-0.85%	0.0205	✗	0.68
2026-07-19	oos	0.02833	0.027957	-1.32%	0.02929	+3.39%	0.0398	✗	0.67
2026-07-18	oos	0.027785	0.027427	-1.29%	0.02807	+1.03%	0.0284	✗	0.67
2026-07-17	oos	0.02788	0.027515	-1.31%	0.027735	-0.52%	0.0060	✓	0.67
2026-07-16	oos	0.02816	0.0278	-1.28%	0.02799	-0.60%	0.0069	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	0.0289	0.02853	-1.28%	0.02828	-2.15%	0.0239	✓	0.72
2026-07-14	oos	0.028605	0.028242	-1.27%	0.02861	+0.02%	0.0039	✓	0.72
2026-07-13	oos	0.0284	0.028019	-1.34%	0.028365	-0.12%	0.0232	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.02847	0.0281	-1.30%	0.02833	-0.49%	0.0033	✓	0.78
2026-07-11	oos	0.029295	0.028906	-1.33%	0.027785	-5.15%	0.0523	✓	0.80
2026-07-10	oos	0.02949	0.029098	-1.33%	0.02788	-5.46%	0.0398	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.02951	0.029109	-1.36%	0.02816	-4.57%	0.0408	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.02925	0.028848	-1.37%	0.0289	-1.20%	0.0308	✓	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.02924	0.028845	-1.35%	0.028605	-2.17%	0.0302	✓	0.84
2026-07-06	oos	0.0302	0.029792	-1.35%	0.0284	-5.96%	0.0247	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.03094	0.030513	-1.38%	0.02847	-7.98%	0.0714	✓	0.86
2026-07-04	oos	0.03184	0.031391	-1.41%	0.029295	-7.99%	0.0785	✓	0.87
2026-07-03	oos	0.03138	0.03093	-1.43%	0.02949	-6.02%	0.0695	✓	0.86
2026-07-02	oos	0.03096	0.030503	-1.48%	0.02951	-4.68%	0.0564	✓	0.86
2026-07-01	oos	0.03083	0.030357	-1.53%	0.02925	-5.12%	0.0697	✓	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.029245	0.028818	-1.46%	0.02924	-0.02%	0.0528	✓	0.85
2026-06-29	oos	0.03032	0.029857	-1.53%	0.0302	-0.40%	0.0408	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.02775	0.027371	-1.37%	0.03094	+11.50%	0.0680	✗	0.82
2026-06-27	oos	0.027795	0.0274	-1.42%	0.03184	+14.55%	0.1090	✗	0.80
2026-06-26	oos	0.02811	0.027692	-1.49%	0.03138	+11.63%	0.0917	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.02756	0.027158	-1.46%	0.03096	+12.34%	0.1073	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.02795	0.027518	-1.55%	0.03083	+10.30%	0.1276	✗	0.82
2026-06-23	oos	0.02886	0.028405	-1.58%	0.029245	+1.33%	0.0872	✗	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.02934	0.028868	-1.61%	0.03032	+3.34%	0.1024	✗	0.87
2026-06-21	oos	0.02916	0.028687	-1.62%	0.02775	-4.84%	0.0202	✗	0.87
2026-06-20	oos	0.029775	0.029275	-1.68%	0.027795	-6.65%	0.0016	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.02992	0.029411	-1.70%	0.02811	-6.05%	0.0022	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.03041	0.029886	-1.72%	0.02756	-9.37%	0.0398	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03193	0.031359	-1.79%	0.02795	-12.46%	0.0719	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.03249	0.0319	-1.81%	0.02886	-11.17%	0.0630	✓	0.80
