EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s5
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
40.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1368
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0009
actual -0.0556
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.002102 | 0.002112 | +0.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002055 | 0.002071 | +0.77% | 0.002102 | +2.26% | 0.0114 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002439 | +0.61% | 0.002055 | -15.22% | 0.1916 | ✗ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002867 | +0.41% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1905 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003017 | +0.41% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0517 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003048 | +0.55% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0271 | ✗ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002918 | +0.76% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0408 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003333 | +0.62% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1283 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002674 | +1.05% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.2037 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003536 | +0.76% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2674 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004173 | +0.55% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1959 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005231 | +0.03% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2079 | ✗ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005089 | +0.25% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0181 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005164 | +0.32% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0217 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005598 | +0.20% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0942 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006229 | -0.08% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0896 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005935 | +0.06% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0759 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004357 | +0.73% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3111 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004907 | +0.61% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.1174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005415 | +0.61% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1252 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006804 | +0.29% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2374 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007146 | +0.18% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0479 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006594 | +0.44% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0633 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006954 | +0.34% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0565 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.009032 | -0.20% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2670 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012769 | -0.71% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3322 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013443 | -0.75% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0449 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013899 | -0.79% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0296 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013311 | -0.66% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0546 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019379 | -1.53% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3690 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.017201 | -1.26% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1560 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013256 | -0.71% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2778 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011646 | -0.76% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0717 | ✗ | 1.00 |