KAS

Kaspa · Kaspa · gru_s5

token id: #115
symbol: KAS
variant: –
chain: Kaspa
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-19
predictions: 2,079

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1289

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0355

actual +0.0126

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.037705	0.035785	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.03737	0.035565	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.0351	0.033497	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-18	oos	0.035465	0.033879	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-17	oos	0.035295	0.033742	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.036135	0.034494	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.035945	0.034306	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.03702	0.035291	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-13	oos	0.038605	0.036803	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-12	oos	0.038425	0.036608	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-11	oos	0.041375	0.039335	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.040775	0.0387	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.0414	0.039239	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.03917	0.037145	-5.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-07	oos	0.040535	0.038351	-5.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.043225	0.040677	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.04348	0.041004	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.042675	0.040216	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.043115	0.040686	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.042085	0.039711	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.041435	0.039042	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.043475	0.040892	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.042925	0.040345	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.04546	0.042958	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.04692	0.044369	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.04781	0.04526	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.04216	0.03991	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.0399	0.037796	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.03851	0.036559	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.04158	0.039623	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-21	oos	0.043235	0.041341	-4.38%	0.037705	-12.79%	0.0435	✓	1.05
2026-09-20	oos	0.039935	0.038078	-4.65%	0.03737	-6.42%	0.0411	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.03912	0.037395	-4.41%	0.0351	-10.28%	0.0710	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.03804	0.036457	-4.16%	0.035465	-6.77%	0.0419	✓	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0338	0.032457	-3.97%	0.035295	+4.42%	0.0245	✓	0.93
2026-09-16	oos	0.03291	0.031666	-3.78%	0.036135	+9.80%	0.0693	✗	0.92
2026-09-15	oos	0.032925	0.031725	-3.64%	0.035945	+9.17%	0.0466	✗	0.94
2026-09-14	oos	0.034885	0.033786	-3.15%	0.03702	+6.12%	0.0525	✗	0.92
2026-09-13	oos	0.033285	0.032295	-2.97%	0.038605	+15.98%	0.1073	✗	0.90
2026-09-12	oos	0.03521	0.034118	-3.10%	0.038425	+9.13%	0.0685	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.035965	0.034807	-3.22%	0.041375	+15.04%	0.1004	✗	0.90
2026-09-10	oos	0.035345	0.034229	-3.16%	0.040775	+15.36%	0.1031	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.03653	0.035464	-2.92%	0.0414	+13.33%	0.1076	✗	0.89
2026-09-08	oos	0.035455	0.034586	-2.45%	0.03917	+10.48%	0.0885	✗	0.89
2026-09-07	oos	0.03651	0.035589	-2.52%	0.040535	+11.02%	0.0848	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.0323	0.031986	-0.97%	0.043225	+33.82%	0.2394	✗	0.98
2026-09-05	oos	0.03057	0.030387	-0.60%	0.04348	+42.23%	0.2887	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.02944	0.029381	-0.20%	0.042675	+44.96%	0.2926	✗	0.98
2026-09-03	oos	0.029815	0.029934	+0.40%	0.043115	+44.61%	0.3234	✓	0.99
