ARCSOL

? · · gru_s5

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

40.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3972

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0646

actual +0.1748

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.04886	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.049862	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.042497	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.039906	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.038759	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.034617	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.037735	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.036118	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.031201	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.056754	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.059407	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.057843	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.059097	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.05715	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.059781	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.067143	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.065887	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.068869	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.067074	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.066691	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.068369	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.06671	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.068839	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.06634	-5.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.06932	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.067588	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.068543	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.07044	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.075116	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.075622	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.076031	-2.72%	0.050705	-35.13%	0.4065	✓	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.070281	-4.58%	0.05179	-29.69%	0.3025	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.061297	-3.84%	0.04402	-30.94%	0.3303	✓	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.067885	-4.35%	0.041255	-41.87%	0.4966	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.06627	-5.68%	0.040095	-42.93%	0.4945	✓	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.06993	-5.78%	0.035465	-52.22%	0.6700	✓	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.074392	-6.24%	0.03882	-51.07%	0.6426	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.069584	-4.74%	0.036985	-49.37%	0.6282	✓	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.066182	-4.61%	0.031545	-54.53%	0.7332	✓	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.069837	-4.53%	0.05973	-18.35%	0.1493	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.070787	-4.22%	0.06296	-14.82%	0.1035	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.070503	-4.14%	0.061445	-16.46%	0.1241	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.06962	-3.27%	0.062975	-12.50%	0.0920	✓	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.070189	-3.21%	0.060855	-16.09%	0.1363	✓	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.072379	-3.19%	0.06405	-14.33%	0.1135	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.069999	-2.71%	0.071945	-0.01%	0.0362	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.072065	-2.63%	0.070345	-4.96%	0.0143	✓	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.072775	-2.03%	0.073015	-1.70%	0.0133	✓	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.071566	-0.45%	0.071135	-1.05%	0.0017	✓	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.071554	-1.63%	0.070635	-2.89%	0.0044	✓	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.064682	-0.21%	0.07224	+11.45%	0.1276	✗	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.06916	-0.33%	0.07045	+1.53%	0.0348	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.067447	-0.24%	0.07265	+7.45%	0.0824	✗	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.070494	-0.11%	0.06992	-0.92%	0.0015	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.069953	+0.09%	0.07275	+4.09%	0.0511	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.068143	+1.97%	0.07069	+5.78%	0.0421	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.07205	+1.27%	0.07175	+0.84%	0.0012	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.073187	+1.41%	0.07354	+1.90%	0.0133	✓	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.072013	+2.18%	0.07853	+11.42%	0.0939	✓	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.070542	+1.79%	0.078215	+12.86%	0.1147	✓	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.068186	+2.00%	0.07816	+16.92%	0.1501	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.070049	+2.86%	0.073655	+8.16%	0.0547	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.068565	-1.15%	0.063745	-8.10%	0.0620	✓	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.066767	-3.38%	0.070975	+2.71%	0.0783	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.065489	-5.58%	0.07026	+1.30%	0.0904	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.069879	-5.59%	0.07422	+0.27%	0.0778	✗	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.067647	-5.89%	0.07934	+10.38%	0.1846	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.067795	-5.67%	0.07305	+1.64%	0.1032	✗	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.072383	-6.02%	0.06938	-9.92%	0.0134	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.071548	-5.49%	0.07315	-3.37%	0.0381	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.068336	-5.00%	0.07391	+2.75%	0.1265	✗	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.063048	-4.36%	0.07355	+11.57%	0.2084	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.061841	-4.24%	0.071975	+11.45%	0.2057	