2026-06-15	oos	0.03302	0.032415	-1.83%	0.02934	-11.14%	0.0750	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	0.0324	0.031809	-1.82%	0.02916	-10.00%	0.0616	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.031385	0.03082	-1.80%	0.029775	-5.13%	0.0323	✓	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	0.03099	0.030432	-1.80%	0.02992	-3.45%	0.0163	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.03109	0.030524	-1.82%	0.03041	-2.19%	0.0038	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.030365	0.029831	-1.76%	0.03193	+5.15%	0.0348	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.03018	0.029652	-1.75%	0.03249	+7.65%	0.0483	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.03205	0.031437	-1.91%	0.03302	+3.03%	0.0157	✓	0.67
2026-06-07	oos	0.03126	0.030672	-1.88%	0.0324	+3.65%	0.0299	✗	0.67
2026-06-06	oos	0.02999	0.029487	-1.68%	0.031385	+4.65%	0.0256	✗	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0309	0.030333	-1.84%	0.03099	+0.29%	0.0042	✓	0.64
2026-06-04	oos	0.02955	0.029048	-1.70%	0.03109	+5.21%	0.0707	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	0.03196	0.031336	-1.95%	0.030365	-4.99%	0.0024	✓	0.70
2026-06-02	oos	0.02844	0.027979	-1.62%	0.03018	+6.12%	0.1420	✗	0.85
2026-06-01	oos	0.03044	0.029844	-1.96%	0.03205	+5.29%	0.1642	✗	0.76
2026-05-31	oos	0.0307	0.030091	-1.98%	0.03126	+1.82%	0.1535	✗	0.77
2026-05-30	oos	0.03084	0.030227	-1.99%	0.02999	-2.76%	0.1387	✗	0.76
2026-05-29	oos	0.03102	0.030409	-1.97%	0.0309	-0.39%	0.1572	✗	0.77
2026-05-28	oos	0.031095	0.030483	-1.97%	0.02955	-4.97%	0.0766	✗	0.76
2026-05-27	oos	0.03209	0.031459	-1.97%	0.03196	-0.41%	0.1295	✗	0.76
2026-05-26	oos	0.032615	0.031984	-1.94%	0.02844	-12.80%	0.0196	✓	0.76
2026-05-25	oos	0.03365	0.033003	-1.92%	0.03044	-9.54%	0.0190	✓	0.77
2026-05-24	oos	0.03334	0.032708	-1.89%	0.0307	-7.92%	0.0283	✓	0.78
2026-05-23	oos	0.0338	0.033153	-1.91%	0.03084	-8.76%	0.0430	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.03374	0.033086	-1.94%	0.03102	-8.06%	0.0429	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.03525	0.034576	-1.91%	0.031095	-11.79%	0.0657	✓	0.76
2026-05-20	oos	0.034845	0.03419	-1.88%	0.03209	-7.91%	0.0316	✓	0.76
2026-05-19	oos	0.03364	0.033023	-1.84%	0.032615	-3.05%	0.0031	✓	0.75
2026-05-18	oos	0.03485	0.0342	-1.86%	0.03365	-3.44%	0.0192	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.03396	0.033361	-1.76%	0.03334	-1.83%	0.0036	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.034185	0.033609	-1.68%	0.0338	-1.13%	0.0199	✗	0.76
2026-05-15	oos	0.035135	0.034566	-1.62%	0.03374	-3.97%	0.0116	✓	0.76
2026-05-14	oos	0.03758	0.037011	-1.51%	0.03525	-6.20%	0.0157	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.03724	0.03664	-1.61%	0.034845	-6.43%	0.0331	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.03807	0.037456	-1.61%	0.03364	-11.64%	0.0727	✓	0.73
2026-05-11	oos	0.04041	0.039682	-1.80%	0.03485	-13.76%	0.0880	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.03867	0.038027	-1.66%	0.03396	-12.18%	0.0709	✓	0.70
2026-05-09	oos	0.03729	0.036668	-1.67%	0.034185	-8.33%	0.0476	✓	0.70
2026-05-08	oos	0.03648	0.035884	-1.63%	0.035135	-3.69%	0.0109	✓	0.72
2026-05-07	oos	0.03538	0.034828	-1.56%	0.03758	+6.22%	0.0664	✗	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0366	0.035997	-1.65%	0.03724	+1.75%	0.0576	✗	0.88
2026-05-05	oos	0.034435	0.033935	-1.45%	0.03807	+10.56%	0.1196	✗	0.88
2026-05-04	oos	0.03338	0.032892	-1.46%	0.04041	+21.06%	0.1853	✗	0.88
