CAP

Cap · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #71
symbol: CAP
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-26
predictions: 327

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

108

of 109 predictions shown

direction hit

39.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0853

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0136

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.066581	0.066054	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-20	oos	0.068735	0.068156	-0.84%	0.066581	-3.13%	0.0251	✓	-0.57
2026-10-19	oos	0.066889	0.066358	-0.79%	0.068735	+2.76%	0.0431	✗	-0.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.070477	0.06986	-0.88%	0.066889	-5.09%	0.0447	✓	-0.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.073935	0.073236	-0.94%	0.070477	-4.68%	0.0338	✓	-0.60
2026-10-16	oos	0.072748	0.072098	-0.89%	0.073935	+1.63%	0.0243	✗	-0.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.07849	0.077669	-1.05%	0.072748	-7.32%	0.0702	✓	-0.62
2026-10-14	oos	0.073752	0.07308	-0.91%	0.07849	+6.42%	0.0757	✗	-0.63
2026-10-13	oos	0.088248	0.087137	-1.26%	0.073752	-16.43%	0.1806	✓	-0.74
2026-10-12	oos	0.097059	0.095041	-2.08%	0.088248	-9.08%	0.0623	✓	-0.72
2026-10-11	oos	0.092361	0.090995	-1.48%	0.097059	+5.09%	0.0443	✗	-0.86
2026-10-10	oos	0.092402	0.090507	-2.05%	0.092361	-0.04%	0.0287	✗	-0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.086635	0.085272	-1.57%	0.092402	+6.66%	0.0844	✗	-0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.073139	0.07223	-1.24%	0.086635	+18.45%	0.1912	✗	-0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.07128	0.070358	-1.29%	0.073139	+2.61%	0.0207	✗	-0.94
2026-10-06	oos	0.087975	0.085654	-2.64%	0.07128	-18.98%	0.2151	✓	-1.17
2026-10-05	oos	0.073941	0.072855	-1.47%	0.087975	+18.98%	0.1857	✗	-1.17
2026-10-04	oos	0.065278	0.064457	-1.26%	0.073941	+13.27%	0.1275	✗	-1.12
2026-10-03	oos	0.069035	0.068121	-1.32%	0.065278	-5.44%	0.0200	✓	-1.10
2026-10-02	oos	0.074028	0.072575	-1.96%	0.069035	-6.74%	0.0469	✓	-1.10
2026-10-01	oos	0.069846	0.068579	-1.81%	0.074028	+5.99%	0.0721	✗	-1.08
2026-09-30	oos	0.069306	0.06809	-1.75%	0.069846	+0.78%	0.0426	✗	-1.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.059839	0.058867	-1.63%	0.069306	+15.82%	0.1621	✗	-1.12
2026-09-28	oos	0.056407	0.055426	-1.74%	0.059839	+6.09%	0.0792	✗	-1.20
2026-09-27	oos	0.053595	0.052725	-1.62%	0.056407	+5.25%	0.0530	✗	-1.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.051578	0.05078	-1.55%	0.053595	+3.91%	0.0546	✗	-1.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.052128	0.051313	-1.56%	0.051578	-1.05%	0.0097	✓	-1.17
2026-09-24	oos	0.049949	0.049181	-1.54%	0.052128	+4.36%	0.0542	✗	-1.15
2026-09-23	oos	0.053106	0.052091	-1.91%	0.049949	-5.94%	0.0419	✓	-1.16
2026-09-22	oos	0.046809	0.046156	-1.40%	0.053106	+13.45%	0.1168	✗	-1.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.045872	0.045268	-1.32%	0.046809	+2.04%	0.0284	✗	-1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.044741	0.044258	-1.08%	0.045872	+2.53%	0.1173	✗	-1.26
2026-09-19	oos	0.047769	0.046961	-1.69%	0.044741	-6.34%	0.0496	✓	-1.27
2026-09-18	oos	0.05581	0.05503	-1.40%	0.047769	-14.41%	0.1359	✓	-1.26