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.063749	-3.70%	0.07252	+9.55%	0.1854	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.061084	-3.68%	0.07476	+17.88%	0.2615	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.050698	-3.17%	0.07195	+37.41%	0.4304	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.052798	-3.44%	0.074015	+35.36%	0.4167	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.049705	-3.11%	0.07428	+44.80%	0.4755	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.051177	-3.44%	0.07189	+35.64%	0.4175	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.049029	-3.68%	0.07274	+42.91%	0.4627	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.049429	-3.63%	0.06482	+26.38%	0.3333	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.049921	-3.72%	0.06939	+33.83%	0.4021	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.051482	-3.66%	0.06761	+26.52%	0.3413	✗	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.05121	-2.94%	0.07057	+33.76%	0.3830	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.052081	-3.01%	0.06989	+30.15%	0.3550	✗	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.050056	-2.82%	0.06683	+29.74%	0.3604	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.052466	-2.91%	0.07115	+31.66%	0.3753	✗	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.05461	-2.36%	0.07217	+29.04%	0.3325	✗	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.058315	-2.84%	0.07048	+17.43%	0.2560	✗	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.060385	-2.97%	0.0693	+11.36%	0.1956	✗	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.059906	-2.51%	0.06685	+8.79%	0.1589	✗	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.062997	-2.36%	0.0681	+5.55%	0.1299	✗	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.065037	-2.35%	0.06936	+4.14%	0.0932	✗	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.067901	-3.17%	0.0691	-1.45%	0.0351	✗	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.068311	-3.37%	0.06936	-1.88%	0.0152	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.068581	-3.31%	0.07402	+4.36%	0.0750	✗	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.070445	-3.68%	0.07188	-1.72%	0.0167	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.071915	-3.79%	0.07187	-3.85%	0.0029	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.073137	-3.50%	0.07702	+1.62%	0.0453	✗	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.077324	-3.84%	0.0757	-5.86%	0.0269	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.071346	-3.83%	0.07193	-3.05%	0.0149	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.075025	-3.99%	0.06592	-15.64%	0.1307	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.075559	-4.10%	0.06458	-18.04%	0.1561	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.076187	-4.12%	0.0662	-16.69%	0.1361	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.075744	-4.24%	0.06342	-19.82%	0.1668	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.077413	-4.60%	0.05236	-35.48%	0.3750	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.077287	-4.52%	0.05468	-32.45%	0.3412	✓	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.078555	-4.62%	0.0513	-37.71%	0.4230	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.077622	-4.63%	0.053	-34.88%	0.3794	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.074632	-4.42%	0.0509	-34.81%	0.3809	✓	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.075471	-4.54%	0.05129	-35.13%	0.3813	✓	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.078695	-4.89%	0.05185	-37.33%	0.4112	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.079054	-5.07%	0.05344	-35.83%	0.3781	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.079513	-5.23%	0.05276	-37.12%	0.3843	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.079215	-5.21%	0.0537	-35.74%	0.3729	✓	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.083215	-5.58%	0.05151	-41.55%	0.4655	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.079738	-5.24%	0.05404	-35.78%	0.3774	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.07973	-5.37%	0.05593	-33.61%	0.3386	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.079241	-5.35%	0.06002	-28.31%	0.2640	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.078232	-5.32%	0.06223	-24.69%	0.2151	✓	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.078148	-5.48%	0.06145	-25.68%	0.2318	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.078837	-5.80%	0.06452	-22.91%	0.1919	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.075642	-5.65%	0.0666	-16.93%	0.1136	✓	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.075363	-5.73%	0.07012	-12.28%	0.0678	✓	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.074347	-5.74%	0.07069	-10.37%	0.0454	✓	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.077113	-5.93%	0.07093	-13.47%	0.0756	✓	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.079312	-6.30%	0.07314	-13.59%	0.0834	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.069779	-5.44%	0.07475	+1.30%	0.0616	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.072795	-5.78%	0.07579	-1.90%	0.0317	✓	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.07677	-6.33%	0.08041	-1.89%	0.0431	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.083098	-7.06%	0.07419	-17.02%	0.1237	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.082536	-7.09%	0.07814	-12.03%	0.0537	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.077745	-6.88%	0.07879	-5.63%	0.0144	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.07828	-6.78%	0.07946	-5.37%	0.0285	✓	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.0774	-6.87%	0.0791	-4.82%	0.0291	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.077875	-7.24%	0.08115	-3.34%	0.0369	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.077462	-7.31%	0.08095	-3.14%	0.0441	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.077039	-6.94%	0.08236	-0.51%	0.0755	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.075526	-6.94%	0.08139	+0.28%	