FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +30d
assessed
19
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
31.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1759
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0869
actual +0.0099
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.045238 | -5.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.045917 | -5.48% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.044968 | -5.35% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.045152 | -5.52% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.048106 | -5.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.049368 | -6.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.049314 | -6.69% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.050013 | -7.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.054967 | -8.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.053926 | -9.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.059437 | -11.04% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.058119 | -11.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.057753 | -10.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.055244 | -10.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.056247 | -12.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.058617 | -15.06% | – | pending | – | – | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.062603 | -15.05% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.058687 | -16.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.063123 | -13.32% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.054874 | -14.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.057313 | -15.29% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.059038 | -14.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.056036 | -15.13% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.05092 | -16.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.058045 | -15.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.05601 | -16.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.048206 | -17.90% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.048402 | -18.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.04958 | -16.97% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.049159 | -18.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.050339 | -17.56% | 0.04772 | -21.85% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.052804 | -14.85% | 0.04858 | -21.66% | 0.1050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.061075 | -13.31% | 0.04751 | -32.56% | 0.2586 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.05821 | -12.80% | 0.04779 | -28.41% | 0.2111 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.056833 | -11.34% | 0.05113 | -20.23% | 0.1696 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.049201 | -10.07% | 0.05269 | -3.69% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.040591 | -7.19% | 0.05285 | +20.84% | 0.1809 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.045056 | -8.21% | 0.05383 | +9.67% | 0.1354 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.044653 | -7.32% | 0.060215 | +24.98% | 0.2201 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.046908 | -7.19% | 0.059405 | +17.53% | 0.1798 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.047616 | -6.81% | 0.06681 | +30.76% | 0.2582 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.048906 | -6.54% | 0.06538 | +24.94% | 0.2103 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.048183 | -6.22% | 0.064485 | +25.51% | 0.2384 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.050364 | -5.84% | 0.06178 | +15.50% | 0.1638 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.052319 | -5.44% | 0.064415 | +16.42% | 0.1564 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.053226 | -5.07% | 0.06901 | +23.08% | 0.1970 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.052685 | -4.44% | 0.07369 | +33.65% | 0.2640 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.053411 | -3.57% | 0.0701 | +26.56% | 0.1896 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.057417 | -2.72% | 0.072825 | +23.38% | 0.1958 | ✗ | 1.00 |