A

Vaulta · native · gru_s5

token id: #104
symbol: A
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-07-23
predictions: 1,341

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1271

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0530

actual -0.0615

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09485	0.089181	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.09785	0.09182	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.0884	0.083302	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-18	oos	0.09015	0.085044	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-17	oos	0.1117	0.103847	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-16	oos	0.1047	0.097825	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.09715	0.0909	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.1036	0.095603	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.0997	0.092057	-7.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.09905	0.091352	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.1038	0.095552	-7.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-10	oos	0.10325	0.094801	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.10475	0.095966	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.09735	0.08931	-8.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.09825	0.090181	-8.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-06	oos	0.10315	0.094692	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.10175	0.093266	-8.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.09665	0.088434	-8.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.09575	0.087727	-8.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.09425	0.08685	-7.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.088527	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.09875	0.091054	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-09-29	oos	0.09635	0.088864	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.0952	0.087833	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.1039	0.095576	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.1017	0.093855	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-25	oos	0.1023	0.094611	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-24	oos	0.0994	0.092302	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-23	oos	0.09175	0.085482	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.09795	0.091513	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.0931	0.087463	-6.05%	0.09485	+1.88%	0.1277	✗	1.01
2026-09-20	oos	0.089	0.083309	-6.39%	0.09785	+9.94%	0.1386	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.08995	0.084246	-6.34%	0.0884	-1.72%	0.0405	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.09185	0.085664	-6.73%	0.09015	-1.85%	0.0367	✓	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0786	0.074038	-5.80%	0.1117	+42.11%	0.3559	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.0759	0.071815	-5.38%	0.1047	+37.94%	0.3188	✗	0.86
2026-09-15	oos	0.0762	0.072022	-5.48%	0.09715	+27.49%	0.2246	✗	0.90
2026-09-14	oos	0.08075	0.0765	-5.26%	0.1036	+28.30%	0.2672	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.08135	0.076835	-5.55%	0.0997	+22.56%	0.1927	✗	0.86
2026-09-12	oos	0.0783	0.074524	-4.82%	0.09905	+26.50%	0.2356	✗	0.87
2026-09-11	oos	0.07675	0.073326	-4.46%	0.1038	+35.24%	0.2774	✗	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.0775	0.073953	-4.58%	0.10325	+33.23%	0.2634	✗	0.88
2026-09-09	oos	0.0815	0.077984	-4.31%	0.10475	+28.53%	0.2496	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.08075	0.077456	-4.08%	0.09735	+20.56%	0.1896	✗	0.96
2026-09-07	oos	0.08045	0.077687	-3.43%	0.09825	+22.13%	0.1849	✗	0.97
2026-09-06	oos	0.0806	0.07846	-2.66%	0.10315	+27.98%	0.2131	✗	0.96
2026-09-05	oos	0.0801	0.078228	-2.34%	0.10175	+27.03%	0.1941	✗	0.96
2026-09-04	oos	0.07725	0.075694	-2.01%	0.09665	+25.11%	0.1653	✗	0.96
