A

Vaulta · native · gru_s5

token id: #104
symbol: A
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-07-23
predictions: 1,341

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0240

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0046

actual -0.0024

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09485	0.094258	-0.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.09785	0.096951	-0.92%	0.09485	-3.07%	0.0188	✓	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.0884	0.08805	-0.40%	0.09785	+10.69%	0.0917	✗	1.03
2026-10-18	oos	0.09015	0.089812	-0.37%	0.0884	-1.94%	0.0137	✓	1.03
2026-10-17	oos	0.1117	0.110346	-1.21%	0.09015	-19.29%	0.2102	✓	1.05
2026-10-16	oos	0.1047	0.10388	-0.78%	0.1117	+6.69%	0.0741	✗	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.09715	0.096624	-0.54%	0.1047	+7.77%	0.0885	✗	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.1036	0.102678	-0.89%	0.09715	-6.23%	0.0628	✓	1.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.0997	0.099022	-0.68%	0.1036	+3.91%	0.0664	✗	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.09905	0.09839	-0.67%	0.0997	+0.66%	0.0055	✓	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.1038	0.102979	-0.79%	0.09905	-4.58%	0.0138	✓	1.07
2026-10-10	oos	0.10325	0.102406	-0.82%	0.1038	+0.53%	0.0040	✓	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.10475	0.103759	-0.95%	0.10325	-1.43%	0.0095	✓	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.09735	0.096586	-0.78%	0.10475	+7.60%	0.0704	✗	1.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.09825	0.097522	-0.74%	0.09735	-0.92%	0.0180	✗	1.03
2026-10-06	oos	0.10315	0.102225	-0.90%	0.09825	-4.75%	0.0120	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.10175	0.100628	-1.10%	0.10315	+1.38%	0.0272	✗	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.09665	0.095872	-0.81%	0.10175	+5.28%	0.0686	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.09575	0.095017	-0.77%	0.09665	+0.94%	0.0045	✓	1.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.09425	0.093568	-0.72%	0.09575	+1.59%	0.0201	✗	1.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.095472	-0.71%	0.09425	-1.98%	0.0086	✓	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.09875	0.097989	-0.77%	0.09615	-2.63%	0.0355	✓	1.08
2026-09-29	oos	0.09635	0.095661	-0.72%	0.09875	+2.49%	0.0328	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.0952	0.094423	-0.82%	0.09635	+1.21%	0.0179	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.1039	0.103018	-0.85%	0.0952	-8.37%	0.0672	✓	0.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.1017	0.100852	-0.83%	0.1039	+2.16%	0.0292	✗	0.99
2026-09-25	oos	0.1023	0.101405	-0.87%	0.1017	-0.59%	0.0009	✓	0.99
2026-09-24	oos	0.0994	0.098427	-0.98%	0.1023	+2.92%	0.0420	✗	0.99
2026-09-23	oos	0.09175	0.091116	-0.69%	0.0994	+8.34%	0.0869	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.09795	0.097073	-0.90%	0.09175	-6.33%	0.0355	✓	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.0931	0.092305	-0.85%	0.09795	+5.21%	0.0640	✗	1.01
2026-09-20	oos	0.089	0.088371	-0.71%	0.0931	+4.61%	0.0145	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.08995	0.089176	-0.86%	0.089	-1.06%	0.0010	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.09185	0.090665	-1.29%	0.08995	-2.07%	0.0125	✓	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0786	0.078328	-0.35%	0.09185	+16.86%	0.1093	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.0759	0.075726	-0.23%	0.0786	+3.56%	0.0350	✗	0.86
2026-09-15	oos	0.0762	0.075971	-0.30%	0.0759	-0.39%	0.0076	✓	0.90
2026-09-14	oos	0.08075	0.0805	-0.31%	0.0762	-5.63%	0.0263	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.08135	0.081017	-0.41%	0.08075	-0.74%	0.0186	✓	0.86
2026-09-12	oos	0.0783	0.078172	-0.16%	0.08135	+3.90%	0.0451	✗	0.87
2026-09-11	oos	0.07675	0.076655	-0.12%	0.0783	+2.02%	0.0206	✗	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.0775	0.077361	-0.18%	0.07675	-0.97%	0.0156	✓	0.88
2026-09-09	oos	0.0815	0.081269	-0.28%	0.0775	-4.91%	0.0281	✓	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.08075	0.080596	-0.19%	0.0815	+0.93%	0.0132	✗	0.96
