FATCOIN
FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s5
- token id
- #811
- symbol
- FATCOIN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-04
- predictions
- 117
Track record at +7d
assessed
32
of 39 predictions shown
direction hit
78.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4048
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1237
actual -0.2940
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003623 | 0.000348463 | -3.82% | – | pending | – | – | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003674 | 0.000353572 | -3.76% | – | pending | – | – | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.0003527 | 0.000342587 | -2.87% | – | pending | – | – | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004097 | 0.000393508 | -3.95% | – | pending | – | – | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043515 | 0.00041529 | -4.56% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.000357 | 0.000349957 | -1.97% | – | pending | – | – | 0.35 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00038465 | 0.000375077 | -2.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.37 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00040915 | 0.000397623 | -2.82% | 0.0003623 | -11.45% | 0.0978 | ✓ | 0.35 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.0003266 | 0.000325382 | -0.37% | 0.0003674 | +12.49% | 0.1231 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00035135 | 0.000349742 | -0.46% | 0.0003527 | +0.38% | 0.0075 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000385 | 0.000379847 | -1.34% | 0.0004097 | +6.42% | 0.0936 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00037315 | 0.000371036 | -0.57% | 0.00043515 | +16.62% | 0.1743 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.00040435 | 0.000400883 | -0.86% | 0.000357 | -11.71% | 0.1059 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00036805 | 0.000369332 | +0.35% | 0.00038465 | +4.51% | 0.0373 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.000506 | 0.000494763 | -2.22% | 0.00040915 | -19.14% | 0.1832 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00038745 | 0.000386746 | -0.18% | 0.0003266 | -15.71% | 0.1301 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.00035605 | 0.00035878 | +0.77% | 0.00035135 | -1.32% | 0.0481 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0004861 | 0.00048177 | -0.89% | 0.000385 | -20.80% | 0.1816 | ✓ | 1.28 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.00051235 | 0.000509361 | -0.58% | 0.00037315 | -27.17% | 0.2893 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00051375 | 0.000512947 | -0.16% | 0.00040435 | -21.29% | 0.2144 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.00054035 | 0.000539981 | -0.07% | 0.00036805 | -31.89% | 0.3454 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0006234 | 0.000621374 | -0.33% | 0.000506 | -18.83% | 0.2020 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00059005 | 0.000592814 | +0.47% | 0.00038745 | -34.34% | 0.4478 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00074535 | 0.000740121 | -0.70% | 0.00035605 | -52.23% | 0.7588 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0008163 | 0.000805525 | -1.32% | 0.0004861 | -40.45% | 0.5290 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00094305 | 0.000920442 | -2.40% | 0.00051235 | -45.67% | 0.5897 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.001029 | 0.000997809 | -3.05% | 0.00051375 | -50.09% | 0.6687 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0009778 | 0.000952762 | -2.56% | 0.00054035 | -44.74% | 0.5726 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001144 | 0.0011 | -3.90% | 0.0006234 | -45.53% | 0.5580 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001388 | 0.00131 | -5.62% | 0.00059005 | -57.50% | 0.7678 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.001228 | 0.001168 | -4.88% | 0.00074535 | -39.31% | 0.4124 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.001401 | 0.001329 | -5.17% | 0.0008163 | -41.75% | 0.5272 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00174 | 0.001632 | -6.26% | 0.00094305 | -45.82% | 0.5866 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.001629 | 0.001531 | -6.00% | 0.001029 | -36.81% | 0.4362 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.001716 | 0.001607 | -6.34% | 0.0009778 | -43.02% | 0.5970 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.000835 | 0.000451082 | -45.98% | 0.001144 | +37.07% | 0.8284 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.001151 | 0.000639728 | -44.40% | 0.001388 | +20.69% | 0.6435 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.00143 | 0.000590234 | -58.74% | 0.001228 | -14.15% | 0.6304 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.001492 | 0.000413283 | -72.30% | 0.001401 | -6.08% | 1.1658 | ✓ | 1.00 |