2026-09-03	oos	0.0787	0.077757	-1.20%	0.09575	+21.66%	0.1678	✗	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.07665	0.074212	-3.18%	0.09425	+22.96%	0.1456	✗	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.0745	0.072283	-2.98%	0.09615	+29.06%	0.1878	✗	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.07485	0.072957	-2.53%	0.09875	+31.93%	0.2408	✗	1.01
2026-08-30	oos	0.07375	0.071476	-3.08%	0.09635	+30.64%	0.2229	✗	1.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.07645	0.073828	-3.43%	0.0952	+24.53%	0.1900	✗	0.99
2026-08-28	oos	0.07615	0.07332	-3.72%	0.1039	+36.44%	0.2674	✗	0.99
2026-08-27	oos	0.0776	0.075523	-2.68%	0.1017	+31.06%	0.2471	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.07885	0.075666	-4.04%	0.1023	+29.74%	0.2386	✗	1.01
2026-08-25	oos	0.0731	0.069989	-4.26%	0.0994	+35.98%	0.2785	✗	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.07305	0.069912	-4.30%	0.09175	+25.60%	0.2049	✗	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.0753	0.071507	-5.04%	0.09795	+30.08%	0.2082	✗	1.03
2026-08-22	oos	0.07315	0.069292	-5.27%	0.0931	+27.27%	0.1755	✗	1.03
2026-08-21	oos	0.0773	0.07374	-4.60%	0.089	+15.14%	0.1523	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.06965	0.064926	-6.78%	0.08995	+29.15%	0.2249	✗	0.95
2026-08-19	oos	0.0665	0.061354	-7.74%	0.09185	+38.12%	0.2532	✗	0.97
2026-08-18	oos	0.06045	0.055514	-8.17%	0.0786	+30.02%	0.1983	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.061	0.056185	-7.89%	0.0759	+24.43%	0.1500	✗	0.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.061	0.056083	-8.06%	0.0762	+24.92%	0.1350	✗	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.0616	0.056645	-8.04%	0.08075	+31.09%	0.1550	✗	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.0619	0.056893	-8.09%	0.08135	+31.42%	0.1721	✗	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.0624	0.057496	-7.86%	0.0783	+25.48%	0.1226	✗	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.06255	0.058048	-7.20%	0.07675	+22.70%	0.0889	✗	0.97
2026-08-11	oos	0.0631	0.058563	-7.19%	0.0775	+22.82%	0.1008	✗	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.0641	0.059499	-7.18%	0.0815	+27.15%	0.1179	✗	0.97
2026-08-09	oos	0.0644	0.059844	-7.07%	0.08075	+25.39%	0.1125	✗	0.98
2026-08-08	oos	0.0652	0.060569	-7.10%	0.08045	+23.39%	0.0894	✗	0.98
2026-08-07	oos	0.06435	0.059935	-6.86%	0.0806	+25.25%	0.0825	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.0652	0.060671	-6.95%	0.0801	+22.85%	0.0601	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.0642	0.059878	-6.73%	0.07725	+20.33%	0.0420	✓	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.0649	0.060413	-6.91%	0.0787	+21.26%	0.0236	✓	1.01
2026-08-03	oos	0.06435	0.059811	-7.05%	0.07665	+19.11%	0.0461	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.06335	0.058932	-6.97%	0.0745	+17.60%	0.0337	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.06375	0.059233	-7.08%	0.07485	+17.41%	0.0080	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.064	0.059482	-7.06%	0.07375	+15.23%	0.0017	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.0613	0.057475	-6.24%	0.07645	+24.71%	0.0809	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0598	0.05617	-6.07%	0.07615	+27.34%	0.0958	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.0623	0.058683	-5.81%	0.0776	+24.56%	0.0413	✓	1.04
2026-07-27	oos	0.0623	0.058825	-5.58%	0.07885	+26.57%	0.0700	✗	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.0636	0.060459	-4.94%	0.0731	+14.94%	0.0022	✓	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.0619	0.058894	-4.86%	0.07305	+18.01%	0.0062	✓	1.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.06265	0.059798	-4.55%	0.0753	+20.19%	0.0307	✓	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.065	0.062232	-4.26%	0.07315	+12.54%	0.0112	✓	1.02