2026-09-07	oos	0.08045	0.080267	-0.23%	0.08075	+0.37%	0.0139	✗	0.97
2026-09-06	oos	0.0806	0.080605	+0.01%	0.08045	-0.19%	0.0132	✓	0.96
2026-09-05	oos	0.0801	0.080078	-0.03%	0.0806	+0.62%	0.0004	✗	0.96
2026-09-04	oos	0.07725	0.077296	+0.06%	0.0801	+3.69%	0.0337	✓	0.96
2026-09-03	oos	0.0787	0.078737	+0.05%	0.07725	-1.84%	0.0000	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.07665	0.076453	-0.26%	0.0787	+2.67%	0.0234	✓	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.0745	0.074302	-0.27%	0.07665	+2.89%	0.0324	✗	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.07485	0.074692	-0.21%	0.0745	-0.47%	0.0124	✗	1.01
2026-08-30	oos	0.07375	0.07346	-0.39%	0.07485	+1.49%	0.0070	✗	1.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.07645	0.076044	-0.53%	0.07375	-3.53%	0.0234	✓	0.99
2026-08-28	oos	0.07615	0.075584	-0.74%	0.07645	+0.39%	0.0064	✓	0.99
2026-08-27	oos	0.0776	0.077005	-0.77%	0.07615	-1.87%	0.0198	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.07885	0.077987	-1.09%	0.0776	-1.59%	0.0209	✓	1.01
2026-08-25	oos	0.0731	0.072468	-0.86%	0.07885	+7.87%	0.0780	✗	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.07305	0.072484	-0.77%	0.0731	+0.07%	0.0143	✗	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.0753	0.074425	-1.16%	0.07305	-2.99%	0.0351	✓	1.03
2026-08-22	oos	0.07315	0.072444	-0.97%	0.0753	+2.94%	0.0297	✗	1.03
2026-08-21	oos	0.0773	0.076373	-1.20%	0.07315	-5.37%	0.0266	✓	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.06965	0.068913	-1.06%	0.0773	+10.98%	0.0483	✗	0.95
2026-08-19	oos	0.0665	0.06575	-1.13%	0.06965	+4.74%	0.0069	✓	0.97
2026-08-18	oos	0.06045	0.059911	-0.89%	0.0665	+10.01%	0.0422	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.061	0.060648	-0.58%	0.06045	-0.90%	0.0061	✓	0.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.061	0.06066	-0.56%	0.061	+0.00%	0.0183	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.0616	0.061224	-0.61%	0.061	-0.97%	0.0010	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.0619	0.061462	-0.71%	0.0616	-0.48%	0.0016	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.0624	0.062026	-0.60%	0.0619	-0.80%	0.0047	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.06255	0.062229	-0.51%	0.0624	-0.24%	0.0025	✓	0.97
2026-08-11	oos	0.0631	0.062773	-0.52%	0.06255	-0.87%	0.0017	✓	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.0641	0.063753	-0.54%	0.0631	-1.56%	0.0045	✓	0.97
2026-08-09	oos	0.0644	0.064051	-0.54%	0.0641	-0.47%	0.0151	✗	0.98
2026-08-08	oos	0.0652	0.064842	-0.55%	0.0644	-1.23%	0.0059	✓	0.98
2026-08-07	oos	0.06435	0.064016	-0.52%	0.0652	+1.32%	0.0181	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.0652	0.064817	-0.59%	0.06435	-1.30%	0.0169	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.0642	0.063876	-0.51%	0.0652	+1.56%	0.0258	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.0649	0.064546	-0.55%	0.0642	-1.08%	0.0141	✓	1.01
2026-08-03	oos	0.06435	0.063987	-0.56%	0.0649	+0.85%	0.0048	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.06335	0.063024	-0.52%	0.06435	+1.58%	0.0214	✗	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.06375	0.063421	-0.52%	0.06335	-0.63%	0.0128	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.064	0.063653	-0.54%	0.06375	-0.39%	0.0025	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.0613	0.061045	-0.42%	0.064	+4.40%	0.0793	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0598	0.059584	-0.36%	0.0613	+2.51%	0.0148	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.0623	0.062065	-0.38%	0.0598	-4.01%	0.0380	✓	1.04
2026-07-27	oos	0.0623	0.062061	-0.38%	0.0623	+0.00%	0.0014	✓	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.0636	0.063398	-0.32%	0.0623	-2.04%	0.0086	✗	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.0619	0.061724	-0.28%	0.0636	+2.75%	0.0135	✗	1.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.06265	0.062456	-0.31%	0.0619	-1.20%	0.0124	✓	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.065	0.064814	-0.29%	0.06265	-3.62%	0.0187	✓	1.02
