ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s5

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0621

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0193

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.298452	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.300798	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.337213	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.311713	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.30745	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.314729	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.30109	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.314256	-3.04%	0.3079	-5.00%	0.0540	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.287031	-2.90%	0.3086	+4.40%	0.0331	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.301107	-3.18%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1459	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.311	-3.27%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0278	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.315121	-3.41%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0280	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.314774	-3.50%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0531	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.284176	-3.41%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.1028	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.296769	-3.52%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0813	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.286603	-3.76%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0584	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.308616	-3.90%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0448	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.301214	-4.01%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1261	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.311218	-4.08%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0892	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.292749	-4.39%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1355	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.31147	-4.31%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0277	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.31503	-4.38%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0234	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.317309	-4.25%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0592	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.321771	-4.21%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0300	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.309448	-4.37%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0204	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.316196	-4.50%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0051	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.312507	-4.67%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0253	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.323738	-4.43%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0009	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.324893	-4.33%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0069	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.333176	-4.20%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0072	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.326273	-4.12%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0689	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.31053	-3.99%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0896	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.267651	-3.34%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1663	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.272399	-3.28%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1404	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.277069	-3.17%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1559	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.248817	-1.73%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2048	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.246012	-1.24%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2374	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.240795	-0.52%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2068	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.264476	-1.54%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.1003	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.257624	-0.80%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0176	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.259173	-0.55%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0334	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.254925	+0.01%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0694	✓	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.256075	+0.03%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0089	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.250943	+0.62%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0211	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.253474	+0.51%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0074	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.226054	+2.06%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.1852	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.2649	+0.11%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0240	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.260589	+0.50%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0318	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.256033	+0.88%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0253	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.265853	+0.93%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0184	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.260909	+0.14%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0578	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.25213	+0.21%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0134	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.258302	-0.04%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1607	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.246138	-0.31%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0376	✗	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.249195	-0.60%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0193	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.253492	-1.10%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0224	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.25604	-0.99%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0157	✗	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.258923	-1.36%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0292	✗	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.258457	-1.50%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0116	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.263122	-1.56%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0124	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.261918	-1.79%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0582	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.265401	-2.03%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0730	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.262001	-2.06%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0153	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.237445	-2.25%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0113	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.211493	-1.86%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.1001	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.197304	-2.03%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1184	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.19845	-2.05%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1233	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.200669	-2.16%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0946	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.198259	-2.09%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1330	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.202567	-2.14%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0826	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.204512	-2.15%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0441	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.211058	-2.24%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0591	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.216449	-2.32%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0879	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.232231	-2.51%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1442	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.230108	-2.41%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0868	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.232974	-2.44%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1138	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.229976	-2.39%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0787	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.228438	-2.42%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0773	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.220229	-2.25%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0033	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.217007	-2.25%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0282	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.211449	-2.20%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1130	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.209485	-2.16%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0994	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.197998	-1.98%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1580	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.200499	-2.00%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1330	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.203298	-1.93%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1473	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.204266	-1.98%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0882	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.203346	-1.95%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0849	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.19697	-1.86%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0963	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.204619	-1.86%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0703	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.21117	-1.92%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0226	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.212215	-1.89%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0189	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.216186	-1.87%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0374	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.214179	-1.80%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0031	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.219398	-1.84%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0194	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.215813	-1.81%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0516	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.216583	-1.82%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0471	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.217062	-1.83%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0014	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.217043	-1.84%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0060	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.21598	-1.83%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0027	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.215984	-1.83%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0085	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.209146	-1.76%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0459	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.206649	-1.74%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0192	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.217407	-1.85%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0014	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.216159	-1.84%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0089	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.214919	-1.82%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0316	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.214278	-1.80%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0181	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.217578	-1.81%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0240	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.217505	-1.80%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0448	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.219067	-1.81%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0161	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.212199	-1.71%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0408	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.20934	-1.67%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0415	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.209261	-1.66%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0240	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.204583	-1.60%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0420	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.200325	-1.51%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0702	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.187969	-1.28%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.1020	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.199486	-1.49%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0649	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.19971	-1.48%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0269	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.201691	-1.52%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0148	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.201965	-1.53%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0206	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.208966	-1.62%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0279	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.216237	-1.76%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0485	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.217462	-1.82%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0820	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.216947	-1.83%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0226	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.213809	-1.79%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0070	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.213663	-1.81%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0109	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.210543	-1.75%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0169	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.209822	-1.72%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0514	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.215743	-1.85%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0610	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.221259	-1.92%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0360	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.228581	-2.02%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0065	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.222049	-1.92%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0092	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.218063	-1.82%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0003	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.218149	-1.78%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0170	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.216747	-1.75%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0068	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.207366	-1.39%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0225	