EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s5
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +7d
assessed
26
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
53.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4681
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0038
actual -0.4591
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.002102 | 0.002136 | +1.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002055 | 0.002127 | +3.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002486 | +2.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002893 | +1.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003045 | +1.34% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003095 | +2.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002993 | +3.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003395 | +2.48% | 0.002102 | -36.57% | 0.5211 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002779 | +5.01% | 0.002055 | -22.35% | 0.3476 | ✗ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003625 | +3.31% | 0.002424 | -30.92% | 0.4001 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004237 | +2.09% | 0.002855 | -31.19% | 0.3962 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005188 | -0.79% | 0.003005 | -42.54% | 0.5257 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005093 | +0.33% | 0.003031 | -40.28% | 0.5001 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005182 | +0.66% | 0.002896 | -43.75% | 0.5693 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005589 | +0.04% | 0.003313 | -40.70% | 0.5283 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006144 | -1.45% | 0.002646 | -57.55% | 0.8214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005888 | -0.74% | 0.003509 | -40.85% | 0.4887 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004446 | +2.81% | 0.00415 | -4.05% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004976 | +2.03% | 0.005229 | +7.23% | 0.0829 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005493 | +2.08% | 0.005076 | -5.68% | 0.0571 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006813 | +0.42% | 0.005148 | -24.12% | 0.2568 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007118 | -0.22% | 0.005587 | -21.68% | 0.2043 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006628 | +0.97% | 0.006234 | -5.04% | 0.0580 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006953 | +0.33% | 0.005932 | -14.40% | 0.1812 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.008878 | -1.90% | 0.004325 | -52.21% | 0.7463 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012452 | -3.17% | 0.004877 | -62.08% | 0.9613 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013105 | -3.25% | 0.005381 | -60.27% | 0.8938 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013542 | -3.34% | 0.006784 | -51.57% | 0.6960 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.012999 | -2.99% | 0.007134 | -46.76% | 0.6056 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.018739 | -4.78% | 0.006565 | -66.64% | 1.0390 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.016801 | -3.55% | 0.00693 | -60.22% | 0.8554 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013054 | -2.22% | 0.00905 | -32.21% | 0.3294 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011366 | -3.14% | 0.01286 | +9.59% | 0.0836 | ✗ | 1.00 |