2026-07-22	oos	0.0661	0.065912	-0.28%	0.065	-1.66%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.0672	0.067	-0.30%	0.0661	-1.64%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.0666	0.066419	-0.27%	0.0672	+0.90%	0.0088	✓	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.06795	0.067739	-0.31%	0.0666	-1.99%	0.0255	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.0695	0.069279	-0.32%	0.06795	-2.23%	0.0175	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.07	0.06976	-0.34%	0.0695	-0.71%	0.0186	✓	1.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.0725	0.072215	-0.39%	0.07	-3.45%	0.0332	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.0755	0.075154	-0.46%	0.0725	-3.97%	0.0204	✓	1.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.0742	0.073896	-0.41%	0.0755	+1.75%	0.0259	✗	1.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.07395	0.073637	-0.42%	0.0742	+0.34%	0.0411	✓	1.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.0714	0.071138	-0.37%	0.07395	+3.57%	0.0665	✗	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.07405	0.073742	-0.42%	0.0714	-3.58%	0.0317	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0787	0.07827	-0.55%	0.07405	-5.91%	0.0491	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.0795	0.079028	-0.59%	0.0787	-1.01%	0.0214	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.0743	0.0739	-0.54%	0.0795	+7.00%	0.0562	✗	1.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.07375	0.0734	-0.47%	0.0743	+0.75%	0.0318	✗	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.074	0.07361	-0.53%	0.07375	-0.34%	0.0140	✗	1.14
2026-07-05	oos	0.0722	0.071824	-0.52%	0.074	+2.49%	0.0226	✗	1.11
2026-07-04	oos	0.0738	0.073385	-0.56%	0.0722	-2.17%	0.0250	✓	1.11
2026-07-03	oos	0.0674	0.067121	-0.41%	0.0738	+9.50%	0.0853	✗	1.06
2026-07-02	oos	0.0641	0.06386	-0.37%	0.0674	+5.15%	0.0365	✗	1.05
2026-07-01	oos	0.06395	0.063699	-0.39%	0.0641	+0.23%	0.0204	✓	1.06
2026-06-30	oos	0.06295	0.062676	-0.44%	0.06395	+1.59%	0.0060	✓	1.08
2026-06-29	oos	0.0614	0.061175	-0.37%	0.06295	+2.52%	0.0595	✗	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.06	0.05982	-0.30%	0.0614	+2.33%	0.0133	✗	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.0602	0.060013	-0.31%	0.06	-0.33%	0.0084	✗	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.06145	0.06124	-0.34%	0.0602	-2.03%	0.0159	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.0601	0.059911	-0.31%	0.06145	+2.25%	0.0198	✗	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.06195	0.061701	-0.40%	0.0601	-2.99%	0.0028	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.0652	0.06491	-0.45%	0.06195	-4.98%	0.0170	✓	1.11
2026-06-22	oos	0.0646	0.064276	-0.50%	0.0652	+0.93%	0.0373	✗	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.06425	0.063996	-0.40%	0.0646	+0.54%	0.0031	✓	1.11
2026-06-20	oos	0.0662	0.065892	-0.46%	0.06425	-2.95%	0.0083	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.06635	0.066054	-0.45%	0.0662	-0.23%	0.0107	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.06895	0.068586	-0.53%	0.06635	-3.77%	0.0437	✓	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.07425	0.07373	-0.70%	0.06895	-7.14%	0.0403	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.0728	0.072323	-0.65%	0.07425	+1.99%	0.0459	✗	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.0737	0.073147	-0.75%	0.0728	-1.22%	0.0062	✓	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.0741	0.073538	-0.76%	0.0737	-0.54%	0.0073	✓	1.10
2026-06-13	oos	0.0724	0.071775	-0.86%	0.0741	+2.35%	0.0105	✗	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.0709	0.07036	-0.76%	0.0724	+2.12%	0.0131	✗	1.11
2026-06-11	oos	0.0727	0.071923	-1.07%	0.0709	-2.48%	0.0139	✓	1.11
2026-06-10	oos	0.06335	0.063088	-0.41%	0.0727	+14.76%	0.1073	✗	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.0639	0.06364	-0.41%	0.06335	-0.86%	0.0006	✓	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.0643	0.063999	-0.47%	0.0639	-0.62%	0.0212	✗	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.0638	0.063502	-0.47%	0.0643	+0.78%	0.0163	✗	1.01
2026-06-06	oos	0.0615	0.061338	-0.26%	0.0638	+3.74%	0.0007	✓	0.98