2026-05-03	oos	0.03365	0.033129	-1.55%	0.03867	+14.92%	0.1145	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.0332	0.03273	-1.42%	0.03729	+12.32%	0.1081	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.03264	0.032189	-1.38%	0.03648	+11.76%	0.1025	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.0325	0.032006	-1.52%	0.03538	+8.86%	0.0545	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.032555	0.032041	-1.58%	0.0366	+12.43%	0.0630	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.0328	0.032286	-1.57%	0.034435	+4.98%	0.0086	✓	0.96
2026-04-27	oos	0.0334	0.032895	-1.51%	0.03338	-0.06%	0.0156	✓	0.96
2026-04-26	oos	0.03391	0.033422	-1.44%	0.03365	-0.77%	0.0082	✓	0.96
2026-04-25	oos	0.03364	0.03314	-1.49%	0.0332	-1.31%	0.0108	✓	0.95
2026-04-24	oos	0.03369	0.03317	-1.54%	0.03264	-3.12%	0.0256	✓	0.96
2026-04-23	oos	0.034295	0.033789	-1.47%	0.0325	-5.23%	0.0144	✓	0.96
2026-04-22	oos	0.034285	0.033768	-1.51%	0.032555	-5.05%	0.0060	✓	0.96
2026-04-21	oos	0.034245	0.03366	-1.71%	0.0328	-4.22%	0.0255	✓	0.96
2026-04-20	oos	0.03484	0.03421	-1.81%	0.0334	-4.13%	0.0429	✓	0.97
2026-04-19	oos	0.03421	0.03356	-1.90%	0.03391	-0.88%	0.0518	✓	0.98
2026-04-18	oos	0.0343	0.033689	-1.78%	0.03364	-1.92%	0.0260	✓	0.98
2026-04-17	oos	0.03616	0.035524	-1.76%	0.03369	-6.83%	0.0576	✓	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.03409	0.033482	-1.78%	0.034295	+0.60%	0.0154	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.03319	0.032615	-1.73%	0.034285	+3.30%	0.0073	✓	0.97
2026-04-14	oos	0.032345	0.031794	-1.70%	0.034245	+5.87%	0.0463	✗	0.97
2026-04-13	oos	0.03311	0.032535	-1.74%	0.03484	+5.23%	0.0502	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.03149	0.030911	-1.84%	0.03421	+8.64%	0.0605	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.032925	0.032354	-1.74%	0.0343	+4.18%	0.0243	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.03341	0.032835	-1.72%	0.03616	+8.23%	0.0441	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.03219	0.031638	-1.71%	0.03409	+5.90%	0.0310	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.031945	0.031387	-1.75%	0.03319	+3.90%	0.0068	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03278	0.032217	-1.72%	0.032345	-1.33%	0.0256	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.031225	0.03064	-1.87%	0.03311	+6.04%	0.0030	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.03142	0.030822	-1.90%	0.03149	+0.22%	0.0024	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.031165	0.030551	-1.97%	0.032925	+5.65%	0.0046	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.03098	0.030373	-1.96%	0.03341	+7.84%	0.0114	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.03126	0.030637	-1.99%	0.03219	+2.98%	0.0192	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.03208	0.031434	-2.01%	0.031945	-0.42%	0.0254	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.03262	0.031992	-1.92%	0.03278	+0.49%	0.0272	✓	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.03189	0.031285	-1.90%	0.031225	-2.09%	0.0325	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.03288	0.032253	-1.91%	0.03142	-4.44%	0.0707	✓	