ARK

ARK · native · gru_s5

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,270

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

76.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1295

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0395

actual -0.0248

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.163049	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.16411	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.161824	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.157165	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.158461	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.162259	-9.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.163321	-10.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.162593	-10.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.173324	-9.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.167512	-11.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.182359	-11.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.18526	-12.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.190475	-11.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.20335	-9.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.191099	-10.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.181228	-13.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.192611	-11.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.20214	-9.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.211711	-8.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.189811	-10.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.221273	-9.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.237106	-9.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.229386	-8.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.221351	-7.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.23111	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.24177	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.234159	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.178861	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.145161	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.148979	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.144115	-6.42%	0.173565	+12.70%	0.2315	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.139874	-7.83%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1978	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.142519	-7.12%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.1915	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.133266	-6.32%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.2234	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.129572	-5.48%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.2188	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.141247	-5.68%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.1634	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.137043	-5.59%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.1907	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.158173	-6.18%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.0935	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.130391	-5.34%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.3086	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.127752	-3.89%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.3387	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.112862	-1.52%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.5312	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.108726	-1.20%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.5974	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.115089	-2.17%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5754	✗	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.113893	-2.09%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.6435	✗	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.112307	-1.91%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.6017	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.115981	-1.54%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.5327	✗	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.115598	-1.70%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.5730	✗	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.11565	-1.65%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5897	✗	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.113237	-0.59%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6755	✗	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.107654	-2.05%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5940	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.107382	-1.48%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.7327	✗	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.109456	-0.63%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.8108	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.109687	+0.35%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.7613	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.115834	+3.85%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.6665	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.114794	+2.08%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.6968	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.114506	+0.15%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.7779	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.113135	+0.51%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.7555	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.110106	+3.10%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.4997	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.111715	+4.22%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.2932	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.113181	+4.43%	0.158	+45.79%	0.2412	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.114542	+5.57%	0.154	+41.94%	0.1915	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.116659	+9.11%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.2307	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.103879	+7.06%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.3010	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.095317	+3.67%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.2744	✓	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.086302	+0.33%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3341	✓	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.087495	+0.02%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.4072	✓	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.086931	-1.17%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.3632	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.088646	-1.09%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.4689	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.087536	-0.97%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.2927	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.08938	-0.74%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2368	✗	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.088326	-1.09%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.0973	✗	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.090344	-0.98%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0439	✗	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.091635	-0.96%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.0810	✗	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.092871	-0.64%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.0642	✗	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.093984	-0.58%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0307	✗	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.093582	-0.70%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.0502	✗	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.093449	-1.25%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0462	✗	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.091901	-1.21%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.0683	✗	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.091958	-1.53%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0129	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.09298	-1.89%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0023	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.091163	-1.88%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0081	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.090587	-2.16%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0062	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.091532	-2.38%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0015	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.092267	-2.28%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0249	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.090399	-2.67%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0518	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.093695	-3.07%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0061	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.094018	-3.70%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0033	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.100395	-3.70%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.0809	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.099383	-4.07%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.0858	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.097386	-4.52%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0451	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.098649	-4.65%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0385	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.100549	-4.36%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.0717	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.100882	-4.40%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1120	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.09777	-4.95%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1070	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.097216	-5.33%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1224	✓	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.099726	-5.42%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1272	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.098483	-5.39%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.0999	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.09944	-4.69%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.0946	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.102933	-3.71%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1309	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.102732	-4.65%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1126	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.10011	-4.65%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1290	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.102115	-4.56%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1100	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.103363	-4.12%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1125	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.104417	-3.67%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1199	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.102542	-3.25%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.1031	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.099933	-4.15%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.0919	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.102372	-4.18%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.0904	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.106116	-4.20%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1390	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.105994	-4.26%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1324	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.10699	-4.23%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1260	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.106644	-4.78%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.1500	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.10463	-4.18%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1381	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.102141	-3.57%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1210	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.10762	-4.30%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2152	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.105926	-4.06%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1505	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.108666	-3.70%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1580	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.10331	-3.30%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0624	✓	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.100652	-3.35%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0329	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.10277	-3.58%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0485	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.104002	-4.23%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0368	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.105098	-5.50%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0271	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.106931	-5.26%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.0558	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.110775	-4.95%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.0870	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.109213	-4.18%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.0777	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.111139	-3.99%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.0787	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.115512	-4.76%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.0968	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.118357	-4.63%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.1020	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.119698	-4.19%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.0924	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.119927	-3.75%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.0976	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.117451	-3.33%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.0813	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.116063	-3.00%	0.107	-10.57%	0.0842	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.117452	-3.26%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.0887	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.116767	-2.86%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1137	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.112204	-2.56%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.0791	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.135858	-5.29%	0.112	-21.92%	0.1722	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.139673	-5.90%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.1759	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.147829	-6.32%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.1945	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.146613	-6.43%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.0753	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.142124	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.141259	-5.20%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.0796	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.139252	-5.19%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.0481	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.144122	-4.56%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1302	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.147919	-4.18%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.1623	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.151992	-4.46%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.1648	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.150344	-4.92%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.1597	✓	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.154252	-5.42%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.1799	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.149189	-5.72%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1362	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.153835	-6.06%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1263	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.152414	-4.79%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1305	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.150879	-4.63%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1049	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.156487	-4.08%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1113	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.15775	-2.89%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.1065	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.165788	-0.65%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.1509	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.169416	-0.62%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.1549	✓	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.177084	-0.57%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.1894	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.175648	-0.43%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.1927	✓	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.179633	-1.63%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.1923	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.185811	-1.77%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.1979	✓	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.189098	+0.63%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.2606	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.181069	+1.