2026-06-05	oos	0.0621	0.061954	-0.24%	0.0615	-0.97%	0.0045	✓	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.0676	0.067287	-0.46%	0.0621	-8.14%	0.0389	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0717	0.071315	-0.54%	0.0676	-5.72%	0.0503	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0711	0.070626	-0.67%	0.0717	+0.84%	0.0518	✗	0.92
2026-06-01	oos	0.077	0.076382	-0.80%	0.0711	-7.66%	0.0150	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0773	0.07684	-0.60%	0.077	-0.39%	0.0291	✗	0.87
2026-05-30	oos	0.0769	0.076501	-0.52%	0.0773	+0.52%	0.0126	✗	0.83
2026-05-29	oos	0.0762	0.075836	-0.48%	0.0769	+0.92%	0.0094	✗	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.07425	0.07394	-0.42%	0.0762	+2.63%	0.0318	✗	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.07545	0.075087	-0.48%	0.07425	-1.59%	0.0023	✓	0.82
2026-05-26	oos	0.078	0.077686	-0.40%	0.07545	-3.27%	0.0127	✓	0.82
2026-05-25	oos	0.0794	0.079057	-0.43%	0.078	-1.76%	0.0021	✓	0.84
2026-05-24	oos	0.0776	0.077313	-0.37%	0.0794	+2.32%	0.0237	✗	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.0805	0.080131	-0.46%	0.0776	-3.60%	0.0356	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0778	0.077536	-0.34%	0.0805	+3.47%	0.0246	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.08215	0.08178	-0.45%	0.0778	-5.30%	0.0282	✓	0.79
2026-05-20	oos	0.081	0.080696	-0.37%	0.08215	+1.42%	0.0171	✗	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.07975	0.079517	-0.29%	0.081	+1.57%	0.0113	✗	0.79
2026-05-18	oos	0.0815	0.081267	-0.29%	0.07975	-2.15%	0.0170	✓	0.79
2026-05-17	oos	0.08035	0.080151	-0.25%	0.0815	+1.43%	0.0215	✗	0.79
2026-05-16	oos	0.08395	0.083711	-0.28%	0.08035	-4.29%	0.0339	✓	0.78
2026-05-15	oos	0.0873	0.086972	-0.38%	0.08395	-3.84%	0.0258	✓	0.79
2026-05-14	oos	0.0922	0.091831	-0.40%	0.0873	-5.31%	0.0312	✓	0.77
2026-05-13	oos	0.0908	0.09046	-0.37%	0.0922	+1.54%	0.0018	✓	0.77
2026-05-12	oos	0.094	0.0936	-0.43%	0.0908	-3.40%	0.0192	✓	0.75
2026-05-11	oos	0.0974	0.096937	-0.48%	0.094	-3.49%	0.0198	✓	0.72
2026-05-10	oos	0.09885	0.098298	-0.56%	0.0974	-1.47%	0.0050	✓	0.72
2026-05-09	oos	0.0948	0.094325	-0.50%	0.09885	+4.27%	0.0334	✗	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.0964	0.095833	-0.59%	0.0948	-1.66%	0.0149	✓	0.70
2026-05-07	oos	0.0913	0.09088	-0.46%	0.0964	+5.59%	0.0574	✗	0.69
2026-05-06	oos	0.0914	0.090936	-0.51%	0.0913	-0.11%	0.0169	✗	0.73
2026-05-05	oos	0.08745	0.087069	-0.44%	0.0914	+4.52%	0.0431	✗	0.83
2026-05-04	oos	0.0878	0.087469	-0.38%	0.08745	-0.40%	0.0110	✓	0.82
2026-05-03	oos	0.0886	0.08824	-0.41%	0.0878	-0.90%	0.0184	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.090141	-0.51%	0.0886	-2.21%	0.0159	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.0894	0.089034	-0.41%	0.0906	+1.34%	0.0127	✗	0.83
2026-04-30	oos	0.0887	0.0883	-0.45%	0.0894	+0.79%	0.0089	✓	0.85
2026-04-29	oos	0.0942	0.093559	-0.68%	0.0887	-5.84%	0.0596	✓	0.86
2026-04-28	oos	0.09205	0.091499	-0.60%	0.0942	+2.34%	0.0356	✗	0.88
2026-04-27	oos	0.0891	0.088621	-0.54%	0.09205	+3.31%	0.0500	✗	0.89
2026-04-26	oos	0.09155	0.091086	-0.51%	0.0891	-2.68%	0.0072	✓	0.88
2026-04-25	oos	0.0878	0.087415	-0.44%	0.09155	+4.27%	0.0347	✗	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0912	0.090699	-0.55%	0.0878	-3.73%	0.0347	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0873	0.086838	-0.53%	0.0912	+4.47%	0.0584	✗	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.0871	0.086576	-0.60%	0.0873	+0.23%	0.0075	✗	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.0829	0.08254	-0.43%	0.0871	+5.07%	0.0325	✗	0.88
2026-04-20	oos	0.0815	0.081166	-0.41%	0.0829	+1.72%	0.0155	✗	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.07895	0.078638	-0.40%	0.0815	+3.23%	0.0112	✗	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.0814	0.081063	-0.41%	0.07895	-3.01%	0.0033	✓	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.0848	0.084408	-0.46%	0.0814	-4.01%	0.0202	✓	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.08345	0.083031	-0.50%	0.0848	+1.62%	0.0019	✓	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0811	0.080677	-0.52%	0.08345	+2.90%	0.0299	✗	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.0784	0.078047	-0.45%	0.0811	+3.44%	0.0305	✗	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.0793	0.078935	-0.46%	0.0784	-1.13%	0.0036	✓	0.89