2026-07-22	oos	0.0661	0.063351	-4.16%	0.0773	+16.94%	0.0283	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.0672	0.064364	-4.22%	0.06965	+3.65%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.0666	0.063894	-4.06%	0.0665	-0.15%	0.0228	✓	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.06795	0.065069	-4.24%	0.06045	-11.04%	0.0736	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.0695	0.066313	-4.59%	0.061	-12.23%	0.0783	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.07	0.066679	-4.74%	0.061	-12.86%	0.0713	✓	1.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.0725	0.068744	-5.18%	0.0616	-15.03%	0.0969	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.0755	0.071658	-5.09%	0.0619	-18.01%	0.1175	✓	1.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.0742	0.070463	-5.04%	0.0624	-15.90%	0.0956	✓	1.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.07395	0.070241	-5.02%	0.06255	-15.42%	0.1367	✓	1.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.0714	0.067917	-4.88%	0.0631	-11.62%	0.0697	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.07405	0.070263	-5.11%	0.0641	-13.44%	0.0943	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0787	0.074443	-5.41%	0.0644	-18.17%	0.1576	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.0795	0.075111	-5.52%	0.0652	-17.99%	0.1726	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.0743	0.070456	-5.17%	0.06435	-13.39%	0.1376	✓	1.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.07375	0.069966	-5.13%	0.0652	-11.59%	0.0873	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.074	0.070225	-5.10%	0.0642	-13.24%	0.1004	✓	1.14
2026-07-05	oos	0.0722	0.068641	-4.93%	0.0649	-10.11%	0.0641	✓	1.11
2026-07-04	oos	0.0738	0.070141	-4.96%	0.06435	-12.80%	0.0929	✓	1.11
2026-07-03	oos	0.0674	0.064435	-4.40%	0.06335	-6.01%	0.0335	✓	1.06
2026-07-02	oos	0.0641	0.061326	-4.33%	0.06375	-0.55%	0.0172	✓	1.05
2026-07-01	oos	0.06395	0.061106	-4.45%	0.064	+0.08%	0.0034	✓	1.06
2026-06-30	oos	0.06295	0.060155	-4.44%	0.0613	-2.62%	0.0895	✓	1.08
2026-06-29	oos	0.0614	0.058798	-4.24%	0.0598	-2.61%	0.0505	✓	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.06	0.057565	-4.06%	0.0623	+3.83%	0.0004	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.0602	0.05771	-4.14%	0.0623	+3.49%	0.0086	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.06145	0.058786	-4.34%	0.0636	+3.50%	0.0166	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.0601	0.057569	-4.21%	0.0619	+3.00%	0.0101	✓	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.06195	0.059107	-4.59%	0.06265	+1.13%	0.0032	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.0652	0.061906	-5.05%	0.065	-0.31%	0.0071	✓	1.11
2026-06-22	oos	0.0646	0.061233	-5.21%	0.0661	+2.32%	0.0398	✓	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.06425	0.060986	-5.08%	0.0672	+4.59%	0.0407	✓	1.11
2026-06-20	oos	0.0662	0.062615	-5.42%	0.0666	+0.60%	0.0450	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.06635	0.062758	-5.41%	0.06795	+2.41%	0.0587	✗	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.06895	0.065057	-5.65%	0.0695	+0.80%	0.0323	✓	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.07425	0.069556	-6.32%	0.07	-5.72%	0.0157	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.0728	0.068166	-6.37%	0.0725	-0.41%	0.0927	✗	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.0737	0.068821	-6.62%	0.0755	+2.44%	0.1187	✗	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.0741	0.069145	-6.69%	0.0742	+0.13%	0.0826	✗	1.10
2026-06-13	oos	0.0724	0.067592	-6.64%	0.07395	+2.14%	0.1271	✗	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.0709	0.066356	-6.41%	0.0714	+0.71%	0.0697	✗	1.11
2026-06-11	oos	0.0727	0.06769	-6.89%	0.07405	+1.86%	0.0861	✗	1.11
2026-06-10	oos	0.06335	0.060077	-5.17%	0.0787	+24.23%	0.2265	✗	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.0639	0.06049	-5.34%	0.0795	+24.41%	0.2490	✗	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.0643	0.060607	-5.74%	0.0743	+15.55%	0.2173	✗	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.0638	0.060069	-5.85%	0.07375	+15.60%	0.2049	✗	1.01
2026-06-06	oos	0.0615	0.05846	-4.94%	0.074	+20.33%	0.1863	✗	0.98
2026-06-05	oos	0.0621	0.059011	-4.97%	0.0722	+16.26%	0.1620	✗	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.0676	0.063299	-6.36%	0.0738	+9.17%	0.1640	✗	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0717	0.066775	-6.87%	0.0674	-6.00%	0.0304	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0711	0.065877	-7.35%	0.0641	-9.85%	0.0468	✓	0.92
