GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

59.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0335

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0063

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.305631	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.30436	-0.44%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0087	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.298967	-0.39%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0236	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301121	-0.42%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0033	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298619	-0.34%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0129	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304439	-0.38%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0159	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.29929	-0.39%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0206	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.317317	-0.48%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0544	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316307	-0.41%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0074	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.327798	-0.50%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0313	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334071	-0.54%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0143	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.343835	-0.63%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0235	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.340609	-0.64%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0156	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.319342	-0.61%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0709	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.32196	-0.63%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0021	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.325488	-0.66%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0051	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.326218	-0.68%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0044	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.317641	-0.66%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0337	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.323089	-0.69%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0110	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.324572	-0.73%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0023	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.316174	-0.68%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0337	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.320295	-0.71%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0066	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.317401	-0.64%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0163	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.314645	-0.68%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0151	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.327086	-0.64%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0318	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.340329	-0.71%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0333	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.3461	-0.83%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0098	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.351291	-0.98%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0065	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.338635	-1.16%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0465	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.346225	-1.77%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0109	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.352748	-1.70%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0008	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.366419	-2.21%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0266	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.336102	-1.39%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1088	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.334823	-1.58%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0174	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.352497	-2.22%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0477	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.30117	-0.41%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1792	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302391	-0.40%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0022	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.297826	-0.33%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0311	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.29462	-0.28%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0079	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296413	-0.21%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0013	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303248	-0.30%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0209	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.28688	-0.08%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0553	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288364	-0.06%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0039	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.30345	-0.16%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0496	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.29211	-0.03%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0427	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296124	-0.03%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0075	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300251	-0.03%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0159	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293435	+0.05%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0223	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.291732	+0.17%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0161	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286039	+0.05%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0062	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277493	+0.07%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0304	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284078	+0.13%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0161	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282024	+0.10%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0032	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.284775	+0.10%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0089	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.282835	+0.07%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0047	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.304531	+0.01%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0684	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.307058	-0.06%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0119	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308	-0.10%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0041	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312186	-0.13%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0113	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.323139	-0.27%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0364	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.333291	-0.33%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0300	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.340137	-0.36%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0137	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310103	-0.32%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0920	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.32766	-0.44%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0446	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.362231	-0.61%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1018	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.365366	-0.65%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0028	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.362044	-0.66%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0133	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.369293	-0.81%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0130	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.365955	-0.72%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0171	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.389797	-0.84%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0553	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.372896	-0.83%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0527	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.369382	-0.94%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0179	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.360719	-0.89%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0337	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.342935	-0.61%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0611	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.343983	-0.65%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0032	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.33939	-0.65%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0200	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336381	-0.67%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0144	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.355291	-0.84%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0475	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.346242	-0.95%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0335	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.339766	-0.97%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0277	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.325563	-0.73%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0525	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.319399	-0.65%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0257	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.326142	-0.78%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0143	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.328221	-0.81%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0033	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.327129	-0.67%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0107	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.347262	-0.78%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0530	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.364431	-0.90%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0406	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.371848	-1.06%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0095	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.365848	-1.32%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0262	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.35874	-0.82%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0328	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.349866	-0.80%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0341	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.352464	-0.87%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0015	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.35814	-1.43%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0069	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.321915	-0.61%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1222	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.315081	-0.53%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0282	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.317589	-0.52%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0028	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323041	-0.54%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0109	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.330723	-0.61%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0180	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.330283	-0.79%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0066	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.329651	-0.48%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0096	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.325623	-0.44%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0216	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.336869	-0.45%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0326	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.343615	-0.46%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0154	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.345979	-0.48%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0030	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.346919	-0.43%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0041	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.353755	-0.50%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0134	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.373247	-0.41%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0512	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.374992	-0.40%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0022	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.380195	-0.41%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0088	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.386082	-0.42%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0102	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.38242	-0.41%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0151	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.387178	-0.42%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0057	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.3929	-0.46%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0070	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.393067	-0.41%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0078	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.392106	-0.44%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0025	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.376914	-0.37%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0462	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.376051	-0.34%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0044	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.389134	-0.39%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0310	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.389778	-0.39%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0032	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379527	-0.36%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0270	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.38947	-0.42%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0276	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398151	-0.45%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0224	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.40906	-0.47%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0203	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.41485	-0.49%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0125	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400586	-0.44%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0429	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371041	-0.36%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0843	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.413265	-0.42%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1161	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.425442	-0.43%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0341	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.433721	-0.45%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0201	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.490399	-0.63%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1148	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.445456	-0.49%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0828	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.452478	-0.54%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0247	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.469639	-0.58%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0314	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.468062	-0.64%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0246	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.450227	-0.55%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0492	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.460693	-0.65%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.464115	-0.77%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.403805	-0.42%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1074	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.433385	-0.51%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0635	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.42781	-0.53%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0625	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.475319	-0.89%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.0963	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.502773	-1.22%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.443005	-0.74%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2064	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.448036	-0.68%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0273	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.472773	-0.83%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0443	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.450261	-0.73%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0517	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.617862	-1.59%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3072	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.700207	-1.75%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.0982	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.656838	-2.02%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.1017	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.62406	-1.89%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0901	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.702858	-2.79%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1033	✓	1.00