2026-04-12	oos	0.0769	0.076545	-0.46%	0.0793	+3.12%	0.0115	✓	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.0804	0.079959	-0.55%	0.0769	-4.35%	0.0093	✓	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.081	0.080436	-0.70%	0.0804	-0.74%	0.0015	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.07935	0.078962	-0.49%	0.081	+2.08%	0.0104	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.07915	0.078752	-0.50%	0.07935	+0.25%	0.0015	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.081	0.080504	-0.61%	0.07915	-2.28%	0.0065	✓	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.0789	0.07848	-0.53%	0.081	+2.66%	0.0083	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.07845	0.077989	-0.59%	0.0789	+0.57%	0.0136	✗	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0791	0.078651	-0.57%	0.07845	-0.82%	0.0261	✓	0.94
2026-04-03	oos	0.0796	0.079001	-0.75%	0.0791	-0.63%	0.0034	✓	0.94
2026-04-02	oos	0.0768	0.076378	-0.55%	0.0796	+3.65%	0.0404	✗	0.94
2026-04-01	oos	0.0791	0.078642	-0.58%	0.0768	-2.91%	0.0066	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.075079	-0.43%	0.0791	+4.91%	0.0537	✗	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.0745	0.074198	-0.40%	0.0754	+1.21%	0.0049	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0723	0.072036	-0.37%	0.0745	+3.04%	0.0224	✗	0.96
2026-03-28	oos	0.0744	0.074121	-0.38%	0.0723	-2.82%	0.0196	✓	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0736	0.073328	-0.37%	0.0744	+1.09%	0.0150	✗	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0765	0.076173	-0.43%	0.0736	-3.79%	0.0001	✓	0.96
2026-03-25	oos	0.0805	0.080135	-0.45%	0.0765	-4.97%	0.0119	✓	0.95
2026-03-24	oos	0.0815	0.081113	-0.47%	0.0805	-1.23%	0.0180	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.07885	0.078513	-0.43%	0.0815	+3.36%	0.0420	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.0761	0.075807	-0.39%	0.07885	+3.61%	0.0024	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.078	0.077679	-0.41%	0.0761	-2.44%	0.0056	✓	0.96
2026-03-20	oos	0.081	0.08065	-0.43%	0.078	-3.70%	0.0118	✓	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.0816	0.081202	-0.49%	0.081	-0.74%	0.0104	✓	0.96
2026-03-18	oos	0.0801	0.079722	-0.47%	0.0816	+1.87%	0.0419	✗	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.0842	0.08378	-0.50%	0.0801	-4.87%	0.0082	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.0853	0.084832	-0.55%	0.0842	-1.29%	0.0053	✓	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0837	0.083192	-0.61%	0.0853	+1.91%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-03-14	oos	0.0787	0.078238	-0.59%	0.0837	+6.35%	0.0456	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0792	0.078684	-0.65%	0.0787	-0.63%	0.0038	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.0771	0.076711	-0.51%	0.0792	+2.72%	0.0262	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0764	0.075987	-0.54%	0.0771	+0.92%	0.0100	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0757	0.075258	-0.58%	0.0764	+0.92%	0.0116	✗	0.99
2026-03-09	oos	0.0764	0.076025	-0.49%	0.0757	-0.92%	0.0262	✓	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.0762	0.075813	-0.51%	0.0764	+0.26%	0.0296	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.0765	0.076115	-0.50%	0.0762	-0.39%	0.0209	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.0792	0.078717	-0.61%	0.0765	-3.41%	0.0158	✓	1.02
2026-03-05	oos	0.0788	0.078326	-0.60%	0.0792	+0.51%	0.0528	✗	1.04
2026-03-04	oos	0.0794	0.078883	-0.65%	0.0788	-0.76%	0.0253	✗	1.05
2026-03-03	oos	0.077	0.076565	-0.56%	0.0794	+3.12%	0.0303	✓	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.0793	0.078972	-0.41%	0.077	-2.90%	0.0175	✓	1.08
2026-03-01	oos	0.0788	0.078518	-0.36%	0.0793	+0.63%	0.0391	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.08095	0.080584	-0.45%	0.0788	-2.66%	0.0031	✓	1.07
2026-02-27	oos	0.0801	0.079814	-0.36%	0.08095	+1.06%	0.0037	✓	1.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.0807	0.080368	-0.41%	0.0801	-0.74%	0.0230	✗	1.08