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.185205	+2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.182713	+2.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.177941	+1.68%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0258	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.177663	-0.07%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0006	✓	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.172368	-0.68%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0276	✓	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.169719	-2.28%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.0746	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.17187	-2.10%	0.149	-15.13%	0.1073	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.178819	-1.69%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.1551	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.170218	-0.97%	0.151	-12.15%	0.0747	✓	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.176536	-0.02%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.0928	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.17355	-0.07%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.0812	✓	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.172591	+0.09%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.0805	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.17196	+0.15%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0292	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.172313	-0.18%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0447	✓	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.171489	-1.30%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.0638	✓	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.169133	-1.56%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.0788	✓	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.163184	-2.20%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.0743	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.171715	-1.54%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.0687	✓	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.175435	-1.92%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.0814	✓	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.171337	-2.63%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.0692	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.17022	-1.30%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0595	✓	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.167247	-0.81%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0360	✓	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.169046	-1.00%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0272	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.159871	-2.39%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0127	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.164948	-2.11%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0104	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.167156	-2.05%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0171	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.165327	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.164319	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.168303	-1.61%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0592	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.16098	-3.05%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.0759	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.160663	-3.25%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.0793	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.159764	-3.35%	0.175	+5.87%	0.1027	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.16125	-3.32%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.0834	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.155493	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.161489	-3.02%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.0851	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.15787	-3.00%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0316	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.155842	-3.34%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0252	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.152412	-3.19%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0116	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.156194	-3.26%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.0785	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.156456	-3.42%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0717	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.161274	-3.16%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0645	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.16796	-2.86%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.0684	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.166288	-3.02%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.0872	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.166594	-2.83%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.0771	✓	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.158805	-3.27%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0454	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.164624	-3.59%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.0672	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.170083	-3.38%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.0718	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.170489	-3.16%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.0687	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.174417	-2.53%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.0656	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.184257	-2.59%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.0650	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.183007	-2.92%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.0585	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.170222	-2.66%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0302	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.166065	-2.64%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0219	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.168388	-2.49%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0247	✓	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.171465	-1.72%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0577	✓	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.167904	-1.30%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0277	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.164539	-0.88%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0008	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.162449	-0.90%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0058	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.160829	-1.33%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0370	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.161963	-1.27%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0020	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.167342	-1.50%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0226	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.169176	-1.50%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0371	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.171764	-1.65%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0644	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.168992	-1.85%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0238	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.168654	-1.90%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0003	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.168127	-1.88%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0763	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.172326	-1.72%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0624	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.171217	-1.93%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.0857	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.17589	-1.76%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0644	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.176942	-2.10%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0587	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.167702	-1.67%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.0938	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.168504	-2.22%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.0926	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.174116	-3.52%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0664	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.178223	-4.09%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.0896	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.176	-4.55%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.0671	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.173823	-4.72%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0526	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.172933	-4.84%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.0549	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.179406	-5.19%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.0613	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.182439	-4.68%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0600	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.181746	-4.32%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0459	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.194362	-5.16%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.1135	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.191331	-4.65%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1567	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.178536	-3.59%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1300	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.175085	-3.58%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.0779	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.176911	-4.35%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0420	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.173707	-4.61%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0227	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.173815	-4.26%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0409	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.17859	-3.82%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.0723	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.177883	-3.85%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0115	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.158879	-0.71%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0442	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.193759	-4.67%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.0700	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.19766	-5.08%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.0844	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.205223	-5.45%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.0934	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.200481	-4.67%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0507	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.208889	-4.86%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0710	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.222393	-5.41%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0353	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.225736	-5.09%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0379	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.241188	-5.77%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0549	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.244745	-5.96%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.0639	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.244011	-5.87%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.0700	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.235011	-5.75%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0583	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.240375	-6.79%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.0551	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.239134	-6.93%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0384	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.241388	-6.84%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0222	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.238885	-9.01%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0267	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.234522	-10.77%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0545	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.247714	-9.55%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0358	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.264058	-8.61%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.0264	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.263164	-8.23%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.0250	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.267371	-7.07%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0223	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.281624	-5.18%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0221	