2026-06-01	oos	0.077	0.070577	-8.34%	0.06395	-16.95%	0.0470	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0773	0.071083	-8.04%	0.06295	-18.56%	0.0767	✓	0.87
2026-05-30	oos	0.0769	0.070824	-7.90%	0.0614	-20.16%	0.0260	✓	0.83
2026-05-29	oos	0.0762	0.070308	-7.73%	0.06	-21.26%	0.0163	✓	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.07425	0.0687	-7.47%	0.0602	-18.92%	0.0383	✓	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.07545	0.069811	-7.47%	0.06145	-18.56%	0.0484	✓	0.82
2026-05-26	oos	0.078	0.072392	-7.19%	0.0601	-22.95%	0.0096	✓	0.82
2026-05-25	oos	0.0794	0.073865	-6.97%	0.06195	-21.98%	0.0222	✓	0.84
2026-05-24	oos	0.0776	0.072394	-6.71%	0.0652	-15.98%	0.0677	✓	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.0805	0.07515	-6.65%	0.0646	-19.75%	0.0036	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0778	0.072855	-6.36%	0.06425	-17.42%	0.0177	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.08215	0.076937	-6.35%	0.0662	-19.42%	0.0013	✓	0.79
2026-05-20	oos	0.081	0.076076	-6.08%	0.06635	-18.09%	0.0208	✓	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.07975	0.075168	-5.75%	0.06895	-13.54%	0.0704	✗	0.79
2026-05-18	oos	0.0815	0.076954	-5.58%	0.07425	-8.90%	0.1042	✗	0.79
2026-05-17	oos	0.08035	0.076139	-5.24%	0.0728	-9.40%	0.0862	✗	0.79
2026-05-16	oos	0.08395	0.079529	-5.27%	0.0737	-12.21%	0.0527	✓	0.78
2026-05-15	oos	0.0873	0.082718	-5.25%	0.0741	-15.12%	0.0356	✓	0.79
2026-05-14	oos	0.0922	0.087263	-5.35%	0.0724	-21.48%	0.0098	✓	0.77
2026-05-13	oos	0.0908	0.085924	-5.37%	0.0709	-21.92%	0.0212	✓	0.77
2026-05-12	oos	0.094	0.08917	-5.14%	0.0727	-22.66%	0.0278	✓	0.75
2026-05-11	oos	0.0974	0.092596	-4.93%	0.06335	-34.96%	0.1751	✓	0.72
2026-05-10	oos	0.09885	0.093385	-5.53%	0.0639	-35.36%	0.1727	✓	0.72
2026-05-09	oos	0.0948	0.08949	-5.60%	0.0643	-32.17%	0.1561	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.0964	0.091066	-5.53%	0.0638	-33.82%	0.1906	✓	0.70
2026-05-07	oos	0.0913	0.086689	-5.05%	0.0615	-32.64%	0.1539	✓	0.69
2026-05-06	oos	0.0914	0.087333	-4.45%	0.0621	-32.06%	0.1307	✓	0.73
2026-05-05	oos	0.08745	0.083767	-4.21%	0.0676	-22.70%	0.0181	✓	0.83
2026-05-04	oos	0.0878	0.08367	-4.70%	0.0717	-18.34%	0.0265	✓	0.82
2026-05-03	oos	0.0886	0.084297	-4.86%	0.0711	-19.75%	0.0350	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.086256	-4.79%	0.077	-15.01%	0.0319	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.0894	0.085105	-4.80%	0.0773	-13.53%	0.0454	✓	0.83
2026-04-30	oos	0.0887	0.083882	-5.43%	0.0769	-13.30%	0.0580	✓	0.85
2026-04-29	oos	0.0942	0.088532	-6.02%	0.0762	-19.11%	0.1224	✓	0.86
2026-04-28	oos	0.09205	0.086805	-5.70%	0.07425	-19.34%	0.1233	✓	0.88
2026-04-27	oos	0.0891	0.084465	-5.20%	0.07545	-15.32%	0.0772	✓	0.89
2026-04-26	oos	0.09155	0.086947	-5.03%	0.078	-14.80%	0.0761	✓	0.88
2026-04-25	oos	0.0878	0.083353	-5.06%	0.0794	-9.57%	0.0440	✓	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0912	0.086364	-5.30%	0.0776	-14.91%	0.1014	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0873	0.083328	-4.55%	0.0805	-7.79%	0.0157	✓	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.0871	0.082965	-4.75%	0.0778	-10.68%	0.0322	✓	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.0829	0.07842	-5.40%	0.08215	-0.90%	0.0327	✓	0.88
2026-04-20	oos	0.0815	0.077357	-5.08%	0.081	-0.61%	0.0274	✓	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.07895	0.07469	-5.40%	0.07975	+1.01%	0.0304	✓	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.0814	0.077425	-4.88%	0.0815	+0.12%	0.0370	✓	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.0848	0.080666	-4.87%	0.08035	-5.25%	0.0075	✓	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.08345	0.078939	-5.41%	0.08395	+0.60%	0.0268	✓	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0811	0.076748	-5.37%	0.0873	+7.64%	0.0795	✗	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.0784	0.074006	-5.60%	0.0922	+17.60%	0.1400	✗	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.0793	0.075093	-5.30%	0.0908	+14.50%	0.1336	✗	0.89
