HAJIMI

? · · gru_s5

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 516

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 172 predictions shown

direction hit

51.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1882

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0236

actual +0.0390

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.020435	0.019885	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.020053	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019382	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.018868	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.019675	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.021103	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.021073	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.021516	-1.57%	0.020435	-6.52%	0.0652	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.024453	-2.56%	0.020605	-17.89%	0.1695	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025212	-2.54%	0.01981	-23.42%	0.2422	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027229	-3.00%	0.01918	-31.67%	0.3339	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.027861	-3.11%	0.02	-30.45%	0.3162	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.027402	-2.93%	0.02154	-23.70%	0.2304	✓	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.027267	-2.79%	0.02146	-23.49%	0.2436	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.027295	-2.79%	0.02186	-22.15%	0.2043	✓	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.027082	-2.58%	0.025095	-9.73%	0.0470	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.025121	-1.93%	0.02587	+1.00%	0.0772	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.02839	-2.47%	0.02807	-3.57%	0.0219	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.029637	-2.78%	0.028755	-5.67%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.029877	-2.79%	0.02823	-8.15%	0.0332	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.032059	-3.03%	0.02805	-15.15%	0.0957	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.030111	-2.79%	0.02808	-9.35%	0.0665	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.032774	-3.12%	0.0278	-17.82%	0.1871	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.03326	-3.17%	0.025615	-25.43%	0.2883	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.033097	-3.03%	0.02911	-14.71%	0.1523	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.033505	-3.08%	0.030485	-11.82%	0.0983	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.033223	-3.00%	0.030735	-10.26%	0.0827	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.032841	-2.89%	0.03306	-2.25%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.034427	-2.97%	0.030975	-12.70%	0.0959	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.038656	-3.00%	0.03383	-15.11%	0.1032	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.033133	-2.36%	0.03435	+1.22%	0.0730	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.033676	-2.66%	0.03413	-1.34%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.03249	-2.30%	0.03457	+3.95%	0.0236	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.033998	-2.30%	0.03425	-1.58%	0.0316	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.032889	-1.85%	0.03382	+0.93%	0.0722	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.030256	-1.22%	0.03548	+15.83%	0.0566	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.03295	-1.29%	0.03985	+19.38%	0.0587	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.013018	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.012757	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.012259	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.012739	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.012402	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013195	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012163	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.012706	-1.81%	0.013255	+2.43%	0.0777	✗	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.011892	-1.07%	0.013	+8.15%	0.0713	✓	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.012447	-1.29%	0.01248	-1.03%	0.2053	✓	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.014518	-2.37%	0.013	-12.58%	0.2727	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.013458	-1.91%	0.01264	-7.87%	0.1844	✓	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.014141	-1.87%	0.01348	-6.45%	0.2630	✓	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.01217	-0.57%	0.01236	+0.98%	0.1354	✓	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.013093	-1.55%	0.01294	-2.71%	0.0032	✓	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.013463	-1.73%	0.01202	-12.26%	0.0492	✗	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013442	-2.10%	0.01261	-8.16%	0.2704	✗	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.015008	-3.05%	0.01487	-3.94%	0.6558	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.017271	-3.62%	0.01372	-23.44%	0.5894	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.015986	-3.41%	0.01441	-12.93%	0.9494	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.013301	-2.70%	0.01224	-10.46%	0.9032	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.013928	-2.88%	0.0133	-7.25%	0.7119	✗	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.013767	-2.85%	0.0137	-3.32%	0.8034	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.014202	-2.93%	0.01373	-6.15%	0.6896	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.01426	-2.92%	0.01548	+5.38%	0.5502	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.015022	-3.08%	0.01792	+15.61%	0.4424	✗	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.016079	-3.25%	0.01655	-0.42%	0.2561	✗	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.015374	-3.31%	0.01367	-14.03%	0.0514	✗	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.017436	-3.40%	0.01434	-20.55%	0.1354	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.017278	-3.42%	0.01417	-20.79%	0.0596	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.017356	-3.47%	0.01463	-18.63%	0.0934	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.01906	-3.74%	0.01469	-25.81%	0.2851	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.018762	-3.74%	0.0155	-20.47%	0.1854	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.014677	-2.54%	0.01662	+10.36%	0.1431	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014382	-2.36%	0.0159	+7.94%	0.1471	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.017035	-3.21%	0.01805	+2.56%	0.1024	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.011304	-1.28%	0.01789	+56.24%	0.4822	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.011948	-1.42%	0.01798	+48.35%	0.4560	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012161	-1.29%	0.0198	+60.71%	0.5478	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.013856	-1.52%	0.01949	+38.52%	0.4012	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.012271	-1.28%	0.01506	+21.16%	0.2370	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.012914	-1.42%	0.01473	+12.44%	0.1458	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.012611	-1.32%	0.0176	+37.72%	0.3200	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.013549	-1.25%	0.01145	-16.55%	0.1415	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.013954	-1.32%	0.01212	-14.29%	0.1356	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014478	-1.51%	0.01232	-16.19%	0.1846	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.014127	-1.62%	0.01407	-2.02%	0.0494	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.015329	-1.86%	0.01243	-20.42%	0.2344	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.013258	-1.57%	0.0131	-2.75%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.012946	-1.78%	0.01278	-3.03%	0.0602	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.012239	-1.77%	0.01372	+10.11%	0.0419	✗	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.012245	-1.81%	0.01414	+13.39%	0.0855	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.013031	-1.73%	0.0147	+10.86%	0.0889	✗	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.020569	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.019027	-0.