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.03477	0.034114	-1.89%	0.031165	-10.37%	0.1047	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.03448	0.033854	-1.81%	0.03098	-10.15%	0.0977	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.03602	0.035402	-1.72%	0.03126	-13.21%	0.0973	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.03857	0.037909	-1.71%	0.03208	-16.83%	0.1226	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.03626	0.035699	-1.55%	0.03262	-10.04%	0.0582	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.034985	0.034489	-1.42%	0.03189	-8.85%	0.0205	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.03642	0.035841	-1.59%	0.03288	-9.72%	0.0577	✓	1.01
2026-03-21	oos	0.03576	0.035235	-1.47%	0.03477	-2.77%	0.0257	✗	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.03804	0.037445	-1.57%	0.03448	-9.36%	0.0214	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.03729	0.036699	-1.59%	0.03602	-3.41%	0.0019	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.03946	0.038738	-1.83%	0.03857	-2.26%	0.0051	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.03628	0.035792	-1.35%	0.03626	-0.06%	0.0634	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.03374	0.033379	-1.07%	0.034985	+3.69%	0.1071	✗	1.09
2026-03-15	oos	0.031	0.030728	-0.88%	0.03642	+17.48%	0.2462	✗	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.03066	0.030395	-0.87%	0.03576	+16.63%	0.1984	✗	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.03049	0.030236	-0.83%	0.03804	+24.76%	0.2365	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.03054	0.030278	-0.86%	0.03729	+22.10%	0.2178	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.03036	0.030097	-0.87%	0.03946	+29.97%	0.2549	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.03025	0.029984	-0.88%	0.03628	+19.93%	0.1305	✗	1.09
2026-03-09	oos	0.03006	0.029794	-0.88%	0.03374	+12.24%	0.0258	✗	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.02957	0.029316	-0.86%	0.031	+4.84%	0.0513	✓	1.08
2026-03-07	oos	0.02957	0.029313	-0.87%	0.03066	+3.69%	0.0175	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.03016	0.029898	-0.87%	0.03049	+1.09%	0.0248	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.03043	0.030173	-0.84%	0.03054	+0.36%	0.0177	✗	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.03075	0.030492	-0.84%	0.03036	-1.27%	0.0343	✗	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.03054	0.030279	-0.86%	0.03025	-0.95%	0.0284	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	0.03032	0.030054	-0.88%	0.03006	-0.86%	0.0071	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	0.02943	0.029166	-0.90%	0.02957	+0.48%	0.0102	✗	1.18
2026-02-28	oos	0.03014	0.02985	-0.96%	0.02957	-1.89%	0.0146	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.03027	0.029973	-0.98%	0.03016	-0.36%	0.0342	✓	1.20
2026-02-26	oos	0.03135	0.03102	-1.05%	0.03043	-2.93%	0.0782	✓	1.20
2026-02-25	oos	0.030915	0.030595	-1.04%	0.03075	-0.53%	0.0752	✓	1.20
2026-02-24	oos	0.02909	0.028836	-0.87%	0.03054	+4.98%	0.0205	✓	1.21
2026-02-23	oos	0.02971	0.029437	-0.92%	0.03032	+2.05%	0.0498	✓	1.26
