ARCSOL

? · · gru_s5

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

48.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1770

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0265

actual +0.0282

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.049763	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.050676	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.043307	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.040715	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.039711	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.035626	+0.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.038801	-0.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.037336	+0.95%	0.050705	+37.10%	0.3092	✓	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.032538	+3.15%	0.05179	+64.18%	0.4645	✓	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.058586	-1.92%	0.04402	-26.30%	0.2860	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.061469	-2.37%	0.041255	-34.47%	0.3950	✓	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.059982	-2.38%	0.040095	-34.75%	0.3988	✓	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.06139	-2.52%	0.035465	-43.68%	0.5460	✓	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.059401	-2.39%	0.03882	-36.21%	0.4265	✓	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.062289	-2.75%	0.036985	-42.26%	0.5175	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.069855	-2.90%	0.031545	-56.15%	0.7926	✓	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.06841	-2.75%	0.05973	-15.09%	0.1317	✓	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.071163	-2.54%	0.06296	-13.77%	0.1199	✓	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.069351	-2.51%	0.061445	-13.62%	0.1196	✓	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.068904	-2.45%	0.062975	-10.84%	0.0883	✓	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.070541	-2.35%	0.060855	-15.76%	0.1453	✓	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.068836	-2.29%	0.06405	-9.08%	0.0719	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.070978	-2.30%	0.071945	-0.97%	0.0128	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.068372	-2.21%	0.070345	+0.61%	0.0276	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.071206	-2.12%	0.073015	+0.36%	0.0249	✗	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.069296	-1.97%	0.071135	+0.63%	0.0262	✗	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.070306	-2.01%	0.070635	-1.55%	0.0047	✓	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.072091	-1.97%	0.07224	-1.77%	0.0022	✓	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.076862	-2.12%	0.07045	-10.29%	0.0873	✓	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.07678	-1.84%	0.07265	-7.12%	0.0562	✓	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.07677	-1.78%	0.06992	-10.54%	0.0946	✓	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.072097	-2.12%	0.07275	-1.23%	0.0142	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.062812	-1.46%	0.07069	+10.89%	0.1222	✗	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.06972	-1.77%	0.07175	+1.09%	0.0326	✗	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.068903	-1.93%	0.07354	+4.67%	0.0776	✗	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.072678	-2.08%	0.07853	+5.81%	0.0910	✗	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.077382	-2.47%	0.078215	-1.42%	0.0231	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.071882	-1.60%	0.07816	+7.00%	0.0929	✗	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.068577	-1.16%	0.073655	+6.16%	0.0769	✗	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.072197	-1.30%	0.063745	-12.86%	0.1183	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.073066	-1.14%	0.070975	-3.97%	0.0212	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.072814	-1.00%	0.07026	-4.47%	0.0361	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.071512	-0.64%	0.07422	+3.12%	0.0328	✗	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.072032	-0.67%	0.07934	+9.40%	0.0908	✗	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.074109	-0.87%	0.07305	-2.29%	0.0164	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.07156	-0.54%	0.06938	-3.57%	0.0373	✓	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.073587	-0.58%	0.07315	-1.17%	0.0105	✓	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.074041	-0.32%	0.07391	-0.50%	0.0056	✓	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.072156	+0.37%	0.07355	+2.31%	0.0129	✓	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.07274	-0.00%	0.071975	-1.05%	0.0081	✓	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.065581	+1.17%	0.07252	+11.88%	0.1031	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.069798	+0.59%	0.07476	+7.74%	0.0705	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.068064	+0.67%	0.07195	+6.42%	0.0592	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.070853	+0.40%	0.074015	+4.88%	0.0467	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.070149	+0.37%	0.07428	+6.28%	0.0606	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.067534	+1.05%	0.07189	+7.57%	0.0638	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.07144	+0.41%	