2026-04-12	oos	0.0769	0.072303	-5.98%	0.094	+22.24%	0.1438	✗	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.0804	0.075786	-5.74%	0.0974	+21.14%	0.1484	✗	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.081	0.07658	-5.46%	0.09885	+22.04%	0.1467	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.07935	0.074781	-5.76%	0.0948	+19.47%	0.1311	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.07915	0.074585	-5.77%	0.0964	+21.79%	0.1468	✗	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.081	0.076371	-5.71%	0.0913	+12.72%	0.0814	✗	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.0789	0.074129	-6.05%	0.0914	+15.84%	0.0554	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.07845	0.073658	-6.11%	0.08745	+11.47%	0.0256	✓	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0791	0.074013	-6.43%	0.0878	+11.00%	0.0105	✓	0.94
2026-04-03	oos	0.0796	0.074252	-6.72%	0.0886	+11.31%	0.0264	✓	0.94
2026-04-02	oos	0.0768	0.071954	-6.31%	0.0906	+17.97%	0.0780	✗	0.94
2026-04-01	oos	0.0791	0.074145	-6.26%	0.0894	+13.02%	0.0560	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.07095	-5.90%	0.0887	+17.64%	0.1168	✗	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.0745	0.070105	-5.90%	0.0942	+26.44%	0.1747	✗	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0723	0.068192	-5.68%	0.09205	+27.32%	0.1606	✗	0.96
2026-03-28	oos	0.0744	0.07015	-5.71%	0.0891	+19.76%	0.0921	✗	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0736	0.069448	-5.64%	0.09155	+24.39%	0.1139	✗	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0765	0.072163	-5.67%	0.0878	+14.77%	0.0797	✗	0.96
2026-03-25	oos	0.0805	0.075904	-5.71%	0.0912	+13.29%	0.1046	✗	0.95
2026-03-24	oos	0.0815	0.076999	-5.52%	0.0873	+7.12%	0.0257	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.07885	0.074667	-5.30%	0.0871	+10.46%	0.0597	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.0761	0.072108	-5.25%	0.0829	+8.94%	0.0265	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.078	0.073926	-5.22%	0.0815	+4.49%	0.0056	✓	0.96
2026-03-20	oos	0.081	0.076714	-5.29%	0.07895	-2.53%	0.0151	✓	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.0816	0.077365	-5.19%	0.0814	-0.25%	0.0256	✓	0.96
2026-03-18	oos	0.0801	0.076141	-4.94%	0.0848	+5.87%	0.0295	✓	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.0842	0.07983	-5.19%	0.08345	-0.89%	0.0280	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.0853	0.080768	-5.31%	0.0811	-4.92%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0837	0.079164	-5.42%	0.0784	-6.33%	0.0280	✓	1.00
2026-03-14	oos	0.0787	0.074473	-5.37%	0.0793	+0.76%	0.0193	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0792	0.074929	-5.39%	0.0769	-2.90%	0.0286	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.0771	0.072974	-5.35%	0.0804	+4.28%	0.0618	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0764	0.072449	-5.17%	0.081	+6.02%	0.0731	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0757	0.071811	-5.14%	0.07935	+4.82%	0.0743	✗	0.99
2026-03-09	oos	0.0764	0.072486	-5.12%	0.07915	+3.60%	0.0502	✓	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.0762	0.072317	-5.10%	0.081	+6.30%	0.0256	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.0765	0.072669	-5.01%	0.0789	+3.14%	0.0583	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.0792	0.075123	-5.15%	0.07845	-0.95%	0.0300	✓	1.02
2026-03-05	oos	0.0788	0.074854	-5.01%	0.0791	+0.38%	0.1094	✗	1.04
2026-03-04	oos	0.0794	0.075435	-4.99%	0.0796	+0.25%	0.1403	✗	1.05
2026-03-03	oos	0.077	0.073262	-4.85%	0.0768	-0.26%	0.0702	✗	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.0793	0.075492	-4.80%	0.0791	-0.25%	0.0580	✗	1.08
2026-03-01	oos	0.0788	0.075109	-4.68%	0.0754	-4.31%	0.0355	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.08095	0.077007	-4.87%	0.0745	-7.97%	0.0294	✓	1.07
2026-02-27	oos	0.0801	0.076396	-4.62%	0.0723	-9.74%	0.0567	✓	1.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.0807	0.076917	-4.69%	0.0744	-7.81%	0.0145	✓	1.08
2026-02-25	oos	0.0829	0.078986	-4.72%	0.0736	-11.22%	0.0444	✓	1.08
2026-02-24	oos	0.078	0.074924	-3.94%	0.0765	-1.92%	0.0550	✓	1.07
2026-02-23	oos	0.0786	0.075555	-3.87%	0.0805	+2.42%	0.0406	✓	1.06
