EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s5
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +1d
assessed
31
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
51.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1346
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0010
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002474 | +0.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002436 | +0.50% | 0.002465 | +1.69% | 0.0163 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002863 | +0.27% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1891 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003012 | +0.24% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0499 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003042 | +0.35% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0251 | ✗ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002912 | +0.56% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0428 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003324 | +0.34% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1256 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002671 | +0.92% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.2049 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003527 | +0.50% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2647 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004163 | +0.31% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1935 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005213 | -0.31% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2045 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005072 | -0.08% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0214 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005148 | -0.01% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005578 | -0.16% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0906 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006204 | -0.49% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0855 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.0059 | -0.54% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0819 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004336 | +0.25% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004884 | +0.15% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.1128 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005391 | +0.19% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1209 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006773 | -0.17% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.00712 | -0.20% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0441 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006577 | +0.19% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0658 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006945 | +0.21% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0553 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.009033 | -0.19% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2672 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012788 | -0.56% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3337 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013468 | -0.57% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0467 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013932 | -0.56% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0320 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013333 | -0.50% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0530 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019447 | -1.18% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3725 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.017225 | -1.12% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1546 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.01325 | -0.75% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2782 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011652 | -0.71% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0712 | ✗ | 1.00 |