FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s5

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +1d

assessed

270

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

57.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0345

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0052

actual -0.0081

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004217	0.004194	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004244	-0.77%	0.004217	-1.40%	0.0026	✓	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003835	-0.41%	0.004277	+11.08%	0.0922	✗	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003807	-0.45%	0.003851	+0.68%	0.0139	✗	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003981	-0.53%	0.003825	-4.45%	0.0500	✓	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.00425	-0.57%	0.004002	-6.37%	0.0583	✓	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004305	-0.54%	0.004275	-1.24%	0.0027	✓	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004654	-0.79%	0.004328	-7.73%	0.0813	✓	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004597	-0.63%	0.004691	+1.41%	0.0450	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004507	-0.45%	0.004626	+2.19%	0.0044	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004797	-0.51%	0.004527	-6.11%	0.0279	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004799	-0.64%	0.004822	-0.18%	0.0070	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004713	-0.51%	0.00483	+1.97%	0.0190	✗	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004614	-0.62%	0.004737	+2.01%	0.0131	✗	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.004956	-0.91%	0.004643	-7.18%	0.0410	✓	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005374	-0.68%	0.005002	-7.56%	0.0388	✓	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005436	-1.14%	0.005411	-1.59%	0.0017	✓	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005157	-0.71%	0.005498	+5.86%	0.0751	✗	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005228	-1.01%	0.005194	-1.66%	0.0326	✓	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005211	-1.00%	0.005281	+0.33%	0.0099	✓	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005251	-0.51%	0.005264	-0.26%	0.0076	✗	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005243	-0.54%	0.005278	+0.10%	0.0133	✓	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005314	-0.58%	0.005272	-1.37%	0.0067	✓	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005221	-0.70%	0.005346	+1.66%	0.0208	✗	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005677	-0.81%	0.005258	-8.13%	0.0621	✓	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.005989	-0.64%	0.005724	-5.05%	0.0461	✓	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006476	-0.74%	0.006028	-7.60%	0.0766	✓	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006335	-0.89%	0.006524	+2.07%	0.0338	✗	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006262	-0.87%	0.006392	+1.19%	0.0204	✗	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007185	-1.35%	0.006317	-13.26%	0.1051	✓	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006827	-0.89%	0.007283	+5.73%	0.0697	✗	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006495	-0.90%	0.006888	+5.10%	0.0150	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006617	-1.14%	0.006554	-2.08%	0.0085	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006835	-0.79%	0.006693	-2.86%	0.0261	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006244	-0.56%	0.00689	+9.73%	0.0357	✗	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005924	-0.39%	0.006279	+5.58%	0.0554	✗	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.00602	-0.43%	0.005947	-1.63%	0.0199	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006312	-0.49%	0.006045	-4.70%	0.0082	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006417	-0.30%	0.006344	-1.44%	0.0302	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006503	-0.26%	0.006437	-1.27%	0.0039	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.00643	-0.31%	0.00652	+1.09%	0.0131	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006137	-0.25%	0.00645	+4.82%	0.0404	✗	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006475	-0.21%	0.006153	-5.17%	0.0276	✓	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.00712	-0.37%	0.006489	-9.21%	0.0906	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.00715	-0.37%	0.007147	-0.42%	0.0088	✗	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007167	-0.36%	0.007177	-0.22%	0.0188	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007121	-0.34%	0.007193	+0.65%	0.0029	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007149	-0.33%	0.007146	-0.38%	0.0026	✓	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007098	-0.29%	0.007173	+0.76%	0.0322	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007024	-0.35%	0.007119	+0.99%	0.0476	✓	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007084	-0.25%	0.007049	-0.75%	0.0035	✓	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007268	-0.25%	0.007102	-2.52%	0.0063	✓	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007158	-0.27%	0.007286	+1.50%	0.0049	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007481	-0.43%	0.007177	-4.47%	0.0339	✓	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.007418	-0.59%	0.007514	+0.68%	0.0075	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.009234	-1.32%	0.007463	-20.26%	0.1859	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009097	-1.29%	0.009358	+1.54%	0.0145	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.008867	-1.14%	0.009217	+2.75%	0.0331	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009082	-1.18%	0.00897	-2.40%	0.0073	✓	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009207	-1.56%	0.00919	-1.74%	0.0162	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009189	-1.38%	0.009352	+0.38%	0.0098	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.009535	-1.77%	0.009317	-4.01%	0.0085	✓	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.00883	-1.33%	0.009706	+8.47%	0.0370	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008362	-0.77%	0.008948	+6.19%	0.0265	✗	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.008007	-0.75%	0.008426	+4.45%	0.0047	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.008217	