ARK

ARK · native · gru_s5

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,273

Track record at +7d

assessed

381

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0546

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0218

actual -0.0093

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.18393	0.178833	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.18695	0.182144	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.170085	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.168851	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.16422	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.167042	-3.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.172001	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.173872	-4.54%	0.18393	+0.98%	0.0333	✓	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.173091	-4.50%	0.18695	+3.14%	0.0500	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.182978	-4.08%	0.17451	-8.52%	0.0456	✓	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.179376	-5.00%	0.173985	-7.85%	0.0316	✓	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.195472	-5.55%	0.16914	-18.27%	0.1280	✓	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.200035	-6.01%	0.173255	-18.59%	0.1282	✓	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.203419	-5.19%	0.17946	-16.36%	0.1147	✓	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.214187	-4.65%	0.18215	-18.91%	0.1665	✓	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.203139	-5.30%	0.18125	-15.50%	0.0956	✓	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.195897	-6.13%	0.19077	-8.59%	0.0002	✓	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.206288	-5.47%	0.188815	-13.48%	0.0442	✓	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.213714	-4.63%	0.20696	-7.64%	0.0012	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.221263	-4.29%	0.21283	-7.94%	0.0180	✓	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.201308	-4.89%	0.21456	+1.37%	0.0861	✗	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.232019	-4.61%	0.22464	-7.64%	0.0027	✓	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.247804	-4.90%	0.2145	-17.68%	0.1411	✓	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.240115	-4.41%	0.208695	-16.92%	0.1618	✓	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.228623	-4.20%	0.21823	-8.56%	0.0712	✓	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.238362	-3.64%	0.22409	-9.41%	0.0832	✓	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.248252	-4.73%	0.231185	-11.28%	0.0747	✓	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.240798	-5.32%	0.21165	-16.78%	0.1334	✓	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.185249	-4.17%	0.243225	+25.83%	0.2671	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.151945	-4.27%	0.26057	+64.16%	0.5488	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.152467	-3.50%	0.251205	+58.99%	0.5291	✗	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.148094	-3.84%	0.23865	+54.97%	0.5137	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.146154	-3.69%	0.247355	+62.99%	0.4830	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.148175	-3.43%	0.260575	+69.82%	0.5232	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.137863	-3.09%	0.25433	+78.78%	0.5703	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.133488	-2.63%	0.1933	+41.00%	0.2578	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.144773	-3.33%	0.15873	+5.99%	0.0229	✓	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.140635	-3.12%	0.158	+8.84%	0.0322	✓	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.16159	-4.15%	0.154	-8.65%	0.1510	✓	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.133341	-3.20%	0.15176	+10.17%	0.0790	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.130211	-2.04%	0.15344	+15.43%	0.1179	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.113562	-0.91%	0.142255	+24.13%	0.1819	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.109507	-0.49%	0.13709	+24.57%	0.2269	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.1167	-0.80%	0.149755	+27.29%	0.2742	✗	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.115432	-0.77%	0.145165	+24.79%	0.2620	✗	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.113682	-0.71%	0.168585	+47.24%	0.4043	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.117065	-0.62%	0.13775	+16.94%	0.2020	✗	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.116761	-0.71%	0.132925	+13.03%	0.1582	✗	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.116706	-0.76%	0.114605	-2.54%	0.0093	✗	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.113404	-0.44%	0.11005	-3.39%	0.0246	✗	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.10893	-0.89%	0.117645	+7.04%	0.0654	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.108157	-0.76%	0.116325	+6.73%	0.0604	✗	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.109384	-0.70%	0.114495	+3.94%	0.0395	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.108772	-0.48%	0.1178	+7.78%	0.0490	✗	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.112037	+0.44%	0.1176	+5.43%	0.0308	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.11223	