DCR

Decred · native · gru_s5

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

65.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0628

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0233

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.3312	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.3647	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.1764	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.1581	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.1546	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.4803	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.8082	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.7407	-2.55%	14.773	-8.54%	0.0737	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.9272	-2.67%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0754	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.9157	-2.55%	14.512	-11.15%	0.0932	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.2302	-2.73%	14.454	-13.38%	0.0993	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.4359	-2.70%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1170	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.9851	-2.86%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1311	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.8832	-2.85%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1143	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.5118	-3.19%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0648	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.7296	-3.41%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0579	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.8773	-3.54%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0539	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.7037	-3.55%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0335	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.7097	-3.21%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0303	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.6686	-3.21%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0078	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.5972	-3.16%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0168	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.8519	-3.16%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0158	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.5685	-3.02%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0261	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.3075	-2.86%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0471	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.9636	-3.00%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0024	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.7429	-2.90%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0276	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.2128	-2.75%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0548	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.7451	-2.86%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0193	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.7348	-2.96%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0465	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.1353	-3.17%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0248	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.4499	-2.90%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0496	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.8263	-2.75%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0632	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.0271	-2.72%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0393	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.2444	-2.79%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0063	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.3982	-2.69%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0247	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.3665	-2.04%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0880	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.5996	-1.03%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1380	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.4379	-1.52%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0126	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.1472	-1.13%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0276	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.0071	-0.32%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0517	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.9172	+0.28%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0727	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.6758	+0.76%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0742	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.6409	+0.98%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0387	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.3683	+0.06%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1361	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.0049	+1.37%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0510	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.686	+0.52%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0124	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.9623	+0.44%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0305	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.6534	+0.62%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0367	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.5295	+1.65%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1156	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.9083	-0.28%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1587	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.2544	-0.91%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1851	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.4133	-0.90%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0854	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	13.9486	-0.84%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1452	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.1131	-0.98%	15.892	+11.50%	0.1016	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	13.9443	-1.31%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0897	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	13.8093	-0.88%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0237	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.6853	-1.20%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0384	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.4933	-1.26%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0766	✗	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.6675	-1.33%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0668	✗	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.0058	-1.72%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0051	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.7313	-1.81%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0239	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	12.8912	-0.88%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0974	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.7931	-1.35%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0848	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.6962	-1.95%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0474	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.4222	-2.48%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0215	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.7635	-2.60%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0478	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.6464	-2.69%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0230	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.7125	-2.70%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0352	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.6585	-2.60%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1211	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.8262	-2.58%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1377	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.9255	-2.62%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.0935	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.6136	-2.86%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.0931	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.4233	-2.82%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0376	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.5736	-2.92%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0159	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.4262	-2.91%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0005	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.3857	-2.88%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0023	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.155	-2.84%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0127	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.5918	-2.97%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0083	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.9745	-3.06%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0095	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.8656	-3.05%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0139	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.8227	-3.08%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0124	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.6804	-3.22%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0267	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.7072	-3.43%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0310	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.1287	-3.51%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0407	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.3298	-2.74%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1249	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.2726	-2.66%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1686	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.9244	-2.31%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1980	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.4242	-2.23%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1742	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.3394	-2.08%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1677	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.3663	-1.96%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1654	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.7716	-1.85%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1497	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.2354	-1.88%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0173	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.3548	-1.93%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0261	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.4606	-2.11%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0854	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.4262	-2.31%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0713	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.3856	-2.60%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0597	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.2516	-2.64%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0581	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.9205	-3.12%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.0940	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.0333	-3.47%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0648	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.2573	-3.68%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0738	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.0687	-3.55%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0134	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.822	-3.08%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0599	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	10.9828	-2.40%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1322	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.9059	-2.28%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1464	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.757	-2.32%	13.336	+21.10%	0.2065	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.7164	-2.32%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1959	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.7583	-2.30%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2227	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.9584	-2.30%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1577	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.8836	-2.35%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.1117	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.0085	-2.45%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0121	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.1882	-2.57%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0261	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.9003	-2.52%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0145	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.6687	-2.48%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0057	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.4727	-2.39%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0206	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.9854	-2.62%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0332	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.8158	-2.61%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0275	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.1678	-2.79%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0336	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.8869	-2.77%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0185	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.6474	-2.85%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0246	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.7848	-3.24%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0617	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.8843	-2.62%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0474	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.2008	-2.71%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0623	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.1359	-2.60%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0525	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.5512	-2.71%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0637	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.3132	-2.62%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0459	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.1841	-2.57%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0316	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.7113	-2.73%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0944	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.0375	-2.84%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0278	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.2918	-2.98%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0298	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.43	-2.98%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0453	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.8968	-2.82%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.6989	-2.77%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.826	-2.84%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.5269	-2.58%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.6499	-2.61%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.9289	-2.79%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0106	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.0345	-2.81%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0253	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.0163	-2.23%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0385	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.8589	-2.01%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0258	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.8138	-2.57%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0476	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.0989	-2.81%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1339	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.2852	-3.13%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1000	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.0962	-3.32%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0842	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.4726	-3.31%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0725	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.