FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

52.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0480

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0090

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047565	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048389	-0.39%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0114	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047396	-0.24%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0136	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047671	-0.25%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0016	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.05097	-0.31%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0710	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052495	-0.37%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0251	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052624	-0.43%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0078	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053624	-0.38%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0204	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059808	-0.68%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0908	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.058982	-0.71%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0081	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.065889	-1.38%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0886	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064682	-1.07%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0266	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.063886	-0.93%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0204	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061255	-0.85%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0452	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063715	-1.09%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0198	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068041	-1.40%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0414	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072462	-1.67%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0476	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.068914	-1.69%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0716	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.071561	-1.74%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0325	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063285	-1.38%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1388	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.066624	-1.52%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0353	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.067835	-1.71%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0113	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.064985	-1.58%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0607	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060108	-1.52%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0926	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.067772	-1.82%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.0990	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.065536	-2.00%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0517	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.057662	-1.79%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1464	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.058539	-1.95%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0046	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.058636	-1.80%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0179	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.059197	-1.87%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0300	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.059989	-1.75%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0102	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.061169	-1.36%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0666	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.069185	-1.80%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1085	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065666	-1.63%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0659	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.063084	-1.58%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.05418	-0.97%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1655	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043849	+0.26%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2139	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.049036	-0.10%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0807	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048224	+0.09%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0000	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050568	+0.04%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0424	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051139	+0.09%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0124	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052348	+0.03%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0330	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051431	+0.10%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053528	+0.07%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0389	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055347	+0.03%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0260	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056045	-0.05%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0028	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055175	+0.07%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0098	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055452	+0.11%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0077	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059098	+0.12%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0451	✗	1.00