-0.20%	0.117595	+4.57%	0.0264	✗	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.113197	-1.00%	0.11391	-0.37%	0.0045	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.111537	-0.91%	0.10991	-2.35%	0.0046	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.106586	-0.20%	0.10899	+2.06%	0.0350	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.107095	-0.09%	0.110155	+2.76%	0.0328	✗	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.108169	-0.19%	0.1093	+0.85%	0.0111	✗	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.108266	-0.22%	0.111545	+2.81%	0.0162	✗	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.106761	-0.14%	0.112455	+5.18%	0.0576	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.096188	-0.86%	0.114335	+17.84%	0.0937	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.091065	-0.95%	0.11256	+22.43%	0.1048	✗	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.08529	-0.85%	0.106795	+24.15%	0.0744	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.08646	-1.17%	0.107195	+22.54%	0.0561	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.087199	-0.86%	0.108375	+23.21%	0.0452	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.088808	-0.91%	0.1085	+21.07%	0.0381	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.087575	-0.93%	0.106915	+20.95%	0.0229	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.089149	-1.00%	0.097025	+7.75%	0.0295	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.088156	-1.28%	0.09194	+2.96%	0.0316	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.089717	-1.67%	0.08602	-5.72%	0.0569	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.091356	-1.26%	0.08748	-5.45%	0.0507	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.092319	-1.23%	0.08796	-5.89%	0.0217	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.092956	-1.67%	0.08962	-5.20%	0.0116	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.092867	-1.46%	0.088395	-6.21%	0.0241	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.093482	-1.21%	0.090045	-4.85%	0.0263	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.092274	-0.81%	0.089295	-4.01%	0.0170	✓	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.092547	-0.90%	0.09124	-2.30%	0.0074	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.093819	-1.01%	0.092525	-2.37%	0.0199	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.09199	-0.99%	0.093465	+0.60%	0.0022	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.091607	-1.06%	0.094535	+2.11%	0.0031	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.092694	-1.14%	0.094245	+0.52%	0.0107	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.093319	-1.17%	0.09463	+0.22%	0.0201	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.091686	-1.29%	0.093025	+0.16%	0.0052	✓	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.095245	-1.46%	0.093385	-3.39%	0.0224	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.095957	-1.71%	0.094775	-2.92%	0.0093	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.102402	-1.77%	0.09291	-10.88%	0.0751	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.10163	-1.90%	0.092585	-10.63%	0.0743	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.099871	-2.09%	0.09376	-8.08%	0.0475	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.101205	-2.18%	0.09442	-8.74%	0.0654	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.102884	-2.14%	0.09288	-11.66%	0.0759	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.10319	-2.22%	0.09666	-8.41%	0.0333	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.100356	-2.44%	0.097625	-5.09%	0.0100	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.099999	-2.62%	0.10425	+1.52%	0.0340	✗	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.102603	-2.69%	0.1036	-1.74%	0.0156	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.101296	-2.68%	0.102	-2.01%	0.0046	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.101783	-2.45%	0.10346	-0.84%	0.0007	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.104557	-2.19%	0.105135	-1.65%	0.0109	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.1053	-2.27%	0.10553	-2.06%	0.0161	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.10269	-2.19%	0.102865	-2.02%	0.0355	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.1046	-2.24%	0.102685	-4.03%	0.0303	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.105542	-2.09%	0.105435	-2.19%	0.0140	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.106217	-2.01%	0.10409	-3.98%	0.0172	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.103957	-1.92%	0.104335	-1.56%	0.0039	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.102297	-1.88%	0.1069	+2.53%	0.0129	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.104762	-1.94%	0.107745	+0.85%	0.0075	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.108561	-1.99%	0.10499	-5.21%	0.0118	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.108439	-2.06%	0.107	-3.36%	0.0153	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.109376	-2.10%	0.1078	-3.51%	0.0231	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.109416	-2.31%	0.1084	-3.21%	0.0291	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.106921	