2026-02-22	oos	0.03041	0.030113	-0.98%	0.02943	-3.22%	0.0122	✗	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.031105	0.030787	-1.02%	0.03014	-3.10%	0.0023	✓	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.031165	0.030841	-1.04%	0.03027	-2.87%	0.0225	✗	1.30
2026-02-19	oos	0.03012	0.029832	-0.95%	0.03135	+4.08%	0.0396	✗	1.29
2026-02-18	oos	0.031045	0.030739	-0.99%	0.030915	-0.42%	0.0248	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	0.03191	0.031574	-1.05%	0.02909	-8.84%	0.0152	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.03225	0.031889	-1.12%	0.02971	-7.88%	0.0114	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.03206	0.031689	-1.16%	0.03041	-5.15%	0.0189	✓	1.30
2026-02-14	oos	0.033445	0.033013	-1.29%	0.031105	-7.00%	0.0252	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	0.03214	0.031744	-1.23%	0.031165	-3.03%	0.0028	✓	1.29
2026-02-12	oos	0.031395	0.031038	-1.14%	0.03012	-4.06%	0.0450	✓	1.30
2026-02-11	oos	0.03148	0.031109	-1.18%	0.031045	-1.38%	0.0099	✓	1.31
2026-02-10	oos	0.03105	0.030677	-1.20%	0.03191	+2.77%	0.0654	✗	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.031485	0.031083	-1.28%	0.03225	+2.43%	0.0606	✗	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.03386	0.033358	-1.48%	0.03206	-5.32%	0.0111	✓	1.34
2026-02-07	oos	0.03134	0.030982	-1.14%	0.033445	+6.72%	0.0662	✗	1.32
2026-02-06	oos	0.03199	0.031576	-1.29%	0.03214	+0.47%	0.0500	✗	1.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.02706	0.027381	+1.19%	0.031395	+16.02%	0.0689	✓	1.28
2026-02-04	oos	0.030985	0.030655	-1.07%	0.03148	+1.60%	0.1528	✗	1.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.03206	0.031644	-1.30%	0.03105	-3.15%	0.1168	✗	1.43
2026-02-02	oos	0.03312	0.032628	-1.48%	0.031485	-4.94%	0.1333	✗	1.47
2026-02-01	oos	0.03069	0.030431	-0.85%	0.03386	+10.33%	0.2353	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.03316	0.03277	-1.18%	0.03134	-5.49%	0.1403	✗	1.45
2026-01-30	oos	0.03736	0.036707	-1.75%	0.03199	-14.37%	0.1110	✗	1.41
2026-01-29	oos	0.03846	0.03776	-1.82%	0.02706	-29.64%	0.0857	✗	1.41
2026-01-28	oos	0.03977	0.039028	-1.87%	0.030985	-22.09%	0.0604	✗	1.46
2026-01-27	oos	0.03979	0.039056	-1.85%	0.03206	-19.43%	0.0447	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	0.03979	0.039039	-1.89%	0.03312	-16.76%	0.0009	✓	1.44
2026-01-25	oos	0.03958	0.03884	-1.87%	0.03069	-22.46%	0.0636	✓	1.45
2026-01-24	oos	0.04162	0.040764	-2.06%	0.03316	-20.33%	0.0264	✓	1.45
2026-01-23	oos	0.04022	0.039385	-2.07%	0.03736	-7.11%	0.0345	✗	1.41
2026-01-22	oos	0.03987	0.039028	-2.11%	0.03846	-3.54%	0.0668	✗	1.43
2026-01-21	oos	0.04105	0.040139	-2.22%	0.03977	-3.12%	0.0060	✓	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.04018	0.039321	-2.14%	0.03979	-0.97%	0.0013	✓	1.44
2026-01-19	oos	0.04267	0.041666	-2.35%	0.03979	-6.75%	0.0235	✓	1.46
2026-01-18	oos	0.04269	0.041669	-2.39%	0.03958	-7.29%	0.0647	✗	1.48
2026-01-17	oos	0.04421	0.043166	-2.36%	0.04162	-5.86%	0.0606	✗	1.48
2026-01-16	oos	0.04515	0.044085	-2.36%	0.04022	-10.92%	0.0054	✓	1.49
2026-01-15	oos	0.04555	0.044479	-2.35%	0.03987	-12.47%	0.0112	✓	1.48
2026-01-14	oos	0.04799	0.04692	-2.23%	0.04105	-14.46%	0.0134	✓	1.47