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.213016	-1.47%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0113	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.209319	-1.45%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0703	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.209722	-1.40%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0482	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.207592	-0.96%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0247	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.212445	-1.00%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0148	✗	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.223884	-1.50%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0121	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.232906	-1.64%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0751	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.247968	-2.07%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.0891	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.264509	-2.50%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1615	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.268633	-2.56%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1619	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.26528	-2.51%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1536	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.257088	-2.40%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1014	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.253382	-2.32%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0463	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.263535	-2.43%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0420	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.276589	-2.58%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0347	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.271364	-2.49%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0465	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.277965	-2.50%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0174	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.278182	-2.43%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0020	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.276919	-2.29%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0352	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.275483	-2.24%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0310	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.28242	-2.24%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0222	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.281485	-2.13%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0151	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.279318	-1.99%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0058	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.278122	-1.90%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0278	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.283792	-1.90%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0146	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.298255	-2.02%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0249	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.301342	-1.94%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0418	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.301358	-1.90%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0289	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.303997	-1.84%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0284	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.316023	-1.86%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0682	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.306907	-1.63%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0440	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.304063	-1.57%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0308	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.304771	-1.50%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0071	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.303833	-1.39%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0036	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.311692	-1.33%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0048	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.31422	-1.31%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0116	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.297818	-0.99%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0656	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.295615	-1.00%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0306	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.298196	-1.00%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0224	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.299374	-1.03%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0199	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.293273	-1.16%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0230	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.293316	-1.24%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0339	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.300527	-1.30%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0252	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.301093	-1.22%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0187	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.308134	-1.18%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0306	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.312554	-1.40%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0444	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.308413	-1.43%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0249	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.310351	-1.41%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0308	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.314588	-1.57%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0398	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.309682	-1.88%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0167	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.309864	-2.03%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0275	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.312028	-2.31%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0375	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.318011	-2.18%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0176	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.324005	-2.02%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0376	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.315895	-2.11%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0269	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.30964	-2.07%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0064	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.304792	-2.09%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0183	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.300845	-2.04%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0388	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.293975	-2.30%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0574	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.307969	-2.17%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0330	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.299055	-2.11%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0682	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.293407	-2.16%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0682	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.29417	-2.20%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0419	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.29286	-2.12%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0427	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.292364	-2.32%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0013	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.289616	-2.26%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0229	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.289799	-2.26%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0317	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.279828	-2.09%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0347	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.282205	-2.05%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0174	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.288119	-2.03%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0168	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.274393	-1.79%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0539	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.270318	-1.67%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0824	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.266753	-1.53%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0767	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.275788	-1.57%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0633	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.281362	-1.59%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0099	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.285395	-1.55%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0271	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.290181	-1.50%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0428	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.288856	-1.48%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0119	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.292031	-1.47%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0219	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.281472	-1.41%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0203	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.284254	-1.40%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0101	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.285495	-1.38%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0401	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.295213	-1.43%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0075	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.310131	-1.48%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0519	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.324206	-1.52%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0697	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.329982	-1.53%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0717	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.321192	-1.51%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0722	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.311537	-1.44%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0561	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.318433	-1.48%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.0912	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.311964	-1.43%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0352	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.314087	-1.45%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0072	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.317163	-1.47%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0019	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.316464	-1.47%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0008	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.316466	-1.47%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0341	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.314233	-1.46%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0315	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.315185	-1.47%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0016	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.310214	-1.46%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0235	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.318727	-1.54%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0232	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.325607	-1.54%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0285	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.332223	-1.59%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0296	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.340104	-1.62%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0595	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.349398	-1.72%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.0948	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.341584	-1.65%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.0919	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.349279	-1.75%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1424	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.353281	-1.84%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1397	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.312193	-1.36%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0122	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.293701	-1.14%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0956	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.290613	-1.22%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1934	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.300103	-1.31%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1797	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.301098	-1.31%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1668	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.306741	-1.31%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1417	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.316414	-1.37%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.1109	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.324407	-1.49%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0147	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.324466	-1.53%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0389	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.327093	-1.54%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.0926	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.367656	-1.91%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1695	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.364041	-1.82%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1674	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.356316	-1.60%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1455	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.35489	-1.58%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.0938	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.372907	-1.81%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1088	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.377197	-1.87%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1209	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.387818	-1.94%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1379	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.393367	-1.90%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0545	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.399158	-2.00%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0544	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.355146	-0.30%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0175	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.359597	-1.40%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0887	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.359575	-1.46%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1539	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.352311	-1.40%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2212	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.342555	-0.94%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2406	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.358175	-1.19%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2528	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.38345	-1.70%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2533	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.400975	-1.84%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.2067	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.415758	