GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

61.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0820

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0211

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.300629	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.299747	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.29473	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.2969	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.294579	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.30043	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.295532	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.312776	-1.91%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0179	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.311603	-1.89%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0192	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.322297	-2.17%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0712	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.327813	-2.41%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0810	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.337215	-2.54%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1179	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.334054	-2.55%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0888	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.313455	-2.44%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0424	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.315557	-2.61%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0103	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.318331	-2.84%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0028	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.318652	-2.98%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0339	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.310223	-2.98%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0803	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.31596	-2.89%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0915	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.317453	-2.90%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0775	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.309264	-2.85%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0395	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.314182	-2.61%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0309	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.311378	-2.53%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0503	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.308947	-2.48%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0604	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.321648	-2.29%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0062	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.335279	-2.18%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0301	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.341324	-2.20%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0431	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.346702	-2.27%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.0854	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.334324	-2.42%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0355	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.342272	-2.89%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0695	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.348769	-2.81%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.0962	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.361172	-3.61%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.0962	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.331589	-2.72%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0296	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.330437	-2.87%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0509	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.346868	-3.78%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0012	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.297115	-1.75%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1192	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.29856	-1.66%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1257	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.294632	-1.39%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1612	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.291733	-1.26%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2309	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.294079	-1.00%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1313	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.301006	-1.03%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.1049	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.285693	-0.49%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2335	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.287624	-0.32%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0603	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.301998	-0.64%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0186	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.291878	-0.11%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0277	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296411	+0.07%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0135	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300737	+0.13%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0001	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.294495	+0.41%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0485	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.29443	+1.09%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0073	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.287184	+0.45%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0014	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.279167	+0.67%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0782	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.286049	+0.83%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0176	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.283495	+0.62%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0357	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.28643	+0.68%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0426	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.284178	+0.54%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0260	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.306149	+0.54%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0523	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.30757	+0.10%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0681	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308264	-0.01%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1021	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312312	-0.09%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.0949	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.321995	-0.62%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1334	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.331278	-0.93%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1552	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.338377	-0.87%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.1787	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.306538	-1.47%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0120	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.321826	-2.21%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0282	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.354516	-2.73%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1562	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.357747	-2.72%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1551	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.354348	-2.77%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1091	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.361608	-2.87%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.0955	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.358268	-2.80%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0723	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.381655	-2.91%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2166	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.365156	-2.88%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1112	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.361884	-2.95%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0056	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.35337	-2.91%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0391	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.335678	-2.72%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0857	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.336536	-2.81%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.1043	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.332099	-2.78%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1075	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.329196	-2.79%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1788	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.347697	-2.96%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0801	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.338809	-3.07%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0966	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.33245	-3.10%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0900	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.318591	-2.85%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0782	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.312345	-2.85%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.1010	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.318855	-3.00%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0669	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.320858	-3.03%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0544	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.319848	-2.89%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1129	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.33939	-3.03%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0293	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.356036	-3.19%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0367	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.363513	-3.28%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1012	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.357698	-3.52%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1055	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.350664	-3.05%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0639	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.342316	-2.94%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0336	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.345237	-2.90%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0453	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.351094	-3.37%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0010	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.315533	-2.58%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1518	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.309042	-2.43%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1964	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.311415	-2.45%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1739	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.316805	-2.46%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1327	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.324395	-2.51%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0848	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.324175	-2.62%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0936	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.323811	-2.25%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1165	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.320106	-2.12%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0166	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.33109	-2.16%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0424	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.337814	-2.14%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0545	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.340276	-2.12%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0470	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.341391	-2.01%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0244	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.348272	-2.05%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0404	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.367516	-1.94%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.0999	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.369356	-1.90%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1259	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.374519	-1.89%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1010	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.380347	-1.90%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.0954	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.376771	-1.88%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0765	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.381519	-1.87%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0868	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.387266	-1.88%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0803	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.387739	-1.76%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0219	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.386599	-1.84%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0173	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.37199	-1.67%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0392	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.371132	-1.65%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0539	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.383879	-1.73%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0081	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.384582	-1.72%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0166	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.374362	-1.72%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0501	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.383749	-1.88%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0146	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.392104	-1.96%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0089	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.402905	-1.97%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0751	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.408486	-2.02%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.0935	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.394537	-1.94%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0243	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.365759	-1.78%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0494	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.406857	-1.96%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0928	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.41857	-2.04%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0917	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.426532	-2.10%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0829	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.482501	-2.23%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1757	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.438266	-2.10%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0468	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.445255	-2.13%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.1003	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.462078	-2.19%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2049	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.460875	-2.17%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1525	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.443338	-2.07%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.0986	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.453188	-2.27%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0891	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.456385	-2.42%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0409	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.398522	-1.72%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0591	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.427393	-1.88%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0222	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.421048	-2.10%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1189	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.467387	-2.55%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0493	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.493522	-3.04%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.434624	-2.62%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1877	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.439533	-2.56%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2125	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.463945	-2.69%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0579	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.441881	-2.57%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1698	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.606096	-3.46%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.2014	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.686524	-3.67%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.2099	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.644503	-3.86%	0.509	-24.07%	0.1072	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.612998	-3.63%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2374	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.689672	-4.62%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3793	✓	1.00