2026-09-02	oos	0.027975	0.027801	-0.62%	0.042085	+50.44%	0.3398	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.027505	0.027387	-0.43%	0.041435	+50.65%	0.3355	✗	0.85
2026-08-31	oos	0.027895	0.027913	+0.06%	0.043475	+55.85%	0.4016	✓	0.67
2026-08-30	oos	0.02709	0.027094	+0.02%	0.042925	+58.45%	0.4080	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.02766	0.027739	+0.29%	0.04546	+64.35%	0.4495	✓	0.69
2026-08-28	oos	0.02804	0.028196	+0.56%	0.04692	+67.33%	0.4529	✓	0.69
2026-08-27	oos	0.02955	0.030189	+2.16%	0.04781	+61.79%	0.4263	✓	0.67
2026-08-26	oos	0.02803	0.02862	+2.11%	0.04216	+50.41%	0.3470	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.02765	0.028163	+1.86%	0.0399	+44.30%	0.3012	✓	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.029135	0.02963	+1.70%	0.03851	+32.18%	0.2193	✓	0.65
2026-08-23	oos	0.0293	0.029583	+0.96%	0.04158	+41.91%	0.2720	✓	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.029095	0.029501	+1.39%	0.043235	+48.60%	0.3049	✓	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.029695	0.030528	+2.81%	0.039935	+34.48%	0.2452	✓	0.66
2026-08-20	oos	0.02801	0.02782	-0.68%	0.03912	+39.66%	0.2740	✗	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.027	0.026336	-2.46%	0.03804	+40.89%	0.2694	✗	0.64
2026-08-18	oos	0.02527	0.024301	-3.83%	0.0338	+33.76%	0.2342	✗	0.58
2026-08-17	oos	0.02566	0.024659	-3.90%	0.03291	+28.25%	0.1901	✗	0.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.02552	0.024456	-4.17%	0.032925	+29.02%	0.1865	✗	0.60
2026-08-15	oos	0.025795	0.024739	-4.09%	0.034885	+35.24%	0.2152	✗	0.60
2026-08-14	oos	0.02542	0.02441	-3.97%	0.033285	+30.94%	0.1922	✗	0.59
2026-08-13	oos	0.0253	0.024329	-3.84%	0.03521	+39.17%	0.2508	✗	0.60
2026-08-12	oos	0.02554	0.024558	-3.84%	0.035965	+40.82%	0.2550	✗	0.64
2026-08-11	oos	0.02595	0.024963	-3.80%	0.035345	+36.20%	0.2285	✗	0.64
2026-08-10	oos	0.02587	0.024898	-3.76%	0.03653	+41.21%	0.2524	✗	0.65
2026-08-09	oos	0.02595	0.025002	-3.65%	0.035455	+36.63%	0.2218	✗	0.67
2026-08-08	oos	0.02667	0.025657	-3.80%	0.03651	+36.90%	0.2212	✗	0.67
2026-08-07	oos	0.026445	0.025428	-3.85%	0.0323	+22.14%	0.0933	✗	0.68
2026-08-06	oos	0.02562	0.024626	-3.88%	0.03057	+19.32%	0.0692	✗	0.68
2026-08-05	oos	0.02607	0.025067	-3.85%	0.02944	+12.93%	0.0178	✓	0.68
2026-08-04	oos	0.02641	0.025345	-4.03%	0.029815	+12.89%	0.0038	✓	0.70
2026-08-03	oos	0.02606	0.024958	-4.23%	0.027975	+7.35%	0.0265	✓	0.71
2026-08-02	oos	0.02682	0.025669	-4.29%	0.027505	+2.55%	0.0748	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02677	0.025595	-4.39%	0.027895	+4.20%	0.0751	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.027205	0.026027	-4.33%	0.02709	-0.42%	0.1124	✓	0.72
2026-07-30	oos	0.02764	0.026547	-3.95%	0.02766	+0.07%	0.0970	✓	0.73
2026-07-29	oos	0.02739	0.026287	-4.03%	0.02804	+2.37%	0.0767	✓	0.72
2026-07-28	oos	0.027945	0.02683	-3.99%	0.02955	+5.74%	0.0673	✓	0.72
2026-07-27	oos	0.028125	0.027032	-3.89%	0.02803	-0.34%	0.1184	✓	0.72
2026-07-26	oos	0.02929	0.028282	-3.44%	0.02765	-5.60%	0.1517	✓	0.70
2026-07-25	oos	0.02807	0.027106	-3.43%	0.029135	+3.79%	0.0687	✓	0.68
2026-07-24	oos	0.027735	0.026814	-3.32%	0.0293	+5.64%	0.0431	✓	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02799	0.02716	-2.97%	0.029095	+3.95%	0.0468	✓	0.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.02828	0.027522	-2.68%	0.029695	+5.00%	0.0406	✓	0.69
2026-07-21	oos	0.02861	0.027892	-2.51%	0.02801	-2.10%	0.0597	✓	0.69
2026-07-20	oos	0.028365	0.027589	-2.73%	0.027	-4.81%	0.0627	✓	0.68
2026-07-19	oos	0.02833	0.027535	-2.80%	0.02527	-10.80%	0.0859	✓	0.67
2026-07-18	oos	0.027785	0.027047	-2.65%	0.02566	-7.65%	0.0493	✓	0.67
2026-07-17	oos	0.02788	0.027118	-2.73%	0.02552	-8.46%	0.0496	✓	0.67
2026-07-16	oos	0.02816	0.027383	-2.76%	0.025795	-8.40%	0.0516	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	0.0289	0.028129	-2.67%	0.02542	-12.04%	0.0817	✓	0.72
2026-07-14	oos	0.028605	0.027854	-2.63%	0.0253	-11.55%	0.0785	✓	0.72
2026-07-13	oos	0.0284	0.027557	-2.97%	0.02554	-10.07%	0.0900	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.02847	0.02768	-2.78%	0.02595	-8.85%	0.0620	✓	0.78
