ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s5

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0944

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0452

actual -0.0220

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.2977	-6.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.323947	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.299635	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.295405	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.301784	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.28838	-6.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.300741	-7.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.273925	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.287013	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.296136	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.300089	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.299634	-8.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.269421	-8.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.281454	-8.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.270577	-9.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.291669	-9.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.284222	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.294032	-9.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.274535	-10.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.292969	-9.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.296023	-10.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.298624	-9.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.303364	-9.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.290877	-10.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.297071	-10.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.292777	-10.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.304594	-10.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.306363	-9.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.315764	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.309715	-8.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.296012	-8.48%	0.31945	-1.24%	0.1366	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.254731	-8.01%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2853	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.259658	-7.81%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.2011	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.264639	-7.52%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1608	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.237569	-6.17%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2427	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.234671	-5.79%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.2057	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.229282	-5.27%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2583	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.252826	-5.87%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.1144	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.246084	-5.24%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1562	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.247669	-4.96%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.2049	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.243339	-4.54%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.2132	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.244793	-4.38%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.2077	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.239745	-3.87%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1501	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.243046	-3.63%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.1934	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.215393	-2.76%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2677	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.256232	-3.16%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1649	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.252524	-2.61%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1479	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.24856	-2.06%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1887	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.259219	-1.59%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.1273	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.254522	-2.31%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1563	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.24664	-1.97%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1960	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.253695	-1.82%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.2030	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.24176	-2.08%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2528	✗	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.245254	-2.17%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.2118	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.249296	-2.73%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.2010	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.25383	-1.84%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.2037	✗	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.256398	-2.32%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.2136	✗	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.256588	-2.21%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.2045	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.262708	-1.72%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.2101	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.26183	-1.83%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.1533	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.265494	-2.00%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0742	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.265773	-0.65%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0031	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.23625	-2.74%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0671	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.207699	-3.62%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1840	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.191666	-4.83%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1359	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.192655	-4.91%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.1139	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.194208	-5.31%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0554	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.191918	-5.23%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1441	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.196008	-5.31%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.1036	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.197936	-5.29%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0957	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.204121	-5.46%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0450	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.20921	-5.59%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0371	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.224355	-5.81%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0715	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.222729	-5.54%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0461	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.225606	-5.52%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.1945	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.222898	-5.39%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0176	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.221356	-5.44%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0336	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.213718	-5.14%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0146	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.210481	-5.19%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0124	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.205008	-5.18%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0665	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.203191	-5.10%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0351	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.191976	-4.96%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.1006	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.194407	-4.98%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0533	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.197727	-4.62%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0690	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.198406	-4.80%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0794	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.197568	-4.74%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0649	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.191451	-4.61%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1236	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.199311	-4.41%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.1142	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.205558	-4.52%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0765	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.206715	-4.43%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0825	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.210956	-4.24%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0989	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.209391	-3.99%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0913	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.214628	-3.97%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0399	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.211003	-4.00%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0332	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.211701	-4.03%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0499	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.212241	-4.01%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0422	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.212109	-4.07%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0192	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.211117	-4.04%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0314	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.21133	-3.94%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0031	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.204816	-3.80%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0417	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.202033	-3.93%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0496	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.212583	-4.03%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0445	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.21146	-3.97%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.1172	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.210383	-3.89%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.1043	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.209726	-3.88%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.1060	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.212879	-3.94%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0639	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.213113	-3.79%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0806	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.214873	-3.69%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0390	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.20831	-3.52%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0575	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.205594	-3.43%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0452	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.205489	-3.44%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0282	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.200845	-3.39%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0113	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.196503	-3.39%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0019	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.184441	-3.13%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0375	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.195557	-3.43%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0179	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.195609	-3.50%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0044	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.197428	-3.60%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0302	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.197603	-3.66%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0119	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.204178	-3.87%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0045	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.211117	-4.08%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0129	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.212352	-4.13%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0085	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.2119	-4.12%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0039	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.208805	-4.09%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0297	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.208669	-4.10%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0402	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.205577	-4.07%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0561	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.204801	-4.07%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0538	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.21047	-4.24%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0557	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.215802	-4.34%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0408	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.22287	-4.47%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0052	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.216571	-4.34%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0088	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.212633	-4.26%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0149	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.212571	-4.29%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0387	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.211077	-4.32%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0398	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.201958	-3.97%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0485	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.207113	-4.20%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0343	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.203324	-4.27%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0962	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.203462	-4.34%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0847	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.201283	-3.97%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0651	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.205708	-4.14%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0182	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.21634	-4.82%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0080	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.224766	-5.08%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0390	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.238862	-5.66%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.0889	