0.0809	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.070244	-6.64%	0.07808	+3.77%	0.1052	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.069228	-6.69%	0.07906	+6.56%	0.1310	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.066125	-6.73%	0.08274	+16.70%	0.2249	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.070653	-7.79%	0.08328	+8.69%	0.1567	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.067995	-7.40%	0.0839	+14.26%	0.2249	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.072263	-7.77%	0.08357	+6.66%	0.2057	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.068893	-7.70%	0.08813	+18.07%	0.2644	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.066245	-7.65%	0.08415	+17.31%	0.2487	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.059534	-6.92%	0.08425	+31.72%	0.3646	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.059806	-7.03%	0.08372	+30.14%	0.3899	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.060437	-7.05%	0.08263	+27.08%	0.1645	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.059553	-6.98%	0.08268	+29.15%	0.1918	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.059871	-7.16%	0.08369	+29.77%	0.2199	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.059424	-7.16%	0.08017	+25.25%	0.1808	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.059586	-7.04%	0.07994	+24.71%	0.1646	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.060614	-7.11%	0.07887	+20.87%	0.1243	✗	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.060062	-7.05%	0.08197	+26.85%	0.1710	✗	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.061207	-7.11%	0.08464	+28.46%	0.1996	✗	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.062881	-7.10%	0.07379	+9.01%	0.0465	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.05778	-6.47%	0.07726	+25.06%	0.1812	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.068192	-7.55%	0.08196	+11.12%	0.0527	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.056627	-6.03%	0.08941	+48.37%	0.3193	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.059687	-6.51%	0.08883	+39.14%	0.2920	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.062632	-6.71%	0.08349	+24.35%	0.1605	✗	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.060073	-6.22%	0.08397	+31.08%	0.2007	✗	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.059089	-6.01%	0.08311	+32.19%	0.1934	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.063919	-6.80%	0.08395	+22.41%	0.1577	✗	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.064784	-6.87%	0.08357	+20.14%	0.1595	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.063022	-6.51%	0.08278	+22.80%	0.1951	✗	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.064951	-6.45%	0.08116	+16.89%	0.2479	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.065462	-6.54%	0.07524	+7.42%	0.1209	✗	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.062391	-6.28%	0.07419	+11.45%	0.1653	✗	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.063839	-6.72%	0.0709	+3.59%	0.0677	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.066688	-6.99%	0.07662	+6.86%	0.1194	✗	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.069921	-7.03%	0.07343	-2.37%	0.0378	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.069648	-6.95%	0.07835	+4.68%	0.1116	✗	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.069856	-7.07%	0.07464	-0.71%	0.0606	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.06259	-6.27%	0.07173	+7.41%	0.1331	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.07321	-7.35%	0.06396	-19.06%	0.1394	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.064322	-6.18%	0.06433	-6.17%	0.0028	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.062666	-6.06%	0.06502	-2.53%	0.0364	✓	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.060847	-5.78%	0.06402	-0.87%	0.0506	✓	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.062471	-6.10%	0.06449	-3.07%	0.0308	✓	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.061214	-6.06%	0.06401	-1.76%	0.0430	✓	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.062232	-6.59%	0.0641	-3.78%	0.0303	✓	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.061821	-7.04%	0.06525	-1.88%	0.0554	✓	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.060511	-7.43%	0.06462	-1.15%	0.0723	✓	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.063337	-7.37%	0.06589	-3.64%	0.0427	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.064721	-6.97%	0.06769	-2.70%	0.0457	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.067457	-7.29%	0.06178	-15.09%	0.0799	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.06472	-7.00%	0.07376	+5.99%	0.1424	✗	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.064959	-7.44%	0.06026	-14.14%	0.0568	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.066658	-7.56%	0.06384	-11.47%	0.0281	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.068257	-8.45%	0.06714	-9.95%	0.0099	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.070521	-7.77%	0.06406	-16.22%	0.0892	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.065851	-7.25%	0.06287	-11.45%	0.0397	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.06549	-7.68%	0.06858	-3.33%	0.0524	✓	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.055828	-6.89%	0.06956	+16.01%	0.2299	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.054621	-6.68%	0.06741	+15.17%	0.2190	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.052956	-6.98%	0.06943	+21.96%	0.2827	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.050039	-6.56%	0.07004	+30.79%	0.3477	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.051246	-6.88%	0.06657	+20.97%	0.2719	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.050989	-6.70%	0.06844	+25.23%	0.3039	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.049052	-6.26%	0.0717	+37.02%	0.3886	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.051002	-6.91%	0.07521	+37.27%	0.3985	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.049996	-6.97%	