2026-07-11	oos	0.029295	0.028465	-2.83%	0.02587	-11.69%	0.0973	✓	0.80
2026-07-10	oos	0.02949	0.028655	-2.83%	0.02595	-12.00%	0.1083	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.02951	0.028635	-2.97%	0.02667	-9.62%	0.0933	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.02925	0.028369	-3.01%	0.026445	-9.59%	0.1051	✓	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.02924	0.028392	-2.90%	0.02562	-12.38%	0.1152	✓	0.84
2026-07-06	oos	0.0302	0.029338	-2.86%	0.02607	-13.68%	0.1259	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.03094	0.03002	-2.97%	0.02641	-14.64%	0.1344	✓	0.86
2026-07-04	oos	0.03184	0.030864	-3.07%	0.02606	-18.15%	0.1744	✓	0.87
2026-07-03	oos	0.03138	0.030409	-3.09%	0.02682	-14.53%	0.1389	✓	0.86
2026-07-02	oos	0.03096	0.029971	-3.19%	0.02677	-13.53%	0.1307	✓	0.86
2026-07-01	oos	0.03083	0.029793	-3.36%	0.027205	-11.76%	0.1316	✓	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.029245	0.028274	-3.32%	0.02764	-5.49%	0.1087	✓	0.85
2026-06-29	oos	0.03032	0.029301	-3.36%	0.02739	-9.66%	0.1183	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.02775	0.026858	-3.22%	0.027945	+0.70%	0.0183	✓	0.82
2026-06-27	oos	0.027795	0.026867	-3.34%	0.028125	+1.19%	0.0031	✓	0.80
2026-06-26	oos	0.02811	0.027128	-3.49%	0.02929	+4.20%	0.0077	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.02756	0.026598	-3.49%	0.02807	+1.85%	0.0059	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.02795	0.026957	-3.55%	0.027735	-0.77%	0.0123	✓	0.82
2026-06-23	oos	0.02886	0.027825	-3.58%	0.02799	-3.01%	0.0263	✓	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.02934	0.028269	-3.65%	0.02828	-3.61%	0.0283	✓	0.87
2026-06-21	oos	0.02916	0.028068	-3.75%	0.02861	-1.89%	0.0249	✓	0.87
2026-06-20	oos	0.029775	0.028634	-3.83%	0.028365	-4.74%	0.0213	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.02992	0.028753	-3.90%	0.02833	-5.31%	0.0292	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.03041	0.029203	-3.97%	0.027785	-8.63%	0.0737	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03193	0.030629	-4.07%	0.02788	-12.68%	0.0873	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.03249	0.031151	-4.12%	0.02816	-13.33%	0.0781	✓	0.80
2026-06-15	oos	0.03302	0.031653	-4.14%	0.0289	-12.48%	0.0746	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	0.0324	0.031063	-4.13%	0.028605	-11.71%	0.0752	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.031385	0.030089	-4.13%	0.0284	-9.51%	0.0338	✓	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	0.03099	0.029704	-4.15%	0.02847	-8.13%	0.0447	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.03109	0.02978	-4.21%	0.029295	-5.77%	0.0187	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.030365	0.029095	-4.18%	0.02949	-2.88%	0.0163	✓	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.03018	0.02891	-4.21%	0.02951	-2.22%	0.0039	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.03205	0.030607	-4.50%	0.02925	-8.74%	0.0365	✓	0.67
2026-06-07	oos	0.03126	0.029844	-4.53%	0.02924	-6.46%	0.0207	✓	0.67
2026-06-06	oos	0.02999	0.028671	-4.40%	0.0302	+0.70%	0.0195	✓	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0309	0.02944	-4.73%	0.03094	+0.13%	0.0236	✓	0.64
2026-06-04	oos	0.02955	0.028195	-4.59%	0.03184	+7.75%	0.1299	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	0.03196	0.030371	-4.97%	0.03138	-1.81%	0.0496	✓	0.70
2026-06-02	oos	0.02844	0.027139	-4.57%	0.03096	+8.86%	0.2008	✗	0.85
2026-06-01	oos	0.03044	0.028971	-4.83%	0.03083	+1.28%	0.1932	✗	0.76
2026-05-31	oos	0.0307	0.029238	-4.76%	0.029245	-4.74%	0.1758	✗	0.77
2026-05-30	oos	0.03084	0.029361	-4.80%	0.03032	-1.69%	0.1873	✗	0.76
2026-05-29	oos	0.03102	0.029524	-4.82%	0.02775	-10.54%	0.0991	✗	0.77
2026-05-28	oos	0.031095	0.029599	-4.81%	0.027795	-10.61%	0.0924	✗	0.76
2026-05-27	oos	0.03209	0.030561	-4.76%	0.02811	-12.40%	0.0798	✗	0.76
2026-05-26	oos	0.032615	0.031124	-4.57%	0.02756	-15.50%	0.0598	✗	0.76
2026-05-25	oos	0.03365	0.032164	-4.42%	0.02795	-16.94%	0.0424	✓	0.77
2026-05-24	oos	0.03334	0.031857	-4.45%	0.02886	-13.44%	0.0613	✗	0.78