0.07274	+2.23%	0.0161	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.072345	+0.24%	0.06482	-10.18%	0.1115	✗	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.070782	+0.43%	0.06939	-1.55%	0.0205	✗	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.069445	+0.21%	0.06761	-2.44%	0.0269	✗	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.066967	+0.18%	0.07057	+5.56%	0.0542	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.068298	+0.29%	0.06989	+2.63%	0.0223	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.068672	-0.99%	0.06683	-3.65%	0.0175	✓	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.067932	-1.69%	0.07115	+2.97%	0.0609	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.067666	-2.44%	0.07217	+4.05%	0.0879	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.072165	-2.51%	0.07048	-4.78%	0.0022	✓	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.070023	-2.58%	0.0693	-3.59%	0.0186	✓	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.070059	-2.52%	0.06685	-6.98%	0.0203	✓	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.074897	-2.76%	0.0681	-11.58%	0.0633	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.07373	-2.60%	0.06936	-8.38%	0.0497	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.070178	-2.44%	0.0691	-3.93%	0.0062	✓	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.06455	-2.08%	0.06936	+5.22%	0.0771	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.063245	-2.07%	0.07402	+14.62%	0.1597	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.064814	-2.09%	0.07188	+8.58%	0.0941	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.061971	-2.28%	0.07187	+13.32%	0.1393	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.051574	-1.50%	0.07702	+47.10%	0.3898	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.053767	-1.67%	0.0757	+38.44%	0.3373	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.050547	-1.47%	0.07193	+40.21%	0.3462	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.052179	-1.55%	0.06592	+24.38%	0.2311	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.050124	-1.53%	0.06458	+26.88%	0.2558	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.050555	-1.43%	0.0662	+29.07%	0.2762	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.051126	-1.40%	0.06342	+22.31%	0.2264	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.052695	-1.39%	0.05236	-2.02%	0.0041	✓	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.052139	-1.18%	0.05468	+3.64%	0.0453	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.053089	-1.14%	0.0513	-4.47%	0.0309	✓	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.051055	-0.88%	0.053	+2.89%	0.0384	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.053506	-0.99%	0.0509	-5.81%	0.0511	✓	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055396	-0.96%	0.05129	-8.30%	0.0853	✓	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.059335	-1.14%	0.05185	-13.61%	0.1426	✓	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.061464	-1.23%	0.05344	-14.13%	0.1458	✓	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.06079	-1.07%	0.05276	-14.14%	0.1431	✓	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.063802	-1.11%	0.0537	-16.77%	0.1827	✓	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.065823	-1.17%	0.05151	-22.66%	0.2579	✓	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.069095	-1.46%	0.05404	-22.93%	0.2526	✓	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.069612	-1.52%	0.05593	-20.88%	0.2159	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.069865	-1.50%	0.06002	-15.38%	0.1539	✓	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.071944	-1.64%	0.06223	-14.92%	0.1444	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.07348	-1.70%	0.06145	-17.79%	0.1749	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.074536	-1.65%	0.06452	-14.87%	0.1394	✓	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.078911	-1.86%	0.0666	-17.17%	0.1642	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.072963	-1.65%	0.07012	-5.49%	0.0226	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.076755	-1.77%	0.07069	-9.53%	0.0763	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.077355	-1.82%	0.07093	-9.98%	0.0798	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.077994	-1.84%	0.07314	-7.95%	0.0657	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.077619	-1.87%	0.07475	-5.50%	0.0340	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.079514	-2.02%	0.07579	-6.61%	0.0330	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.079329	-2.00%	0.08041	-0.67%	0.0220	✗	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.080656	-2.07%	0.07419	-9.92%	0.0929	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.079709	-2.07%	0.07814	-3.99%	0.0192	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.076567	-1.94%	0.07879	+0.91%	0.0319	✗	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.077497	-1.98%	0.07946	+0.51%	0.0330	✗	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.080972	-2.14%	0.0791	-4.40%	0.0154	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.081457	-2.19%	0.08115	-2.56%	0.0070	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.082045	-2.21%	0.08095	-3.52%	0.0068	