HAJIMI

? · · gru_s5

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 516

Track record at +1d

assessed

168

of 172 predictions shown

direction hit

53.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0698

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0050

actual +0.0060

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.020435	0.020337	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.020494	-0.54%	0.020435	-0.83%	0.0001	✓	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019746	-0.32%	0.020605	+4.01%	0.0298	✗	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.019154	-0.14%	0.01981	+3.28%	0.0357	✗	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.019975	-0.13%	0.01918	-4.10%	0.0481	✓	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.021487	-0.24%	0.02	-7.15%	0.0703	✓	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.021427	-0.16%	0.02154	+0.37%	0.0129	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.021849	-0.05%	0.02146	-1.83%	0.0247	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.024998	-0.39%	0.02186	-12.89%	0.1180	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025776	-0.36%	0.025095	-3.00%	0.0414	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027909	-0.57%	0.02587	-7.84%	0.0568	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.028575	-0.63%	0.02807	-2.38%	0.0254	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.028072	-0.56%	0.028755	+1.86%	0.0205	✗	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.027905	-0.52%	0.02823	+0.64%	0.0033	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.027932	-0.53%	0.02805	-0.11%	0.0207	✗	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.027672	-0.46%	0.02808	+1.01%	0.0418	✗	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.025558	-0.22%	0.0278	+8.53%	0.0865	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.02899	-0.41%	0.025615	-12.01%	0.1150	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.030332	-0.50%	0.02911	-4.51%	0.0617	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.030585	-0.49%	0.030485	-0.81%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.032864	-0.59%	0.030735	-7.03%	0.0629	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.030834	-0.46%	0.03306	+6.73%	0.0544	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.033628	-0.60%	0.030975	-8.44%	0.0812	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.034134	-0.63%	0.03383	-1.51%	0.0111	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.033928	-0.59%	0.03435	+0.64%	0.0243	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.034365	-0.59%	0.03413	-1.27%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.034057	-0.56%	0.03457	+0.93%	0.0111	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.033646	-0.51%	0.03425	+1.27%	0.0213	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.035275	-0.58%	0.03382	-4.68%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.039513	-0.85%	0.03548	-10.97%	0.0863	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.033773	-0.48%	0.03985	+17.43%	0.1701	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.034412	-0.53%	0.033935	-1.91%	0.0788	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.033111	-0.43%	0.034595	+4.03%	0.0448	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.03463	-0.49%	0.033255	-4.44%	0.0450	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.033396	-0.34%	0.0348	+3.85%	0.0164	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.030592	-0.12%	0.03351	+9.40%	0.0884	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.03332	-0.18%	0.03063	-8.24%	0.0916	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.013209	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.012951	-0.38%	0.013255	+1.96%	0.0992	✗	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.012441	-0.32%	0.013	+4.17%	0.1007	✗	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.012947	-0.41%	0.01248	-4.00%	0.0052	✓	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.012597	-0.34%	0.013	+2.85%	0.0043	✗	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013417	-0.46%	0.01264	-6.23%	0.1243	✓	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012329	-0.25%	0.01348	+9.06%	0.0438	✗	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.012897	-0.33%	0.01236	-4.48%	0.0412	✓	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.012007	-0.11%	0.01294	+7.65%	0.0392	✓	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.01259	-0.16%	0.01202	-4.68%	0.0332	✓	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.014786	-0.57%	0.01261	-15.20%	0.0871	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.013669	-0.37%	0.01487	+8.38%	0.0966	✗	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.014346	-0.45%	0.01372	-4.79%	0.1933	✓	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.01224	+0.00%	0.01441	+17.73%	0.1743	✓	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.01327	-0.23%	0.01224	-7.97%	0.0940	✗	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.013664	-0.26%	0.0133	-2.92%	0.0126	✓	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013687	-0.31%	0.0137	-0.22%	0.1737	✗	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.015384	-0.62%	0.01373	-11.30%	0.2514	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.017736	