2026-05-23	oos	0.0338	0.032278	-4.50%	0.02934	-13.20%	0.0431	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.03374	0.032164	-4.67%	0.02916	-13.57%	0.0381	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.03525	0.033693	-4.42%	0.029775	-15.53%	0.0188	✓	0.76
2026-05-20	oos	0.034845	0.033311	-4.40%	0.02992	-14.13%	0.0447	✓	0.76
2026-05-19	oos	0.03364	0.032141	-4.46%	0.03041	-9.60%	0.0947	✗	0.75
2026-05-18	oos	0.03485	0.033294	-4.47%	0.03193	-8.38%	0.0920	✗	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.03396	0.032499	-4.30%	0.03249	-4.33%	0.1250	✗	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.034185	0.032769	-4.14%	0.03302	-3.41%	0.1321	✗	0.76
2026-05-15	oos	0.035135	0.033777	-3.87%	0.0324	-7.78%	0.0997	✗	0.76
2026-05-14	oos	0.03758	0.036334	-3.31%	0.031385	-16.48%	0.0240	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.03724	0.035853	-3.72%	0.03099	-16.78%	0.0182	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.03807	0.036731	-3.52%	0.03109	-18.33%	0.0065	✓	0.73
2026-05-11	oos	0.04041	0.038957	-3.60%	0.030365	-24.86%	0.0514	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.03867	0.037358	-3.39%	0.03018	-21.96%	0.0117	✓	0.70
2026-05-09	oos	0.03729	0.035949	-3.60%	0.03205	-14.05%	0.0575	✗	0.70
2026-05-08	oos	0.03648	0.035174	-3.58%	0.03126	-14.31%	0.0521	✗	0.72
2026-05-07	oos	0.03538	0.03416	-3.45%	0.02999	-15.23%	0.0674	✗	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0366	0.035392	-3.30%	0.0309	-15.57%	0.1187	✗	0.88
2026-05-05	oos	0.034435	0.033336	-3.19%	0.02955	-14.19%	0.0896	✗	0.88
2026-05-04	oos	0.03338	0.032298	-3.24%	0.03196	-4.25%	0.1844	✗	0.88
2026-05-03	oos	0.03365	0.032466	-3.52%	0.02844	-15.48%	0.0132	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.0332	0.032116	-3.26%	0.03044	-8.31%	0.0351	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.03264	0.031576	-3.26%	0.0307	-5.94%	0.0282	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.0325	0.031298	-3.70%	0.03084	-5.11%	0.0179	✓	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.032555	0.031306	-3.84%	0.03102	-4.72%	0.0218	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.0328	0.031572	-3.74%	0.031095	-5.20%	0.0206	✓	0.96
2026-04-27	oos	0.0334	0.03224	-3.47%	0.03209	-3.92%	0.0338	✓	0.96
2026-04-26	oos	0.03391	0.032821	-3.21%	0.032615	-3.82%	0.0289	✓	0.96
2026-04-25	oos	0.03364	0.032512	-3.35%	0.03365	+0.03%	0.0394	✗	0.95
2026-04-24	oos	0.03369	0.032519	-3.48%	0.03334	-1.04%	0.0310	✓	0.96
2026-04-23	oos	0.034295	0.033209	-3.17%	0.0338	-1.44%	0.0378	✗	0.96
2026-04-22	oos	0.034285	0.033189	-3.20%	0.03374	-1.59%	0.0510	✗	0.96
2026-04-21	oos	0.034245	0.032944	-3.80%	0.03525	+2.93%	0.0527	✗	0.96
2026-04-20	oos	0.03484	0.033432	-4.04%	0.034845	+0.01%	0.0211	✓	0.97
2026-04-19	oos	0.03421	0.032726	-4.34%	0.03364	-1.67%	0.0107	✓	0.98
2026-04-18	oos	0.0343	0.032956	-3.92%	0.03485	+1.60%	0.0404	✗	0.98
2026-04-17	oos	0.03616	0.034822	-3.70%	0.03396	-6.08%	0.0290	✓	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.03409	0.032749	-3.93%	0.034185	+0.28%	0.0057	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.03319	0.031929	-3.80%	0.035135	+5.86%	0.0426	✗	0.97
2026-04-14	oos	0.032345	0.031135	-3.74%	0.03758	+16.18%	0.1020	✗	0.97
2026-04-13	oos	0.03311	0.031856	-3.79%	0.03724	+12.47%	0.0954	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.03149	0.030149	-4.26%	0.03807	+20.90%	0.1093	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.032925	0.03167	-3.81%	0.04041	+22.73%	0.1367	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.03341	0.032187	-3.66%	0.03867	+15.74%	0.0697	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.03219	0.030958	-3.83%	0.03729	+15.84%	0.0752	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.031945	0.030695	-3.91%	0.03648	+14.20%	0.0578	✗	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03278	0.031564	-3.71%	0.03538	+7.93%	0.0126	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.031225	0.029865	-4.35%	0.0366	+17.21%	0.0432	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.03142	0.030033	-4.41%	0.034435	+9.60%	0.0151	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.031165	0.029707	