FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s5

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +30d

assessed

241

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

89.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2113

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0409

actual -0.2367

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004217	0.004033	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004085	-4.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003678	-4.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003647	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003792	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004025	-5.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004123	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004461	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004487	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004378	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004741	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004732	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004558	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004456	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.004879	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005298	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005371	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005108	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005123	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005069	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005078	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005061	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.00511	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005021	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.00547	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.005766	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.00624	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006137	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.00606	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.006992	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006612	-4.02%	0.004217	-38.78%	0.3989	✓	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006245	-4.72%	0.004277	-34.74%	0.4032	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006467	-3.37%	0.003851	-42.47%	0.5270	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006641	-3.61%	0.003825	-44.49%	0.5678	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006005	-4.37%	0.004002	-36.26%	0.4752	✓	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005714	-3.91%	0.004275	-28.12%	0.3637	✓	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.005818	-3.76%	0.004328	-28.40%	0.3825	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006149	-3.06%	0.004691	-26.05%	0.3149	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.00621	-3.52%	0.004626	-28.13%	0.3770	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006323	-3.01%	0.004527	-30.56%	0.3934	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006275	-2.71%	0.004822	-25.24%	0.3481	✓	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006017	-2.21%	0.00483	-21.50%	0.3041	✓	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006327	-2.48%	0.004737	-27.00%	0.3447	✓	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.006903	-3.42%	0.004643	-35.04%	0.4419	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.006952	-3.14%	0.005002	-30.31%	0.3873	✓	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007011	-2.52%	0.005411	-24.77%	0.3288	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.006998	-2.07%	0.005498	-23.05%	0.3207	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007075	-1.36%	0.005194	-27.59%	0.3983	✓	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.00716	+0.58%	0.005281	-25.81%	0.3504	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007026	-0.32%	0.005264	-25.32%	0.3976	✓	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007047	-0.77%	0.005278	-25.69%	0.4031	✓	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007341	+0.77%	0.005272	-27.64%	0.4001	✗	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007288	+1.54%	0.005346	-25.52%	0.3923	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007692	+2.37%	0.005258	-30.02%	0.4470	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.007665	+2.71%	0.005724	-23.30%	0.3760	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.009481	+1.31%	0.006028	-35.58%	0.4971	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009254	+0.40%	0.006524	-29.21%	0.4041	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.008997	+0.31%	0.006392	-28.74%	0.4049	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009213	+0.25%	0.006317	-31.26%	0.4359	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009292	-0.64%	0.007283	-22.13%	0.3366	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009213	-1.12%	0.006888	-26.07%	0.3956	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.009621	-0.88%	0.006554	-32.48%	0.4154	✓	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.008628	-3.58%	0.006693	-25.21%	0.3416	✓	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008018	-4.85%	0.00689	-18.23%	0.2740	✓	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.007552	-6.39%	0.006279	-22.17%	0.3187	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.007665	-7.37%	0.005947	-28.13%	0.3681	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.007966	-7.14%	0.006045	-29.52%	0.4110	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.007888	-8.17%	0.006344	-26.15%	0.3752	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.007838	-7.79%	0.006437	-24.28%	0.3425	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008026	-7.50%	0.00652	-24.86%	0.3539	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008124	-6.65%	0.00645	-25.89%	0.3871	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.00841	-5.86%	0.006153	-31.13%	0.4582	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008372	-5.95%	0.006489	