2026-01-13	oos	0.04827	0.047179	-2.26%	0.04018	-16.76%	0.0445	✓	1.51
2026-01-12	oos	0.04629	0.045197	-2.36%	0.04267	-7.82%	0.0808	✓	1.56
2026-01-11	oos	0.04672	0.045619	-2.36%	0.04269	-8.63%	0.1137	✓	1.58
2026-01-10	oos	0.04649	0.045395	-2.35%	0.04421	-4.90%	0.1075	✓	1.59
2026-01-09	oos	0.04702	0.045941	-2.30%	0.04515	-3.98%	0.1034	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.04699	0.045953	-2.21%	0.04555	-3.06%	0.0858	✓	1.57
2026-01-07	oos	0.04884	0.047764	-2.20%	0.04799	-1.74%	0.1079	✓	1.87
2026-01-06	oos	0.05147	0.050359	-2.16%	0.04827	-6.22%	0.0751	✓	1.86
2026-01-05	oos	0.05092	0.04985	-2.10%	0.04629	-9.09%	0.0205	✓	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.04943	0.048369	-2.15%	0.04672	-5.48%	0.0220	✓	1.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.04572	0.044871	-1.86%	0.04649	+1.68%	0.0400	✗	1.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.04603	0.045165	-1.88%	0.04702	+2.15%	0.0289	✗	1.84
2026-01-01	oos	0.04474	0.043925	-1.82%	0.04699	+5.03%	0.0208	✗	1.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.04288	0.042129	-1.75%	0.04884	+13.90%	0.0712	✗	1.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.04387	0.043108	-1.74%	0.05147	+17.32%	0.0716	✗	1.81
2025-12-29	oos	0.04348	0.042757	-1.66%	0.05092	+17.11%	0.0399	✗	1.80
2025-12-28	oos	0.04453	0.043795	-1.65%	0.04943	+11.00%	0.0484	✗	1.80
2025-12-27	oos	0.04555	0.044798	-1.65%	0.04572	+0.37%	0.0354	✓	1.78
2025-12-26	oos	0.0449	0.044181	-1.60%	0.04603	+2.52%	0.0122	✓	1.77
2025-12-25	oos	0.04362	0.042954	-1.53%	0.04474	+2.57%	0.0093	✓	1.77
2025-12-24	oos	0.04453	0.043848	-1.53%	0.04288	-3.71%	0.0201	✓	1.77
2025-12-23	oos	0.04512	0.044423	-1.55%	0.04387	-2.77%	0.0318	✓	1.75
2025-12-22	oos	0.04661	0.045864	-1.60%	0.04348	-6.72%	0.0247	✓	1.74
2025-12-21	oos	0.04686	0.046104	-1.61%	0.04453	-4.97%	0.0197	✓	1.74
2025-12-20	oos	0.04493	0.044242	-1.53%	0.04555	+1.38%	0.0393	✗	1.74
2025-12-19	oos	0.04325	0.042613	-1.47%	0.0449	+3.82%	0.0680	✗	1.73
2025-12-18	oos	0.04057	0.040033	-1.32%	0.04362	+7.52%	0.0517	✗	1.72
2025-12-17	oos	0.04197	0.041381	-1.40%	0.04453	+6.10%	0.0456	✗	1.72
2025-12-16	oos	0.04481	0.044123	-1.53%	0.04512	+0.69%	0.0306	✗	1.71
2025-12-15	oos	0.04296	0.042346	-1.43%	0.04661	+8.50%	0.0543	✗	1.70
2025-12-14	oos	0.04428	0.043605	-1.52%	0.04686	+5.83%	0.0629	✗	1.71
2025-12-13	oos	0.04682	0.046031	-1.68%	0.04493	-4.04%	0.0126	✓	1.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.04629	0.045486	-1.74%	0.04325	-6.57%	0.0086	✓	1.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.04775	0.046884	-1.81%	0.04057	-15.04%	0.0083	✓	1.71
2025-12-10	oos	0.0486	0.047706	-1.84%	0.04197	-13.64%	0.0156	✓	1.72
2025-12-09	oos	0.04996	0.049029	-1.86%	0.04481	-10.31%	0.0025	✓	1.73
2025-12-08	oos	0.05214	0.051141	-1.92%	0.04296	-17.61%	0.0898	✓	1.77
2025-12-07	oos	0.05151	0.050511	-1.94%	0.04428	-14.04%	0.0876	✓	1.76
2025-12-06	oos	0.05103	0.05002	-1.98%	0.04682	-8.25%	0.0855	✓	1.77
2025-12-05	oos	0.05251	0.051477	-1.97%	0.04629	-11.85%	0.1246	✓	1.77
2025-12-04	oos	0.05509	0.054003	-1.97%	0.04775	-13.32%	0.1317	✓	1.78
