CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s5

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +30d

assessed

54

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

64.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1227

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0520

actual -0.0477

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002144	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002151	-4.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.00208	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002154	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002212	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002201	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002165	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002273	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002308	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002248	-7.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002286	-7.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.00224	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002289	-8.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.00215	-8.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002227	-8.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002291	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002375	-8.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.00237	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002364	-8.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002332	-8.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002359	-7.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002432	-8.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002494	-8.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002509	-8.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002554	-8.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002519	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002501	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002483	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002534	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002591	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002607	-6.42%	0.002257	-18.99%	0.1218	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002482	-6.38%	0.002253	-15.02%	0.1070	✓	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002657	-6.77%	0.002189	-23.18%	0.1970	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002534	-6.01%	0.002275	-15.64%	0.1143	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002444	-5.40%	0.002348	-9.10%	0.0672	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002368	-4.96%	0.002345	-5.87%	0.0387	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002443	-5.27%	0.002311	-10.37%	0.0916	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002689	-6.94%	0.002449	-15.25%	0.1046	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002717	-6.35%	0.00249	-14.19%	0.1090	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002832	-6.78%	0.002435	-19.85%	0.1654	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002752	-6.15%	0.002483	-15.35%	0.1237	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002796	-5.97%	0.002443	-17.83%	0.1559	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002837	-6.01%	0.002498	-17.25%	0.1400	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002737	-5.40%	0.002343	-19.02%	0.1653	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002707	-5.15%	0.002432	-14.80%	0.1201	✓	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002673	-4.82%	0.002499	-11.02%	0.0834	✓	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002708	-4.83%	0.002604	-8.48%	0.0576	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002547	-4.31%	0.00258	-3.05%	0.0087	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002544	-4.26%	0.002571	-3.24%	0.0003	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002536	-5.33%	0.002537	-5.29%	0.0300	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002611	-5.29%	0.002563	-7.05%	0.0492	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002629	-5.04%	0.002648	-4.36%	0.0126	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.00247	-6.13%	0.002717	+3.27%	0.0729	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002699	-6.29%	0.002731	-5.17%	0.0036	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002829	-4.48%	0.00279	-5.80%	0.0336	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002867	-1.74%	0.002743	-5.98%	0.0571	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002731	-1.09%	0.002707	-1.95%	0.0232	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002973	-2.13%	0.002674	-11.95%	0.1233	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002813	-1.46%	0.00273	-4.36%	0.0481	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002436	-1.75%	0.002788	+12.44%	0.1153	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002581	-2.15%	0.002786	+5.62%	0.0519	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002802	-1.06%	0.002651	-6.39%	0.0587	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002545	-3.70%	0.00285	+7.81%	0.1315	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002411	-5.12%	0.002697	+6.10%	0.0427	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002585	-6.60%	0.002583	-6.64%	0.1663	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002891	-7.23%	0.002491	-20.06%	0.3152	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002501	-6.91%	0.002579	-4.02%	0.1541	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002599	-7.10%	0.00289	+3.28%	0.1096	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002375	-6.61%	0.002902	+14.10%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002223	-6.18%	0.003038	+28.25%	0.1152	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002098	-5.91%	0.002933	+31.55%	0.1383	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002073	-5.79%	0.002973	+35.15%	0.1746	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001943	-5.46%	0.003018	+46.88%	0.2378	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.00185	-5.32%	0.002894	+48.11%	0.2570	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001834	-5.01%	0.002854	+47.82%	0.2446	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001914	-4.84%	0.002809	+39.63%	0.1700	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001745	-5.09%	0.002845	+54.73%	0.2719	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001749	-4.95%	0.002662	+44.63%	0.2101	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001832	-4.89%	0.002657	+37.93%	0.1337	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001797	-5.00%	0.002679	+41.63%	0.2021	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001806	-4.82%	0.002757	+45.33%	0.2253	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001834	-4.98%	0.002768	+43.46%	0.1875	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001771	-4.79%	0.002631	+41.44%	0.1837	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001758	-4.26%	0.00288	+56.85%	0.3041	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.