FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

52.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1303

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0437

actual -0.0241

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.046833	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.047627	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.04672	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.046988	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050128	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.051561	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.051626	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.0525	-2.47%	0.04772	-11.35%	0.1074	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.058101	-3.51%	0.04858	-19.32%	0.1774	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.057216	-3.68%	0.04751	-20.02%	0.1868	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.063499	-4.96%	0.04779	-28.47%	0.2713	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.062216	-4.84%	0.05113	-21.80%	0.1846	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.061647	-4.40%	0.05269	-18.29%	0.1491	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.059113	-4.32%	0.05285	-14.45%	0.1151	✓	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.060912	-5.44%	0.05383	-16.43%	0.1117	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.064355	-6.75%	0.060215	-12.74%	0.0521	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.068632	-6.86%	0.059405	-19.39%	0.1213	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.064889	-7.43%	0.06681	-4.69%	0.0467	✓	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.068413	-6.06%	0.06538	-10.22%	0.0328	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.060083	-6.37%	0.064485	+0.49%	0.0840	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.063015	-6.86%	0.06178	-8.68%	0.0011	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.064501	-6.54%	0.064415	-6.67%	0.0006	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.061534	-6.80%	0.06901	+4.52%	0.1017	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.056529	-7.38%	0.07369	+20.73%	0.2496	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.063999	-7.29%	0.0701	+1.55%	0.0796	✗	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.061843	-7.52%	0.072825	+8.90%	0.1616	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.053922	-8.16%	0.06417	+9.29%	0.1717	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.054506	-8.70%	0.067655	+13.32%	0.2135	✗	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.055149	-7.64%	0.069015	+15.58%	0.2341	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.055241	-8.43%	0.066025	+9.45%	0.2085	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.056274	-7.84%	0.061035	-0.04%	0.1181	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.058141	-6.25%	0.06903	+11.31%	0.1318	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.066295	-5.90%	0.066875	-5.07%	0.0297	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.063114	-5.45%	0.058715	-12.04%	0.1113	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.061159	-4.59%	0.0597	-6.86%	0.1242	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.053038	-3.06%	0.05971	+9.14%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043817	+0.19%	0.060325	+37.93%	0.1883	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048482	-1.23%	0.06106	+24.40%	0.1284	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.047928	-0.52%	0.062015	+28.72%	0.2025	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050235	-0.61%	0.07045	+39.38%	0.2881	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.050963	-0.26%	0.066755	+30.65%	0.2235	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052207	-0.24%	0.0641	+22.49%	0.2077	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051332	-0.09%	0.05471	+6.48%	0.0914	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053425	-0.12%	0.043735	-18.24%	0.1629	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055293	-0.07%	0.049085	-11.29%	0.1074	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056062	-0.01%	0.04818	-14.07%	0.1065	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055217	+0.15%	0.050545	-8.33%	0.0557	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.05559	+0.36%	0.051095	-7.75%	0.0529	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059281	+0.43%	0.05233	-11.34%	0.0648	✗	1.00