0.07485	+39.28%	0.4119	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.047261	-6.69%	0.07517	+48.41%	0.4757	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.046913	-6.86%	0.06678	+32.58%	0.3685	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.048052	-7.06%	0.07902	+52.84%	0.5129	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.044592	-6.02%	0.06856	+44.49%	0.4487	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.040556	-4.95%	0.06671	+56.34%	0.5055	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.042276	-5.19%	0.06458	+44.83%	0.4308	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.043887	-5.92%	0.06653	+42.62%	0.4246	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.044627	-5.99%	0.06516	+37.27%	0.3865	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.045076	-6.35%	0.06662	+38.42%	0.3979	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.04665	-6.14%	0.0665	+33.80%	0.3609	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.045871	-5.34%	0.06537	+34.89%	0.3571	✗	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.042517	-4.73%	0.06838	+53.22%	0.4807	✗	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.039166	-4.05%	0.06957	+70.43%	0.5768	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.034929	-4.02%	0.07276	+99.95%	0.7337	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.041281	-3.99%	0.06959	+61.86%	0.5223	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.044817	-3.72%	0.07018	+50.76%	0.4462	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.046779	-3.77%	0.07211	+48.34%	0.4287	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.041331	-2.77%	0.07456	+75.39%	0.5902	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.042685	-2.88%	0.07646	+73.97%	0.5806	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.040886	-2.61%	0.071	+69.13%	0.5491	✗	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.041462	-2.83%	0.07094	+66.25%	0.5353	✗	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.037576	-2.65%	0.05996	+55.34%	0.4657	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.034117	-2.02%	0.05853	+68.09%	0.5420	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.035166	-2.61%	0.05693	+57.66%	0.4825	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.037134	-3.47%	0.05355	+39.20%	0.3667	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.035884	-3.49%	0.05503	+48.01%	0.4261	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.037841	-4.18%	0.05465	+38.39%	0.3640	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.035409	-3.94%	0.05233	+41.97%	0.3886	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.047742	-6.99%	0.05479	+6.74%	0.1365	✗	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.039393	-5.89%	0.05374	+28.38%	0.3180	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.027775	-1.33%	0.05065	+79.93%	0.6007	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.030306	-1.54%	0.05037	+63.65%	0.5080	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.029935	-2.08%	0.0517	+69.12%	0.5464	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.053782	-7.10%	0.04745	-18.03%	0.1263	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.094164	-8.77%	0.04267	-58.66%	0.8249	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.08324	-8.29%	0.04459	-50.87%	0.6692	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.082596	-8.70%	0.04665	-48.44%	0.5907	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.067589	-8.07%	0.04747	-35.43%	0.3753	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.067133	-8.26%	0.04813	-34.23%	0.3319	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.070182	-8.35%	0.0497	-35.10%	0.3567	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.071346	-8.26%	0.04846	-37.69%	0.4102	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.070541	-8.55%	0.04463	-42.14%	0.4736	✓	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.072432	-8.68%	0.04082	-48.54%	0.5887	✓	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.070174	-8.75%	0.03639	-52.68%	0.6895	✓	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.072058	-9.28%	0.042995	-45.87%	0.5483	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.074609	-9.47%	0.04655	-43.51%	0.4980	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.068604	-8.71%	0.04861	-35.32%	0.3748	✓	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.061357	-8.05%	0.04251	-36.30%	0.3920	✓	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.064827	-8.95%	0.04395	-38.27%	0.3988	✓	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.058618	-8.31%	0.04198	-34.33%	0.3345	✓	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.06806	-9.85%	0.04267	-43.48%	0.4650	✓	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.056902	-7.87%	0.0386	-37.50%	0.3839	✓	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.071226	-10.61%	0.03482	-56.30%	0.6950	✓	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.062448	-8.42%	0.03611	-47.05%	0.5541	✓	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.057358	-9.49%	0.03847	-39.29%	0.3714	✓	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.062469	-11.23%	0.03718	-47.16%	0.4924	✓	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.043249	-7.11%	0.03949	-15.18%	0.0293	✓	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.03938	-5.63%	0.03686	-11.67%	0.0063	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.040374	-6.32%	0.05133	+19.10%	0.2978	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.039434	-7.02%	0.04186	-1.30%	0.1836	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.044072	-8.05%	0.02815	-41.27%	0.3296	✓	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.049719	-8.87%	0.03078	-43.59%	0.3515	✓	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.047098	-8.69%	0.03057	-40.73%	0.3138	✓	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.045362	-9.11%	0.05789	+15.99%	0.3612	✗	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.045381	-9.91%	0.10322	+104.92%	0.9676	✗	