CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s5

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

111

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

60.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2139

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0369

actual -0.0605

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.015367	0.014621	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.0152	0.014479	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.016743	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016098	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.012719	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.012683	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013229	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012415	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013048	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.013803	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013036	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012274	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.01224	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.01192	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012141	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.011991	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012051	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012092	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012293	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012329	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011307	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.011681	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012212	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.011912	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011363	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011607	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.011759	-5.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011167	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011635	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.011893	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011648	-4.76%	0.015367	+25.66%	0.2876	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011414	-4.68%	0.0152	+26.94%	0.3022	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.010801	-4.68%	0.017857	+57.59%	0.4926	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.010993	-4.48%	0.017291	+50.24%	0.4493	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011237	-4.57%	0.013308	+13.02%	0.1622	✗	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.010984	-4.89%	0.013303	+15.20%	0.1576	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.010977	-4.87%	0.013935	+20.76%	0.2022	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011464	-5.55%	0.013058	+7.58%	0.0779	✗	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010469	-4.00%	0.013763	+26.20%	0.2418	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010018	-4.18%	0.014573	+39.39%	0.3158	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009593	-3.48%	0.013765	+38.49%	0.3186	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009445	-3.33%	0.012887	+31.89%	0.2502	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.008997	-2.96%	0.012848	+38.58%	0.2979	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.009926	-3.26%	0.012519	+22.02%	0.1967	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.009876	-3.04%	0.012738	+25.06%	0.2267	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010088	-2.76%	0.012589	+21.34%	0.1842	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009308	-1.50%	0.012659	+33.96%	0.2628	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009686	-1.81%	0.012707	+28.81%	0.2199	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.0097	-1.71%	0.012899	+30.70%	0.2301	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.009953	-1.23%	0.012956	+28.57%	0.2364	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.009792	-2.46%	0.011884	+18.38%	0.1115	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009462	-2.15%	0.012313	+27.33%	0.1777	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009352	-1.65%	0.012909	+35.76%	0.2671	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009181	-1.74%	0.012601	+34.87%	0.2504	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009448	-1.30%	0.012023	+25.60%	0.1847	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009322	-1.16%	0.012241	+29.80%	0.2023	✗	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009267	+0.31%	0.012434	+34.59%	0.2487	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009314	-0.11%	0.011831	+26.87%	0.1830	✗	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008621	+0.69%	0.012256	+43.14%	0.2901	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008641	+1.01%	0.01249	+46.01%	0.3047	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.008012	+1.11%	0.01223	+54.33%	0.3262	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008122	+0.94%	0.011974	+48.82%	0.2787	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008804	+0.96%	0.011331	+29.95%	0.2199	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008063	-1.59%	0.011508	+40.47%	0.2598	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008153	-3.47%	0.011775	+39.42%	0.2114	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008025	-4.86%	0.011548	+36.91%	0.1704	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.007979	-4.80%	0.011539	+37.68%	0.1751	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008324	-5.25%	0.012138	+38.17%	0.1484	✗	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008256	-5.14%	0.010906	+25.30%	0.0113	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008069	-5.03%	0.010455	+23.05%	0.0138	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008354	-5.12%	0.00994	+12.88%	0.0694	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.007876	-4.76%	0.009771	+18.15%	0.0256	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.007965	-4.84%	0.009272	+10.77%	0.0763	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007456	