-0.70%	0.008068	-2.51%	0.0205	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008517	-0.71%	0.008275	-3.53%	0.0477	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008521	-0.80%	0.008578	-0.13%	0.0088	✗	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008437	-0.74%	0.008589	+1.05%	0.0174	✗	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008612	-0.75%	0.0085	-2.03%	0.0078	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008641	-0.72%	0.008677	-0.30%	0.0040	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008866	-0.76%	0.008703	-2.59%	0.0170	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008825	-0.86%	0.008934	+0.37%	0.0170	✗	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008909	-0.68%	0.008901	-0.77%	0.0107	✗	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.008783	-0.78%	0.00897	+1.34%	0.0218	✗	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008652	-0.88%	0.008852	+1.41%	0.0226	✗	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.00828	-0.82%	0.008729	+4.56%	0.0452	✗	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.008132	-0.52%	0.008348	+2.12%	0.0304	✗	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.008131	-0.50%	0.008174	+0.04%	0.0015	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008449	-0.61%	0.008171	-3.88%	0.0408	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008322	-0.63%	0.008501	+1.50%	0.0216	✗	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.00827	-0.50%	0.008375	+0.76%	0.0030	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008284	-0.54%	0.008311	-0.21%	0.0041	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.008159	-0.46%	0.008329	+1.61%	0.0468	✗	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.008034	-0.40%	0.008197	+1.62%	0.0089	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008235	-0.41%	0.008067	-2.45%	0.0213	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.008207	-0.41%	0.008269	+0.35%	0.0055	✗	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008746	-0.41%	0.00824	-6.16%	0.0379	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.00859	-0.35%	0.008781	+1.87%	0.0084	✗	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008456	-0.34%	0.00862	+1.60%	0.0164	✗	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008868	-0.42%	0.008485	-4.72%	0.0313	✓	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009164	-0.39%	0.008905	-3.21%	0.0153	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009181	-0.31%	0.009201	-0.10%	0.0076	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.008968	-0.32%	0.00921	+2.36%	0.0111	✗	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008883	-0.33%	0.008997	+0.95%	0.0063	✗	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008945	-0.33%	0.008913	-0.70%	0.0023	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008937	-0.36%	0.008975	+0.07%	0.0056	✓	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.009028	-0.44%	0.008969	-1.10%	0.0080	✓	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009467	-0.47%	0.009068	-4.67%	0.0328	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009584	-0.48%	0.009512	-1.23%	0.0046	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009375	-0.52%	0.009631	+2.20%	0.0032	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009608	-0.66%	0.009423	-2.57%	0.0031	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009649	-0.50%	0.009672	-0.26%	0.0028	✓	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.009943	-0.62%	0.009697	-3.08%	0.0208	✓	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009237	-0.40%	0.010006	+7.89%	0.0692	✗	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009312	-0.45%	0.009274	-0.85%	0.0143	✓	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.008986	-0.41%	0.009354	+3.66%	0.0525	✗	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.009857	-0.80%	0.009024	-9.19%	0.0811	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009464	-0.37%	0.009936	+4.60%	0.0445	✗	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009487	-0.43%	0.009499	-0.30%	0.0038	✓	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009851	-0.60%	0.009528	-3.85%	0.0398	✓	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009212	-0.65%	0.00991	+6.88%	0.0614	✗	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008886	-0.28%	0.009272	+4.06%	0.0257	✗	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009112	-0.20%	0.008911	-2.41%	0.0390	✓	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009245	-0.24%	0.00913	-1.48%	0.0066	✗	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008871	-0.17%	0.009267	+4.29%	0.0360	✗	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010365	-0.30%	0.008886	-14.52%	0.1489	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011345	-0.36%	0.010396	-8.70%	0.0867	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.013204	-0.68%	0.011387	-14.35%	0.1514	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011704	-0.36%	0.013294	+13.17%	0.1444	✗	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011919	-0.39%	0.011746	-1.83%	0.0080	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012579	-0.50%	0.011966	-5.35%	0.0327	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.012375	-0.43%	0.012642	+1.72%	0.0119	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.01278	-0.41%	0.012428	-3.15%	0.0157	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012415	-0.37%	0.012832	+2.97%	0.0239	✗	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012781	-0.42%	0.012462	-2.90%	0.0327	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012631	-0.45%	0.012835	+1.15%	0.0355	✗	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012957	-0.45%	0.012688	-2.52%	0.0069	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.01303	-0.47%	0.013016	-0.58%	0.0072	✗	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.01278	-0.48%	0.013092	+1.94%	0.0169	✗	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012654	-0.56%	0.012842	+0.92%	0.0012	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.012169	-0.52%	0.012725	+4.03%	0.0337	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012335	-0.62%	0.012232	-1.45%	0.0081	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.010952	-0.30%	0.012412	+12.99%	0.1015	