AVA
AVA (Travala) · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #60
- symbol
- AVA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-14
- predictions
- 459
Track record at +30d
assessed
123
of 153 predictions shown
direction hit
50.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1775
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0462
actual +0.0097
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.37325 | 0.333315 | -10.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.38 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.3753 | 0.334184 | -10.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.38 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.3432 | 0.308979 | -9.97% | – | pending | – | – | 0.37 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.42285 | 0.360076 | -14.85% | – | pending | – | – | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.3193 | 0.285289 | -10.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.3784 | 0.32266 | -14.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2935 | 0.265149 | -9.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2846 | 0.257406 | -9.56% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.26855 | 0.241099 | -10.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.2373 | 0.219118 | -7.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2321 | 0.21521 | -7.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.22825 | 0.214058 | -6.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.2325 | 0.218516 | -6.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.2387 | 0.22434 | -6.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.23205 | 0.218288 | -5.93% | – | pending | – | – | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.22615 | 0.213803 | -5.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.23255 | 0.220565 | -5.15% | – | pending | – | – | 0.67 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.24515 | 0.232448 | -5.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.67 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2621 | 0.247638 | -5.52% | – | pending | – | – | 0.67 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.26635 | 0.249432 | -6.35% | – | pending | – | – | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.26025 | 0.243958 | -6.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.25855 | 0.242531 | -6.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2456 | 0.230373 | -6.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.24525 | 0.22946 | -6.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2432 | 0.227662 | -6.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2525 | 0.236215 | -6.45% | – | pending | – | – | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2456 | 0.23104 | -5.93% | – | pending | – | – | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.26395 | 0.246197 | -6.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2556 | 0.239468 | -6.31% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.253 | 0.236943 | -6.35% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.25725 | 0.241055 | -6.30% | 0.37325 | +45.09% | 0.4536 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.24785 | 0.234735 | -5.29% | 0.3753 | +51.42% | 0.4913 | ✗ | 0.73 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.2389 | 0.221552 | -7.26% | 0.3432 | +43.66% | 0.4212 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2257 | 0.212151 | -6.00% | 0.42285 | +87.35% | 0.6841 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.2356 | 0.217267 | -7.78% | 0.3193 | +35.53% | 0.3742 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2631 | 0.226353 | -13.97% | 0.3784 | +43.82% | 0.4469 | ✗ | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.15575 | 0.153355 | -1.54% | 0.2935 | +88.44% | 0.5788 | ✗ | 1.03 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.15935 | 0.156934 | -1.52% | 0.2846 | +78.60% | 0.5079 | ✗ | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.16475 | 0.162894 | -1.13% | 0.26855 | +63.00% | 0.4560 | ✗ | 1.03 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17235 | 0.167826 | -2.62% | 0.2373 | +37.68% | 0.2633 | ✗ | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.16675 | 0.1639 | -1.71% | 0.2321 | +39.19% | 0.2878 | ✗ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.1533 | 0.152338 | -0.63% | 0.22825 | +48.89% | 0.3183 | ✗ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.14845 | 0.14781 | -0.43% | 0.2325 | +56.62% | 0.3683 | ✗ | 1.06 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.15835 | 0.157406 | -0.60% | 0.2387 | +50.74% | 0.3617 | ✗ | 1.03 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.16595 | 0.163928 | -1.22% | 0.23205 | +39.83% | 0.3033 | ✗ | 1.09 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.158972 | -0.80% | 0.22615 | +41.12% | 0.2954 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1657 | 0.164504 | -0.72% | 0.23255 | +40.34% | 0.2765 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.17045 | 0.169036 | -0.83% | 0.24515 | +43.83% | 0.2922 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1723 | 0.170428 | -1.09% | 0.2621 | +52.12% | 0.3393 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.19615 | 0.191909 | -2.16% | 0.26635 | +35.79% | 0.2844 | ✗ | 1.04 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1842 | 0.178349 | -3.18% | 0.26025 | +41.29% | 0.2834 | ✗ | 1.06 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1902 | 0.183424 | -3.56% | 0.25855 | +35.94% | 0.2447 | ✗ | 1.07 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.19365 | 0.18723 | -3.32% | 0.2456 | +26.83% | 0.2098 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.19105 | 0.184292 | -3.54% | 0.24525 | +28.37% | 0.2114 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1997 | 0.192165 | -3.77% | 0.2432 | +21.78% | 0.1727 | ✗ | 0.97 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.202 | 0.1943 | -3.81% | 0.2525 | +25.00% | 0.1827 | ✗ | 0.97 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2085 | 0.20315 | -2.57% | 0.2456 | +17.79% | 0.1409 | ✗ | 0.97 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.21075 | 0.205621 | -2.43% | 0.26395 | +25.24% | 0.1889 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2092 | 0.204769 | -2.12% | 0.2556 | +22.18% | 0.1509 | ✗ | 0.99 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2018 | 0.199523 | -1.13% | 0.253 | +25.37% | 0.1719 | ✗ | 0.99 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.20705 | 0.203112 | -1.90% | 0.25725 | +24.25% | 0.1318 | ✗ | 1.01 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2035 | 0.199482 | -1.97% | 0.24785 | +21.79% | 0.0994 | ✗ | 1.01 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2049 | 0.203197 | -0.83% | 0.2389 | +16.59% | 0.1260 | ✗ | 1.01 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.191 | 0.183049 | -4.16% | 0.2257 | +18.17% | 0.1011 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.1799 | 0.168948 | -6.09% | 0.2356 | +30.96% | 0.1756 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.17065 | 0.157153 | -7.91% | 0.2631 | +54.18% | 0.3408 | ✗ | 1.05 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.17415 | 0.16012 | -8.06% | 0.15575 | -10.57% | 0.2079 | ✓ | 1.08 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.17405 | 0.159249 | -8.50% | 0.15935 | -8.45% | 0.2044 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.17835 | 0.162936 | -8.64% | 0.16475 | -7.63% | 0.2277 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.17865 | 0.16283 | -8.86% | 0.17235 | -3.53% | 0.1645 | ✓ | 1.12 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.18025 | 0.164275 | -8.86% | 0.16675 | -7.49% | 0.2069 | ✓ | 1.12 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.18485 | 0.168255 | -8.98% | 0.1533 | -17.07% | 0.3199 | ✓ | 1.15 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.19115 | 0.173801 | -9.08% | 0.14845 | -22.34% | 0.3724 | ✓ | 1.15 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.203 | 0.183917 | -9.40% | 0.15835 | -22.00% | 0.3823 | ✓ | 1.15 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.2075 | 0.18804 | -9.38% | 0.16595 | -20.02% | 0.3429 | ✓ | 1.14 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.20655 | 0.186757 | -9.58% | 0.16025 | -22.42% | 0.3792 | ✓ | 1.14 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.21025 | 0.188301 | -10.44% | 0.1657 | -21.19% | 0.3726 | ✓ | 1.15 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.1902 | 0.171435 | -9.87% | 0.17045 | -10.38% | 0.2458 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.18165 | 0.164369 | -9.51% | 0.1723 | -5.15% | 0.1860 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.16775 | 0.152041 | -9.36% | 0.19615 | +16.93% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.08 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.153993 | -10.31% | 0.1842 | +7.28% | 0.0370 | ✓ | 1.10 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.1825 | 0.163226 | -10.56% | 0.1902 | +4.22% | 0.0650 | ✓ | 1.10 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.17155 | 0.151861 | -11.48% | 0.19365 | +12.88% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.16075 | 0.144058 | -10.38% | 0.19105 | +18.85% | 0.0558 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.152 | 0.138958 | -8.58% | 0.1997 | +31.38% | 0.1430 | ✗ | 1.16 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.1501 | 0.137096 | -8.66% | 0.202 | +34.58% | 0.1591 | ✗ | 1.16 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.1533 | 0.142502 | -7.04% | 0.2085 | +36.01% | 0.1150 | ✗ | 1.16 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.15455 | 0.14356 | -7.11% | 0.21075 | +36.36% | 0.1334 | ✗ | 1.16 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.1624 | 0.153878 | -5.25% | 0.2092 | +28.82% | 0.0962 | ✗ | 1.15 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.1637 | 0.154506 | -5.62% | 0.2018 | +23.27% | 0.0274 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.15435 | 0.146896 | -4.83% | 0.20705 | +34.14% | 0.1213 | ✗ | 1.15 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.15365 | 0.148057 | -3.64% | 0.2035 | +32.44% | 0.1213 | ✗ | 1.16 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.1581 | 0.153809 | -2.71% | 0.2049 | +29.60% | 0.0899 | ✗ | 1.16 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.15995 | 0.156281 | -2.29% | 0.191 | +19.41% | 0.0926 | ✗ | 1.16 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.1559 | 0.151687 | -2.70% | 0.1799 | +15.39% | 0.1005 | ✗ | 1.15 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.1539 | 0.149465 | -2.88% | 0.17065 | +10.88% | 0.1326 | ✗ | 1.15 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.15475 | 0.150536 | -2.72% | 0.17415 | +12.54% | 0.1514 | ✗ | 1.15 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.158 | 0.153287 | -2.98% | 0.17405 | +10.16% | 0.1466 | ✗ | 1.17 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.15955 | 0.154804 | -2.97% | 0.17835 | +11.78% | 0.1555 | ✗ | 1.17 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.16415 | 0.159855 | -2.62% | 0.17865 | +8.83% | 0.1431 | ✗ | 1.17 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.1618 | 0.158041 | -2.32% | 0.18025 | +11.40% | 0.1600 | ✗ | 1.17 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.1574 | 0.152476 | -3.13% | 0.18485 | +17.44% | 0.1704 