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.081705	-2.23%	0.08236	-1.45%	0.0242	✗	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.085971	-2.45%	0.08139	-7.65%	0.0414	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.08224	-2.27%	0.07808	-7.21%	0.0421	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.082288	-2.33%	0.07906	-6.16%	0.0323	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.081801	-2.29%	0.08274	-1.17%	0.0169	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.080731	-2.30%	0.08328	+0.79%	0.0264	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.080697	-2.40%	0.0839	+1.48%	0.0234	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.081569	-2.53%	0.08357	-0.14%	0.0085	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.078234	-2.42%	0.08813	+9.93%	0.1026	✗	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.077965	-2.47%	0.08415	+5.27%	0.0569	✗	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.076944	-2.44%	0.08425	+6.82%	0.0756	✗	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.079872	-2.56%	0.08372	+2.13%	0.0333	✗	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.082266	-2.80%	0.08263	-2.37%	0.0107	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.072087	-2.31%	0.08268	+12.05%	0.1254	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.075339	-2.49%	0.08369	+8.32%	0.0922	✗	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.079709	-2.75%	0.08017	-2.18%	0.0053	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.086613	-3.13%	0.07994	-10.59%	0.0811	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.085905	-3.29%	0.07887	-11.21%	0.0858	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.081019	-2.96%	0.08197	-1.82%	0.0083	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.08152	-2.92%	0.08464	+0.80%	0.0527	✗	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.080665	-2.94%	0.07379	-11.21%	0.0699	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.081317	-3.14%	0.07726	-7.97%	0.0349	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.080923	-3.17%	0.08196	-1.93%	0.0226	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.080331	-2.96%	0.08941	+8.01%	0.1170	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.078734	-2.99%	0.08883	+9.45%	0.1266	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.07318	-2.74%	0.08349	+10.96%	0.1316	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.072161	-2.73%	0.08397	+13.18%	0.1485	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.068965	-2.73%	0.08311	+17.22%	0.1872	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.074034	-3.37%	0.08395	+9.57%	0.1202	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.071101	-3.17%	0.08357	+13.81%	0.1713	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.075598	-3.51%	0.08278	+5.65%	0.1478	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.072072	-3.44%	0.08116	+8.74%	0.1346	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.069345	-3.32%	0.07524	+4.89%	0.0882	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.062155	-2.82%	0.07419	+15.99%	0.1891	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.062459	-2.91%	0.0709	+10.21%	0.1556	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.063093	-2.96%	0.07662	+17.84%	0.1441	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.062171	-2.89%	0.07343	+14.70%	0.1365	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.062583	-2.96%	0.07835	+21.49%	0.2004	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.062173	-2.87%	0.07464	+16.61%	0.1640	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.062264	-2.86%	0.07173	+11.90%	0.1049	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.063355	-2.90%	0.06396	-1.98%	0.0195	✓	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.062818	-2.79%	0.06433	-0.45%	0.0151	✓	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.064042	-2.80%	0.06502	-1.32%	0.0179	✓	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.065739	-2.88%	0.06402	-5.42%	0.0303	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.060314	-2.37%	0.06449	+4.39%	0.0544	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.071258	-3.39%	0.06401	-13.22%	0.1405	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.058906	-2.25%	0.0641	+6.37%	0.0579	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.062248	-2.49%	0.06525	+2.21%	0.0361	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.065301	-2.74%	0.06462	-3.75%	0.0359	✓	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.062467	-2.49%	0.06589	+2.86%	0.0250	✓	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.061375	-2.38%	0.06769	+7.67%	0.0670	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.066654	-2.81%	0.06178	-9.92%	0.0909	✓	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.067583	-2.84%	0.07376	+6.04%	0.0817	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.065647	-2.62%	0.06026	-10.61%	0.0818	✓	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.067561	-2.69%	0.06384	-8.05%	0.0543	✓	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.068127	-2.73%	0.06714	-4.14%	0.0150	✓	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.064907	-2.50%	0.06406	-3.77%	0.0123	✓	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.066598	-2.69%	