2026-02-25	oos	0.0829	0.082532	-0.44%	0.0807	-2.65%	0.0145	✓	1.08
2026-02-24	oos	0.078	0.077815	-0.24%	0.0829	+6.28%	0.0004	✓	1.07
2026-02-23	oos	0.0786	0.078393	-0.26%	0.078	-0.76%	0.0041	✗	1.06
2026-02-22	oos	0.08	0.0798	-0.25%	0.0786	-1.75%	0.0337	✗	1.08
2026-02-21	oos	0.08305	0.0828	-0.30%	0.08	-3.67%	0.0290	✓	1.08
2026-02-20	oos	0.08205	0.081798	-0.31%	0.08305	+1.22%	0.0156	✗	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.0811	0.080861	-0.29%	0.08205	+1.17%	0.0015	✓	1.08
2026-02-18	oos	0.08255	0.082428	-0.15%	0.0811	-1.76%	0.0252	✓	1.08
2026-02-17	oos	0.0849	0.084748	-0.18%	0.08255	-2.77%	0.0096	✓	1.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.0864	0.08622	-0.21%	0.0849	-1.74%	0.0064	✗	1.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.0858	0.085637	-0.19%	0.0864	+0.70%	0.0078	✗	1.07
2026-02-14	oos	0.0897	0.089475	-0.25%	0.0858	-4.35%	0.0267	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.0875	0.087323	-0.20%	0.0897	+2.51%	0.0119	✗	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.08485	0.084787	-0.07%	0.0875	+3.12%	0.0096	✓	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.0818	0.081787	-0.02%	0.08485	+3.73%	0.0496	✗	1.05
2026-02-10	oos	0.0808	0.080777	-0.03%	0.0818	+1.24%	0.0406	✗	1.07
2026-02-09	oos	0.0827	0.082633	-0.08%	0.0808	-2.30%	0.0024	✓	1.07
2026-02-08	oos	0.08285	0.082833	-0.02%	0.0827	-0.18%	0.0011	✗	1.08
2026-02-07	oos	0.0853	0.085293	-0.01%	0.08285	-2.87%	0.0453	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.08535	0.085333	-0.02%	0.0853	-0.06%	0.0196	✗	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.0775	0.078043	+0.70%	0.08535	+10.13%	0.0422	✗	1.13
2026-02-04	oos	0.0912	0.091125	-0.08%	0.0775	-15.02%	0.0308	✗	1.28
2026-02-03	oos	0.09215	0.092011	-0.15%	0.0912	-1.03%	0.0368	✗	1.27
2026-02-02	oos	0.0951	0.094873	-0.24%	0.09215	-3.10%	0.0218	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.09105	0.090935	-0.13%	0.0951	+4.45%	0.0163	✗	1.25
2026-01-31	oos	0.0923	0.092134	-0.18%	0.09105	-1.35%	0.0170	✗	1.28
2026-01-30	oos	0.1006	0.100307	-0.29%	0.0923	-8.25%	0.0036	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.1017	0.101327	-0.37%	0.1006	-1.08%	0.0010	✓	1.30
2026-01-28	oos	0.1097	0.109285	-0.38%	0.1017	-7.29%	0.0025	✓	1.30
2026-01-27	oos	0.11	0.109587	-0.38%	0.1097	-0.27%	0.0004	✓	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	0.1109	0.110428	-0.43%	0.11	-0.81%	0.0165	✓	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	0.109	0.108464	-0.49%	0.1109	+1.74%	0.0029	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	0.115	0.114403	-0.52%	0.109	-5.22%	0.0113	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	0.1126	0.111819	-0.69%	0.115	+2.13%	0.0337	✗	1.29
2026-01-22	oos	0.1092	0.108807	-0.36%	0.1126	+3.11%	0.0341	✗	1.29
2026-01-21	oos	0.1106	0.110217	-0.35%	0.1092	-1.27%	0.0107	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	0.1068	0.106489	-0.29%	0.1106	+3.56%	0.0226	✗	1.29
2026-01-19	oos	0.1149	0.114458	-0.38%	0.1068	-7.05%	0.0088	✓	1.29
2026-01-18	oos	0.1213	0.120885	-0.34%	0.1149	-5.28%	0.0360	✓	1.28
2026-01-17	oos	0.1275	0.12695	-0.43%	0.1213	-4.86%	0.0257	✓	1.27
2026-01-16	oos	0.1381	0.137446	-0.47%	0.1275	-7.68%	0.0699	✓	1.26
2026-01-15	oos	0.172	0.17111	-0.52%	0.1381	-19.71%	0.2132	✓	1.26
2026-01-14	oos	0.1801	0.179131	-0.54%	0.172	-4.50%	0.0228	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	0.1811	0.179811	-0.71%	0.1801	-0.55%	0.0191	✓	1.27
2026-01-12	oos	0.1682	0.167377	-0.49%	0.1811	+7.67%	0.0225	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.1707	0.169786	-0.54%	0.1682	-1.46%	0.0138	✓	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.1766	0.175569	-0.58%	0.1707	-3.34%	0.0351	✓	1.28
2026-01-09	oos	0.175	0.174053	-0.54%	0.1766	+0.91%	0.0166	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.1728	0.171854	-0.55%	0.175	+1.27%	0.0256	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.1784	0.177368	-0.58%	0.1728	-3.14%	0.0211	✓	1.79
2026-01-06	oos	0.1862	0.184912	-0.69%	0.1784	-4.19%	0.0115	✗	1.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.1866	0.185128	-0.79%	0.1862	-0.21%	0.0086	✗	1.78