2026-02-22	oos	0.08	0.076743	-4.07%	0.0815	+1.88%	0.0145	✓	1.08
2026-02-21	oos	0.08305	0.07952	-4.25%	0.07885	-5.06%	0.0539	✓	1.08
2026-02-20	oos	0.08205	0.0787	-4.08%	0.0761	-7.25%	0.0314	✓	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.0811	0.078086	-3.72%	0.078	-3.82%	0.0318	✓	1.08
2026-02-18	oos	0.08255	0.079698	-3.46%	0.081	-1.88%	0.0480	✓	1.08
2026-02-17	oos	0.0849	0.081767	-3.69%	0.0816	-3.89%	0.0402	✓	1.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.0864	0.0831	-3.82%	0.0801	-7.29%	0.0733	✓	1.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.0858	0.082726	-3.58%	0.0842	-1.86%	0.0595	✓	1.07
2026-02-14	oos	0.0897	0.086153	-3.95%	0.0853	-4.91%	0.0850	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.0875	0.084312	-3.64%	0.0837	-4.34%	0.0675	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.08485	0.082482	-2.79%	0.0787	-7.25%	0.1248	✓	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.0818	0.079895	-2.33%	0.0792	-3.18%	0.0684	✓	1.05
2026-02-10	oos	0.0808	0.078887	-2.37%	0.0771	-4.58%	0.0495	✓	1.07
2026-02-09	oos	0.0827	0.080475	-2.69%	0.0764	-7.62%	0.0536	✓	1.07
2026-02-08	oos	0.08285	0.080826	-2.44%	0.0757	-8.63%	0.0606	✓	1.08
2026-02-07	oos	0.0853	0.083121	-2.55%	0.0764	-10.43%	0.0714	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.08535	0.082967	-2.79%	0.0762	-10.72%	0.0122	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.0775	0.077551	+0.07%	0.0765	-1.29%	0.0916	✗	1.13
2026-02-04	oos	0.0912	0.088147	-3.35%	0.0792	-13.16%	0.0183	✓	1.28
2026-02-03	oos	0.09215	0.088801	-3.63%	0.0788	-14.49%	0.0364	✓	1.27
2026-02-02	oos	0.0951	0.091252	-4.05%	0.0794	-16.51%	0.0357	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.09105	0.0878	-3.57%	0.077	-15.43%	0.0165	✓	1.25
2026-01-31	oos	0.0923	0.088631	-3.98%	0.0793	-14.08%	0.0594	✗	1.28
2026-01-30	oos	0.1006	0.096097	-4.48%	0.0788	-21.67%	0.1193	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.1017	0.096881	-4.74%	0.08095	-20.40%	0.1219	✗	1.30
2026-01-28	oos	0.1097	0.104549	-4.70%	0.0801	-26.98%	0.1262	✗	1.30
2026-01-27	oos	0.11	0.104694	-4.82%	0.0807	-26.64%	0.1029	✗	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	0.1109	0.105368	-4.99%	0.0829	-25.25%	0.0978	✗	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	0.109	0.103244	-5.28%	0.078	-28.44%	0.1104	✗	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	0.115	0.108977	-5.24%	0.0786	-31.65%	0.0879	✗	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	0.1126	0.106275	-5.62%	0.08	-28.95%	0.0769	✗	1.29
2026-01-22	oos	0.1092	0.103625	-5.10%	0.08305	-23.95%	0.1320	✗	1.29
2026-01-21	oos	0.1106	0.104966	-5.09%	0.08205	-25.81%	0.1070	✗	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	0.1068	0.101313	-5.14%	0.0811	-24.06%	0.1345	✗	1.29
2026-01-19	oos	0.1149	0.108875	-5.24%	0.08255	-28.15%	0.1498	✗	1.29
2026-01-18	oos	0.1213	0.115405	-4.86%	0.0849	-30.01%	0.1115	✗	1.28
2026-01-17	oos	0.1275	0.121803	-4.47%	0.0864	-32.24%	0.0657	✗	1.27
2026-01-16	oos	0.1381	0.13183	-4.54%	0.0858	-37.87%	0.0161	✓	1.26
2026-01-15	oos	0.172	0.162558	-5.49%	0.0897	-47.85%	0.1966	✓	1.26
2026-01-14	oos	0.1801	0.17021	-5.49%	0.0875	-51.42%	0.2349	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	0.1811	0.170349	-5.94%	0.08485	-53.15%	0.2346	✓	1.27
2026-01-12	oos	0.1682	0.157354	-6.45%	0.0818	-51.37%	0.2688	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.1707	0.159648	-6.47%	0.0808	-52.67%	0.3304	✓	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.1766	0.164791	-6.69%	0.0827	-53.17%	0.3648	✓	1.28
2026-01-09	oos	0.175	0.163581	-6.53%	0.08285	-52.66%	0.3393	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.1728	0.161826	-6.35%	0.0853	-50.64%	0.2792	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.1784	0.167081	-6.34%	0.08535	-52.16%	0.2106	✓	1.79
2026-01-06	oos	0.1862	0.174724	-6.16%	0.0775	-58.38%	0.0945	✓	1.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.1866	0.175087	-6.17%	0.0912	-51.13%	0.2036	✓	1.78
2026-01-04	oos	0.1777	0.16693	-6.06%	0.09215	-48.14%	0.2588	✓	1.76
2026-01-03	oos	0.173	0.162971	-5.80%	0.0951	-45.03%	0.2899	✓	1.76