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.051561	-10.75%	0.09076	+57.11%	0.6897	✗	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.053614	-11.34%	0.09047	+49.61%	0.6105	✗	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.055132	-11.83%	0.07352	+17.58%	0.3837	✗	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.062576	-10.73%	0.07318	+4.39%	0.2514	✗	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.072322	-11.21%	0.07658	-5.98%	0.1882	✗	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.060087	-10.25%	0.07777	+16.16%	0.5022	✗	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.049505	-9.61%	0.07714	+40.84%	0.7064	✗	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.044445	-9.44%	0.07932	+61.61%	0.8456	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.04696	-9.08%	0.0769	+48.89%	0.7576	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.049768	-8.88%	0.07943	+45.42%	0.7306	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.052645	-7.90%	0.08241	+44.17%	0.7282	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.061256	-8.94%	0.07515	+11.71%	0.5503	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.044497	-9.15%	0.06673	+36.24%	0.5957	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.044479	-9.06%	0.0712	+45.57%	0.6533	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.040192	-8.66%	0.06393	+45.30%	0.6282	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.039174	-8.36%	0.0755	+76.61%	0.8163	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.034459	-7.64%	0.06176	+65.53%	0.7545	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.030307	-6.78%	0.07968	+145.09%	1.3834	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.033095	-6.06%	0.06819	+93.56%	1.3631	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.034119	-6.09%	0.06337	+74.43%	1.0314	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.033456	-7.09%	0.07037	+95.42%	1.0667	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.033085	-7.43%	0.04656	+30.27%	0.5824	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.031329	-7.15%	0.04173	+23.68%	0.5487	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.032544	-7.44%	0.0431	+22.58%	0.4856	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.03264	-7.64%	0.04241	+20.01%	0.3290	✗	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.032139	-7.83%	0.04793	+37.45%	0.4775	✗	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.033876	-8.52%	0.05456	+47.34%	0.4367	✗	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.036553	-9.23%	0.05158	+28.09%	0.3205	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.040866	-10.26%	0.04991	+9.60%	0.1915	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.039139	-10.11%	0.05037	+15.69%	0.2662	✗	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.041363	-10.41%	0.05777	+25.12%	0.2983	✗	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.037044	-10.24%	0.06047	+46.52%	0.4551	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.035968	-10.30%	0.06253	+55.94%	0.5181	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.039872	-10.84%	0.0701	+56.75%	0.5506	✗	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.039662	-10.61%	0.08145	+83.57%	0.7252	✗	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.04045	-10.27%	0.06695	+48.51%	0.4309	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.038115	-9.89%	0.05477	+29.48%	0.2678	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.036079	-9.85%	0.04908	+22.64%	0.1412	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.032562	-9.55%	0.05165	+43.47%	0.2986	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.043278	-10.60%	0.05462	+12.83%	0.1079	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.036035	-9.96%	0.05716	+42.83%	0.2989	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.029431	-8.94%	0.06727	+108.14%	0.7088	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.027446	-8.79%	0.04898	+62.78%	0.5633	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.028703	-9.05%	0.04891	+54.97%	0.5228	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.029493	-9.45%	0.044	+35.09%	0.4368	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.030452	-9.74%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.3654	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.033323	-10.18%	0.03731	+0.57%	0.1412	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.035107	-10.35%	0.03251	-16.98%	0.0877	✓	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.035102	-10.13%	0.03523	-9.81%	0.0533	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.036119	-9.70%	0.03633	-9.18%	0.0750	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.036431	-9.58%	0.03601	-10.62%	0.0499	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.036683	-9.65%	0.03574	-11.97%	0.0006	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.040094	-9.17%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.1112	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.040218	-8.97%	0.03516	-20.42%	0.0873	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.038356	-8.98%	0.03534	-16.14%	0.1062	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.046009	-9.31%	0.03487	-31.26%	0.2413	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.036969	-9.08%	0.03703	-8.93%	0.0690	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.04096	-9.48%	0.04027	-11.01%	0.0378	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.034654	-9.24%	0.04554	+19.28%	0.3373	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.032559	-9.41%	0.04354	+21.15%	0.3497	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.032836	-9.82%	0.04617	+26.81%	0.3439	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.030984	-9.96%	0.04127	+19.94%	0.2998	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.024665	-9.29%	0.0401	+47.48%	0.4740	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.03345	-10.20%	0.04472	+20.05%	0.1995	✗	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.028499	-9.73%	0.04437	+40.54%	0.3582	