-2.09%	0.10599	-2.94%	0.0296	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.103949	-1.86%	0.10426	-1.57%	0.0253	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.110326	-1.89%	0.106835	-4.99%	0.0982	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.10824	-1.96%	0.110715	+0.28%	0.0330	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.110595	-1.99%	0.11172	-1.00%	0.0327	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.105427	-1.32%	0.112	+4.83%	0.0260	✗	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.102774	-1.31%	0.1092	+4.86%	0.0362	✗	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.105012	-1.48%	0.10592	-0.62%	0.0226	✗	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.106581	-1.85%	0.11245	+3.55%	0.1105	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.108487	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.110242	-2.33%	0.110405	-2.18%	0.0532	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.113934	-2.24%	0.112845	-3.17%	0.0490	✗	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.111796	-1.91%	0.10684	-6.26%	0.0026	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.113504	-1.94%	0.10414	-10.03%	0.0412	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.118708	-2.12%	0.106585	-12.12%	0.0609	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.121447	-2.14%	0.108595	-12.49%	0.0728	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.122378	-2.05%	0.11121	-10.99%	0.0647	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.122111	-2.00%	0.11287	-9.41%	0.0456	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.119865	-1.34%	0.116545	-4.07%	0.0252	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.118295	-1.13%	0.113975	-4.74%	0.0363	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.119902	-1.25%	0.115755	-4.66%	0.0254	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.119145	-0.88%	0.121285	+0.90%	0.0261	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.114377	-0.68%	0.1241	+7.77%	0.0242	✗	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.140462	-2.08%	0.120205	-16.20%	0.1197	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.144708	-2.51%	0.115155	-22.42%	0.1611	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.153374	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.151703	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.147303	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.145289	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.14376	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.148056	-1.95%	0.14344	-5.01%	0.0860	✗	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.151081	-2.13%	0.14843	-3.85%	0.0840	✗	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.155242	-2.42%	0.15781	-0.80%	0.0807	✗	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.154852	-2.07%	0.156685	-0.91%	0.0481	✗	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.159311	-2.32%	0.151745	-6.96%	0.0175	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.154446	-2.40%	0.149	-5.84%	0.0133	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.159391	-2.67%	0.14687	-10.31%	0.0389	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.15677	-2.07%	0.151	-5.67%	0.0040	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.155026	-2.01%	0.15437	-2.42%	0.0057	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.160108	-1.86%	0.15909	-2.49%	0.0096	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.160026	-1.49%	0.158125	-2.66%	0.0074	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.165489	-0.82%	0.163095	-2.26%	0.0005	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.16904	-0.84%	0.15824	-7.18%	0.0275	✓	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.176612	-0.84%	0.16376	-8.05%	0.0392	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.174968	-0.82%	0.16008	-9.26%	0.0690	✓	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.180994	-0.88%	0.1582	-13.37%	0.0946	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.187134	-1.07%	0.16315	-13.75%	0.0869	✓	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.187375	-0.28%	0.162445	-13.55%	0.0935	✓	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.178331	-0.37%	0.1781	-0.50%	0.0120	✓	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.179617	-0.32%	0.17641	-2.10%	0.0064	✗	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.176108	-0.79%	0.18261	+2.88%	0.0420	✗	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.173537	-0.84%	0.189155	+8.09%	0.0608	✗	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.175509	-1.28%	0.18791	+5.69%	0.0185	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.17112	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.171195	-1.43%	0.179	+3.07%	0.0078	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.172948	-1.49%	0.1802	+2.64%	0.0391	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.178757	-1.72%	0.177505	-2.41%	0.0720	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.170331	-0.91%	0.175	+1.81%	0.0085	✓	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.175366	-0.68%	0.17779	+0.69%	0.0154	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.172279	-0.