-4.68%	0.03338	+7.11%	0.0479	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.03098	0.029511	-4.74%	0.03365	+8.62%	0.0240	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.03126	0.029746	-4.84%	0.0332	+6.21%	0.0477	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.03208	0.030566	-4.72%	0.03264	+1.75%	0.0691	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.03262	0.03113	-4.57%	0.0325	-0.37%	0.0665	✓	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.03189	0.030407	-4.65%	0.032555	+2.09%	0.0558	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.03288	0.031348	-4.66%	0.0328	-0.24%	0.0985	✓	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.03477	0.033186	-4.56%	0.0334	-3.94%	0.1453	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.03448	0.032961	-4.41%	0.03391	-1.65%	0.1391	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.03602	0.034587	-3.98%	0.03364	-6.61%	0.1469	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.03857	0.037155	-3.67%	0.03369	-12.65%	0.1782	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.03626	0.035026	-3.40%	0.034295	-5.42%	0.1213	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.034985	0.033899	-3.11%	0.034285	-2.00%	0.0834	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.03642	0.035095	-3.64%	0.034245	-5.97%	0.1439	✓	1.01
2026-03-21	oos	0.03576	0.034593	-3.26%	0.03484	-2.57%	0.0905	✓	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.03804	0.036796	-3.27%	0.03421	-10.07%	0.1194	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.03729	0.036124	-3.13%	0.0343	-8.02%	0.1325	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.03946	0.038166	-3.28%	0.03616	-8.36%	0.1341	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.03628	0.035483	-2.20%	0.03409	-6.04%	0.0577	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.03374	0.033239	-1.49%	0.03319	-1.63%	0.0007	✓	1.09
2026-03-15	oos	0.031	0.030578	-1.36%	0.032345	+4.34%	0.0364	✗	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.03066	0.030219	-1.44%	0.03311	+7.99%	0.0436	✗	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.03049	0.030092	-1.31%	0.03149	+3.28%	0.0483	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.03054	0.030116	-1.39%	0.032925	+7.81%	0.0504	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.03036	0.029941	-1.38%	0.03341	+10.05%	0.0672	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.03025	0.029811	-1.45%	0.03219	+6.41%	0.0486	✗	1.09
2026-03-09	oos	0.03006	0.029589	-1.57%	0.031945	+6.27%	0.0350	✗	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.02957	0.029077	-1.67%	0.03278	+10.86%	0.0265	✗	1.08
2026-03-07	oos	0.02957	0.02911	-1.55%	0.031225	+5.60%	0.0446	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.03016	0.029722	-1.45%	0.03142	+4.18%	0.0413	✗	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.03043	0.030078	-1.16%	0.031165	+2.42%	0.0930	✗	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.03075	0.030463	-0.93%	0.03098	+0.75%	0.1083	✗	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.03054	0.030124	-1.36%	0.03126	+2.36%	0.0619	✗	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	0.03032	0.029897	-1.40%	0.03208	+5.80%	0.0828	✗	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	0.02943	0.028951	-1.63%	0.03262	+10.84%	0.0763	✗	1.18
2026-02-28	oos	0.03014	0.029639	-1.66%	0.03189	+5.81%	0.0773	✗	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.03027	0.029738	-1.76%	0.03288	+8.62%	0.0987	✗	1.20
2026-02-26	oos	0.03135	0.030772	-1.84%	0.03477	+10.91%	0.1432	✗	1.20
2026-02-25	oos	0.030915	0.030359	-1.80%	0.03448	+11.53%	0.1566	✗	1.20
2026-02-24	oos	0.02909	0.028571	-1.79%	0.03602	+23.82%	0.1462	✗	1.21
2026-02-23	oos	0.02971	0.029159	-1.86%	0.03857	+29.82%	0.1560	✗	1.26
2026-02-22	oos	0.03041	0.029823	-1.93%	0.03626	+19.24%	0.1420	✗	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.031105	0.03047	-2.04%	0.034985	+12.47%	0.0839	✗	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.031165	0.030521	-2.07%	0.03642	+16.86%	0.1794	✗	1.30
2026-02-19	oos	0.03012	0.029539	-1.93%	0.03576	+18.73%	0.1541	✗	1.29