2026-01-04	oos	0.1777	0.176824	-0.49%	0.1866	+5.01%	0.0086	✗	1.76
2026-01-03	oos	0.173	0.172158	-0.49%	0.1777	+2.72%	0.0143	✗	1.76
2026-01-02	oos	0.172	0.171093	-0.53%	0.173	+0.58%	0.0014	✓	1.76
2026-01-01	oos	0.1638	0.163137	-0.41%	0.172	+5.01%	0.0291	✗	1.74
2025-12-31	oos	0.1581	0.157484	-0.39%	0.1638	+3.61%	0.0150	✗	1.73
2025-12-30	oos	0.162	0.161301	-0.43%	0.1581	-2.41%	0.0024	✓	1.72
2025-12-29	oos	0.1553	0.154759	-0.35%	0.162	+4.31%	0.0209	✗	1.69
2025-12-28	oos	0.1565	0.155895	-0.39%	0.1553	-0.77%	0.0110	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.1583	0.157584	-0.45%	0.1565	-1.14%	0.0082	✓	1.67
2025-12-26	oos	0.1507	0.150235	-0.31%	0.1583	+5.04%	0.0426	✗	1.66
2025-12-25	oos	0.1533	0.152863	-0.29%	0.1507	-1.70%	0.0166	✓	1.66
2025-12-24	oos	0.1615	0.160929	-0.35%	0.1533	-5.08%	0.0403	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.1645	0.163895	-0.37%	0.1615	-1.82%	0.0181	✓	1.65
2025-12-22	oos	0.1649	0.164248	-0.40%	0.1645	-0.24%	0.0227	✗	1.65
2025-12-21	oos	0.163	0.162326	-0.41%	0.1649	+1.17%	0.0173	✗	1.65
2025-12-20	oos	0.1697	0.169006	-0.41%	0.163	-3.95%	0.0421	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	0.1605	0.15993	-0.36%	0.1697	+5.73%	0.0549	✗	1.66
2025-12-18	oos	0.1465	0.146229	-0.19%	0.1605	+9.56%	0.0437	✗	1.63
2025-12-17	oos	0.153	0.152717	-0.19%	0.1465	-4.25%	0.0274	✓	1.63
2025-12-16	oos	0.1628	0.162431	-0.23%	0.153	-6.02%	0.0292	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.1624	0.162047	-0.22%	0.1628	+0.25%	0.0222	✓	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.1675	0.167118	-0.23%	0.1624	-3.04%	0.0041	✗	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.1754	0.174949	-0.26%	0.1675	-4.50%	0.0055	✓	1.63
2025-12-12	oos	0.1751	0.17464	-0.26%	0.1754	+0.17%	0.0047	✗	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.1818	0.181195	-0.33%	0.1751	-3.69%	0.0062	✗	1.63
2025-12-10	oos	0.1851	0.184495	-0.33%	0.1818	-1.78%	0.0237	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.1891	0.188307	-0.42%	0.1851	-2.12%	0.0056	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.1798	0.179287	-0.29%	0.1891	+5.17%	0.0174	✗	1.62
2025-12-07	oos	0.1767	0.176188	-0.29%	0.1798	+1.75%	0.0158	✗	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	0.1812	0.180545	-0.36%	0.1767	-2.48%	0.0421	✓	1.63
2025-12-05	oos	0.179	0.178552	-0.25%	0.1812	+1.23%	0.0161	✗	1.63
2025-12-04	oos	0.1893	0.188709	-0.31%	0.179	-5.44%	0.0035	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.1949	0.194175	-0.37%	0.1893	-2.87%	0.0015	✓	1.63
2025-12-02	oos	0.1904	0.189753	-0.34%	0.1949	+2.36%	0.0114	✓	1.64
2025-12-01	oos	0.1869	0.186314	-0.31%	0.1904	+1.87%	0.0771	✓	1.75
2025-11-30	oos	0.195	0.194479	-0.27%	0.1869	-4.15%	0.0432	✗	1.79
2025-11-29	oos	0.2012	0.200563	-0.32%	0.195	-3.08%	0.0191	✓	1.78
2025-11-28	oos	0.20235	0.201703	-0.32%	0.2012	-0.57%	0.0010	✓	1.78
2025-11-27	oos	0.2057	0.204904	-0.39%	0.20235	-1.63%	0.0044	✓	1.78
2025-11-26	oos	0.20555	0.204948	-0.29%	0.2057	+0.07%	0.0127	✓	1.75
2025-11-25	oos	0.2049	0.204324	-0.28%	0.20555	+0.32%	0.0581	✓	1.81
2025-11-24	oos	0.2115	0.210976	-0.25%	0.2049	-3.12%	0.0098	✓	1.81
2025-11-23	oos	0.20805	0.207658	-0.19%	0.2115	+1.66%	0.0119	✓	1.81
2025-11-22	oos	0.207	0.206744	-0.12%	0.20805	+0.51%	0.0392	✓	1.84
2025-11-21	oos	0.21175	0.211373	-0.18%	0.207	-2.24%	0.0126	✓	1.83
2025-11-20	oos	0.2175	0.217151	-0.16%	0.21175	-2.64%	0.0061	✗	1.83
2025-11-19	oos	0.22935	0.228696	-0.28%	0.2175	-5.17%	0.0544	✗	1.89
2025-11-18	oos	0.2355	0.234775	-0.31%	0.22935	-2.61%	0.0064	✗	1.89
2025-11-17	oos	0.23525	0.23461	-0.27%	0.2355	+0.11%	0.0129	✓	1.90
2025-11-16	oos	0.24075	0.240022	-0.30%	0.23525	-2.28%	0.0220	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.24695	0.24613	-0.33%	0.24075	-2.51%	0.0050	✗	1.89
2025-11-14	oos	0.24405	0.243311	-0.30%	0.24695	+1.19%	0.0058	✓	1.89
2025-11-13	oos	0.25205	0.251142	-0.36%	0.24405	-3.17%	0.0765	✗	2.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.2673	0.2659	-0.52%	0.25205	-5.71%	0.0135	✓	1.99
2025-11-11	oos	0.27265	0.271564	-0.40%	0.2673	-1.96%	0.0107	✗	1.98