2026-09-17	oos	0.054984	0.054278	-1.28%	0.05581	+1.50%	0.1085	✗	-1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.060022	0.058941	-1.80%	0.054984	-8.39%	0.0657	✓	-1.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.057324	0.05632	-1.75%	0.060022	+4.71%	0.0741	✗	-1.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.064413	0.062067	-3.64%	0.057324	-11.01%	0.1346	✓	-1.64
2026-09-13	oos	0.047068	0.046969	-0.21%	0.064413	+36.85%	0.3478	✗	-1.80
2026-09-12	oos	0.044869	0.044879	+0.02%	0.047068	+4.90%	0.0368	✓	-1.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04448	0.044527	+0.11%	0.044869	+0.87%	0.0089	✓	-1.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.045466	0.045508	+0.09%	0.04448	-2.17%	0.0072	✗	-1.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.047448	0.047362	-0.18%	0.045466	-4.18%	0.0833	✓	-1.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.046785	0.046719	-0.14%	0.047448	+1.42%	0.0115	✗	-1.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.046622	0.046518	-0.22%	0.046785	+0.35%	0.0097	✓	-1.89
2026-09-06	oos	0.042957	0.042976	+0.05%	0.046622	+8.53%	0.0523	✓	-1.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.044706	0.044707	+0.00%	0.042957	-3.91%	0.0281	✗	-1.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.045241	0.045221	-0.05%	0.044706	-1.18%	0.0078	✓	-1.86
2026-09-03	oos	0.04878	0.048566	-0.44%	0.045241	-7.25%	0.1100	✓	-1.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.072695	0.071803	-1.23%	0.04878	-32.90%	0.3177	✓	-1.38
2026-09-01	oos	0.070557	0.069685	-1.24%	0.072695	+3.03%	0.0407	✗	-1.38
2026-08-31	oos	0.068387	0.067515	-1.28%	0.070557	+3.17%	0.0234	✗	-1.38
2026-08-30	oos	0.068164	0.067266	-1.32%	0.068387	+0.33%	0.0324	✗	-1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.069214	0.068242	-1.40%	0.068164	-1.52%	0.0114	✓	-1.41
2026-08-28	oos	0.069928	0.068924	-1.44%	0.069214	-1.02%	0.0113	✓	-1.40
2026-08-27	oos	0.066045	0.065039	-1.52%	0.069928	+5.88%	0.0289	✗	-1.41
2026-08-26	oos	0.070614	0.069499	-1.58%	0.066045	-6.47%	0.0293	✓	-1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.069435	0.068334	-1.59%	0.070614	+1.70%	0.0416	✗	-1.38
2026-08-24	oos	0.068823	0.067757	-1.55%	0.069435	+0.89%	0.0164	✗	-1.39
2026-08-23	oos	0.069367	0.068258	-1.60%	0.068823	-0.78%	0.0304	✗	-1.39
2026-08-22	oos	0.070097	0.068969	-1.61%	0.069367	-1.04%	0.0178	✗	-1.38
2026-08-21	oos	0.067073	0.066019	-1.57%	0.070097	+4.51%	0.0373	✗	-1.38
2026-08-20	oos	0.064753	0.063715	-1.60%	0.067073	+3.58%	0.1783	✗	-1.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.067798	0.06653	-1.87%	0.064753	-4.49%	0.0719	✗	-1.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.068975	0.06764	-1.94%	0.067798	-1.71%	0.1741	✗	-2.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.070634	0.06889	-2.47%	0.068975	-2.35%	0.0091	✓	-2.48
2026-08-16	oos	0.067132	0.06559	-2.30%	0.070634	+5.22%	0.1442	✗	-2.72
2026-08-15	oos	0.062121	0.060734	-2.23%	0.067132	+8.07%	0.0923	✗	-2.70
2026-08-14	oos	0.065324	0.062851	-3.79%	0.062121	-4.90%	0.0098	✓	-2.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.056743	0.055376	-2.41%	0.065324	+15.12%	0.1466	✗	-2.62
2026-08-12	oos	0.055292	0.053877	-2.56%	0.056743	+2.62%	0.0524	✗	-2.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.054776	0.052922	-3.39%	0.055292	+0.94%	0.0389	✗	-2.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.046134	0.044669	-3.18%	0.054776	+18.73%	0.1890	✗	-2.52