2026-01-02	oos	0.172	0.162238	-5.68%	0.09105	-47.06%	0.3018	✓	1.76
2026-01-01	oos	0.1638	0.154956	-5.40%	0.0923	-43.65%	0.3076	✓	1.74
2025-12-31	oos	0.1581	0.149807	-5.25%	0.1006	-36.37%	0.3300	✓	1.73
2025-12-30	oos	0.162	0.153684	-5.13%	0.1017	-37.22%	0.3355	✓	1.72
2025-12-29	oos	0.1553	0.147537	-5.00%	0.1097	-29.36%	0.3358	✓	1.69
2025-12-28	oos	0.1565	0.148546	-5.08%	0.11	-29.71%	0.3242	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.1583	0.150182	-5.13%	0.1109	-29.94%	0.3116	✓	1.67
2025-12-26	oos	0.1507	0.143606	-4.71%	0.109	-27.67%	0.2617	✓	1.66
2025-12-25	oos	0.1533	0.146212	-4.62%	0.115	-24.98%	0.2760	✓	1.66
2025-12-24	oos	0.1615	0.153802	-4.77%	0.1126	-30.28%	0.3468	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.1645	0.156599	-4.80%	0.1092	-33.62%	0.3984	✓	1.65
2025-12-22	oos	0.1649	0.157013	-4.78%	0.1106	-32.93%	0.3654	✓	1.65
2025-12-21	oos	0.163	0.155375	-4.68%	0.1068	-34.48%	0.3687	✓	1.65
2025-12-20	oos	0.1697	0.161534	-4.81%	0.1149	-32.29%	0.4188	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	0.1605	0.153129	-4.59%	0.1213	-24.42%	0.3344	✓	1.66
2025-12-18	oos	0.1465	0.140721	-3.94%	0.1275	-12.97%	0.2728	✓	1.63
2025-12-17	oos	0.153	0.146962	-3.95%	0.1381	-9.74%	0.2287	✓	1.63
2025-12-16	oos	0.1628	0.156044	-4.15%	0.172	+5.65%	0.0392	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.1624	0.155854	-4.03%	0.1801	+10.90%	0.0425	✓	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.1675	0.160765	-4.02%	0.1811	+8.12%	0.0089	✓	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.1754	0.168092	-4.17%	0.1682	-4.10%	0.0161	✓	1.63
2025-12-12	oos	0.1751	0.167938	-4.09%	0.1707	-2.51%	0.0056	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.1818	0.174362	-4.09%	0.1766	-2.86%	0.0514	✗	1.63
2025-12-10	oos	0.1851	0.177398	-4.16%	0.175	-5.46%	0.0138	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.1891	0.180892	-4.34%	0.1728	-8.62%	0.0161	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.1798	0.172329	-4.16%	0.1784	-0.78%	0.0235	✓	1.62
2025-12-07	oos	0.1767	0.169101	-4.30%	0.1862	+5.38%	0.0382	✓	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	0.1812	0.172826	-4.62%	0.1866	+2.98%	0.0051	✓	1.63
2025-12-05	oos	0.179	0.171262	-4.32%	0.1777	-0.73%	0.0018	✓	1.63
2025-12-04	oos	0.1893	0.180555	-4.62%	0.173	-8.61%	0.0161	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.1949	0.185673	-4.73%	0.172	-11.75%	0.0144	✓	1.63
2025-12-02	oos	0.1904	0.181613	-4.62%	0.1638	-13.97%	0.0563	✓	1.64
2025-12-01	oos	0.1869	0.178909	-4.28%	0.1581	-15.41%	0.1481	✓	1.75
2025-11-30	oos	0.195	0.186368	-4.43%	0.162	-16.92%	0.1006	✓	1.79
2025-11-29	oos	0.2012	0.191962	-4.59%	0.1553	-22.81%	0.1374	✓	1.78
2025-11-28	oos	0.20235	0.193137	-4.55%	0.1565	-22.66%	0.1500	✓	1.78
2025-11-27	oos	0.2057	0.196157	-4.64%	0.1583	-23.04%	0.1445	✓	1.78
2025-11-26	oos	0.20555	0.196418	-4.44%	0.1507	-26.68%	0.2023	✓	1.75
2025-11-25	oos	0.2049	0.196064	-4.31%	0.1533	-25.18%	0.2429	✓	1.81
2025-11-24	oos	0.2115	0.202247	-4.38%	0.1615	-23.64%	0.2115	✓	1.81
2025-11-23	oos	0.20805	0.199387	-4.16%	0.1645	-20.93%	0.2053	✓	1.81
2025-11-22	oos	0.207	0.198978	-3.88%	0.1649	-20.34%	0.2701	✓	1.84
2025-11-21	oos	0.21175	0.203027	-4.12%	0.163	-23.02%	0.2949	✓	1.83
2025-11-20	oos	0.2175	0.208431	-4.17%	0.1697	-21.98%	0.2429	✓	1.83
2025-11-19	oos	0.22935	0.218655	-4.66%	0.1605	-30.02%	0.2383	✓	1.89
2025-11-18	oos	0.2355	0.224312	-4.75%	0.1465	-37.79%	0.2679	✓	1.89
2025-11-17	oos	0.23525	0.224243	-4.68%	0.153	-34.96%	0.2568	✓	1.90
2025-11-16	oos	0.24075	0.229117	-4.83%	0.1628	-32.38%	0.2107	✓	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.24695	0.23454	-5.03%	0.1624	-34.24%	0.1781	✓	1.89
2025-11-14	oos	0.24405	0.232228	-4.84%	0.1675	-31.37%	0.1957	✓	1.89
2025-11-13	oos	0.25205	0.23941	-5.02%	0.1754	-30.41%	0.1142	✓	2.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.2673	0.253149	-5.29%	0.1751	-34.49%	0.1330	✓	1.99
2025-11-11	oos	0.27265	0.258604	-5.15%	0.1818	-33.32%	0.1405	✓	1.98
2025-11-10	oos	0.2966	0.280145	-5.55%	0.1851	-37.59%	0.1422	✓	1.93