2026-02-18	oos	0.031045	0.030408	-2.05%	0.03804	+22.53%	0.1463	✗	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	0.03191	0.031194	-2.24%	0.03729	+16.86%	0.1324	✗	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.03225	0.03148	-2.39%	0.03946	+22.36%	0.1818	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.03206	0.031273	-2.45%	0.03628	+13.16%	0.0552	✗	1.30
2026-02-14	oos	0.033445	0.032527	-2.75%	0.03374	+0.88%	0.0543	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	0.03214	0.031285	-2.66%	0.031	-3.55%	0.0822	✓	1.29
2026-02-12	oos	0.031395	0.030591	-2.56%	0.03066	-2.34%	0.0930	✓	1.30
2026-02-11	oos	0.03148	0.030637	-2.68%	0.03049	-3.14%	0.0794	✓	1.31
2026-02-10	oos	0.03105	0.030197	-2.75%	0.03054	-1.64%	0.0216	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.031485	0.030562	-2.93%	0.03036	-3.57%	0.0086	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.03386	0.032717	-3.37%	0.03025	-10.66%	0.0723	✓	1.34
2026-02-07	oos	0.03134	0.030418	-2.94%	0.03006	-4.08%	0.0037	✓	1.32
2026-02-06	oos	0.03199	0.030927	-3.32%	0.02957	-7.56%	0.0427	✗	1.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.02706	0.026875	-0.68%	0.02957	+9.28%	0.0075	✗	1.28
2026-02-04	oos	0.030985	0.029949	-3.35%	0.03016	-2.66%	0.1096	✗	1.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.03206	0.030849	-3.78%	0.03043	-5.08%	0.0795	✗	1.43
2026-02-02	oos	0.03312	0.031762	-4.10%	0.03075	-7.16%	0.0836	✗	1.47
2026-02-01	oos	0.03069	0.029611	-3.52%	0.03054	-0.49%	0.1994	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.03316	0.031863	-3.91%	0.03032	-8.56%	0.1440	✗	1.45
2026-01-30	oos	0.03736	0.035702	-4.44%	0.02943	-21.23%	0.1539	✗	1.41
2026-01-29	oos	0.03846	0.036725	-4.51%	0.03014	-21.63%	0.1305	✗	1.41
2026-01-28	oos	0.03977	0.038021	-4.40%	0.03027	-23.89%	0.2130	✗	1.46
2026-01-27	oos	0.03979	0.038049	-4.37%	0.03135	-21.21%	0.2174	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	0.03979	0.037988	-4.53%	0.030915	-22.30%	0.1690	✗	1.44
2026-01-25	oos	0.03958	0.037754	-4.61%	0.02909	-26.50%	0.1761	✗	1.45
2026-01-24	oos	0.04162	0.039597	-4.86%	0.02971	-28.62%	0.1767	✗	1.45
2026-01-23	oos	0.04022	0.038217	-4.98%	0.03041	-24.39%	0.1668	✗	1.41
2026-01-22	oos	0.03987	0.037824	-5.13%	0.031105	-21.98%	0.1980	✗	1.43
2026-01-21	oos	0.04105	0.038868	-5.32%	0.031165	-24.08%	0.1727	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.04018	0.038073	-5.24%	0.03012	-25.04%	0.1652	✗	1.44
2026-01-19	oos	0.04267	0.040341	-5.46%	0.031045	-27.24%	0.2222	✗	1.46
2026-01-18	oos	0.04269	0.040313	-5.57%	0.03191	-25.25%	0.2511	✗	1.48
2026-01-17	oos	0.04421	0.041813	-5.42%	0.03225	-27.05%	0.2193	✗	1.48
2026-01-16	oos	0.04515	0.042719	-5.38%	0.03206	-28.99%	0.2020	✗	1.49
2026-01-15	oos	0.04555	0.043109	-5.36%	0.033445	-26.58%	0.2126	✗	1.48
2026-01-14	oos	0.04799	0.045608	-4.96%	0.03214	-33.03%	0.1557	✗	1.47
2026-01-13	oos	0.04827	0.045864	-4.98%	0.031395	-34.96%	0.1709	✗	1.51
2026-01-12	oos	0.04629	0.043778	-5.43%	0.03148	-31.99%	0.1502	✗	1.56
2026-01-11	oos	0.04672	0.044196	-5.40%	0.03105	-33.54%	0.0865	✗	1.58
2026-01-10	oos	0.04649	0.043958	-5.45%	0.031485	-32.28%	0.0693	✗	1.59
2026-01-09	oos	0.04702	0.044528	-5.30%	0.03386	-27.99%	0.1318	✗	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.04699	0.044629	-5.02%	0.03134	-33.30%	0.0772	✗	1.57
2026-01-07	oos	0.04884	0.046388	-5.02%	0.03199	-34.50%	0.1102	✗	1.87
2026-01-06	oos	0.05147	0.04907	-4.66%	0.02706	-47.43%	0.1512	✗	1.86
2026-01-05	oos	0.05092	0.048658	-4.44%	0.030985	-39.15%	0.0138	✓	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.04943	0.047199	-4.51%	0.03206	-35.14%	0.0336	✓	1.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.04572	0.043804	-4.19%	0.03312	-27.56%	0.0187	✓	1.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.04603	0.044091	-4.21%	0.03069	-33.33%	0.0733	✓	1.84
2026-01-01	oos	0.04474	0.042863	-4.20%	0.03316	-25.88%	0.0352	✓	1.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.04288	0.041104	-4.14%	0.03736	-12.87%	0.0240	✓	1.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.04387	0.042108	-4.02%	0.03846	-12.33%	0.0094	✓	1.81
