FATCOIN

FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s5

token id: #811
symbol: FATCOIN
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

71.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1393

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0204

actual -0.0388

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003623	0.000358911	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003674	0.00036375	-0.99%	0.0003623	-1.39%	0.0027	✓	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.0003527	0.000350691	-0.57%	0.0003674	+4.17%	0.0421	✗	0.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004097	0.000405235	-1.09%	0.0003527	-13.91%	0.1382	✓	0.32
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043515	0.000428095	-1.62%	0.0004097	-5.85%	0.0463	✓	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.000357	0.000355807	-0.33%	0.00043515	+21.89%	0.2018	✗	0.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.00038465	0.000382539	-0.55%	0.000357	-7.19%	0.0663	✓	0.37
2026-10-14	oos	0.00040915	0.000405881	-0.80%	0.00038465	-5.99%	0.0561	✓	0.35
2026-10-13	oos	0.0003266	0.000326962	+0.11%	0.00040915	+25.28%	0.2399	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.00035135	0.000351607	+0.07%	0.0003266	-7.04%	0.0871	✗	0.81
2026-10-11	oos	0.000385	0.000384227	-0.20%	0.00035135	-8.74%	0.0686	✓	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.00037315	0.000373307	+0.04%	0.000385	+3.18%	0.0235	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.00040435	0.000404057	-0.07%	0.00037315	-7.72%	0.0831	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	0.00036805	0.000369128	+0.29%	0.00040435	+9.86%	0.0846	✓	0.63
2026-10-07	oos	0.000506	0.000502834	-0.63%	0.00036805	-27.26%	0.3058	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.00038745	0.000388019	+0.15%	0.000506	+30.60%	0.3017	✓	1.35
2026-10-05	oos	0.00035605	0.000357602	+0.44%	0.00038745	+8.82%	0.0837	✓	1.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.0004861	0.000485835	-0.05%	0.00035605	-26.75%	0.2995	✓	1.28
2026-10-03	oos	0.00051235	0.000512441	+0.02%	0.0004861	-5.12%	0.0734	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.00051375	0.000514496	+0.15%	0.00051235	-0.27%	0.0070	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.00054035	0.000541329	+0.18%	0.00051375	-4.92%	0.0482	✗	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.0006234	0.000623789	+0.06%	0.00054035	-13.32%	0.1589	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.00059005	0.000591992	+0.33%	0.0006234	+5.65%	0.0527	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.00074535	0.000745261	-0.01%	0.00059005	-20.84%	0.2357	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.0008163	0.000814835	-0.18%	0.00074535	-8.69%	0.0772	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00094305	0.000938008	-0.53%	0.0008163	-13.44%	0.1395	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.001029	0.001021	-0.78%	0.00094305	-8.38%	0.0835	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.0009778	0.000972479	-0.54%	0.001029	+5.26%	0.0602	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.001144	0.001133	-0.98%	0.0009778	-14.57%	0.1476	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.001388	0.001365	-1.69%	0.001144	-17.57%	0.1549	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.001228	0.001212	-1.28%	0.001388	+13.06%	0.1402	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.001401	0.001381	-1.44%	0.001228	-12.36%	0.1823	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.00174	0.001704	-2.09%	0.001401	-19.48%	0.1946	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.001629	0.001595	-2.09%	0.00174	+6.85%	0.0829	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.001716	0.001668	-2.79%	0.001629	-5.07%	0.0814	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.000835	0.000750872	-10.08%	0.001716	+105.50%	0.8238	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.001151	0.00104	-9.60%	0.000835	-27.42%	0.2270	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.00143	0.001228	-14.15%	0.001151	-19.57%	0.0316	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.001492	0.001197	-19.77%	0.00143	-4.12%	0.1604	✓	1.00