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.285568	-3.65%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.0887	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.263978	-4.14%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.0963	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.270064	-4.37%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.1207	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.276184	-4.58%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.1793	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.27641	-4.60%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1680	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.276982	-4.78%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.1291	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.279033	-4.77%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.1011	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.27208	-4.06%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0347	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.268177	-4.28%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0312	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.258092	-5.10%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0002	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.261177	-5.27%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0238	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.248301	-5.39%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0234	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.243698	-5.51%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0116	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.250446	-5.13%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0030	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.251189	-5.18%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0091	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.247669	-5.29%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0328	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.246743	-5.68%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0435	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.236419	-5.44%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0631	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.237589	-5.18%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0566	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.241692	-6.36%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0364	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.239572	-7.12%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0511	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.239922	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.235042	-7.49%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.1150	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.24129	-6.60%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0297	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.240996	-5.24%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0552	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.229488	-5.51%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.1037	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.240489	-5.22%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0547	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.24855	-5.31%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0466	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.252749	-5.04%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0236	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.259966	-5.29%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0376	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.267097	-5.59%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0184	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.26505	-5.36%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0557	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.270811	-5.45%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0945	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.273053	-6.58%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0790	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.273158	-6.85%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0843	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.265907	-6.66%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0890	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.266228	-7.25%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0209	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.270648	-6.79%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0254	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.2781	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.270709	-7.40%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0246	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.267549	-8.74%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0770	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.267304	-6.87%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0170	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.262874	-5.35%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0371	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.280911	-5.41%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0338	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.29564	-4.76%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0566	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.2737	-4.40%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0028	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.269846	-4.63%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0186	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.260787	-4.88%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0029	✓	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.262214	-4.12%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0431	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.264471	-4.14%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0146	✓	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.261664	-3.54%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0237	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.251201	-2.95%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0248	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.252976	-3.25%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0507	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.259784	-3.47%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0327	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.265395	-4.36%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0109	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.272233	-5.06%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0054	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.274071	-5.22%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0191	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.275035	-4.86%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0553	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.281447	-4.71%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0915	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.281654	-4.70%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0765	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.285864	-4.74%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.1446	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.298782	-4.61%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.1205	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.306409	-4.94%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.0995	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.297954	-4.46%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.2070	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.295188	-4.86%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1755	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.272863	-4.43%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.2508	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.263747	-3.74%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.3492	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.256395	-3.55%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2816	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.267954	-4.01%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.3002	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.306872	-3.78%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.2245	✗	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.307957	-3.89%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2700	✗	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.300461	-3.03%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2828	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.297879	-3.45%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.3112	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.308952	-3.23%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.2139	✗	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.313147	-1.89%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.2300	✗	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.32171	-2.01%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.2016	✗	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.331593	-2.47%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.2296	✗	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.321714	-3.02%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.2178	✗	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.318257	-2.83%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.2306	✗	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.316971	-2.66%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.2137	✗	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.307082	-2.69%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.2123	✗	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.313764	-2.61%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.2038	✗	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.323517	-2.60%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1454	✗	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.31835	-2.82%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.1373	✗	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.31144	-3.23%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1602	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.309359	-3.69%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.1212	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.323428	-4.18%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0996	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.338425	-3.93%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.1052	✗	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.346926	-4.26%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0466	✗	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.365223	-4.76%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0341	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.361862	-6.10%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0467	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.327736	-7.01%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0124	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.324955	-8.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.386385	-9.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.401003	-8.45%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.0713	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.398715	-9.37%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.1518	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.421677	-6.83%	0.274	-39.46%	0.2474	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.418054	-5.24%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.2565	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.427527	-3.58%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.2855	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.431988	-4.29%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2003	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.431268	-4.77%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2029	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.407147	-6.06%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.1990	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.395723	-6.71%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.1999	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.385349	-7.51%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.1466	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.390477	-7.69%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2086	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.382844	-7.86%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.1985	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.393512	-6.35%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.1955	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.381267	-6.66%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.1662	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.405746	-6.74%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.1918	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.40906	-7.46%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2091	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.388642	-7.59%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.1555	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.415165	-8.02%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.1866	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.430361	-6.88%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2076	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.419887	-7.33%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.1781	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.436969	-7.35%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2062	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.434927	-6.81%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.2004	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.429318	-6.30%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1529	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.429931	-6.44%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1525	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.46008	-7.02%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.2154	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.42836	-6.17%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.1034	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.425195	-6.21%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.0874	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.424741	-6.77%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1352	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.416386	-7.94%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.1527	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.409774	-8.76%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.0619	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.406207	-9.89%	0.438	-2.83%	0.0443	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.379958	-11.62%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0376	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.381539	-10.53%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0247	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.389911	-8.94%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0063	✓	1.18
2025-09-04	oos	0.425515	0.387094	-9.03%	0.443395	+4.20%	0.0166	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.