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011436	-0.41%	0.010985	-4.33%	0.0375	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011352	-0.23%	0.011482	+0.92%	0.0273	✗	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011721	-0.23%	0.011378	-3.15%	0.0271	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011639	-0.11%	0.011748	+0.82%	0.0187	✓	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011201	-0.02%	0.011652	+4.01%	0.0416	✗	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012465	-0.27%	0.011203	-10.37%	0.0799	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013934	-0.44%	0.012499	-10.69%	0.1067	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.013352	-0.39%	0.013995	+4.41%	0.0720	✗	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.014437	-0.64%	0.013404	-7.74%	0.0439	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.01372	-0.44%	0.014529	+5.44%	0.0736	✗	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013695	-0.42%	0.01378	+0.20%	0.0074	✗	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013646	-0.41%	0.013753	+0.37%	0.0052	✗	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.01371	-0.44%	0.013702	-0.50%	0.0003	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.014029	-0.40%	0.013771	-2.23%	0.0130	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014681	-0.45%	0.014086	-4.49%	0.0319	✓	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.015069	-0.50%	0.014748	-2.62%	0.0138	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.015093	-0.63%	0.015144	-0.30%	0.0019	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.015335	-0.43%	0.015189	-1.37%	0.0108	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015827	-0.53%	0.0154	-3.21%	0.0323	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.016462	-0.49%	0.015911	-3.82%	0.0258	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015805	-0.53%	0.016543	+4.11%	0.0453	✗	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.021477	-1.90%	0.015889	-27.43%	0.3050	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016735	-0.40%	0.021894	+30.30%	0.2697	✗	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016699	-0.33%	0.016803	+0.29%	0.0085	✗	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.017277	-0.34%	0.016754	-3.36%	0.0273	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017971	-0.36%	0.017336	-3.88%	0.0314	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019706	-0.46%	0.018036	-8.90%	0.0800	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019759	-0.50%	0.019797	-0.30%	0.0065	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.020328	-0.48%	0.019858	-2.79%	0.0180	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020928	-0.52%	0.020427	-2.90%	0.0187	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021932	-0.67%	0.021038	-4.72%	0.0394	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021695	-0.69%	0.02208	+1.07%	0.0103	✗	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.021394	-0.71%	0.021847	+1.39%	0.0188	✗	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019813	-0.60%	0.021547	+8.09%	0.0829	✗	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019804	-0.65%	0.019933	-0.01%	0.0166	✗	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019593	-0.70%	0.019935	+1.03%	0.0131	✗	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019692	-0.77%	0.019731	-0.58%	0.0067	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.018919	-1.04%	0.019845	+3.81%	0.0363	✗	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018354	-0.35%	0.019117	+3.79%	0.0418	✗	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.017551	-0.30%	0.018419	+4.64%	0.0443	✗	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.017384	-0.30%	0.017603	+0.95%	0.0057	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017512	-0.31%	0.017437	-0.74%	0.0096	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018358	-0.37%	0.017567	-4.66%	0.0381	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018674	-0.42%	0.018426	-1.75%	0.0025	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019391	-0.51%	0.018753	-3.77%	0.0200	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018303	-0.41%	0.019489	+6.05%	0.0524	✗	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018537	-0.43%	0.018378	-1.29%	0.0106	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018452	-0.41%	0.018617	+0.48%	0.0175	✗	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018651	-0.40%	0.018527	-1.06%	0.0074	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.019648	-0.49%	0.018726	-5.16%	0.0683	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.019139	-0.52%	0.019744	+2.63%	0.0257	✗	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.019913	-0.61%	0.019238	-3.98%	0.0592	✓	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019727	-0.61%	0.020035	+0.94%	0.0390	✗	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019789	-0.54%	0.019848	-0.24%	0.0194	✗	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.019284	-0.60%	0.019895	+2.55%	0.0077	✗	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018509	-0.58%	0.0194	+4.21%	0.0430	✗	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018683	-0.74%	0.018617	-1.09%	0.0117	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017742	-0.55%	0.018823	+5.51%	0.0625	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.0167	-0.51%	0.01784	+6.28%	0.0200	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.017292	-0.56%	0.016785	-3.48%	0.0004	✓	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.01793	-0.54%	0.01739	-3.54%	0.0317	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018866	-0.58%	0.018027	-4.99%	0.0607	✓	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018665	-0.55%	0.018975	+1.10%	0.0073	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.018308	-0.56%	0.018769	+1.94%	0.0355	✗	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.018195	-0.80%	0.018412	+0.39%	0.0289	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018912	-0.82%	0.01834	-3.82%	0.0286	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.017339	-0.68%	0.019069	+9.23%	0.0721	✗	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016686	-0.40%	0.017457	+4.20%	0.0407	✗	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016817	-0.45%	0.016753	-0.83%	