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.01648	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.016714	-0.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.01767	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.019328	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.016111	+0.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.016795	+0.03%	0.02087	+24.30%	0.2516	✓	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.014843	+3.00%	0.01921	+33.31%	0.1817	✓	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.019635	-0.18%	0.01657	-15.76%	0.0795	✓	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.02095	-0.52%	0.01683	-20.09%	0.1066	✓	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.024133	-1.01%	0.01782	-26.91%	0.1467	✓	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.025327	-0.72%	0.01952	-23.48%	0.1325	✓	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.028091	-1.05%	0.0161	-43.29%	0.3823	✓	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028385	-1.41%	0.01679	-41.68%	0.2590	✓	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.038966	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.040195	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.040915	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.038992	-3.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.041124	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.039096	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.03512	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.036982	-3.01%	0.04019	+5.40%	0.0403	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.034657	-2.95%	0.0415	+16.21%	0.1077	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.034505	-3.13%	0.04227	+18.67%	0.1268	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.034992	-3.26%	0.04026	+11.31%	0.0710	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.03535	-3.36%	0.04247	+16.10%	0.0981	✗	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.039504	-3.44%	0.04033	-1.42%	0.0027	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.041054	-3.47%	0.03617	-14.95%	0.0881	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.04041	-3.60%	0.03813	-9.04%	0.0488	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.035161	-3.24%	0.03571	-1.73%	0.0187	✓	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.03074	-2.88%	0.03562	+12.54%	0.1395	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.027308	-2.54%	0.03617	+29.09%	0.2500	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.028146	-2.68%	0.03658	+26.49%	0.2088	✗	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026359	-2.41%	0.04091	+51.46%	0.3647	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.027264	-2.45%	0.04253	+52.16%	0.3455	✗	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.027815	-2.47%	0.04192	+46.98%	0.3569	✗	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029314	-2.55%	0.03634	+20.81%	0.1732	✗	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.029713	-2.52%	0.03165	+3.84%	0.0228	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.031627	-2.60%	0.02802	-13.70%	0.1453	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.031537	-2.54%	0.02892	-10.63%	0.0849	✓	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.031466	-2.52%	0.02701	-16.33%	0.1677	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.032332	-2.59%	0.02795	-15.79%	0.1234	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.035902	-2.89%	0.02852	-22.86%	0.2184	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.034723	-2.82%	0.03008	-15.81%	0.1356	✓	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.032229	-2.60%	0.03048	-7.89%	0.0436	✓	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.030727	-2.49%	0.03247	+3.05%	0.0281	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.031393	-2.66%	0.03236	+0.34%	0.0085	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.02749	-2.24%	0.03228	+14.79%	0.1677	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.027511	-2.27%	0.03319	+17.90%	0.1511	✗	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.0262	-2.20%	0.03697	+38.00%	0.3362	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.028455	-2.45%	0.03573	+22.49%	0.2596	✗	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.029063	-2.57%	0.03309	+10.93%	0.1661	✗	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.028668	-2.65%	0.03151	+6.99%	0.2149	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.023884	-2.20%	0.03225	+32.06%	0.3952	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.02393	-2.25%	0.02812	+14.87%	0.2390	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.023549	-2.25%	0.02815	+16.85%	0.2497	✗	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.021965	-2.12%	0.02679	+19.39%	0.2354	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.02112	-1.99%	0.02917	+35.36%	0.3068	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.022238	-2.04%	0.02983	+31.41%	0.2784	✗	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.022531	-2.08%	0.02945	+27.99%	0.2605	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.024426	-2.18%	0.02442	-2.20%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.02554	-2.26%	0.02448	-6.31%	0.0574	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.022783	-1.93%	0.02409	+3.70%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026168	-2.28%	0.02244	-16.21%	0.1541	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.025698	-2.29%	0.02155	-18.06%	0.1587	✓	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.028033	-2.70%	0.0227	-21.21%	0.1937	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.023688	-2.24%	0.02301	-5.04%	0.0375	✓	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.024377	-2.38%	0.02497	+0.00%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.022172	-2.06%	0.02613	+15.42%	0.1196	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021272	-2.02%	0.02323	+7.00%	0.1108	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.022142	-2.03%	0.02678	+18.50%	0.1500	✗	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.02225	-1.90%	0.0263	+15.96%	0.0972	✗	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.026091	-2.57%	0.02881	+7.58%	0.0328	✗	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.020543	-1.80%	0.02423	+15.82%	0.1113	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.019038	-2.07%	0.02497	+28.45%	0.2822	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.02091	-2.29%	0.02264	+5.79%	0.1415	✗	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.022598	-2.38%	0.02171	-6.22%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.030482	-3.26%	0.0226	-28.28%	0.2176	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.035102	-4.46%	0.02268	-38.27%	0.3161	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.026539	-3.25%	0.02678	-2.37%	0.1142	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021398	-2.69%	0.02092	-4.87%	0.1181	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.