-27.11%	0.4147	✓	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008431	-6.01%	0.007147	-20.33%	0.3170	✓	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.008358	-5.58%	0.007177	-18.92%	0.3104	✓	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008234	-5.66%	0.007193	-17.60%	0.3062	✓	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.007878	-5.63%	0.007146	-14.40%	0.2681	✓	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.007711	-5.67%	0.007173	-12.25%	0.2408	✓	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.007739	-5.29%	0.007119	-12.88%	0.2719	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008046	-5.35%	0.007049	-17.08%	0.2923	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.007933	-5.28%	0.007102	-15.20%	0.2699	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.007881	-5.18%	0.007286	-12.34%	0.2631	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.007913	-5.00%	0.007177	-13.83%	0.2720	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.007802	-4.82%	0.007514	-8.34%	0.2045	✓	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.007708	-4.44%	0.007463	-7.49%	0.2039	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.007915	-4.28%	0.009358	+13.17%	0.0313	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.007859	-4.63%	0.009217	+11.84%	0.0291	✓	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.00843	-4.00%	0.00897	+2.14%	0.0934	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008327	-3.40%	0.00919	+6.61%	0.0756	✓	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008236	-2.94%	0.009352	+10.22%	0.0411	✓	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008668	-2.66%	0.009317	+4.63%	0.0730	✓	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.008968	-2.53%	0.009706	+5.50%	0.0645	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.008945	-2.87%	0.008948	-2.83%	0.0785	✓	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.00871	-3.19%	0.008426	-6.34%	0.0804	✓	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008619	-3.29%	0.008068	-9.48%	0.0661	✓	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008696	-3.11%	0.008275	-7.80%	0.0460	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008682	-3.19%	0.008578	-4.35%	0.0003	✓	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.008761	-3.39%	0.008589	-5.28%	0.0115	✓	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009103	-4.30%	0.0085	-10.64%	0.0496	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009263	-3.82%	0.008677	-9.91%	0.0483	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009066	-3.79%	0.008703	-7.65%	0.0537	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009335	-3.49%	0.008934	-7.63%	0.0416	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009382	-3.26%	0.008901	-8.21%	0.0542	✓	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.009691	-3.15%	0.00897	-10.34%	0.0856	✓	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009012	-2.83%	0.008852	-4.55%	0.0372	✓	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009095	-2.76%	0.008729	-6.68%	0.0699	✓	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.008807	-2.40%	0.008348	-7.49%	0.0641	✓	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.009675	-2.63%	0.008174	-17.73%	0.1749	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009252	-2.60%	0.008171	-13.98%	0.1289	✓	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009275	-2.66%	0.008501	-10.78%	0.0910	✓	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009606	-3.07%	0.008375	-15.49%	0.1483	✓	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.00899	-3.05%	0.008311	-10.36%	0.0928	✓	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008648	-2.94%	0.008329	-6.53%	0.0691	✓	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.008853	-3.04%	0.008197	-10.22%	0.1458	✓	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.008981	-3.09%	0.008067	-12.96%	0.1491	✓	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008618	-3.01%	0.008269	-6.94%	0.0886	✓	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010001	-3.80%	0.00824	-20.73%	0.2328	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.010942	-3.90%	0.008781	-22.88%	0.2749	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.012705	-4.43%	0.00862	-35.15%	0.4377	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011301	-3.80%	0.008485	-27.77%	0.3262	✓	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011482	-4.04%	0.008905	-25.58%	0.2858	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012095	-4.33%	0.009201	-27.22%	0.3011	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.011855	-4.61%	0.00921	-25.90%	0.2949	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012285	-4.26%	0.008997	-29.89%	0.3235	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.011969	-3.96%	0.008913	-28.48%	0.3095	✓	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012309	-4.09%	0.008975	-30.07%	0.3395	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012194	-3.89%	0.008969	-29.32%	0.3004	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012484	-4.09%	0.009068	-30.33%	0.2973	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.012599	-3.76%	0.009512	-27.34%	0.2616	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012352	-3.81%	0.009631	-25.01%	0.2398	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012213	-4.02%	0.009423	-25.94%	0.2314	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.011755	-3.90%	0.009672	-20.93%	0.1975	✓	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.011897	-4.15%	0.009697	-21.87%	0.2070	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.010629	-3.24%	0.010006	-8.92%	0.0902	✓	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011074	-3.56%	0.009274	-19.23%	0.1940	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.010974	-3.55%	0.009354	-17.79%	0.1503	✓	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011302	-3.79%	0.009024	-23.19%	0.2254	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011252	-3.43%	0.009936	-14.72%	0.1602	✓	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.010854	-3.12%	0.009499	-15.21%	