0.0047	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016566	-0.40%	0.016893	+1.57%	0.0360	✗	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016718	-0.31%	0.016632	-0.82%	0.0037	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016833	-0.29%	0.016769	-0.67%	0.0240	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016466	-0.21%	0.016882	+2.31%	0.0142	✗	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.016625	-0.20%	0.016501	-0.95%	0.0025	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.016982	-0.23%	0.016659	-2.12%	0.0187	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.01823	-0.32%	0.017021	-6.94%	0.0363	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.019507	-0.39%	0.018289	-6.61%	0.0321	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.018393	-0.32%	0.019583	+6.13%	0.0531	✗	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.018996	-0.36%	0.018451	-3.22%	0.0248	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.019084	-0.31%	0.019065	-0.41%	0.0405	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.019321	-0.31%	0.019144	-1.23%	0.0049	✗	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019648	-0.34%	0.019381	-1.69%	0.0070	✗	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020826	-0.32%	0.019715	-5.64%	0.0624	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.021097	-0.32%	0.020893	-1.29%	0.0076	✗	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.022587	-0.36%	0.021166	-6.63%	0.0313	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.023667	-0.42%	0.022669	-4.62%	0.0315	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.023567	-0.43%	0.023768	+0.42%	0.0169	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.023655	-0.43%	0.023668	-0.37%	0.0198	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.022954	-0.40%	0.023757	+3.09%	0.0307	✗	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.023349	-0.40%	0.023046	-1.70%	0.0184	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.023131	-0.41%	0.023444	+0.94%	0.0092	✗	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022838	-0.39%	0.023227	+1.30%	0.0136	✗	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.023813	-0.44%	0.022927	-4.14%	0.0585	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.023091	-0.41%	0.023918	+3.16%	0.0011	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.023431	-0.48%	0.023185	-1.52%	0.0075	✗	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.022603	-0.40%	0.023544	+3.74%	0.0525	✗	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.022135	-0.37%	0.022694	+2.14%	0.0638	✗	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.022646	-0.42%	0.022218	-2.30%	0.0053	✗	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.023363	-0.41%	0.022741	-3.06%	0.0925	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.024132	-0.46%	0.02346	-3.23%	0.0206	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.025201	-0.45%	0.024244	-4.23%	0.0906	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.026447	-0.53%	0.025315	-4.79%	0.0232	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.026955	-0.60%	0.026588	-1.95%	0.0329	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.029863	-0.97%	0.027117	-10.08%	0.0689	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.027542	-0.79%	0.030155	+8.62%	0.0990	✗	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.027903	-1.14%	0.027762	-1.65%	0.0781	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.027307	-0.60%	0.028227	+2.74%	0.0437	✗	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.025541	-0.50%	0.027473	+7.03%	0.1324	✗	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.025559	-0.54%	0.025669	-0.11%	0.0108	✗	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.026938	-0.75%	0.025697	-5.33%	0.0466	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.023461	-0.41%	0.027143	+15.22%	0.1269	✗	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.025	-0.58%	0.023558	-6.32%	0.0701	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.024381	-0.48%	0.025147	+2.65%	0.0511	✗	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.023859	-0.46%	0.024497	+2.20%	0.0530	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.022075	-0.28%	0.02397	+8.28%	0.0811	✗	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.022882	-0.36%	0.022138	-3.60%	0.0147	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.022118	-0.26%	0.022964	+3.55%	0.0235	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.021053	+0.03%	0.022176	+5.37%	0.0134	✓	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.020467	+0.14%	0.021047	+2.98%	0.0402	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.020993	+0.13%	0.020438	-2.52%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.022571	-0.04%	0.020966	-7.14%	0.0551	✓	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.023415	-0.04%	0.022579	-3.61%	0.0338	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.023904	+0.00%	0.023423	-2.01%	0.0351	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.026601	-0.26%	0.023904	-10.38%	0.0886	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.023813	+0.42%	0.026671	+12.47%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.02692	-0.15%	0.023714	-12.04%	0.0238	✗	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.028421	-0.28%	0.02696	-5.40%	0.0169	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.032668	-0.49%	0.0285	-13.18%	0.0975	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.032956	-0.45%	0.032828	-0.84%	0.0267	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.033466	-0.46%	0.033105	-1.53%	0.0117	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.036992	-0.59%	0.03362	-9.66%	0.0284	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.035004	-0.55%	0.037213	+5.72%	0.0660	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.04101	-0.82%	0.035199	-14.88%	0.0993	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.038643	-0.65%	0.041349	+6.31%	0.0672	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.035896	-0.61%	0.038897	+7.70%	0.0705	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.034924	-0.58%	0.036117	+2.82%	0.0143	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.038165	-0.72%	0.035127	-8.62%	0.0542	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.