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.171306	-0.66%	0.17355	+0.64%	0.0019	✓	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.170852	-0.49%	0.17367	+1.15%	0.0451	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.171506	-0.65%	0.17556	+1.70%	0.0593	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.172019	-1.00%	0.181895	+4.69%	0.0563	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.169901	-1.11%	0.17189	+0.05%	0.0106	✓	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.164665	-1.31%	0.176575	+5.83%	0.0006	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.172247	-1.23%	0.173675	-0.42%	0.0194	✓	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.176337	-1.41%	0.17244	-3.59%	0.0276	✓	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.173087	-1.64%	0.171695	-2.43%	0.0533	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.170275	-1.27%	0.172625	+0.09%	0.0353	✓	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.166529	-1.23%	0.17375	+3.05%	0.0104	✓	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.168337	-1.42%	0.17181	+0.61%	0.0005	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.160835	-1.80%	0.16685	+1.87%	0.0113	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.166209	-1.37%	0.1744	+3.50%	0.0078	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.16828	-1.39%	0.17886	+4.80%	0.0008	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.166894	-1.55%	0.175965	+3.80%	0.0011	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.165816	-1.64%	0.17247	+2.31%	0.0189	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.168371	-1.58%	0.168605	-1.44%	0.0338	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.162466	-2.16%	0.17076	+2.84%	0.0380	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.162461	-2.16%	0.16379	-1.36%	0.0200	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.162567	-1.65%	0.16851	+1.95%	0.0576	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.163917	-1.72%	0.17066	+2.32%	0.0576	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.157884	-1.87%	0.16953	+5.37%	0.0087	✓	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.164213	-1.38%	0.168575	+1.24%	0.0222	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.160539	-1.36%	0.171065	+5.11%	0.0038	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.158894	-1.45%	0.16605	+2.99%	0.0085	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.155292	-1.36%	0.166055	+5.47%	0.0158	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.159174	-1.42%	0.165295	+2.37%	0.0213	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.159574	-1.49%	0.16679	+2.96%	0.0339	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.164062	-1.48%	0.160885	-3.39%	0.0120	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.170331	-1.49%	0.16651	-3.70%	0.0296	✗	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.16877	-1.57%	0.16275	-5.08%	0.0018	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.168729	-1.58%	0.16123	-5.96%	0.0233	✗	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.161378	-1.70%	0.15744	-4.10%	0.0076	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.167763	-1.75%	0.161465	-5.44%	0.0056	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.172854	-1.80%	0.161995	-7.97%	0.0043	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.17285	-1.82%	0.166535	-5.41%	0.0183	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.175498	-1.93%	0.1729	-3.38%	0.0158	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.18525	-2.06%	0.17146	-9.35%	0.0233	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.18527	-1.72%	0.17144	-9.06%	0.0142	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.172057	-1.61%	0.164175	-6.12%	0.0330	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.167822	-1.61%	0.17075	+0.11%	0.0546	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.169785	-1.68%	0.176025	+1.94%	0.0432	✗	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.171609	-1.64%	0.17606	+0.91%	0.0355	✗	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.168549	-0.92%	0.17895	+5.20%	0.0433	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.164649	-0.81%	0.18915	+13.95%	0.0767	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.162586	-0.82%	0.18851	+15.00%	0.0465	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.162066	-0.57%	0.17487	+7.29%	0.0373	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.163083	-0.59%	0.17057	+3.97%	0.0210	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.168679	-0.71%	0.17268	+1.65%	0.0231	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.170368	-0.81%	0.17447	+1.58%	0.0296	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.173018	-0.93%	0.17011	-2.59%	0.0227	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.170659	-0.89%	0.165995	-3.59%	0.0557	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.170308	-0.94%	0.163925	-4.65%	0.0313	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.169888	-0.85%	0.162995	-4.87%	0.0451	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.173797	-0.88%	0.164055	-6.43%	0.0629	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.173018	-0.89%	0.169885	-2.69%	0.0587	