2025-11-10	oos	0.2966	0.295008	-0.54%	0.27265	-8.07%	0.0240	✓	1.93
2025-11-09	oos	0.29045	0.288806	-0.57%	0.2966	+2.12%	0.0030	✓	1.94
2025-11-08	oos	0.29515	0.29322	-0.65%	0.29045	-1.59%	0.0556	✓	1.98
2025-11-07	oos	0.3126	0.309515	-0.99%	0.29515	-5.58%	0.0287	✓	1.94
2025-11-06	oos	0.26315	0.261618	-0.58%	0.3126	+18.79%	0.1419	✗	1.85
2025-11-05	oos	0.25415	0.253252	-0.35%	0.26315	+3.54%	0.0863	✗	1.91
2025-11-04	oos	0.24405	0.243357	-0.28%	0.25415	+4.14%	0.0014	✓	1.92
2025-11-03	oos	0.25155	0.250602	-0.38%	0.24405	-2.98%	0.0723	✗	2.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.27195	0.270416	-0.56%	0.25155	-7.50%	0.0017	✓	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.27175	0.270715	-0.38%	0.27195	+0.07%	0.0043	✓	2.03
2025-10-31	oos	0.2666	0.265558	-0.39%	0.27175	+1.93%	0.0139	✗	2.02
2025-10-30	oos	0.2652	0.263949	-0.47%	0.2666	+0.53%	0.0133	✓	2.03
2025-10-29	oos	0.28125	0.280199	-0.37%	0.2652	-5.71%	0.0234	✓	2.00
2025-10-28	oos	0.2852	0.284118	-0.38%	0.28125	-1.38%	0.0424	✗	2.04
2025-10-27	oos	0.2965	0.295232	-0.43%	0.2852	-3.81%	0.0134	✓	2.03
2025-10-26	oos	0.2991	0.297767	-0.45%	0.2965	-0.87%	0.0039	✓	2.04
2025-10-25	oos	0.29355	0.292355	-0.41%	0.2991	+1.89%	0.0299	✓	2.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.29495	0.293589	-0.46%	0.29355	-0.47%	0.0117	✓	2.07
2025-10-23	oos	0.2875	0.286461	-0.36%	0.29495	+2.59%	0.0119	✗	2.06
2025-10-22	oos	0.27735	0.276435	-0.33%	0.2875	+3.66%	0.0088	✓	2.07
2025-10-21	oos	0.2829	0.281974	-0.33%	0.27735	-1.96%	0.0017	✓	2.07
2025-10-20	oos	0.29235	0.291264	-0.37%	0.2829	-3.23%	0.0127	✗	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	0.2889	0.287814	-0.38%	0.29235	+1.19%	0.0204	✓	2.09
2025-10-18	oos	0.28685	0.285838	-0.35%	0.2889	+0.71%	0.0178	✓	2.10
2025-10-17	oos	0.2824	0.281481	-0.33%	0.28685	+1.58%	0.0043	✗	2.09
2025-10-16	oos	0.2888	0.287753	-0.36%	0.2824	-2.22%	0.0152	✗	2.10
2025-10-15	oos	0.29865	0.297411	-0.41%	0.2888	-3.30%	0.0211	✗	2.12
2025-10-14	oos	0.3155	0.313872	-0.52%	0.29865	-5.34%	0.0069	✓	2.12
2025-10-13	oos	0.32845	0.32595	-0.76%	0.3155	-3.94%	0.0084	✗	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.306	0.304578	-0.46%	0.32845	+7.34%	0.0717	✗	2.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.27425	0.273792	-0.17%	0.306	+11.58%	0.0327	✗	2.06
2025-10-10	oos	0.2654	0.265308	-0.03%	0.27425	+3.33%	0.0753	✗	2.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.3868	0.385355	-0.37%	0.2654	-31.39%	0.2742	✓	1.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.40045	0.399001	-0.36%	0.3868	-3.41%	0.0135	✓	1.32
2025-10-07	oos	0.39895	0.397243	-0.43%	0.40045	+0.38%	0.0131	✓	1.33
2025-10-06	oos	0.4093	0.40769	-0.39%	0.39895	-2.53%	0.0149	✗	1.35
2025-10-05	oos	0.4024	0.400806	-0.40%	0.4093	+1.71%	0.0079	✗	1.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.4036	0.402175	-0.35%	0.4024	-0.30%	0.0111	✓	1.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.4156	0.41376	-0.44%	0.4036	-2.89%	0.0264	✓	1.35
2025-10-02	oos	0.4167	0.414635	-0.50%	0.4156	-0.26%	0.0167	✓	1.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.4109	0.409046	-0.45%	0.4167	+1.41%	0.0039	✓	1.37
2025-09-30	oos	0.3938	0.392109	-0.43%	0.4109	+4.34%	0.0078	✓	1.38
2025-09-29	oos	0.4029	0.400969	-0.48%	0.3938	-2.26%	0.0144	✓	1.38
2025-09-28	oos	0.41305	0.411323	-0.42%	0.4029	-2.46%	0.0482	✓	1.44
2025-09-27	oos	0.4041	0.40272	-0.34%	0.41305	+2.21%	0.0075	✓	1.45
2025-09-26	oos	0.41015	0.408765	-0.34%	0.4041	-1.48%	0.0113	✓	1.45
2025-09-25	oos	0.39875	0.397526	-0.31%	0.41015	+2.86%	0.0226	✗	1.44
2025-09-24	oos	0.4212	0.419526	-0.40%	0.39875	-5.33%	0.0056	✗	1.45
2025-09-23	oos	0.42185	0.420538	-0.31%	0.4212	-0.15%	0.0157	✓	1.47
2025-09-22	oos	0.427	0.425499	-0.35%	0.42185	-1.21%	0.0008	✓	1.47
2025-09-21	oos	0.46255	0.460778	-0.38%	0.427	-7.69%	0.0450	✓	1.40
2025-09-20	oos	0.4707	0.468775	-0.41%	0.46255	-1.73%	0.0077	✓	1.39
2025-09-19	oos	0.4696	0.4676	-0.43%	0.4707	+0.23%	0.0059	✗	1.39
2025-09-18	oos	0.4854	0.483014	-0.49%	0.4696	-3.26%	0.0112	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.48145	0.478969	-0.52%	0.4854	+0.82%	0.0059	✗	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.