CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +30d
assessed
80
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
13.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7463
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1138
actual +0.6173
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.069027 | 0.062686 | -9.19% | – | pending | – | – | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06897 | 0.062947 | -8.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.062664 | -8.83% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.060957 | -8.87% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.063839 | -9.42% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.066655 | -9.85% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.065423 | -10.07% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.070295 | -10.44% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.065361 | -11.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.078307 | -11.27% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.085841 | -11.56% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.082055 | -11.16% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.081954 | -11.31% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.077048 | -11.07% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.064574 | -11.71% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.062657 | -12.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.077698 | -11.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.065276 | -11.72% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.056852 | -12.91% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.060895 | -11.79% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.065843 | -11.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.06188 | -11.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.060933 | -12.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.051815 | -13.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.048032 | -14.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.045165 | -15.73% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.04349 | -15.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.044626 | -14.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.042737 | -14.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.046065 | -13.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.040444 | -13.60% | 0.069027 | +47.46% | 0.5090 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.039544 | -13.80% | 0.06897 | +50.35% | 0.5232 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.038817 | -13.24% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.5987 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.041458 | -13.21% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.4877 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.04904 | -12.13% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.3802 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.048726 | -11.38% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.5064 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.052977 | -11.74% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.4124 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.050806 | -11.37% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5518 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.055688 | -13.55% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.3504 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.04293 | -8.79% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.8628 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.041177 | -8.23% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 0.9586 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.040996 | -7.83% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 0.9567 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.042025 | -7.57% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9312 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.04376 | -7.77% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.7827 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.043294 | -7.46% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.6006 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.043178 | -7.39% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.5988 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.040143 | -6.55% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.9016 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.041894 | -6.29% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.7012 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.042472 | -6.12% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.5830 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.04485 | -8.06% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.5142 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.064531 | -11.23% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.2601 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.062277 | -11.74% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.2413 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.059664 | -12.75% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.2351 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.059233 | -13.10% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.1128 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.059629 | -13.85% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0353 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.060329 | -13.73% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.0037 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.055768 | -15.56% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.0070 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.060228 | -14.71% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.0586 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.059056 | -14.95% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.0680 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.059072 | -14.17% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.0145 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.059912 | -13.63% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.1033 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.061003 | -12.97% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.1235 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.05912 | -11.86% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.2295 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.056915 | -12.10% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0177 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.059486 | -12.26% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.2293 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.060426 | -12.39% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.3187 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.061826 | -12.47% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.3836 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.058865 | -12.31% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.4759 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.054534 | -12.21% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.7484 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.056227 | -13.93% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.3584 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.049713 | -12.39% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.4138 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.048397 | -12.47% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.4305 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.047435 | -13.40% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.4454 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.039975 | -13.35% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.6815 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.034612 | -12.12% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.7452 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.032466 | -12.04% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.8197 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.031576 | -12.21% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.8019 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.027006 | -12.35% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 1.0364 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.024587 | -11.65% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.1115 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.022321 | -12.02% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3705 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.02418 | -12.38% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5786 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.025821 | -12.57% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.4878 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.023611 | -13.46% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.6370 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.033836 | -13.74% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.2614 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.029947 | -13.26% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.3122 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.023002 | -11.75% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6861 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.024088 | -11.76% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6762 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.021426 | -11.03% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.8231 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.020104 | -10.78% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7822 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.018718 | -10.81% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0963 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.02406 | -11.15% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8658 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.02127 | -9.82% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 1.0232 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.019284 | -8.93% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0766 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.01829 | -8.54% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1710 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.019256 | -8.43% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.1979 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017043 | -7.81% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.3980 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.017424 | -7.75% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.4046 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.017298 | -7.34% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.3728 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.01709 | -7.20% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.3025 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017058 | -7.05% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.3700 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.015338 | -6.77% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3325 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.017755 | -7.08% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.1177 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.015841 | -6.86% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2439 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.014843 | -6.91% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1319 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.018226 | -7.08% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7594 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.020226 | -6.99% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5745 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.020975 | -7.08% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.4975 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.019484 | -6.97% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4435 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.019769 | -6.92% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.3326 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.021647 | -6.95% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1513 | ✗ | 1.00 |