-4.17%	0.01026	+31.88%	0.0682	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007763	-4.16%	0.010186	+25.75%	0.0371	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.007967	-4.36%	0.010375	+24.54%	0.0205	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007547	-4.59%	0.00945	+19.47%	0.0372	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007454	-4.68%	0.009865	+26.15%	0.0150	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007349	-4.56%	0.009869	+28.17%	0.0377	✓	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.006951	-4.58%	0.010077	+38.33%	0.0850	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.006907	-4.53%	0.010039	+38.76%	0.1372	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007057	-4.51%	0.00967	+30.85%	0.0774	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007001	-4.49%	0.009508	+29.72%	0.0373	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007123	-4.64%	0.009343	+25.07%	0.0172	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007144	-4.62%	0.009572	+27.80%	0.0563	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007096	-4.63%	0.009431	+26.76%	0.0388	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.006947	-4.37%	0.009239	+27.17%	0.0011	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.0069	-4.23%	0.009325	+29.42%	0.0345	✓	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007599	-4.23%	0.008563	+7.91%	0.0987	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.007816	-4.22%	0.008554	+4.83%	0.1595	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007352	-4.02%	0.007924	+3.45%	0.1559	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007258	-3.68%	0.008046	+6.78%	0.1036	✓	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.00799	-3.57%	0.00872	+5.25%	0.1138	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.007947	-3.49%	0.008193	-0.51%	0.0804	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008054	-3.55%	0.008446	+1.15%	0.0262	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.007879	-3.50%	0.008435	+3.31%	0.0682	✗	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008002	-3.71%	0.008381	+0.85%	0.0522	✗	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007535	-3.46%	0.008785	+12.56%	0.1728	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007772	-3.45%	0.008704	+8.12%	0.1270	✗	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.00801	-3.73%	0.008496	+2.12%	0.0906	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008004	-3.97%	0.008806	+5.64%	0.1237	✗	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.00781	-3.82%	0.00827	+1.85%	0.0357	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.007775	-4.13%	0.00837	+3.21%	0.0778	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008085	-4.21%	0.00778	-7.82%	0.0411	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008753	-4.44%	0.0081	-11.57%	0.0912	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008063	-4.07%	0.00833	-0.89%	0.0016	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008279	-3.68%	0.00791	-7.97%	0.0945	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.008836	-3.74%	0.00782	-14.81%	0.1392	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.009992	-3.83%	0.0077	-25.89%	0.2710	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010484	-3.91%	0.007285	-33.23%	0.3724	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010635	-3.93%	0.007235	-34.64%	0.3921	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.01026	-3.85%	0.00739	-30.74%	0.3456	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010593	-3.87%	0.00733	-33.48%	0.3925	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.01148	-4.09%	0.00747	-37.59%	0.4937	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.01077	-3.58%	0.00749	-32.95%	0.4930	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.010989	-3.86%	0.00744	-34.91%	0.4692	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010337	-3.62%	0.007265	-32.26%	0.4411	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010379	-3.72%	0.007205	-33.16%	0.4409	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009714	-3.72%	0.007935	-21.36%	0.3058	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.01004	-3.83%	0.00816	-21.84%	0.2991	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.009903	-3.85%	0.00766	-25.63%	0.3064	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.010819	-4.46%	0.007535	-33.47%	0.3995	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.010707	-4.74%	0.008285	-26.29%	0.2893	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010214	-4.46%	0.008235	-22.97%	0.2659	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.01072	-4.71%	0.00835	-25.78%	0.2651	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010185	-4.37%	0.008165	-23.33%	0.2399	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010036	-4.10%	0.00831	-20.59%	0.2188	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011302	-4.38%	0.007805	-33.97%	0.3616	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.01098	-4.44%	0.00805	-29.94%	0.2819	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011565	-4.42%	0.00832	-31.24%	0.3055	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012001	-4.37%	0.008335	-33.59%	0.3536	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.011953	-4.18%	0.00812	-34.91%	0.3525	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012267	-4.13%	0.00811	-36.62%	0.4170	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012422	-4.15%	0.00844	-34.88%	0.3898	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012025	-3.80%	0.00916	-26.72%	0.3148	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014479	-4.43%	0.008405	-44.52%	0.5677	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013518	-4.20%	0.008595	-39.09%	0.4397	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.01391	-4.26%	0.00918	-36.82%	0.4159	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014361	-4.00%	0.01039	-30.55%	0.3742	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013155	-3.69%	0.01091	-20.13%	0.2281	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016166	-4.23%	0.01107	-34.42%	0.3674	✓	1.00