0.1623	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.01199	-4.07%	0.009528	-23.77%	0.2230	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013359	-4.55%	0.00991	-29.19%	0.2856	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.012792	-4.57%	0.009272	-30.82%	0.2714	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.013805	-4.98%	0.008911	-38.67%	0.3601	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013128	-4.73%	0.00913	-33.74%	0.2438	✓	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013126	-4.55%	0.009267	-32.61%	0.2565	✓	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013092	-4.45%	0.008886	-35.15%	0.2898	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013159	-4.44%	0.010396	-24.51%	0.1423	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.01348	-4.30%	0.011387	-19.16%	0.0589	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014124	-4.23%	0.013294	-9.86%	0.0533	✗	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.014523	-4.10%	0.011746	-22.43%	0.1135	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.014542	-4.26%	0.011966	-21.22%	0.1111	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.014747	-4.24%	0.012642	-17.91%	0.0988	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015194	-4.50%	0.012428	-21.89%	0.1454	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.015847	-4.21%	0.012832	-22.43%	0.1545	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015262	-3.94%	0.012462	-21.57%	0.1336	✓	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.020511	-6.32%	0.012835	-41.38%	0.3901	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016086	-4.26%	0.012688	-24.49%	0.1656	✓	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016058	-4.15%	0.013016	-22.31%	0.1458	✓	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.016594	-4.28%	0.013092	-24.48%	0.1745	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017302	-4.07%	0.012842	-28.80%	0.2275	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019012	-3.97%	0.012725	-35.72%	0.3236	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.01899	-4.37%	0.012232	-38.40%	0.3561	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.019563	-4.23%	0.012412	-39.24%	0.3705	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020236	-3.81%	0.010985	-47.78%	0.5087	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.02127	-3.67%	0.011482	-48.00%	0.5068	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.020976	-3.99%	0.011378	-47.92%	0.5173	✓	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.02069	-3.98%	0.011748	-45.48%	0.4773	✓	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019225	-3.55%	0.011652	-41.55%	0.3861	✓	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019381	-2.78%	0.011203	-43.80%	0.3839	✓	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.01917	-2.84%	0.012499	-36.65%	0.2750	✓	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019189	-3.31%	0.013995	-29.48%	0.1706	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.01843	-3.59%	0.013404	-29.88%	0.2028	✓	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.017819	-3.26%	0.014529	-21.12%	0.1353	✓	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.01705	-3.14%	0.01378	-21.72%	0.1703	✓	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.016812	-3.58%	0.013753	-21.13%	0.1762	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.016876	-3.93%	0.013702	-22.00%	0.1850	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.01766	-4.16%	0.013771	-25.26%	0.2190	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018012	-3.95%	0.014086	-24.89%	0.2139	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.018742	-3.83%	0.014748	-24.33%	0.2102	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.017556	-4.47%	0.015144	-17.59%	0.1437	✓	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.017781	-4.49%	0.015189	-18.41%	0.1524	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.017731	-4.30%	0.0154	-16.88%	0.1238	✓	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.01799	-3.93%	0.015911	-15.04%	0.0935	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.01882	-4.68%	0.016543	-16.22%	0.1421	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.018212	-5.34%	0.015889	-17.41%	0.1543	✓	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.018947	-5.43%	0.021894	+9.28%	0.1092	✗	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.018913	-4.71%	0.016803	-15.34%	0.1329	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019124	-3.88%	0.016754	-15.79%	0.1360	✓	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.018488	-4.70%	0.017336	-10.64%	0.0998	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.017779	-4.50%	0.018036	-3.12%	0.0360	✓	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.01795	-4.64%	0.019797	+5.18%	0.0162	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017039	-4.49%	0.019858	+11.31%	0.0952	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.01587	-5.46%	0.020427	+21.69%	0.1359	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.016574	-4.69%	0.021038	+20.98%	0.1373	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.01717	-4.76%	0.02208	+22.48%	0.1438	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.01795	-5.40%	0.021847	+15.14%	0.0893	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.017852	-4.89%	0.021547	+14.80%	0.0774	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.017608	-4.36%	0.019933	+8.27%	0.0256	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.017329	-5.51%	0.019935	+8.69%	0.0175	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018007	-5.57%	0.019731	+3.47%	0.0581	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.016494	-5.51%	0.019845	+13.68%	0.0287	✓	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.015901	-5.09%	0.019117	+14.11%	0.0392	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016031	-5.10%	0.018419	+9.03%	0.0085	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.01586	-4.64%	0.017603	+5.84%	0.0225	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016025	-4.44%	0.017437	+3.98%	0.0180	