-1.94%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0927	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.423161	-1.98%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0320	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.417783	-1.93%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0328	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.42014	-1.95%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0627	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.425117	-1.98%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0183	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.424506	-1.98%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0116	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.428913	-2.01%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0183	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.43938	-2.14%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0330	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.423406	-2.13%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0084	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.444355	-2.17%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0162	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.452945	-2.15%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0417	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.464141	-2.08%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0121	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.469595	-2.07%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0004	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.480473	-2.08%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0106	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.500213	-2.05%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0069	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.449775	-1.90%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0541	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.438111	-2.10%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0174	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.443	-2.12%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0064	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.444311	-2.13%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0006	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.450687	-2.15%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0106	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.443069	-2.11%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0376	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.448925	-2.13%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0440	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.473922	-2.16%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0578	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.48859	-2.18%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0473	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.480907	-2.16%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0510	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.476299	-2.12%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0444	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.481959	-2.10%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0541	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.473435	-2.02%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0812	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.457507	-1.91%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0566	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.485899	-2.02%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0845	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.466973	-1.90%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0363	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.469205	-1.88%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0095	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.424596	-1.60%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0939	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.421647	-1.55%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1144	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.424535	-1.57%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.1054	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.435464	-1.63%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0703	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.438457	-1.65%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.1082	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.457349	-1.75%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0622	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.467488	-1.79%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0343	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.486703	-1.87%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1124	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.478141	-1.84%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.0977	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.445501	-1.61%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0590	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.455115	-1.68%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0492	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.447631	-1.66%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0025	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.443275	-1.60%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0155	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.467225	-1.78%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0115	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.468133	-1.82%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0872	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.472716	-1.84%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0633	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.485625	-1.93%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0385	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.504512	-2.00%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0036	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.510348	-2.03%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0410	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.513685	-2.02%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0653	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.523424	-2.05%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0611	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.514959	-1.99%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.0922	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.494773	-1.87%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0413	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.500327	-1.90%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0171	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.509335	-1.92%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0322	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.527863	-1.98%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0350	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.491948	-1.73%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0083	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.530871	-1.94%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0061	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.537358	-1.96%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0025	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.57216	-2.09%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1015	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.589765	-2.18%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1575	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.603951	-2.26%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.1974	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.610396	-2.32%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.1915	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.590565	-2.24%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1313	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.604552	-2.49%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1713	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.521505	-1.75%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0520	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.448074	-0.82%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1698	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.447799	-0.80%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2189	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.466326	-1.26%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2982	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.502125	-1.62%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3134	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.493696	-1.46%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2667	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.505728	-1.61%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3303	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.511537	-1.68%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2246	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.512932	-1.64%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0372	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.556377	-2.03%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0106	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.584021	-2.17%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0485	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.607303	-2.27%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0143	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.608621	-2.28%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0278	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.626689	-2.34%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0286	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.625711	-2.32%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0734	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.628716	-2.36%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0420	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.601714	-2.21%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0308	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.628503	-2.39%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0164	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.560195	-2.00%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0806	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.550101	-2.06%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1334	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.595714	-2.31%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1660	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.613637	-2.40%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1675	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.609688	-2.40%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1550	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.614666	-2.48%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1158	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.594707	-2.35%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1806	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.589236	-2.28%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1586	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.673068	-2.45%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0628	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.72297	-2.55%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1089	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.662143	-2.45%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0273	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.66637	-2.42%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0421	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.647878	-2.35%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0000	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.601727	-2.19%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0244	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.618828	-2.16%	0.603	-4.66%	0.0923	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.651013	-2.26%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0069	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.657552	-2.31%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0346	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.610209	-2.01%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0414	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.601127	-1.87%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0605	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.613242	-1.91%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0507	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.641222	-2.06%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0049	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.661512	-2.16%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0225	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.683486	-2.23%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0412	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.689938	-2.33%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0681	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.604616	-1.94%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0790	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.575575	-1.88%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1582	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.667677	-2.06%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1120	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.698021	-2.03%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0942	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.689635	-2.14%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0834	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.722034	-1.90%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0817	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.700597	-1.89%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1100	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.707436	-1.95%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0057	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.718325	-1.98%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0883	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.730191	-2.09%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0819	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.711973	-2.20%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0559	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.671013	-2.30%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0412	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.677019	-2.31%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0496	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.692793	-2.35%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1275	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.679092	-2.27%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1218	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.667639	-2.19%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0870	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.679941	-2.18%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0769	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.721005	-2.22%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0681	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.700247	-2.16%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0503	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.730884	-2.17%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0786	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.767569	-2.15%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0299	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.787343	-2.12%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0328	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.78492	-2.11%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0474	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.796026	-2.09%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0118	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.