-1.03%	0.01548	-13.62%	0.0340	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.016392	-0.95%	0.01792	+8.28%	0.1036	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.0136	-0.52%	0.01655	+21.07%	0.1669	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.014255	-0.59%	0.01367	-4.67%	0.0313	✓	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.014092	-0.55%	0.01434	+1.20%	0.0765	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.014547	-0.57%	0.01417	-3.14%	0.0867	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.014611	-0.54%	0.01463	-0.41%	0.1102	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.015409	-0.59%	0.01469	-5.23%	0.0686	✓	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.016505	-0.69%	0.0155	-6.74%	0.0880	✓	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.015802	-0.61%	0.01662	+4.53%	0.0455	✓	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.017903	-0.82%	0.0159	-11.91%	0.0517	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.017747	-0.80%	0.01805	+0.89%	0.0112	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.01783	-0.83%	0.01789	-0.50%	0.0543	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.019568	-1.17%	0.01798	-9.19%	0.0703	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.019214	-1.42%	0.0198	+1.59%	0.0361	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.01496	-0.66%	0.01949	+29.42%	0.2735	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014637	-0.63%	0.01506	+2.24%	0.0406	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.01731	-1.65%	0.01473	-16.31%	0.1361	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.01143	-0.17%	0.0176	+53.71%	0.4093	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.012089	-0.25%	0.01145	-5.53%	0.0394	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012292	-0.23%	0.01212	-1.62%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.014008	-0.44%	0.01232	-12.44%	0.1226	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.012401	-0.23%	0.01407	+13.19%	0.1073	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.01306	-0.31%	0.01243	-5.11%	0.0552	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.012751	-0.23%	0.0131	+2.50%	0.0248	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.013683	-0.27%	0.01278	-6.85%	0.0505	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.014096	-0.31%	0.01372	-2.97%	0.0336	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014642	-0.39%	0.01414	-3.81%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.014303	-0.39%	0.0147	+2.37%	0.0110	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.015523	-0.62%	0.01436	-8.07%	0.0763	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.013418	-0.39%	0.01562	+15.96%	0.1462	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.013128	-0.39%	0.01347	+2.20%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.012422	-0.31%	0.01318	+5.78%	0.0520	✗	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.012436	-0.27%	0.01246	-0.08%	0.0093	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.013225	-0.26%	0.01247	-5.96%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.020788	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.01916	-0.26%	0.02087	+8.64%	0.0210	✗	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.016561	-0.06%	0.01921	+15.93%	0.1666	✗	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.016817	-0.08%	0.01657	-1.54%	0.0226	✗	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.017795	-0.14%	0.01683	-5.56%	0.0293	✓	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.019469	-0.26%	0.01782	-8.71%	0.0849	✓	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.016118	+0.11%	0.01952	+21.24%	0.1710	✓	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.016808	+0.11%	0.0161	-4.11%	0.0174	✗	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.014515	+0.73%	0.01679	+16.52%	0.0215	✗	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.019689	+0.10%	0.01441	-26.74%	0.1530	✗	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.021069	+0.04%	0.01967	-6.60%	0.0263	✗	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.024359	-0.09%	0.02106	-13.62%	0.0926	✓	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.025503	-0.03%	0.02438	-4.43%	0.0774	✓	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.028354	-0.13%	0.02551	-10.14%	0.0749	✓	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028734	-0.20%	0.02839	-1.39%	0.0894	✗	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.039934	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.041208	-0.70%	0.04019	-3.16%	0.0016	✓	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.041943	-0.77%	0.0415	-1.82%	0.0044	✓	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.039975	-0.71%	0.04227	+4.99%	0.0571	✗	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.042114	-0.84%	0.04026	-5.20%	0.0241	✓	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.040006	-0.80%	0.04247	+5.31%	0.0358	✗	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.035949	-0.61%	0.04033	+11.50%	0.0512	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.037855	-0.72%	0.03617	-5.14%	0.0505	✓	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.035488	-0.62%	0.03813	+6.78%	0.0640	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.035396	