2025-12-03	oos	0.05674	0.055617	-1.98%	0.0486	-14.35%	0.1077	✓	1.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.0545	0.053462	-1.90%	0.04996	-8.33%	0.0945	✓	1.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.05196	0.051007	-1.83%	0.05214	+0.35%	0.0698	✓	1.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.057285	0.056174	-1.94%	0.05151	-10.08%	0.0874	✓	1.84
2025-11-29	oos	0.056335	0.055265	-1.90%	0.05103	-9.42%	0.0480	✓	1.83
2025-11-28	oos	0.057835	0.056635	-2.08%	0.05251	-9.21%	0.0440	✓	1.83
2025-11-27	oos	0.05831	0.057068	-2.13%	0.05509	-5.52%	0.0508	✓	1.83
2025-11-26	oos	0.05813	0.056782	-2.32%	0.05674	-2.39%	0.0600	✓	1.82
2025-11-25	oos	0.0506	0.049633	-1.91%	0.0545	+7.71%	0.0154	✓	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.04514	0.044438	-1.56%	0.05196	+15.11%	0.1969	✗	1.78
2025-11-23	oos	0.040015	0.039536	-1.20%	0.057285	+43.16%	0.3008	✗	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.03809	0.037754	-0.88%	0.056335	+47.90%	0.2782	✗	1.74
2025-11-21	oos	0.038595	0.038259	-0.87%	0.057835	+49.85%	0.2982	✗	1.73
2025-11-20	oos	0.04001	0.039635	-0.94%	0.05831	+45.74%	0.2929	✗	1.73
2025-11-19	oos	0.042245	0.041688	-1.32%	0.05813	+37.60%	0.3523	✗	1.82
2025-11-18	oos	0.04326	0.042661	-1.39%	0.0506	+16.97%	0.2835	✗	1.82
2025-11-17	oos	0.042685	0.042149	-1.26%	0.04514	+5.75%	0.1465	✗	1.83
2025-11-16	oos	0.04344	0.042872	-1.31%	0.040015	-7.88%	0.0817	✗	1.85
2025-11-15	oos	0.045145	0.044514	-1.40%	0.03809	-15.63%	0.0673	✗	1.85
2025-11-14	oos	0.04449	0.043906	-1.31%	0.038595	-13.25%	0.0658	✗	1.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.04827	0.047525	-1.54%	0.04001	-17.11%	0.0925	✗	1.88
2025-11-12	oos	0.04948	0.048712	-1.55%	0.042245	-14.62%	0.0567	✗	1.89
2025-11-11	oos	0.04936	0.048603	-1.53%	0.04326	-12.36%	0.0806	✗	1.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.052515	0.051683	-1.58%	0.042685	-18.72%	0.0739	✗	1.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.05211	0.051291	-1.57%	0.04344	-16.64%	0.0366	✗	1.92
2025-11-08	oos	0.05182	0.050998	-1.59%	0.045145	-12.88%	0.0106	✓	1.94
2025-11-07	oos	0.05215	0.051286	-1.66%	0.04449	-14.69%	0.0269	✗	1.90
2025-11-06	oos	0.05107	0.050256	-1.59%	0.04827	-5.48%	0.0084	✓	1.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.04678	0.046117	-1.42%	0.04948	+5.77%	0.1138	✗	2.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.04401	0.043494	-1.17%	0.04936	+12.16%	0.0966	✗	1.98
2025-11-03	oos	0.04672	0.046102	-1.32%	0.052515	+12.40%	0.1414	✗	2.05
2025-11-02	oos	0.05215	0.05142	-1.40%	0.05211	-0.08%	0.1229	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.05323	0.052464	-1.44%	0.05182	-2.65%	0.1366	✗	2.04
2025-10-31	oos	0.05282	0.052048	-1.46%	0.05215	-1.27%	0.1221	✗	2.04
2025-10-30	oos	0.05363	0.05282	-1.51%	0.05107	-4.77%	0.1038	✗	2.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.05846	0.057539	-1.58%	0.04678	-19.98%	0.0903	✓	2.02
2025-10-28	oos	0.056465	0.055632	-1.48%	0.04401	-22.06%	0.0089	✓	2.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.05729	0.056418	-1.52%	0.04672	-18.45%	0.0443	✓	2.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.05812	0.057208	-1.57%	0.05215	-10.27%	0.0172	✓	2.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.05877	0.057825	-1.61%	0.05323	-9.43%	0.0510	✓	2.18