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.177361	-0.94%	0.171755	-4.07%	0.0915	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.178995	-0.97%	0.17464	-3.38%	0.1054	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.169458	-0.64%	0.172185	+0.96%	0.0631	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.170801	-0.88%	0.17192	-0.24%	0.0694	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.177752	-1.50%	0.171345	-5.05%	0.0032	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.182542	-1.76%	0.175335	-5.64%	0.0226	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.18076	-1.97%	0.17458	-5.32%	0.0038	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.178753	-2.01%	0.17904	-1.86%	0.0078	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.177999	-2.05%	0.18074	-0.54%	0.0132	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.184954	-2.26%	0.170555	-9.87%	0.0196	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.187369	-2.11%	0.172325	-9.97%	0.0079	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.186103	-2.03%	0.18046	-5.00%	0.0103	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.200236	-2.29%	0.185815	-9.33%	0.0435	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.196476	-2.09%	0.184385	-8.12%	0.0493	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.182596	-1.40%	0.182425	-1.49%	0.0142	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.179017	-1.41%	0.181725	+0.08%	0.0252	✗	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.181975	-1.61%	0.189235	+2.31%	0.0614	✗	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.179011	-1.70%	0.191405	+5.11%	0.0874	✗	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.178894	-1.46%	0.189955	+4.64%	0.0840	✗	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.183541	-1.15%	0.20493	+10.37%	0.1014	✗	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.183184	-0.99%	0.20067	+8.46%	0.1192	✗	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.163957	+2.46%	0.18518	+15.73%	0.0629	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.200827	-1.19%	0.181585	-10.66%	0.0250	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.205097	-1.50%	0.18496	-11.18%	0.0216	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.212532	-2.08%	0.182105	-16.10%	0.0554	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.207509	-1.33%	0.18154	-13.68%	0.0563	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.216122	-1.57%	0.18568	-15.43%	0.0336	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.229562	-2.36%	0.18501	-21.31%	0.0543	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.232909	-2.08%	0.160015	-32.72%	0.1011	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.249469	-2.53%	0.20325	-20.59%	0.0278	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.253431	-2.63%	0.20823	-19.99%	0.0500	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.25258	-2.57%	0.21705	-16.27%	0.0502	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.243202	-2.46%	0.2103	-15.66%	0.0421	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.250081	-3.02%	0.219565	-14.86%	0.0223	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.248957	-3.10%	0.23511	-8.49%	0.0036	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.251149	-3.07%	0.23785	-8.21%	0.0048	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.25178	-4.10%	0.26027	-0.87%	0.0252	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.249537	-5.06%	0.25924	-1.37%	0.0826	✗	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.261534	-4.50%	0.24934	-8.95%	0.0253	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.277116	-4.09%	0.25788	-10.74%	0.0121	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.275435	-3.95%	0.25693	-10.41%	0.0097	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.277734	-3.47%	0.259115	-9.94%	0.0087	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.288738	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.289469	-2.34%	0.26255	-11.42%	0.0249	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.268148	-2.63%	0.26284	-4.55%	0.0335	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.274921	-2.65%	0.27386	-3.02%	0.0316	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.281731	-2.66%	0.28892	-0.18%	0.0225	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.281973	-2.68%	0.28677	-1.02%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.281938	-3.07%	0.28772	-1.09%	0.0281	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.283867	-3.12%	0.29702	+1.37%	0.0272	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.275309	-2.92%	0.296395	+4.51%	0.0520	✗	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.271694	-3.02%	0.27538	-1.71%	0.0490	✗	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.263471	-3.12%	0.28944	+6.43%	0.0970	✗	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.266921	-3.19%	0.28973	+5.08%	0.0744	✗	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.254558	-3.01%	0.29088	+10.83%	0.1025	✗	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.250462	-2.89%	0.29302	+13.62%	0.1060	✗	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.25669	-2.77%	0.2836	+7.42%	0.0287	✗	