CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +7d
assessed
102
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
34.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2655
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0458
actual +0.1246
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.064431 | -3.23% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.066416 | -3.37% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.064682 | -3.30% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.06791 | -3.64% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.071077 | -3.86% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.069898 | -3.92% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.075216 | -4.17% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.070433 | -4.50% | 0.066581 | -9.72% | 0.0476 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.084151 | -4.64% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2038 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.092081 | -5.13% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3188 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.087997 | -4.73% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2394 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.087748 | -5.04% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.1883 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.08255 | -4.72% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1381 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.06964 | -4.79% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.1244 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.067711 | -5.01% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0659 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.083103 | -5.54% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0263 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.070241 | -5.00% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2676 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.061732 | -5.43% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3658 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.065622 | -4.94% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.3182 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.07036 | -4.96% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1823 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.066334 | -5.03% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0569 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.06565 | -5.27% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0785 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.056397 | -5.75% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4698 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.052788 | -6.42% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3694 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.04996 | -6.78% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2964 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.048116 | -6.71% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3656 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.048939 | -6.12% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.4196 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.046896 | -6.11% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.4047 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.050023 | -5.81% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.3147 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.04413 | -5.72% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2714 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.043244 | -5.73% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.2252 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.042474 | -5.07% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2827 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.045206 | -5.37% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1806 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.053032 | -4.98% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0321 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.052639 | -4.27% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0878 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.057175 | -4.74% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0701 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.054837 | -4.34% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0268 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.060152 | -6.62% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.1037 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046522 | -1.16% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0606 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044708 | -0.36% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1562 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044486 | +0.01% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3101 | ✓ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045488 | +0.05% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.1852 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047038 | -0.86% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.1916 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046482 | -0.65% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1397 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046237 | -0.83% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.3095 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.042923 | -0.08% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0082 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044468 | -0.53% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0519 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.044847 | -0.87% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0668 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.047488 | -2.65% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1620 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.069295 | -4.68% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3614 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.06709 | -4.91% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3419 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.0647 | -5.39% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3184 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.064378 | -5.55% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3577 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.065117 | -5.92% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3477 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.065827 | -5.86% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3423 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.06158 | -6.76% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2157 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.066129 | -6.35% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0643 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.064948 | -6.46% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0628 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.064629 | -6.09% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0491 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.065303 | -5.86% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0417 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.066193 | -5.57% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0657 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.063654 | -5.10% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0854 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.061398 | -5.18% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2444 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.064171 | -5.35% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3449 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.065235 | -5.42% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5455 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.066614 | -5.69% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5367 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.06342 | -5.53% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6681 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.05874 | -5.44% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.7197 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.060826 | -6.89% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.6872 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.05355 | -5.63% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5582 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.05212 | -5.74% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.4952 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.051203 | -6.52% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3449 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.043179 | -6.40% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.5143 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.037289 | -5.32% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.5145 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.034938 | -5.35% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.5070 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.033985 | -5.51% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.5841 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.029101 | -5.55% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6354 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026481 | -4.85% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6917 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.024142 | -4.84% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.7992 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.026198 | -5.07% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5828 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.027977 | -5.27% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.3933 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.025774 | -5.53% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4450 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.036708 | -6.42% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0652 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.032393 | -6.18% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0677 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.024795 | -4.87% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1474 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.02593 | -5.01% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0126 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.022989 | -4.54% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1722 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021548 | -4.37% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2309 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.02008 | -4.32% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3306 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.02579 | -4.77% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4392 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022628 | -4.07% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4276 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020413 | -3.60% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2781 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019314 | -3.41% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3869 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020312 | -3.41% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1938 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017924 | -3.05% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2187 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018311 | -3.05% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1442 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018137 | -2.84% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.3979 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017903 | -2.78% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2559 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017845 | -2.76% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1502 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016034 | -2.54% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.1976 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018585 | -2.74% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0773 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016572 | -2.56% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.0947 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015544 | -2.52% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1790 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019076 | -2.75% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0180 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021148 | -2.76% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1477 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021938 | -2.81% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020378 | -2.70% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2400 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020658 | -2.74% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0505 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022604 | -2.84% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2870 | ✓ | 1.00 |