2025-12-29	oos	0.04348	0.041768	-3.94%	0.03977	-8.53%	0.0910	✓	1.80
2025-12-28	oos	0.04453	0.042819	-3.84%	0.03979	-10.64%	0.0986	✓	1.80
2025-12-27	oos	0.04555	0.043807	-3.83%	0.03979	-12.65%	0.1051	✓	1.78
2025-12-26	oos	0.0449	0.043217	-3.75%	0.03958	-11.85%	0.0730	✓	1.77
2025-12-25	oos	0.04362	0.04204	-3.62%	0.04162	-4.59%	0.0483	✓	1.77
2025-12-24	oos	0.04453	0.04294	-3.57%	0.04022	-9.68%	0.1028	✓	1.77
2025-12-23	oos	0.04512	0.043498	-3.59%	0.03987	-11.64%	0.1273	✓	1.75
2025-12-22	oos	0.04661	0.044925	-3.61%	0.04105	-11.93%	0.1060	✓	1.74
2025-12-21	oos	0.04686	0.045165	-3.62%	0.04018	-14.26%	0.1105	✓	1.74
2025-12-20	oos	0.04493	0.043361	-3.49%	0.04267	-5.03%	0.0974	✓	1.74
2025-12-19	oos	0.04325	0.041764	-3.44%	0.04269	-1.29%	0.0837	✓	1.73
2025-12-18	oos	0.04057	0.039188	-3.41%	0.04421	+8.97%	0.0636	✓	1.72
2025-12-17	oos	0.04197	0.040517	-3.46%	0.04515	+7.58%	0.0683	✓	1.72
2025-12-16	oos	0.04481	0.043204	-3.58%	0.04555	+1.65%	0.0915	✓	1.71
2025-12-15	oos	0.04296	0.041471	-3.46%	0.04799	+11.71%	0.0501	✓	1.70
2025-12-14	oos	0.04428	0.042689	-3.59%	0.04827	+9.01%	0.0117	✓	1.71
2025-12-13	oos	0.04682	0.044987	-3.91%	0.04629	-1.13%	0.0110	✓	1.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.04629	0.044427	-4.03%	0.04672	+0.93%	0.0392	✓	1.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.04775	0.045787	-4.11%	0.04649	-2.64%	0.0558	✗	1.71
2025-12-10	oos	0.0486	0.046561	-4.19%	0.04702	-3.25%	0.0385	✓	1.72
2025-12-09	oos	0.04996	0.047852	-4.22%	0.04699	-5.94%	0.0131	✓	1.73
2025-12-08	oos	0.05214	0.049836	-4.42%	0.04884	-6.33%	0.0323	✓	1.77
2025-12-07	oos	0.05151	0.049206	-4.47%	0.05147	-0.08%	0.0186	✓	1.76
2025-12-06	oos	0.05103	0.048678	-4.61%	0.05092	-0.22%	0.0438	✓	1.77
2025-12-05	oos	0.05251	0.050125	-4.54%	0.04943	-5.87%	0.0561	✓	1.77
2025-12-04	oos	0.05509	0.052625	-4.48%	0.04572	-17.01%	0.1116	✓	1.78
2025-12-03	oos	0.05674	0.054263	-4.37%	0.04603	-18.88%	0.0969	✓	1.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.0545	0.052183	-4.25%	0.04474	-17.91%	0.1031	✓	1.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.05196	0.049793	-4.17%	0.04288	-17.47%	0.1755	✓	1.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.057285	0.05482	-4.30%	0.04387	-23.42%	0.1823	✓	1.84
2025-11-29	oos	0.056335	0.053972	-4.20%	0.04348	-22.82%	0.1397	✓	1.83
2025-11-28	oos	0.057835	0.055341	-4.31%	0.04453	-23.01%	0.1554	✓	1.83
2025-11-27	oos	0.05831	0.055791	-4.32%	0.04555	-21.88%	0.1310	✓	1.83
2025-11-26	oos	0.05813	0.055515	-4.50%	0.0449	-22.76%	0.1471	✓	1.82
2025-11-25	oos	0.0506	0.048591	-3.97%	0.04362	-13.79%	0.1048	✓	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.04514	0.043564	-3.49%	0.04453	-1.35%	0.0353	✓	1.78
2025-11-23	oos	0.040015	0.038782	-3.08%	0.04512	+12.76%	0.1390	✗	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.03809	0.037023	-2.80%	0.04661	+22.37%	0.1524	✗	1.74
2025-11-21	oos	0.038595	0.037478	-2.89%	0.04686	+21.41%	0.1521	✗	1.73
2025-11-20	oos	0.04001	0.038763	-3.12%	0.04493	+12.30%	0.1122	✗	1.73
2025-11-19	oos	0.042245	0.040746	-3.55%	0.04325	+2.38%	0.1280	✗	1.82
2025-11-18	oos	0.04326	0.0417	-3.61%	0.04057	-6.22%	0.1246	✗	1.82
2025-11-17	oos	0.042685	0.04121	-3.45%	0.04197	-1.68%	0.1395	✗	1.83
2025-11-16	oos	0.04344	0.041931	-3.47%	0.04481	+3.15%	0.1950	✗	1.85
2025-11-15	oos	0.045145	0.043518	-3.60%	0.04296	-4.84%	0.1728	✗	1.85
2025-11-14	oos	0.04449	0.042925	-3.52%	0.04428	-0.47%	0.1595	✗	1.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.04827	0.046498	-3.67%	0.04682	-3.00%	0.1924	✗	1.88
2025-11-12	oos	0.04948	0.047693	-3.61%	0.04629	-6.45%	0.1939	✗	1.89
2025-11-11	oos	0.04936	0.047613	-3.54%	0.04775	-3.26%	0.2076	✗	1.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.052515	0.050695	-3.47%	0.0486	-7.46%	0.2243	✗	1.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.05211	0.050272	-3.53%	0.04996	-4.13%	0.2271	✗	1.92
2025-11-08	oos	0.05182	0.049926	-3.65%	0.05214	+0.62%	0.2781	✗	1.94
2025-11-07	oos	0.05215	0.050199	-3.74%	0.05151	-1.23%	0.2793	✗	1.90