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.2578	-2.69%	0.28016	+5.75%	0.0063	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.254408	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.255012	-2.51%	0.27195	+3.96%	0.0273	✗	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.244053	-2.39%	0.27572	+10.28%	0.0869	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.244856	-2.28%	0.26246	+4.74%	0.0486	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.250809	-2.83%	0.257905	-0.08%	0.0294	✗	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.249705	-3.19%	0.264	+2.35%	0.0426	✗	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.250938	-3.55%	0.264925	+1.83%	0.0736	✗	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.24536	-3.42%	0.26149	+2.92%	0.0738	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.250471	-3.04%	0.26159	+1.26%	0.0504	✗	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.248013	-2.48%	0.250025	-1.69%	0.0189	✓	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.237207	-2.34%	0.250575	+3.17%	0.0314	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.247975	-2.27%	0.25811	+1.73%	0.0210	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.256044	-2.46%	0.25794	-1.74%	0.0131	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.259541	-2.49%	0.26017	-2.25%	0.0269	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.26829	-2.26%	0.25406	-7.45%	0.0608	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.276004	-2.44%	0.258335	-8.69%	0.0406	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.273516	-2.33%	0.25433	-9.18%	0.0439	✓	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.279516	-2.41%	0.24288	-15.20%	0.0464	✓	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.283742	-2.92%	0.253725	-13.19%	0.0343	✓	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.284281	-3.06%	0.2625	-10.49%	0.0163	✓	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.276466	-2.95%	0.26616	-6.57%	0.0181	✓	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.277709	-3.25%	0.2745	-4.37%	0.0177	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.281531	-3.04%	0.28291	-2.56%	0.0082	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.288146	-2.82%	0.28005	-5.55%	0.0409	✓	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.282227	-3.46%	0.28642	-2.03%	0.0088	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.281053	-4.14%	0.292285	-0.31%	0.0580	✗	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.277547	-3.31%	0.29326	+2.17%	0.0365	✗	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.270378	-2.65%	0.284875	+2.57%	0.0115	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.289014	-2.68%	0.28704	-3.35%	0.0073	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.301907	-2.74%	0.29035	-6.46%	0.0170	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.279445	-2.39%	0.296505	+3.56%	0.0812	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.276746	-2.19%	0.292345	+3.32%	0.0441	✗	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.268061	-2.23%	0.29318	+6.94%	0.0486	✗	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.268334	-1.88%	0.287035	+4.96%	0.0094	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.270446	-1.97%	0.27774	+0.67%	0.0562	✗	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.266301	-1.83%	0.296985	+9.48%	0.0561	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.25601	-1.09%	0.31041	+19.92%	0.0989	✗	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.258118	-1.29%	0.2863	+9.49%	0.0149	✗	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.265522	-1.33%	0.282945	+5.14%	0.0077	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.272355	-1.85%	0.274165	-1.20%	0.0222	✗	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.280359	-2.22%	0.273475	-4.62%	0.0637	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.282523	-2.29%	0.27588	-4.59%	0.0381	✗	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.282624	-2.24%	0.27126	-6.17%	0.0785	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.288389	-2.36%	0.25884	-12.37%	0.0690	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.288534	-2.37%	0.26148	-11.52%	0.0565	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.292396	-2.56%	0.26911	-10.32%	0.1381	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.305777	-2.37%	0.27749	-11.40%	0.0679	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.313292	-2.80%	0.28673	-11.04%	0.0721	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.304421	-2.39%	0.289155	-7.28%	0.1736	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.301936	-2.68%	0.29554	-4.74%	0.1143	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.279624	-2.06%	0.300075	+5.10%	0.0955	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.269525	-1.63%	0.31321	+14.31%	0.1837	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.263033	-1.05%	0.32233	+21.26%	0.1799	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.274743	-1.58%	0.311865	+11.72%	0.1355	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.313256	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.314722	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.305493	-1.41%	0.31026	+0.13%	