0.06287	-8.14%	0.0473	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.069638	-2.88%	0.06858	-4.35%	0.0104	✓	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.072987	-2.96%	0.06956	-7.51%	0.0436	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.072671	-2.91%	0.06741	-9.94%	0.0666	✓	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.072961	-2.94%	0.06943	-7.64%	0.0369	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.065177	-2.40%	0.07004	+4.88%	0.0769	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.076382	-3.34%	0.06657	-15.76%	0.1341	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.066827	-2.53%	0.06844	-0.18%	0.0237	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.06509	-2.43%	0.0717	+7.48%	0.0979	✗	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.063085	-2.32%	0.07521	+16.46%	0.1762	✗	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.064849	-2.53%	0.07485	+12.51%	0.1423	✗	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.063524	-2.51%	0.07517	+15.36%	0.1668	✗	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.064766	-2.78%	0.06678	+0.24%	0.0306	✗	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.064526	-2.97%	0.07902	+18.83%	0.2040	✗	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.063337	-3.11%	0.06856	+4.88%	0.0901	✗	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.066219	-3.16%	0.06671	-2.44%	0.0124	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.067454	-3.04%	0.06458	-7.17%	0.0425	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.070432	-3.20%	0.06653	-8.56%	0.0485	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.06745	-3.08%	0.06516	-6.37%	0.0252	✓	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.067891	-3.26%	0.06662	-5.07%	0.0130	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.069694	-3.35%	0.0665	-7.78%	0.0424	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.071759	-3.76%	0.06537	-12.33%	0.0911	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.073733	-3.57%	0.06838	-10.57%	0.0732	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.068639	-3.33%	0.06957	-2.01%	0.0165	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.068376	-3.61%	0.07276	+2.57%	0.0646	✗	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.058143	-3.03%	0.06959	+16.06%	0.1840	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.056809	-2.94%	0.07018	+19.90%	0.2139	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.055207	-3.03%	0.07211	+26.66%	0.2726	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.05205	-2.80%	0.07456	+39.23%	0.3612	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.05341	-2.94%	0.07646	+38.94%	0.3637	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.053079	-2.88%	0.071	+29.92%	0.2961	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.050933	-2.67%	0.07094	+35.56%	0.3352	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.053147	-3.00%	0.05996	+9.44%	0.1237	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.052121	-3.01%	0.05853	+8.91%	0.1199	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.049213	-2.84%	0.05693	+12.40%	0.1485	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.048909	-2.90%	0.05355	+6.31%	0.0954	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.050119	-3.06%	0.05503	+6.44%	0.0949	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.04625	-2.53%	0.05465	+15.17%	0.1679	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.041798	-2.04%	0.05233	+22.64%	0.2229	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.043604	-2.21%	0.05479	+22.88%	0.2245	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.045472	-2.52%	0.05374	+15.20%	0.1643	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.046248	-2.57%	0.05065	+6.70%	0.0860	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.046827	-2.71%	0.05037	+4.65%	0.0712	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.048373	-2.67%	0.0517	+4.02%	0.0640	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.047302	-2.39%	0.04745	-2.08%	0.0006	✓	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.043698	-2.09%	0.04267	-4.39%	0.0249	✓	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.040084	-1.80%	0.04459	+9.24%	0.1066	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.035728	-1.82%	0.04665	+28.19%	0.2673	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.042192	-1.87%	0.04747	+10.41%	0.1207	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.045723	-1.78%	0.04813	+3.39%	0.0602	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.047715	-1.84%	0.0497	+2.24%	0.0438	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.041909	-1.41%	0.04846	+14.00%	0.1456	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.043281	-1.52%	0.04463	+1.55%	0.0313	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.041366	-1.46%	0.04082	-2.76%	0.0143	✓	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.041952	-1.68%	0.03639	-14.72%	0.1460	✓	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.038048	-1.43%	0.042995	+11.39%	0.1183	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.034512	-0.89%	0.04655	+33.69%	0.3018	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.035672	-1.21%	0.04861	+34.62%	0.3113	