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.1628 | 0.158715 | -2.51% | 0.19115 | +17.41% | 0.1899 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.16735 | 0.163093 | -2.54% | 0.203 | +21.30% | 0.2162 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.1696 | 0.165326 | -2.52% | 0.2075 | +22.35% | 0.2137 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.16805 | 0.164062 | -2.37% | 0.20655 | +22.91% | 0.1973 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.1669 | 0.163099 | -2.28% | 0.21025 | +25.97% | 0.2027 | ✗ | 1.23 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.1711 | 0.167312 | -2.21% | 0.1902 | +11.16% | 0.1101 | ✗ | 1.23 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.17935 | 0.174958 | -2.45% | 0.18165 | +1.28% | 0.0262 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.1803 | 0.175673 | -2.57% | 0.16775 | -6.96% | 0.0551 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.18395 | 0.178762 | -2.82% | 0.1717 | -6.66% | 0.0478 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.17725 | 0.172045 | -2.94% | 0.1825 | +2.96% | 0.0400 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.17095 | 0.166031 | -2.88% | 0.17155 | +0.35% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.17475 | 0.169959 | -2.74% | 0.16075 | -8.01% | 0.1156 | ✓ | 1.28 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.16145 | 0.157239 | -2.61% | 0.152 | -5.85% | 0.1545 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.1661 | 0.161774 | -2.60% | 0.1501 | -9.63% | 0.1475 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.16695 | 0.16281 | -2.48% | 0.1533 | -8.18% | 0.1471 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.16885 | 0.164465 | -2.60% | 0.15455 | -8.47% | 0.1367 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.1731 | 0.168563 | -2.62% | 0.1624 | -6.18% | 0.1422 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.17085 | 0.166505 | -2.54% | 0.1637 | -4.18% | 0.1078 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.1746 | 0.16968 | -2.82% | 0.15435 | -11.60% | 0.1557 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.18185 | 0.176053 | -3.19% | 0.15365 | -15.51% | 0.1822 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.18755 | 0.181004 | -3.49% | 0.1581 | -15.70% | 0.1754 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.1911 | 0.184897 | -3.25% | 0.15995 | -16.30% | 0.2084 | ✓ | 1.25 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.19835 | 0.191387 | -3.51% | 0.1559 | -21.40% | 0.2241 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.19035 | 0.18424 | -3.21% | 0.1539 | -19.15% | 0.2028 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.1941 | 0.187375 | -3.46% | 0.15475 | -20.27% | 0.2287 | ✓ | 1.25 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.2037 | 0.195363 | -4.09% | 0.158 | -22.43% | 0.2017 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.1998 | 0.191257 | -4.28% | 0.15955 | -20.15% | 0.1454 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.1971 | 0.188403 | -4.41% | 0.16415 | -16.72% | 0.1077 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.1934 | 0.185478 | -4.10% | 0.1618 | -16.34% | 0.1228 | ✓ | 1.25 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.1904 | 0.183602 | -3.57% | 0.1574 | -17.33% | 0.1107 | ✓ | 1.27 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.191 | 0.184251 | -3.53% | 0.1628 | -14.76% | 0.1269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.19395 | 0.186551 | -3.81% | 0.16735 | -13.71% | 0.1119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.1754 | 0.170807 | -2.62% | 0.1696 | -3.31% | 0.0498 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.17575 | 0.171156 | -2.61% | 0.16805 | -4.38% | 0.0422 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.1836 | 0.177517 | -3.31% | 0.1669 | -9.10% | 0.0485 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.1835 | 0.176951 | -3.57% | 0.1711 | -6.76% | 0.0339 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.1772 | 0.172858 | -2.45% | 0.17935 | +1.21% | 0.0136 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.1769 | 0.172331 | -2.58% | 0.1803 | +1.92% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.1918 | 0.184036 | -4.05% | 0.18395 | -4.09% | 0.0109 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.2098 | 0.200291 | -4.53% | 0.17725 | -15.51% | 0.0982 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-02 | oos | 0.2063 | 0.194644 | -5.65% | 0.17095 | -17.14% | 0.0490 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-01 | oos | 0.2219 | 0.207567 | -6.46% | 0.17475 | -21.25% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 | oos | 0.2223 | 0.208023 | -6.42% | 0.16145 | -27.37% | 0.0246 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-30 | oos | 0.21885 | 0.205554 | -6.08% | 0.1661 | -24.10% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | oos | 0.21825 | 0.205024 | -6.06% | 0.16695 | -23.51% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-28 | oos | 0.215 | 0.202071 | -6.01% | 0.16885 | -21.47% | 0.0246 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-27 | oos | 0.2224 | 0.208808 | -6.11% | 0.1731 | -22.17% | 0.0264 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-26 | oos | 0.2274 | 0.215199 | -5.37% | 0.17085 | -24.87% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-25 | oos | 0.2333 | 0.222109 | -4.80% | 0.1746 | -25.16% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-24 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.220332 | -4.78% | 0.18185 | -21.41% | 0.0141 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-23 | oos | 0.2424 | 0.23088 | -4.75% | 0.18755 | -22.63% | 0.0267 | ✓ | 1.00 |