-0.63%	0.03571	+0.25%	0.0111	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.03593	-0.66%	0.03562	-1.52%	0.0007	✓	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.036332	-0.68%	0.03617	-1.12%	0.0005	✓	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.040552	-0.88%	0.03658	-10.58%	0.0680	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.042092	-1.03%	0.04091	-3.81%	0.0264	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.041412	-1.21%	0.04253	+1.46%	0.0084	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.035974	-1.01%	0.04192	+15.35%	0.1400	✗	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.03141	-0.76%	0.03634	+14.82%	0.1368	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.02787	-0.53%	0.03165	+12.96%	0.1105	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.028743	-0.61%	0.02802	-3.11%	0.0432	✓	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026887	-0.46%	0.02892	+7.07%	0.0860	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.027818	-0.47%	0.02701	-3.36%	0.0489	✓	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.028387	-0.47%	0.02795	-2.00%	0.0039	✓	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029926	-0.51%	0.02852	-5.19%	0.0492	✓	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.030329	-0.49%	0.03008	-1.31%	0.0161	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.032285	-0.57%	0.03048	-6.13%	0.0595	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.032182	-0.55%	0.03247	+0.34%	0.0157	✗	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.032109	-0.53%	0.03236	+0.25%	0.0050	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.033003	-0.56%	0.03228	-2.74%	0.0048	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.036668	-0.82%	0.03319	-10.22%	0.0984	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.035437	-0.82%	0.03697	+3.47%	0.0375	✗	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.032858	-0.70%	0.03573	+7.98%	0.0803	✗	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.031306	-0.65%	0.03309	+5.01%	0.0140	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.031989	-0.81%	0.03151	-2.29%	0.0032	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.027978	-0.50%	0.03225	+14.69%	0.1696	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.028001	-0.53%	0.02812	-0.11%	0.0204	✓	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.02667	-0.45%	0.02815	+5.08%	0.0850	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.028993	-0.61%	0.02679	-8.16%	0.0445	✓	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.029612	-0.73%	0.02917	-2.21%	0.0147	✓	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.029201	-0.84%	0.02983	+1.29%	0.0588	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.024298	-0.50%	0.02945	+20.60%	0.1843	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.024351	-0.53%	0.02442	-0.25%	0.0131	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.023961	-0.54%	0.02448	+1.62%	0.0116	✓	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.022343	-0.43%	0.02409	+7.35%	0.0712	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.021474	-0.35%	0.02244	+4.13%	0.0255	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.022613	-0.38%	0.02155	-5.07%	0.0469	✓	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.022923	-0.38%	0.0227	-1.35%	0.0356	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.024854	-0.47%	0.02301	-7.85%	0.0624	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.025986	-0.55%	0.02497	-4.44%	0.0631	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.023149	-0.35%	0.02613	+12.48%	0.0645	✗	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026631	-0.56%	0.02323	-13.26%	0.0903	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.02615	-0.57%	0.02678	+1.83%	0.0289	✗	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.028552	-0.89%	0.0263	-8.71%	0.0813	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.024101	-0.53%	0.02881	+18.90%	0.1830	✗	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.024809	-0.64%	0.02423	-2.96%	0.0330	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.022534	-0.47%	0.02497	+10.29%	0.0673	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021623	-0.40%	0.02264	+4.28%	0.0567	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.022503	-0.43%	0.02171	-3.94%	0.0525	✓	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.022587	-0.41%	0.0226	-0.35%	0.0242	✓	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.026544	-0.88%	0.02268	-15.31%	0.1528	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.020848	-0.34%	0.02678	+28.01%	0.2675	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.019383	-0.29%	0.02092	+7.61%	0.1316	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.021323	-0.36%	0.01944	-9.16%	0.0767	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.023055	-0.41%	0.0214	-7.56%	0.0833	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.031191	-1.01%	0.02315	-26.53%	0.2758	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.036014	-1.98%	0.03151	-14.24%	0.1193	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.027078	-1.28%	0.03674	+33.94%	0.2942	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021806	-0.84%	0.02743	+24.74%	0.2821	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.