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.037826	-1.67%	0.04251	+10.50%	0.1186	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.036525	-1.76%	0.04395	+18.21%	0.1849	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.038619	-2.20%	0.04198	+6.31%	0.0819	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.036226	-1.72%	0.04267	+15.76%	0.1659	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.049404	-3.75%	0.0386	-24.80%	0.2474	✓	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.040831	-2.46%	0.03482	-16.82%	0.1586	✓	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.029012	+3.06%	0.03611	+28.28%	0.2190	✓	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.031462	+2.22%	0.03847	+24.98%	0.2012	✓	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.030956	+1.26%	0.03718	+21.62%	0.1834	✓	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.0562	-2.92%	0.03949	-31.78%	0.3501	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.098735	-4.34%	0.03686	-64.29%	1.0157	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.087291	-3.82%	0.05133	-43.44%	0.5598	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.086645	-4.23%	0.04186	-53.73%	0.7148	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.070958	-3.49%	0.02815	-61.71%	0.9169	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.070569	-3.57%	0.03078	-57.94%	0.8171	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.073798	-3.63%	0.03057	-60.08%	0.8844	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.074915	-3.67%	0.05789	-25.56%	0.2670	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.074249	-3.75%	0.10322	+33.81%	0.3523	✗	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.076249	-3.87%	0.09076	+14.42%	0.2025	✗	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.073917	-3.88%	0.09047	+17.65%	0.2099	✗	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.076102	-4.19%	0.07352	-7.44%	0.0225	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.078666	-4.54%	0.07318	-11.20%	0.0667	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.072143	-4.00%	0.07658	+1.90%	0.0549	✗	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.064399	-3.49%	0.07777	+16.54%	0.1927	✗	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.068307	-4.06%	0.07714	+8.34%	0.1296	✗	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.061626	-3.60%	0.07932	+24.07%	0.2601	✗	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.071852	-4.83%	0.0769	+1.85%	0.0768	✗	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.059719	-3.30%	0.07943	+28.61%	0.2825	✗	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.075469	-5.29%	0.08241	+3.43%	0.0956	✗	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.065611	-3.78%	0.07515	+10.21%	0.1308	✗	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.060654	-4.29%	0.06673	+5.30%	0.1300	✗	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.066465	-5.55%	0.0712	+1.18%	0.1075	✗	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.045499	-2.28%	0.06393	+37.31%	0.4298	✗	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.0414	-0.79%	0.0755	+80.92%	0.6561	✗	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.042499	-1.39%	0.06176	+43.29%	0.4289	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.04154	-2.05%	0.07968	+87.88%	0.7401	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.046497	-2.99%	0.06819	+42.27%	0.5345	✗	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.052519	-3.74%	0.06337	+16.15%	0.2724	✗	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.049734	-3.58%	0.07037	+36.43%	0.4168	✗	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.048066	-3.70%	0.04656	-6.71%	0.0199	✓	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.048346	-4.02%	0.04173	-17.15%	0.0898	✓	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.055121	-4.59%	0.0431	-25.39%	0.1978	✓	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.057507	-4.90%	0.04241	-29.87%	0.2853	✓	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.059315	-5.14%	0.04793	-23.35%	0.1933	✓	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.066738	-4.80%	0.05456	-22.17%	0.2007	✓	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.076918	-5.56%	0.05158	-36.67%	0.4039	✓	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.063701	-4.85%	0.04991	-25.45%	0.2089	✓	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.052434	-4.26%	0.05037	-8.03%	0.0228	✓	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.047069	-4.10%	0.05777	+17.71%	0.2588	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.04959	-3.99%	0.06047	+17.08%	0.2509	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.052459	-3.96%	0.06253	+14.48%	0.2310	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.055053	-3.69%	0.0701	+22.64%	0.3082	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.063968	-4.91%	0.08145	+21.08%	0.3146	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.046974	-4.10%	0.06695	+36.69%	0.3451	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.046871	-4.17%	0.05477	+11.98%	0.1361	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.042298	-3.87%	0.04908	+11.55%	0.1157	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.041127	-3.80%	0.05165	+20.82%	0.1939	