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.25451	-6.19%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1425	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.258652	-6.18%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.1975	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.255406	-6.14%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1453	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.247378	-6.08%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1088	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.243696	-6.05%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.0840	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.253346	-6.20%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1179	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.265947	-6.32%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1254	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.261171	-6.15%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0328	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.267527	-6.16%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.0720	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.267784	-6.07%	0.221	-22.48%	0.0967	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.266451	-5.98%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1083	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.265478	-5.79%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.0959	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.272215	-5.78%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1320	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.271236	-5.69%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1332	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.269239	-5.53%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1072	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.268248	-5.38%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.0848	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.274007	-5.29%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.0735	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.288466	-5.23%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1388	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.292495	-4.82%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1452	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.291986	-4.95%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1463	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.295252	-4.67%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1566	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.30792	-4.37%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2151	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.299721	-3.94%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1577	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.296469	-4.02%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.1883	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.297262	-3.92%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.1966	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.296624	-3.72%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.1873	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.305507	-3.29%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1450	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.308049	-3.25%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1726	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.291858	-2.97%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.0908	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.289266	-3.13%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0487	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.292036	-3.04%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0225	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.293088	-3.11%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0286	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.286194	-3.54%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0317	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.286036	-3.69%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0646	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.293405	-3.64%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1023	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.294672	-3.32%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0646	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.302434	-3.00%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0426	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.306078	-3.45%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.0922	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.30201	-3.48%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0541	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.304443	-3.29%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0539	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.308284	-3.54%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.0641	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.301945	-4.33%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.0777	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.301522	-4.67%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0545	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.302269	-5.36%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.0723	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.309304	-4.86%	0.285	-12.33%	0.0910	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.316662	-4.24%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1129	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.30805	-4.54%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.0849	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.302253	-4.41%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0244	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.297357	-4.48%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0183	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.293908	-4.30%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0066	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.284978	-5.29%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0056	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.300281	-4.61%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0035	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.291768	-4.49%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0032	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.285619	-4.76%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0098	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.286101	-4.89%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0073	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.285467	-4.59%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0133	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.283445	-5.30%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0056	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.281014	-5.16%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0275	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.280875	-5.27%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0371	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.271487	-5.01%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0031	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.274002	-4.89%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0050	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.280267	-4.70%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0089	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.267365	-4.31%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0346	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.263185	-4.26%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0419	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.259703	-4.13%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0674	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.268694	-4.11%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0294	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.274238	-4.08%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0206	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.279096	-3.73%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0499	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.284832	-3.32%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0408	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.283371	-3.35%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0383	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.286673	-3.28%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0456	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.275466	-3.51%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0606	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.278578	-3.37%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0656	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.280352	-3.16%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.1009	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.289817	-3.23%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0633	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.3049	-3.14%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0291	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.319627	-2.91%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0012	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.325603	-2.83%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0289	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.316924	-2.81%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0297	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.307268	-2.79%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0290	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.314036	-2.84%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0410	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.307742	-2.77%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0001	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.309733	-2.81%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0389	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.31262	-2.88%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0581	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.311523	-3.01%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0595	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.310876	-3.21%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.0942	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.309011	-3.10%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0472	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.310119	-3.06%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0541	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.30589	-2.83%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0041	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.314337	-2.89%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0401	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.320147	-3.19%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.0900	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.326515	-3.28%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.0971	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.333566	-3.51%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2053	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.342588	-3.63%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2174	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.334991	-3.54%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2135	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.342554	-3.64%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.1872	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.346423	-3.74%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1729	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.306438	-3.18%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1053	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.288652	-2.84%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0477	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.28583	-2.84%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0047	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.294767	-3.07%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0242	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.295511	-3.14%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0329	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.300662	-3.26%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0637	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.309656	-3.47%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1127	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.317075	-3.71%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.0842	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.316966	-3.80%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0333	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.319296	-3.88%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0256	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.357751	-4.55%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1193	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.35417	-4.48%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1259	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.346746	-4.24%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1485	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.345214	-4.27%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1110	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.362102	-4.66%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1543	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.366007	-4.78%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1396	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.375941	-4.95%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1516	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.381043	-4.98%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1615	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.386214	-5.18%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1320	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.344393	-3.31%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1248	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.347997	-4.58%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0144	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.347646	-4.73%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0312	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.340538	-4.69%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0413	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.330919	-4.30%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1264	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.346059	-4.54%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.1217	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.371165	-4.85%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1984	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.388068	-5.00%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1669	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.403617	-4.81%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1886	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.410691	-4.87%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1616	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.405118	-4.90%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1620	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.406692	-5.09%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0847	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.412076	-4.99%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0363	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.411374	