2025-10-24	oos	0.053045	0.052242	-1.51%	0.05282	-0.42%	0.0405	✗	2.19
2025-10-23	oos	0.05144	0.050641	-1.55%	0.05363	+4.26%	0.0934	✗	2.18
2025-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.048508	-1.51%	0.05846	+18.70%	0.1378	✗	2.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.0517	0.050872	-1.60%	0.056465	+9.22%	0.0152	✓	2.17
2025-10-20	oos	0.05496	0.053981	-1.78%	0.05729	+4.24%	0.0087	✓	2.18
2025-10-19	oos	0.05275	0.051817	-1.77%	0.05812	+10.18%	0.0029	✓	2.13
2025-10-18	oos	0.05055	0.049693	-1.70%	0.05877	+16.26%	0.0811	✗	2.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.05184	0.05093	-1.76%	0.053045	+2.32%	0.0491	✓	2.13
2025-10-16	oos	0.05353	0.052574	-1.79%	0.05144	-3.90%	0.0593	✓	2.14
2025-10-15	oos	0.056935	0.055866	-1.88%	0.04925	-13.50%	0.0633	✓	2.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.060645	0.059499	-1.89%	0.0517	-14.75%	0.0506	✓	2.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.06486	0.063613	-1.92%	0.05496	-15.26%	0.0580	✓	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.06167	0.060508	-1.88%	0.05275	-14.46%	0.0186	✓	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	0.05713	0.056103	-1.80%	0.05055	-11.52%	0.0366	✓	2.07
2025-10-10	oos	0.05531	0.054288	-1.85%	0.05184	-6.27%	0.0804	✗	2.13
2025-10-09	oos	0.07384	0.072426	-1.92%	0.05353	-27.51%	0.1050	✓	1.68
2025-10-08	oos	0.07499	0.073589	-1.87%	0.056935	-24.08%	0.0787	✓	1.66
2025-10-07	oos	0.07491	0.07345	-1.95%	0.060645	-19.04%	0.0734	✓	1.66
2025-10-06	oos	0.07812	0.076727	-1.78%	0.06486	-16.97%	0.0351	✓	1.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.07493	0.073542	-1.85%	0.06167	-17.70%	0.0568	✓	1.68
2025-10-04	oos	0.07636	0.074951	-1.85%	0.05713	-25.18%	0.1012	✓	1.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.08047	0.079017	-1.81%	0.05531	-31.27%	0.2216	✓	1.70
2025-10-02	oos	0.081495	0.079987	-1.85%	0.07384	-9.39%	0.0955	✓	1.72
2025-10-01	oos	0.07985	0.078302	-1.94%	0.07499	-6.09%	0.1103	✓	1.73
2025-09-30	oos	0.0752	0.073684	-2.02%	0.07491	-0.39%	0.0922	✓	1.75
2025-09-29	oos	0.07694	0.075358	-2.06%	0.07812	+1.53%	0.1156	✓	1.75
2025-09-28	oos	0.077705	0.076033	-2.15%	0.07493	-3.57%	0.1860	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	0.07633	0.074758	-2.06%	0.07636	+0.04%	0.1793	✓	1.82
2025-09-26	oos	0.07817	0.076509	-2.13%	0.08047	+2.94%	0.1475	✓	1.82
2025-09-25	oos	0.07547	0.07395	-2.01%	0.081495	+7.98%	0.0861	✓	1.81
2025-09-24	oos	0.078745	0.07713	-2.05%	0.07985	+1.40%	0.0511	✓	1.87
2025-09-23	oos	0.07816	0.076556	-2.05%	0.0752	-3.79%	0.0521	✓	1.89
2025-09-22	oos	0.078845	0.07715	-2.15%	0.07694	-2.42%	0.0300	✓	1.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.08139	0.079775	-1.98%	0.077705	-4.53%	0.0256	✗	1.91
2025-09-20	oos	0.08414	0.082434	-2.03%	0.07633	-9.28%	0.0316	✗	2.02
2025-09-19	oos	0.08403	0.082324	-2.03%	0.07817	-6.97%	0.0556	✗	2.02
2025-09-18	oos	0.088075	0.086265	-2.05%	0.07547	-14.31%	0.0103	✓	2.01
2025-09-17	oos	0.08874	0.086897	-2.08%	0.078745	-11.26%	0.0436	✓	2.01

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.