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.036071	-3.32%	0.05462	+46.40%	0.3843	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.031641	-2.67%	0.05716	+75.82%	0.4939	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.034319	-2.59%	0.06727	+90.95%	0.6449	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.035367	-2.65%	0.04898	+34.82%	0.3732	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.034926	-3.01%	0.04891	+35.82%	0.3484	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.034626	-3.12%	0.044	+23.11%	0.2438	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.032772	-2.87%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.2555	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.034108	-2.99%	0.03731	+6.11%	0.0466	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.034273	-3.02%	0.03251	-8.01%	0.1248	✓	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.033793	-3.09%	0.03523	+1.03%	0.0596	✓	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.035762	-3.42%	0.03633	-1.89%	0.1122	✓	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.038705	-3.89%	0.03601	-10.58%	0.1408	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.043502	-4.47%	0.03574	-21.52%	0.2490	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.041635	-4.37%	0.03374	-22.51%	0.2597	✓	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.04404	-4.61%	0.03516	-23.85%	0.2546	✓	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.039458	-4.39%	0.03534	-14.37%	0.1081	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.038346	-4.38%	0.03487	-13.04%	0.1117	✓	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.042588	-4.77%	0.03703	-17.20%	0.1151	✓	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.042301	-4.66%	0.04027	-9.24%	0.0362	✓	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.043027	-4.55%	0.04554	+1.02%	0.0659	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.040426	-4.43%	0.04354	+2.93%	0.0883	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.038377	-4.10%	0.04617	+15.37%	0.1540	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.034671	-3.69%	0.04127	+14.64%	0.1487	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.045964	-5.05%	0.0401	-17.17%	0.1293	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.038259	-4.40%	0.04472	+11.74%	0.1215	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.031251	-3.31%	0.04437	+37.28%	0.3426	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.029139	-3.16%	0.04508	+49.82%	0.4697	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.030441	-3.55%	0.0423	+34.03%	0.3670	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.031286	-3.94%	0.04002	+22.87%	0.3696	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.03235	-4.12%	0.036	+6.70%	0.2099	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.035458	-4.43%	0.04841	+30.49%	0.3948	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.037389	-4.52%	0.04002	+2.20%	0.1434	✗	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.037338	-4.41%	0.03232	-17.26%	0.1049	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.038314	-4.21%	0.03009	-24.78%	0.2593	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.038611	-4.17%	0.03156	-21.67%	0.2184	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.038887	-4.22%	0.03257	-19.78%	0.1852	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.042323	-4.12%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.2021	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.042385	-4.06%	0.0371	-16.03%	0.1580	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.040471	-3.96%	0.03916	-7.07%	0.1188	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.048329	-4.73%	0.03906	-23.00%	0.2135	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.038981	-4.13%	0.04	-1.62%	0.0537	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.043079	-4.80%	0.04029	-10.96%	0.0390	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.036557	-4.25%	0.0406	+6.34%	0.0910	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.034362	-4.39%	0.04414	+22.82%	0.1967	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.03473	-4.61%	0.04418	+21.34%	0.1627	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.032837	-4.57%	0.04214	+22.46%	0.2895	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.026176	-3.73%	0.05073	+86.58%	0.5943	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.035441	-4.86%	0.04066	+9.15%	0.0049	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.03022	-4.28%	0.04525	+43.33%	0.2674	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.027281	-3.87%	0.03818	+34.53%	0.2231	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.029405	-4.53%	0.03594	+16.69%	0.2245	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.031126	-4.67%	0.03641	+11.52%	0.2919	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.028751	-4.42%	0.03441	+14.39%	0.2720	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.02901	-4.48%	0.02719	-10.47%	0.1132	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.028197	-4.45%	0.03725	+26.23%	0.5445	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.029529	-4.71%	0.03157	+1.87%	0.3019	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.030425	-5.16%	0.02838	-11.53%	0.2603	