0.1056	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.303925	-1.49%	0.285505	-7.46%	0.0402	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.314508	-1.49%	0.274	-14.18%	0.0504	✓	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.315656	-1.10%	0.26582	-16.72%	0.0050	✓	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.32446	-1.17%	0.27914	-14.98%	0.0440	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.335599	-1.29%	0.318915	-6.20%	0.0045	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.327037	-1.41%	0.320415	-3.41%	0.0025	✓	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.323139	-1.34%	0.309865	-5.39%	0.0206	✓	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.32147	-1.28%	0.308515	-5.26%	0.0149	✓	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.311802	-1.20%	0.319275	+1.17%	0.0120	✓	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.318328	-1.20%	0.31918	-0.93%	0.0626	✓	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.328241	-1.18%	0.328305	-1.16%	0.0492	✓	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.323671	-1.20%	0.33998	+3.78%	0.0321	✓	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.317766	-1.27%	0.33173	+3.07%	0.0199	✓	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.316604	-1.43%	0.327525	+1.97%	0.0310	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.331588	-1.76%	0.32564	-3.52%	0.0450	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.345815	-1.83%	0.31558	-10.41%	0.0469	✓	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.354633	-2.13%	0.32218	-11.09%	0.0317	✓	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.373829	-2.52%	0.332165	-13.38%	0.0560	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.374143	-2.91%	0.327595	-14.99%	0.0490	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.340914	-3.28%	0.32185	-8.68%	0.0117	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.34005	-3.84%	0.3212	-9.17%	0.0246	✓	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.408599	-4.81%	0.337535	-21.36%	0.0680	✓	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.419925	-4.13%	0.352265	-19.57%	0.0638	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.419998	-4.54%	0.36235	-17.64%	0.0761	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.436815	-3.49%	0.38349	-15.27%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.428572	-2.85%	0.385365	-12.65%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.433198	-2.30%	0.35246	-20.51%	0.1047	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.441526	-2.17%	0.35363	-21.65%	0.1412	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.442113	-2.38%	0.42924	-5.22%	0.0388	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.421033	-2.85%	0.438	+1.06%	0.0036	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.41105	-3.10%	0.439955	+3.72%	0.0090	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.402055	-3.51%	0.452595	+8.62%	0.0254	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.407774	-3.60%	0.44116	+4.30%	0.0285	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.400163	-3.69%	0.443395	+6.71%	0.0229	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.407088	-3.12%	0.451335	+7.41%	0.0209	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.395762	-3.11%	0.45289	+10.87%	0.0204	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.42144	-3.14%	0.433395	-0.39%	0.0219	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.426714	-3.47%	0.424195	-4.04%	0.0260	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.405155	-3.67%	0.41666	-0.93%	0.0118	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.43484	-3.66%	0.42299	-6.29%	0.0017	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.447571	-3.16%	0.415515	-10.09%	0.0139	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.437732	-3.39%	0.42021	-7.26%	0.0188	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.455127	-3.49%	0.40847	-13.39%	0.0276	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.451067	-3.35%	0.43509	-6.78%	0.0049	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.442479	-3.43%	0.442055	-3.52%	0.0471	✗	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.445321	-3.09%	0.42058	-8.47%	0.0304	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.476248	-3.75%	0.45137	-8.78%	0.0533	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.442205	-3.14%	0.462155	+1.23%	0.0464	✗	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.439017	-3.16%	0.453095	-0.05%	0.0359	✗	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.441295	-3.14%	0.47161	+3.51%	0.0499	✗	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.436174	-3.57%	0.466725	+3.19%	0.0413	✗	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.431424	-3.94%	0.458205	+2.02%	0.0028	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.430285	-4.54%	0.459515	+1.94%	0.0294	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.406866	-5.36%	0.494815	+15.09%	0.1501	✗	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.405794	-4.84%	0.45655	+7.06%	0.0577	✗	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.410052	-4.24%	0.453335	+5.87%	0.0437	✗	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.