CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s5

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

133

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

44.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0997

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0155

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.01793	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017256	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016606	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013075	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013059	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013648	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012807	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013473	-2.11%	0.018489	+34.34%	0.3122	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014238	-2.30%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2271	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013443	-2.34%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2514	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012631	-1.98%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0590	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012594	-1.98%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0610	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012273	-1.97%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1313	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012491	-1.93%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0425	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.01234	-1.97%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1174	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012402	-2.03%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1725	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012446	-2.05%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1210	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012638	-2.02%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0350	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012679	-2.13%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0235	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011642	-2.04%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0836	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012044	-2.18%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0736	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012609	-2.33%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0000	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012307	-2.33%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0189	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011745	-2.31%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0665	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011967	-2.24%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0641	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012139	-2.37%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0633	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011547	-2.40%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0265	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011987	-2.19%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0243	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012215	-2.20%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0596	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011968	-2.14%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0651	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011722	-2.11%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0447	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011107	-1.98%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0785	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011289	-1.91%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0782	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011544	-1.96%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0049	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011319	-1.98%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0262	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011312	-1.97%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0441	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.01182	-2.62%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0488	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010739	-1.54%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0324	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010282	-1.65%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0559	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009842	-0.98%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1187	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.00969	-0.83%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1600	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009229	-0.46%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2260	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010158	-0.99%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1460	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010096	-0.88%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.2098	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.01029	-0.81%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0665	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009458	+0.08%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1323	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009837	-0.28%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0340	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009843	-0.26%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0136	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010063	-0.14%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0430	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.009957	-0.82%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0184	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009602	-0.70%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0464	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.00946	-0.51%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0863	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009286	-0.61%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0127	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009518	-0.57%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0182	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009368	-0.67%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0321	✗	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009225	-0.15%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0773	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009273	-0.56%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.0993	✗	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008537	-0.30%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1371	✗	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008534	-0.24%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.1132	✗	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007914	-0.13%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1668	✗	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008021	-0.31%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1625	✗	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008688	-0.36%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0877	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008116	-0.94%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0443	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008317	-1.53%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0185	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008265	-2.02%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1910	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008215	-1.98%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.1959	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008593	-2.19%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3445	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008519	-2.13%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3063	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.00832	-2.07%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2226	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008615	-2.16%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2237	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008107	-1.97%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0679	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008193	-2.12%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0072	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.00765	-1.67%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0803	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007962	-1.70%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1372	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008179	-1.81%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.0987	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007761	-1.88%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1273	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007669	-1.93%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1543	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007555	-1.88%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1132	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007152	-1.82%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1670	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007106	-1.79%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0823	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007257	-1.80%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0846	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007201	-1.76%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.1054	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007335	-1.81%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0368	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007351	-1.86%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0706	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007305	-1.82%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0390	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007143	-1.68%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0158	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007089	-1.61%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0248	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007799	-1.72%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0199	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008021	-1.71%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0608	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007539	-1.59%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0146	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007424	-1.47%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0151	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008162	-1.48%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0527	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008114	-1.47%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0618	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008226	-1.49%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.1039	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008046	-1.45%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0261	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008177	-1.59%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0072	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007696	-1.39%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0082	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007938	-1.39%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0752	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008192	-1.54%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0130	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008199	-1.63%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0226	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008001	-1.46%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0121	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.00798	-1.60%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0049	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008301	-1.65%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0185	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008992	-1.84%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1370	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008277	-1.52%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0386	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008479	-1.35%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0647	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009045	-1.47%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1116	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010228	-1.56%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.2001	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010734	-1.61%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2832	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010891	-1.62%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2674	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010506	-1.54%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1656	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.01085	-1.55%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2872	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011767	-1.70%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3652	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.011017	-1.37%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2841	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011256	-1.53%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1614	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010583	-1.33%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0528	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010635	-1.35%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0237	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009972	-1.17%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0178	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010311	-1.24%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0301	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010177	-1.20%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.1792	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011137	-1.66%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0710	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.011039	-1.79%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.0959	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010531	-1.48%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.0795	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.011055	-1.74%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0439	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010504	-1.37%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0161	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010346	-1.14%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0609	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011628	-1.63%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0660	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011302	-1.63%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0484	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011892	-1.72%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012335	-1.71%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.1048	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012281	-1.55%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0845	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012606	-1.48%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1676	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012772	-1.45%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1884	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012366	-1.07%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.0928	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014898	-1.66%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3215	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013911	-1.41%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1892	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014322	-1.43%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1694	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014786	-1.17%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2271	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013537	-0.90%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.0966	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016631	-1.48%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2456	✓	1.00