GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

121

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

75.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1209

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0512

actual -0.0865

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.290775	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.290373	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.28518	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.286926	-5.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.284399	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.290034	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.285829	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.302384	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.301925	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.3113	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.316278	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.324841	-6.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.321644	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.301889	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.303876	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.306036	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.305808	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.29775	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.303575	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.305085	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.297391	-6.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.303181	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.300727	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.298887	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.312414	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.326785	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.333439	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.339634	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.328479	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.340291	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.347089	-3.28%	0.3071	-14.42%	0.1224	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.353233	-5.73%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1464	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.32408	-4.92%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.0774	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.323396	-4.94%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.0685	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.335688	-6.88%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1271	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.286921	-5.12%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0477	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.288304	-5.04%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0159	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.285896	-4.32%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0942	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.282332	-4.44%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0900	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.285022	-4.05%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.1265	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.2921	-3.96%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.1094	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.276943	-3.54%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1939	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.280429	-2.81%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1813	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.295006	-2.94%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0708	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.286036	-2.11%	0.324	+10.88%	0.1058	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.291717	-1.51%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0928	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.29636	-1.33%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0761	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.290686	-0.89%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0529	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.292921	+0.57%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0823	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.283759	-0.75%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0984	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.276506	-0.29%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0943	✗	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284852	+0.41%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0911	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282408	+0.23%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.1054	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.286974	+0.87%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0835	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.28551	+1.01%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.1227	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.310435	+1.95%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0890	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.310517	+1.06%	0.349	+13.59%	0.1029	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.31278	+1.45%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.1074	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.318315	+1.83%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0591	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.32589	+0.58%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0577	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.333199	-0.36%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0514	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.34258	+0.36%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0825	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.303001	-2.60%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.1117	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.312537	-5.03%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.1062	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.340831	-6.48%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0419	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.343935	-6.48%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1453	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.340031	-6.70%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1303	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.347017	-6.79%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.1681	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.343839	-6.72%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.1734	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.36633	-6.81%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2267	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.350534	-6.77%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1581	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.34769	-6.76%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2067	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.339712	-6.66%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.1805	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.322791	-6.45%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.0812	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.323257	-6.64%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1228	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.319014	-6.61%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.0974	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.316022	-6.68%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.0734	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.333546	-6.91%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1493	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.324659	-7.12%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1295	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.318382	-7.20%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1231	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.305286	-6.91%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1109	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.298703	-7.09%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0655	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.304393	-7.39%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.0907	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.306548	-7.36%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.0866	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.305633	-7.20%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.0896	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.324027	-7.42%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.0772	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.33957	-7.66%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1162	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.347318	-7.59%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1302	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.341585	-7.87%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.0987	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.335099	-7.35%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0417	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.327612	-7.11%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0111	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.331272	-6.83%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0208	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.337563	-7.10%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.0864	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.302631	-6.57%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0874	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.296565	-6.37%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.2061	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.298714	-6.43%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.2076	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.303412	-6.59%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1822	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.310878	-6.57%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1796	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.311394	-6.46%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1671	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.311931	-5.83%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2299	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.307349	-6.02%	0.376	+14.97%	0.2035	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.318898	-5.76%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1560	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.325471	-5.72%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.1120	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.328041	-5.64%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0520	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.329232	-5.50%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0540	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.336143	-5.46%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0212	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.356251	-4.95%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0484	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.358572	-4.76%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0007	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.363645	-4.74%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0384	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.369279	-4.75%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0727	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.365539	-4.81%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1061	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.369874	-4.87%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1371	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.374889	-5.02%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1250	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.375137	-4.96%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1101	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.374408	-4.94%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1193	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.359961	-4.85%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0139	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.359376	-4.76%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0351	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.371762	-4.84%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0271	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.372184	-4.89%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0104	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.362303	-4.88%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0066	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.371572	-4.99%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0446	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.379967	-5.00%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0592	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.390409	-5.01%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0618	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.395943	-5.03%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.1977	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.382045	-5.05%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1826	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.353703	-5.02%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.0920	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.394435	-4.96%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.1984	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.405772	-5.04%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2130	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.413354	-5.13%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2288	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.467732	-5.22%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3494	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.424444	-5.18%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2265	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.430907	-5.28%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2448	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.447133	-5.35%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2620	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.445553	-5.42%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.2908	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.428384	-5.37%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2305	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.437247	-5.70%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.1937	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.439435	-6.04%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1594	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.382698	-5.62%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0668	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.410434	-5.78%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.1134	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.403803	-6.11%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0294	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.447817	-6.63%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1297	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.47272	-7.13%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.1146	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.416426	-6.69%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1198	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.421512	-6.56%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1632	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.444935	-6.67%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.0819	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.42333	-6.66%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.0975	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.582131	-7.28%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2293	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.659623	-7.44%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.3099	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.620659	-7.41%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.2223	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.592507	-6.85%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.2054	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.665754	-7.92%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.3259	✓	1.00