-5.02%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0048	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.4155	-5.07%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0118	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.425103	-5.32%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0073	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.408977	-5.46%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0603	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.430418	-5.24%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.1126	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.439344	-5.09%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.1172	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.451436	-4.76%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0794	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.457281	-4.63%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0893	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.468374	-4.55%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1698	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.489445	-4.16%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1477	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.439519	-4.14%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2469	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.425429	-4.93%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.2188	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.430082	-4.98%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.2245	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.431212	-5.02%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.2037	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.437486	-5.02%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2415	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.430399	-4.91%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2900	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.436115	-4.92%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2947	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.461321	-4.76%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.3038	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.475975	-4.71%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0858	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.468151	-4.75%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0201	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.463794	-4.69%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0599	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.469592	-4.61%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.0828	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.461568	-4.48%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.0701	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.446286	-4.31%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.0793	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.474284	-4.36%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.0868	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.456047	-4.19%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1051	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.458844	-4.05%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.0804	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.415944	-3.61%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0171	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.412979	-3.58%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0483	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.41559	-3.64%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0134	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.426079	-3.75%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0120	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.428809	-3.81%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0105	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.447145	-3.94%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0081	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.456943	-4.00%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0497	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.475478	-4.14%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1098	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.46718	-4.09%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.0925	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.435124	-3.90%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0579	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.444344	-4.01%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0609	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.437279	-3.94%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0004	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.432666	-3.96%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0086	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.455687	-4.21%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.0997	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.456695	-4.22%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0343	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.460941	-4.29%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0272	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.473593	-4.36%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0100	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.491567	-4.51%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0422	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.497229	-4.54%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.0692	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.500088	-4.62%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.0959	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.509491	-4.66%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.1003	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.501353	-4.58%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.0731	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.482098	-4.38%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0136	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.487904	-4.33%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0203	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.496838	-4.33%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0445	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.514199	-4.51%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0209	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.47916	-4.28%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0474	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.516799	-4.54%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0093	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.523083	-4.56%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0341	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.556368	-4.80%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1026	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.573254	-4.92%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2276	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.586606	-5.06%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2635	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.592172	-5.24%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3144	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.573384	-5.08%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2475	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.585986	-5.49%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.2842	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.506604	-4.56%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1496	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.43615	-3.46%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0280	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.435593	-3.50%	0.496	+9.88%	0.1000	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.453337	-4.01%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1296	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.487454	-4.50%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0539	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.479072	-4.38%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0664	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.490532	-4.57%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0333	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.495876	-4.69%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0601	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.496921	-4.71%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0646	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.53889	-5.11%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0316	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.565477	-5.28%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0235	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.58796	-5.38%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0059	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.589704	-5.31%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0877	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.606779	-5.44%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0427	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.605397	-5.50%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0528	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.608345	-5.52%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0878	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.58218	-5.38%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.1022	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.608031	-5.57%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0560	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.542249	-5.13%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0875	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.532804	-5.14%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1968	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.576567	-5.45%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2544	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.593262	-5.64%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2440	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.588999	-5.71%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2437	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.593526	-5.83%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.2219	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.574798	-5.62%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3517	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.569846	-5.50%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.4318	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.651306	-5.61%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3484	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.700703	-5.55%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3525	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.64056	-5.63%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3371	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.644797	-5.58%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3716	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.626738	-5.54%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2708	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.581482	-5.48%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.1276	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.598362	-5.40%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0815	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.63016	-5.40%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0222	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.635637	-5.57%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0368	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.589389	-5.35%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0805	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.580358	-5.26%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0737	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.592481	-5.23%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0690	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.620229	-5.27%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0770	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.640319	-5.29%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0807	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.662149	-5.29%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0988	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.667982	-5.44%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.1075	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.58306	-5.44%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1329	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.555133	-5.36%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2678	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.64876	-4.83%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2499	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.680111	-4.55%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.2073	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.670117	-4.91%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1778	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.707154	-3.92%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1710	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.685426	-4.02%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.1007	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.691468	-4.16%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0094	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.702441	-4.14%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0044	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.71264	-4.45%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0087	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.692685	-4.85%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0135	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.648777	-5.54%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0462	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.654519	-5.55%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0127	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.669037	-5.70%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1143	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.654467	-5.82%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0123	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.643194	-5.77%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0712	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.65537	-5.72%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0048	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.697435	-5.42%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0138	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.676552	-5.47%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0097	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.707358	-5.32%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0567	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.745124	-5.01%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0525	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.765189	-4.87%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0603	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.763022	-4.84%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0169	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.775076	-4.66%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0658	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.740904	-4.77%	0.6126	-21.26%	0.0348	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.