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.0257	-9.44%	0.04508	+58.84%	0.5190	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.027586	-10.44%	0.0423	+37.34%	0.5092	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.029234	-10.46%	0.04002	+22.57%	0.4962	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.027024	-10.16%	0.036	+19.68%	0.4303	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.027251	-10.27%	0.04841	+59.40%	0.7264	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.026556	-10.01%	0.04002	+35.62%	0.6315	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.027737	-10.50%	0.03232	+4.29%	0.3079	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.028553	-11.00%	0.03009	-6.20%	0.2837	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.026666	-11.08%	0.03156	+5.24%	0.4532	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.026221	-10.78%	0.03257	+10.82%	0.4759	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.02533	-10.05%	0.03374	+19.82%	0.6399	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.027106	-10.13%	0.0371	+23.01%	0.6241	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.026199	-10.77%	0.03916	+33.38%	0.7133	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.022669	-9.58%	0.03906	+55.80%	0.8936	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.020601	-8.80%	0.04	+77.07%	0.9910	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.023837	-9.78%	0.04029	+52.50%	0.9041	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.023084	-9.72%	0.0406	+58.78%	0.8091	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.021582	-8.82%	0.04414	+86.48%	1.0935	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.01793	-6.57%	0.04418	+130.22%	1.5334	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.016502	-6.03%	0.04214	+139.98%	1.7395	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015252	-5.73%	0.05073	+213.54%	1.8311	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012399	-4.62%	0.04066	+212.77%	1.7505	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012487	-4.60%	0.04525	+245.68%	1.9005	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013002	-4.61%	0.03818	+180.12%	1.7738	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.013835	-4.78%	0.03594	+147.35%	1.7139	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.013899	-4.67%	0.03641	+149.73%	1.8519	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.014778	-5.51%	0.03441	+120.01%	1.6597	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012541	-4.49%	0.02719	+107.08%	1.6257	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.012864	-4.71%	0.03725	+175.93%	1.9756	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011502	-3.91%	0.03157	+163.74%	1.8150	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012417	-4.56%	0.02838	+118.14%	1.5971	✗	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.012702	-4.78%	0.0308	+130.88%	1.5507	✗	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.012759	-4.78%	0.03265	+143.66%	1.4868	✗	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.012831	-4.96%	0.03008	+122.81%	1.3872	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011145	-3.50%	0.03037	+162.94%	1.4281	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011076	-3.35%	0.02951	+157.50%	1.4171	✗	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.011704	-3.75%	0.03099	+154.85%	1.5370	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012013	-4.05%	0.03208	+156.23%	1.4347	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.012808	-4.63%	0.02999	+123.31%	1.3018	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.011784	-4.27%	0.02939	+138.75%	1.3050	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011517	-3.70%	0.02816	+135.45%	1.0576	✗	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.011072	-3.47%	0.03016	+162.95%	1.2889	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.020375	-4.43%	0.02936	+37.71%	0.7779	✗	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.021423	-4.28%	0.02507	+12.02%	0.5587	✗	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.018916	-4.27%	0.02259	+14.32%	0.6086	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.020706	-3.92%	0.02642	+22.60%	0.6929	✗	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020282	-4.01%	0.02557	+21.01%	0.7131	✗	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.021555	-4.33%	0.02367	+5.06%	0.4401	✗	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022319	-4.50%	0.01919	-17.89%	0.1007	✗	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.022117	-4.75%	0.01756	-24.38%	0.0014	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020108	-4.52%	0.01618	-23.17%	0.0205	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.019565	-5.21%	0.013	-37.02%	0.2743	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.018891	-5.07%	0.01309	-34.22%	0.2578	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.019327	-5.49%	0.01363	-33.35%	0.3680	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019215	-5.67%	0.01453	-28.67%	0.3982	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.019793	-5.88%	0.01458	-30.67%	0.4372	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019133	-5.89%	0.01564	-23.07%	0.2741	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.01701	-5.13%	0.01313	-26.77%	0.1839	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.015982	-5.15%	0.0135	-19.88%	0.1065	✓	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016244	-5.17%	0.01197	-30.12%	0.1401	✓	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.018439	-5.44%	0.01301	-33.28%	0.1333	✓	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019063	-5.67%	0.01334	-33.99%	0.1939	✓	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.018755	-5.66%	0.0134	-32.60%	0.1136	✓	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.020874	-5.84%	0.0135	-39.11%	0.1236	✓	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.02186	-6.02%	0.01155	-50.34%	0.3172	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.