CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s5

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +7d

assessed

77

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0868

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0250

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002209	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.00221	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002145	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002225	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002292	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002286	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002252	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002376	-2.97%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0595	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002413	-3.07%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0677	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002358	-3.16%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0749	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.0024	-3.33%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0423	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002361	-3.37%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0051	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002413	-3.38%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0217	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002272	-3.05%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0144	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002352	-3.27%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0511	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002413	-3.43%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0458	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002508	-3.67%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0059	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002494	-3.35%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0121	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.00249	-3.12%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0082	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002462	-2.97%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0263	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002488	-2.93%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0407	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002566	-3.08%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0521	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.00263	-3.20%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0626	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002641	-3.32%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0280	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002692	-3.54%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0543	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002651	-3.34%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0329	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002625	-3.01%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0366	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002598	-2.85%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0165	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002648	-3.01%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0047	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002702	-3.08%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0202	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002707	-2.81%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0269	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.00259	-2.30%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0560	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002771	-2.76%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0277	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002639	-2.15%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0079	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002558	-0.98%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0016	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.00248	-0.46%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0524	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002554	-0.97%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0304	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002812	-2.68%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0363	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002835	-2.29%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0823	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002958	-2.65%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0499	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002868	-2.21%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0735	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.00291	-2.12%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1185	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002949	-2.30%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1622	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002838	-1.93%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0866	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002802	-1.82%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0337	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002761	-1.68%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0610	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002796	-1.74%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0917	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002626	-1.36%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1190	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.00262	-1.38%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1420	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002628	-1.92%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1343	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002703	-1.98%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0638	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002716	-1.90%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0475	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002568	-2.39%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0792	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002807	-2.56%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0088	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002908	-1.82%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.0942	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002893	-0.84%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0883	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002729	-1.14%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0133	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002975	-2.06%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0725	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002811	-1.55%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0137	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002452	-1.13%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0708	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.0026	-1.44%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.0994	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.00279	-1.49%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0605	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002588	-2.09%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1362	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.00248	-2.44%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0239	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002682	-3.09%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0694	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002998	-3.79%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2517	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002597	-3.35%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2588	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002698	-3.56%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2239	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002463	-3.15%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0785	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002301	-2.87%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002169	-2.70%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0696	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002141	-2.67%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2386	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.002004	-2.50%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4328	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001908	-2.35%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3739	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001887	-2.24%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4232	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001965	-2.32%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.2879	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001798	-2.24%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.2892	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.0018	-2.19%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2325	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001883	-2.24%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1636	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001849	-2.24%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.0984	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001855	-2.20%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0307	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001884	-2.36%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001818	-2.24%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0685	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001788	-2.63%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0350	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.