DCR

Decred · native · gru_s5

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

47.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1149

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0649

actual +0.0156

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	13.4255	-9.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	13.4612	-8.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.2395	-8.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.2412	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.2151	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	13.5287	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	13.8656	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	14.7552	-8.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	14.9966	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	14.9642	-8.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.3293	-8.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	15.5428	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.0624	-8.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	15.9598	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	16.5475	-8.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	16.7364	-8.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	16.8564	-9.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	16.6981	-9.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	16.7669	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	16.7273	-8.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	16.6751	-8.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	16.9068	-8.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	16.6702	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	16.4675	-7.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.0861	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	16.9035	-7.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	16.4267	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	16.9181	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	16.8892	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.2571	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	16.6752	-7.21%	14.773	-17.80%	0.0851	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.0083	-7.48%	14.749	-14.76%	0.0997	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.2083	-7.40%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1166	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.4013	-7.54%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1379	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	15.5083	-7.97%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1268	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	14.5708	-7.11%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0443	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	13.8924	-5.83%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0147	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	15.7059	-5.91%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0037	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.4217	-5.57%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0001	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.315	-4.63%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0220	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.2238	-4.09%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0299	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	14.9839	-3.69%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0584	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	15.9443	-3.25%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0532	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.6575	-4.04%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0128	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.3545	-2.75%	18.089	+14.57%	0.1245	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.0487	-3.32%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0872	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.3779	-3.23%	18.533	+16.62%	0.1331	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.0896	-3.01%	18.355	+17.98%	0.1363	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.0602	-1.64%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.2304	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.4089	-3.86%	18.255	+30.88%	0.2309	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	13.741	-4.48%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1981	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	13.9771	-3.90%	18.434	+26.74%	0.2236	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	13.5394	-3.75%	18.116	+28.78%	0.2281	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	13.7613	-3.45%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.2035	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	13.6221	-3.59%	18.519	+31.07%	0.2380	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	13.6547	-1.99%	18.273	+31.16%	0.2471	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.5221	-2.37%	17.7	+27.79%	0.2144	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.3933	-1.99%	18.268	+33.68%	0.2477	✗	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.6847	-1.20%	18.275	+31.94%	0.2321	✗	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.0247	-1.59%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1980	✗	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.773	-1.52%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1633	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.0638	+0.45%	17.302	+33.04%	0.2484	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.6237	-2.77%	17.503	+46.41%	0.3172	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.3279	-5.04%	17.739	+48.71%	0.3054	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	10.8959	-6.97%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2644	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.2084	-7.20%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1630	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.0515	-7.66%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0935	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.1164	-7.65%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1787	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.0744	-7.48%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1788	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.2482	-7.35%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1477	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.3496	-7.32%	15.873	+29.62%	0.1275	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	11.9852	-7.70%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0641	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	11.8167	-7.56%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.1176	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	11.9537	-7.71%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1709	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	11.8125	-7.70%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0805	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	11.772	-7.69%	16.599	+30.16%	0.1171	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	11.5512	-7.66%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0900	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	11.9656	-7.79%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0418	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.3121	-8.01%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1051	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.2013	-8.06%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.0771	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.1525	-8.15%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0428	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	11.9877	-8.51%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0468	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.0019	-8.79%	14.067	+6.91%	0.0680	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	12.4565	-8.45%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.0679	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	10.7868	-7.41%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0760	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	10.7558	-7.13%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0340	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.4631	-6.44%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0703	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	10.9751	-6.08%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0427	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	10.9146	-5.75%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0403	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	10.9729	-5.35%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0756	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.4016	-4.93%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0426	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	11.8667	-4.84%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0685	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	11.9969	-4.78%	11.955	-5.11%	0.0913	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.0615	-5.24%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.0699	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.0056	-5.62%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0247	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	11.9517	-6.01%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0153	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	11.7932	-6.28%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0309	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.3787	-7.18%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0163	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	12.4941	-7.46%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0160	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	12.6974	-7.75%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0210	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	11.566	-7.57%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0414	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.3512	-6.94%	12.985	+6.46%	0.1374	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	10.5686	-6.08%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1883	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.4979	-5.93%	12.952	+16.06%	0.2000	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.3453	-6.05%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1885	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.302	-6.10%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1758	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.3538	-5.98%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1757	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.5453	-5.98%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1990	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.4653	-6.10%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.2394	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	10.5712	-6.32%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.2219	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	10.7272	-6.59%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1953	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.4449	-6.60%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.2079	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.2134	-6.64%	13.158	+20.27%	0.2111	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.0199	-6.61%	13.606	+26.82%	0.2155	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.4922	-6.99%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0521	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.3169	-7.11%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0545	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	10.6302	-7.47%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0015	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.3532	-7.54%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0487	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.1162	-7.70%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0736	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.1891	-8.13%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0019	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.3614	-7.30%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.1121	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	10.6661	-7.35%	12.47	+8.32%	0.1266	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	10.6104	-7.19%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.1263	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.0029	-7.33%	12.729	+7.21%	0.1304	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	10.779	-7.21%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1467	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	10.6553	-7.18%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1468	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.1506	-7.39%	12.584	+4.52%	0.1295	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.4534	-7.56%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1807	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	11.6871	-7.76%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1682	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	11.8197	-7.74%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1633	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.3196	-7.53%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1344	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.1239	-7.55%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0890	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.2222	-7.80%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	10.9351	-7.58%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0224	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.0268	-7.82%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0252	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.2594	-8.24%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.3313	-8.49%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.3196	-7.90%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0597	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.1579	-7.80%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0421	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.0396	-8.46%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0534	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.2441	-8.70%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1186	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.4125	-9.04%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1010	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.1991	-9.06%	10.94	-29.93%	0.0874	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.5747	-8.92%	10.729	-32.95%	0.0775	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.