2026-08-09	oos	0.039386	0.038635	-1.91%	0.046134	+17.13%	0.1435	✗	-2.33
2026-08-08	oos	0.036911	0.036158	-2.04%	0.039386	+6.70%	0.0834	✗	-2.32
2026-08-07	oos	0.035967	0.03516	-2.24%	0.036911	+2.62%	0.0492	✗	-2.31
2026-08-06	oos	0.030811	0.030117	-2.25%	0.035967	+16.74%	0.2013	✗	-2.45
2026-08-05	oos	0.02783	0.027454	-1.35%	0.030811	+10.71%	0.1029	✗	-2.39
2026-08-04	oos	0.025369	0.025095	-1.08%	0.02783	+9.70%	0.1247	✗	-2.47
2026-08-03	oos	0.027598	0.027253	-1.25%	0.025369	-8.08%	0.0494	✓	-2.42
2026-08-02	oos	0.029535	0.029079	-1.54%	0.027598	-6.56%	0.0536	✓	-2.44
2026-08-01	oos	0.027282	0.026942	-1.25%	0.029535	+8.26%	0.1216	✗	-2.55
2026-07-31	oos	0.039226	0.03809	-2.89%	0.027282	-30.45%	0.3363	✓	-2.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.034526	0.033579	-2.74%	0.039226	+13.61%	0.0811	✗	-2.50
2026-07-29	oos	0.026065	0.025736	-1.26%	0.034526	+32.46%	0.3312	✗	-2.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.027298	0.026875	-1.55%	0.026065	-4.52%	0.0284	✓	-2.92
2026-07-27	oos	0.024081	0.023802	-1.16%	0.027298	+13.36%	0.1441	✗	-2.92
2026-07-26	oos	0.022534	0.022317	-0.96%	0.024081	+6.87%	0.0007	✓	-2.95
2026-07-25	oos	0.020987	0.020807	-0.86%	0.022534	+7.37%	0.0636	✗	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.02708	0.026675	-1.50%	0.020987	-22.50%	0.2431	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.023588	0.023326	-1.11%	0.02708	+14.81%	0.1642	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.021176	0.020997	-0.85%	0.023588	+11.39%	0.1322	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.019997	0.019843	-0.77%	0.021176	+5.90%	0.0715	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.02103	0.020847	-0.87%	0.019997	-4.91%	0.0614	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.018488	0.018359	-0.69%	0.02103	+13.75%	0.1276	✗	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.018888	0.018753	-0.71%	0.018488	-2.12%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.018668	0.01854	-0.68%	0.018888	+1.18%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.018416	0.018289	-0.69%	0.018668	+1.37%	0.0186	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.018352	0.018224	-0.70%	0.018416	+0.35%	0.0252	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.016452	0.016357	-0.58%	0.018352	+11.55%	0.1193	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.019108	0.018974	-0.70%	0.016452	-13.90%	0.1854	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.017007	0.016912	-0.56%	0.019108	+12.35%	0.1455	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.015945	0.015869	-0.47%	0.017007	+6.66%	0.0698	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.019616	0.019502	-0.58%	0.015945	-18.71%	0.1958	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.021747	0.021601	-0.67%	0.019616	-9.80%	0.1114	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.022573	0.022401	-0.76%	0.021747	-3.66%	0.0446	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.020944	0.020815	-0.62%	0.022573	+7.78%	0.0984	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.02124	0.021096	-0.68%	0.020944	-1.39%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.023265	0.02307	-0.84%	0.02124	-8.70%	0.0892	✓	1.00