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.028486	-5.02%	0.0308	+2.70%	0.3315	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.027954	-4.88%	0.03265	+11.09%	0.4046	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.026877	-4.56%	0.03008	+6.82%	0.4640	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.028631	-5.07%	0.03037	+0.70%	0.3285	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.027843	-5.17%	0.02951	+0.51%	0.2340	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.023973	-4.37%	0.03099	+23.61%	0.4898	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.021708	-3.91%	0.03208	+42.01%	0.4338	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.025202	-4.61%	0.02999	+13.51%	0.2286	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.024333	-4.84%	0.02939	+14.94%	0.1508	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.022606	-4.49%	0.02816	+18.97%	0.2354	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.018583	-3.16%	0.03016	+57.17%	0.6637	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017044	-2.94%	0.02936	+67.20%	0.7850	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015718	-2.85%	0.02507	+54.94%	0.6595	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012739	-2.01%	0.02259	+73.77%	0.7870	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012827	-2.01%	0.02642	+101.83%	0.9076	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013345	-2.09%	0.02557	+87.60%	1.0009	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.014201	-2.26%	0.02367	+62.90%	0.7344	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.01425	-2.26%	0.01919	+31.62%	0.4144	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.015207	-2.77%	0.01756	+12.28%	0.1943	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012864	-2.03%	0.01618	+23.23%	0.2760	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.01321	-2.15%	0.013	-3.70%	0.0415	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.01179	-1.50%	0.01309	+9.36%	0.0275	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012755	-1.96%	0.01363	+4.77%	0.0743	✓	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.013075	-1.98%	0.01453	+8.92%	0.0043	✓	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.013147	-1.89%	0.01458	+8.81%	0.0803	✓	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013247	-1.87%	0.01564	+15.85%	0.0225	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011524	-0.23%	0.01313	+13.68%	0.0158	✓	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011466	+0.05%	0.0135	+17.80%	0.1016	✓	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012111	-0.41%	0.01197	-1.56%	0.0927	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012439	-0.65%	0.01301	+3.91%	0.1967	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.013263	-1.25%	0.01334	-0.67%	0.1551	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.012256	-0.44%	0.0134	+8.85%	0.2911	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.012019	+0.50%	0.0135	+12.88%	0.2371	✓	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.011519	+0.43%	0.01155	+0.70%	0.2265	✓	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.020899	-1.98%	0.01146	-46.25%	0.3216	✓	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.021925	-2.03%	0.01216	-45.67%	0.3469	✓	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019391	-1.87%	0.01252	-36.64%	0.2683	✓	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021146	-1.88%	0.01343	-37.68%	0.2606	✓	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020733	-1.88%	0.01231	-41.74%	0.3478	✓	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.022066	-2.06%	0.01196	-46.92%	0.3625	✓	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022857	-2.20%	0.01147	-50.92%	0.4922	✓	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.022679	-2.33%	0.02132	-8.18%	0.0844	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020616	-2.11%	0.02238	+6.27%	0.0133	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.020162	-2.32%	0.01976	-4.26%	0.1817	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019459	-2.22%	0.02155	+8.29%	0.1427	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.01996	-2.40%	0.02113	+3.33%	0.2297	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019871	-2.45%	0.02253	+10.60%	0.2067	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020478	-2.62%	0.02337	+11.13%	0.1989	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019791	-2.65%	0.02322	+14.22%	0.1474	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017542	-2.16%	0.02106	+17.46%	0.0156	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.016505	-2.05%	0.02064	+22.49%	0.1576	✗	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016772	-2.09%	0.0199	+16.17%	0.1203	✗	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.019045	-2.34%	0.02045	+4.87%	0.1656	✗	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019716	-2.45%	0.02037	+0.79%	0.2245	✗	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.019396	-2.44%	0.02103	+5.78%	0.2702	✗	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.021591	-2.61%	0.02033	-8.30%	0.1924	✗	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.022611	-2.79%	0.01793	-22.91%	0.1347	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.