2025-11-09	oos	0.29045	0.274338	-5.55%	0.1891	-34.89%	0.1359	✓	1.94
2025-11-08	oos	0.29515	0.277989	-5.81%	0.1798	-39.08%	0.1966	✓	1.98
2025-11-07	oos	0.3126	0.292456	-6.44%	0.1767	-43.47%	0.2459	✓	1.94
2025-11-06	oos	0.26315	0.248892	-5.42%	0.1812	-31.14%	0.0833	✓	1.85
2025-11-05	oos	0.25415	0.241157	-5.11%	0.179	-29.57%	0.0104	✓	1.91
2025-11-04	oos	0.24405	0.232135	-4.88%	0.1893	-22.43%	0.0183	✓	1.92
2025-11-03	oos	0.25155	0.238441	-5.21%	0.1949	-22.52%	0.0633	✗	2.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.27195	0.256544	-5.67%	0.1904	-29.99%	0.0879	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.27175	0.256944	-5.45%	0.1869	-31.22%	0.1747	✗	2.03
2025-10-31	oos	0.2666	0.251919	-5.51%	0.195	-26.86%	0.1337	✗	2.02
2025-10-30	oos	0.2652	0.250683	-5.47%	0.2012	-24.13%	0.1378	✗	2.03
2025-10-29	oos	0.28125	0.265737	-5.52%	0.20235	-28.05%	0.1099	✗	2.00
2025-10-28	oos	0.2852	0.268974	-5.69%	0.2057	-27.88%	0.1644	✗	2.04
2025-10-27	oos	0.2965	0.280262	-5.48%	0.20555	-30.67%	0.1620	✗	2.03
2025-10-26	oos	0.2991	0.282918	-5.41%	0.2049	-31.49%	0.2297	✗	2.04
2025-10-25	oos	0.29355	0.277415	-5.50%	0.2115	-27.95%	0.2152	✗	2.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.29495	0.278948	-5.43%	0.20805	-29.46%	0.2157	✗	2.07
2025-10-23	oos	0.2875	0.272482	-5.22%	0.207	-28.00%	0.2667	✗	2.06
2025-10-22	oos	0.27735	0.263399	-5.03%	0.21175	-23.65%	0.2667	✗	2.07
2025-10-21	oos	0.2829	0.268852	-4.97%	0.2175	-23.12%	0.2529	✗	2.07
2025-10-20	oos	0.29235	0.277138	-5.20%	0.22935	-21.55%	0.2048	✗	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	0.2889	0.273552	-5.31%	0.2355	-18.48%	0.1774	✗	2.09
2025-10-18	oos	0.28685	0.271773	-5.26%	0.23525	-17.99%	0.1741	✗	2.10
2025-10-17	oos	0.2824	0.267664	-5.22%	0.24075	-14.75%	0.1506	✗	2.09
2025-10-16	oos	0.2888	0.273207	-5.40%	0.24695	-14.49%	0.1605	✗	2.10
2025-10-15	oos	0.29865	0.281993	-5.58%	0.24405	-18.28%	0.1932	✗	2.12
2025-10-14	oos	0.3155	0.298088	-5.52%	0.25205	-20.11%	0.1006	✗	2.12
2025-10-13	oos	0.32845	0.309373	-5.81%	0.2673	-18.62%	0.1211	✗	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.306	0.288911	-5.58%	0.27265	-10.90%	0.1765	✗	2.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.27425	0.259408	-5.41%	0.2966	+8.15%	0.2251	✗	2.06
2025-10-10	oos	0.2654	0.252146	-4.99%	0.29045	+9.44%	0.3033	✗	2.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.3868	0.368909	-4.63%	0.29515	-23.69%	0.0078	✓	1.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.40045	0.38374	-4.17%	0.3126	-21.94%	0.0292	✓	1.32
2025-10-07	oos	0.39895	0.380367	-4.66%	0.26315	-34.04%	0.1278	✓	1.33
2025-10-06	oos	0.4093	0.3947	-3.57%	0.25415	-37.91%	0.1927	✓	1.35
2025-10-05	oos	0.4024	0.387866	-3.61%	0.24405	-39.35%	0.1982	✓	1.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.4036	0.388833	-3.66%	0.25155	-37.67%	0.2475	✓	1.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.4156	0.40023	-3.70%	0.27195	-34.56%	0.2494	✓	1.35
2025-10-02	oos	0.4167	0.3991	-4.22%	0.27175	-34.79%	0.2592	✓	1.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.4109	0.391815	-4.64%	0.2666	-35.12%	0.2759	✓	1.37
2025-09-30	oos	0.3938	0.37303	-5.27%	0.2652	-32.66%	0.2695	✓	1.38
2025-09-29	oos	0.4029	0.381986	-5.19%	0.28125	-30.19%	0.2528	✓	1.38
2025-09-28	oos	0.41305	0.390395	-5.48%	0.2852	-30.95%	0.3230	✓	1.44
2025-09-27	oos	0.4041	0.381482	-5.60%	0.2965	-26.63%	0.3091	✓	1.45
2025-09-26	oos	0.41015	0.387543	-5.51%	0.2991	-27.08%	0.3218	✓	1.45
2025-09-25	oos	0.39875	0.377359	-5.36%	0.29355	-26.38%	0.2854	✓	1.44
2025-09-24	oos	0.4212	0.399359	-5.19%	0.29495	-29.97%	0.2732	✓	1.45
2025-09-23	oos	0.42185	0.400266	-5.12%	0.2875	-31.85%	0.3058	✓	1.47
2025-09-22	oos	0.427	0.405209	-5.10%	0.27735	-35.05%	0.3105	✓	1.47
2025-09-21	oos	0.46255	0.437337	-5.45%	0.2829	-38.84%	0.3492	✓	1.40
2025-09-20	oos	0.4707	0.443657	-5.75%	0.29235	-37.89%	0.3532	✓	1.39
2025-09-19	oos	0.4696	0.442697	-5.73%	0.2889	-38.48%	0.3396	✓	1.39
2025-09-18	oos	0.4854	0.45598	-6.06%	0.28685	-40.90%	0.3413	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.48145	0.450509	-6.43%	0.2824	-41.34%	0.3429	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.