2025-11-06	oos	0.05107	0.049142	-3.78%	0.05103	-0.08%	0.2791	✗	1.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.04678	0.045159	-3.46%	0.05251	+12.25%	0.4519	✗	2.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.04401	0.042582	-3.25%	0.05509	+25.18%	0.4497	✗	1.98
2025-11-03	oos	0.04672	0.045256	-3.13%	0.05674	+21.45%	0.4947	✗	2.05
2025-11-02	oos	0.05215	0.050548	-3.07%	0.0545	+4.51%	0.4609	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.05323	0.051539	-3.18%	0.05196	-2.39%	0.5035	✗	2.04
2025-10-31	oos	0.05282	0.051111	-3.24%	0.057285	+8.45%	0.5064	✗	2.04
2025-10-30	oos	0.05363	0.051816	-3.38%	0.056335	+5.04%	0.4449	✗	2.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.05846	0.056453	-3.43%	0.057835	-1.07%	0.4108	✗	2.02
2025-10-28	oos	0.056465	0.054712	-3.10%	0.05831	+3.27%	0.5115	✗	2.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.05729	0.055492	-3.14%	0.05813	+1.47%	0.5369	✗	2.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.05812	0.056332	-3.08%	0.0506	-12.94%	0.4664	✗	2.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.05877	0.056794	-3.36%	0.04514	-23.19%	0.2841	✗	2.18
2025-10-24	oos	0.053045	0.051326	-3.24%	0.040015	-24.56%	0.2897	✗	2.19
2025-10-23	oos	0.05144	0.049688	-3.41%	0.03809	-25.95%	0.3064	✗	2.18
2025-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.047554	-3.44%	0.038595	-21.63%	0.3012	✗	2.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.0517	0.049819	-3.64%	0.04001	-22.61%	0.2688	✗	2.17
2025-10-20	oos	0.05496	0.052777	-3.97%	0.042245	-23.14%	0.1906	✗	2.18
2025-10-19	oos	0.05275	0.050594	-4.09%	0.04326	-17.99%	0.1767	✗	2.13
2025-10-18	oos	0.05055	0.048465	-4.13%	0.042685	-15.56%	0.1963	✗	2.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.05184	0.049608	-4.31%	0.04344	-16.20%	0.1286	✗	2.13
2025-10-16	oos	0.05353	0.05121	-4.33%	0.045145	-15.66%	0.1397	✗	2.14
2025-10-15	oos	0.056935	0.054424	-4.41%	0.04449	-21.86%	0.1371	✗	2.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.060645	0.058019	-4.33%	0.04827	-20.41%	0.0840	✗	2.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.06486	0.06208	-4.29%	0.04948	-23.71%	0.0395	✓	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.06167	0.059018	-4.30%	0.04936	-19.96%	0.0510	✗	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	0.05713	0.054621	-4.39%	0.052515	-8.08%	0.0522	✗	2.07
2025-10-10	oos	0.05531	0.052837	-4.47%	0.05211	-5.79%	0.1483	✗	2.13
2025-10-09	oos	0.07384	0.070699	-4.25%	0.05182	-29.82%	0.0191	✓	1.68
2025-10-08	oos	0.07499	0.071946	-4.06%	0.05215	-30.46%	0.0274	✓	1.66
2025-10-07	oos	0.07491	0.071691	-4.30%	0.05107	-31.82%	0.0380	✓	1.66
2025-10-06	oos	0.07812	0.075334	-3.57%	0.04678	-40.12%	0.1678	✓	1.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.07493	0.072086	-3.80%	0.04401	-41.27%	0.1627	✓	1.68
2025-10-04	oos	0.07636	0.073401	-3.88%	0.04672	-38.82%	0.2157	✓	1.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.08047	0.0774	-3.82%	0.05215	-35.19%	0.2224	✓	1.70
2025-10-02	oos	0.081495	0.078303	-3.92%	0.05323	-34.68%	0.2280	✓	1.72
2025-10-01	oos	0.07985	0.076507	-4.19%	0.05282	-33.85%	0.2321	✓	1.73
2025-09-30	oos	0.0752	0.071744	-4.60%	0.05363	-28.68%	0.2005	✓	1.75
2025-09-29	oos	0.07694	0.073349	-4.67%	0.05846	-24.02%	0.1594	✓	1.75
2025-09-28	oos	0.077705	0.073935	-4.85%	0.056465	-27.33%	0.2808	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	0.07633	0.072596	-4.89%	0.05729	-24.94%	0.3085	✓	1.82
2025-09-26	oos	0.07817	0.074265	-5.00%	0.05812	-25.65%	0.3238	✓	1.82
2025-09-25	oos	0.07547	0.071759	-4.92%	0.05877	-22.13%	0.2429	✓	1.81
2025-09-24	oos	0.078745	0.074946	-4.82%	0.053045	-32.64%	0.3072	✓	1.87
2025-09-23	oos	0.07816	0.07433	-4.90%	0.05144	-34.19%	0.3358	✓	1.89
2025-09-22	oos	0.078845	0.075	-4.88%	0.04925	-37.54%	0.3316	✓	1.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.08139	0.077604	-4.65%	0.0517	-36.48%	0.2876	✓	1.91
2025-09-20	oos	0.08414	0.080162	-4.73%	0.05496	-34.68%	0.2851	✓	2.02
2025-09-19	oos	0.08403	0.080066	-4.72%	0.05275	-37.22%	0.2910	✓	2.02
2025-09-18	oos	0.088075	0.083967	-4.66%	0.05055	-42.61%	0.3294	✓	2.01
2025-09-17	oos	0.08874	0.084624	-4.64%	0.05184	-41.58%	0.3091	✓	2.01

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.