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016098	-4.64%	0.017567	+4.06%	0.0293	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.01577	-4.43%	0.018426	+11.67%	0.0221	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.015945	-4.29%	0.018753	+12.57%	0.0212	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.016285	-4.32%	0.019489	+14.50%	0.0236	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.017515	-4.23%	0.018378	+0.48%	0.0619	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.018774	-4.13%	0.018617	-4.93%	0.0825	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.017719	-3.97%	0.018527	+0.41%	0.0474	✓	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.018286	-4.08%	0.018726	-1.78%	0.0632	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.018346	-4.17%	0.019744	+3.14%	0.0333	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.018598	-4.04%	0.019238	-0.74%	0.0532	✓	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.018931	-3.98%	0.020035	+1.62%	0.0148	✓	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020061	-3.98%	0.019848	-5.01%	0.0841	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.020333	-3.94%	0.019895	-6.00%	0.0944	✓	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.021779	-3.93%	0.0194	-14.42%	0.1307	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.022808	-4.04%	0.018617	-21.67%	0.2024	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.022688	-4.14%	0.018823	-20.47%	0.2035	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.022808	-3.99%	0.01784	-24.91%	0.2862	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.022175	-3.78%	0.016785	-27.17%	0.2760	✓	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.022537	-3.87%	0.01739	-25.82%	0.2918	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.022331	-3.85%	0.018027	-22.38%	0.2497	✓	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022049	-3.83%	0.018975	-17.24%	0.1738	✓	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.022949	-4.05%	0.018769	-21.53%	0.2366	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.022272	-3.94%	0.018412	-20.59%	0.2705	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.022603	-4.00%	0.01834	-22.10%	0.2308	✓	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.021821	-3.85%	0.019069	-15.98%	0.1471	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.021277	-4.24%	0.017457	-21.43%	0.1473	✓	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.021683	-4.65%	0.016753	-26.33%	0.1781	✓	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.022395	-4.54%	0.016893	-27.99%	0.2593	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.023047	-4.94%	0.016632	-31.40%	0.3150	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.02414	-4.64%	0.016769	-33.76%	0.4060	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.025283	-4.91%	0.016882	-36.50%	0.4000	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.025775	-4.95%	0.016501	-39.15%	0.4477	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.028478	-5.56%	0.016659	-44.76%	0.5164	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.026298	-5.27%	0.017021	-38.69%	0.4076	✓	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.026723	-5.33%	0.018289	-35.21%	0.4662	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.026107	-4.97%	0.019583	-28.72%	0.4082	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.024371	-5.06%	0.018451	-28.12%	0.3337	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.024388	-5.09%	0.019065	-25.81%	0.3015	✓	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.02567	-5.43%	0.019144	-29.47%	0.2907	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.022474	-4.60%	0.019381	-17.73%	0.1840	✓	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.023917	-4.89%	0.019715	-21.60%	0.2698	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.023329	-4.77%	0.020893	-14.71%	0.1563	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.022815	-4.82%	0.021166	-11.70%	0.1194	✓	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.021186	-4.30%	0.022669	+2.40%	0.0247	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.021892	-4.67%	0.023768	+3.50%	0.0082	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.021228	-4.28%	0.023668	+6.73%	0.0520	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.020361	-3.26%	0.023757	+12.88%	0.0811	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.019816	-3.04%	0.023046	+12.76%	0.0942	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.020287	-3.24%	0.023444	+11.82%	0.1198	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.021733	-3.75%	0.023227	+2.87%	0.0649	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.022538	-3.78%	0.022927	-2.12%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.023009	-3.74%	0.023918	+0.06%	0.0506	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.025379	-4.84%	0.023185	-13.07%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.023107	-2.56%	0.023544	-0.72%	0.0500	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.025679	-4.75%	0.022694	-15.82%	0.0542	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.027036	-5.13%	0.022218	-22.04%	0.1311	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.030933	-5.77%	0.022741	-30.73%	0.2285	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.031231	-5.66%	0.02346	-29.13%	0.1681	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.031688	-5.75%	0.024244	-27.89%	0.1345	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.034967	-6.04%	0.025315	-31.97%	0.0770	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.033094	-5.98%	0.026588	-24.46%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.038906	-5.91%	0.027117	-34.42%	0.0581	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.036658	-5.76%	0.030155	-22.47%	0.0827	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.03407	-5.67%	0.027762	-23.13%	0.0560	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.033103	-5.76%	0.028227	-19.65%	0.1416	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.036255	-5.69%	0.027473	-28.53%	0.0436	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.