8=======>

2022-05-12 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.5377
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+45.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
94.6%
in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00870.008332-4.24%0.00012-98.62%4.2709✓3.067.8M2022-05-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.135.113-0.33%5.0899-0.78%0.0073✓0.27284k2022-05-13
GTGateEthereum5.36745.3536-0.26%5.5584+3.56%0.0322✗0.544.8M2022-05-13
TRXTRONTron0.0669880.066821-0.25%0.0742+10.77%0.0967✗0.81825k2022-05-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,197.0029,194.73-0.01%29,332.50+0.46%0.0050✓0.9840k2022-05-13
QNTQuantEthereum73.3773.3694-0.00%68.58-6.53%0.0779✓1.043.5M2022-05-13
FTTFTXEthereum29.6729.6749+0.02%30.83+3.91%0.0286✓0.9613.8M2022-05-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,941.9528,962.45+0.07%29,232.18+1.00%0.0007✓1.00667.2M2022-05-13
ZECZcashZcash86.486.5593+0.18%93.81+8.58%0.0681✓1.245.1M2022-05-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,954.391,958.13+0.19%2,005.48+2.61%0.0136✓1.03464.2M2022-05-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.351.3527+0.20%1.39+2.96%0.0164✓1.08134k2022-05-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08630.086476+0.20%0.0872+1.04%0.0001✓0.85169k2022-05-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.6283.6357+0.21%3.8681+6.62%0.0500✓1.19135k2022-05-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.69194.1347+0.23%201.94+4.26%0.0282✓1.125.3M2022-05-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.801989+0.25%0.814+1.75%0.0039✓1.103.3M2022-05-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.2664.4208+0.25%67.78+5.48%0.0394✓1.1417.8M2022-05-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative18.8918.9475+0.30%20.47+8.36%0.0648✓1.254.4M2022-05-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1204340.12081+0.31%0.132063+9.66%0.0785✓1.0613.8M2022-05-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.95110.9854+0.31%12.511+14.25%0.1209✓0.924.1M2022-05-13
XTZTezosTezos1.68451.6902+0.34%1.7661+4.84%0.0314✓1.26866k2022-05-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6832.6921+0.34%2.79+3.99%0.0255✓1.0386k2022-05-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.42220.423662+0.35%0.4426+4.83%0.0320✓1.1812.6M2022-05-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.60771.6135+0.36%1.7254+7.32%0.0607✓0.6416k2022-05-13
DASHDashDash53.7553.9491+0.37%57.98+7.87%0.0604✓1.171.1M2022-05-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.0614.1126+0.37%14.73+4.77%0.0298✓1.31812k2022-05-13
UNIUniswapEthereum4.654.6678+0.38%5.13+10.32%0.0825✓1.194.1M2022-05-13
XMRMoneroMonero137.43137.968+0.39%143.73+4.58%0.0308✓1.023.0M2022-05-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2311.2359+0.40%1.303+5.85%0.0429✓1.005.7M2022-05-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.6249.8175+0.40%51.89+4.57%0.0312✓0.962.0M2022-05-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360570.362017+0.40%0.38322+6.28%0.0444✓1.25166k2022-05-13
XYMSymbolnative0.06640.066671+0.41%0.0699+5.27%0.0400✓0.74619k2022-05-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.810319+0.41%0.914+13.26%0.1095✓1.09643k2022-05-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38632.3964+0.42%2.4783+3.86%0.0214✓1.23188k2022-05-13
ADACardanoCardano0.47240.474584+0.46%0.5281+11.79%0.0941✓1.2742.0M2022-05-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.0120.012056+0.47%0.0135+12.50%0.1026✓1.053.4M2022-05-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001040.000001045+0.47%0.00000112+7.69%0.0616✓0.797.8M2022-05-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16950.170307+0.48%0.1807+6.61%0.0449✓1.44634k2022-05-13
ZENHorizenBase19.0419.1325+0.49%20.24+6.30%0.0411✓1.52173k2022-05-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0822690.082669+0.49%0.088244+7.26%0.0542✓1.117.1M2022-05-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.688.7246+0.51%10.44+20.28%0.1669✓1.2611.8M2022-05-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche30.1930.3518+0.54%32.17+6.56%0.0439✓1.4345.0M2022-05-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,878.009,932.74+0.55%9,926.05+0.49%0.0123✗1.162.6M2022-05-13
NANOnanopayBase0.9974941.0031+0.56%1.0764+7.91%0.0581✓1.24161k2022-05-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01080.010861+0.56%0.00985-8.80%0.1057✗0.80246k2022-05-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3041.3114+0.57%1.312+0.61%0.0137✗1.425.3M2022-05-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.566.5978+0.58%7.13+8.69%0.0646✓1.3019.6M2022-05-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59350.596953+0.58%0.6653+12.10%0.0945✓1.406.1M2022-05-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.3119.4234+0.59%20.45+5.90%0.0374✓1.413.8M2022-05-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1070.10763+0.59%0.1227+14.67%0.1151✓1.60109k2022-05-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004275+0.59%0.00466+9.65%0.0720✓1.43403k2022-05-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum8.258.2987+0.59%9.39+13.82%0.1090✓1.45134k2022-05-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28350.285209+0.60%0.2828-0.25%0.0132✗0.48485k2022-05-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.263.2797+0.60%3.27+0.31%0.0102✗0.72777k2022-05-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.015020.015113+0.62%0.014586-2.89%0.0465✗1.104.4M2022-05-13
SOLSolanaSolana44.6544.9332+0.63%48.89+9.50%0.0707✓1.3887.4M2022-05-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.227.2665+0.64%9.27+28.39%0.2296✓1.408.0M2022-05-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.20850.20986+0.65%0.2334+11.94%0.0929✓1.35184k2022-05-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03020.030398+0.66%0.0329+8.94%0.0658✓1.33179k2022-05-13
COMPCompoundEthereum60.8861.2805+0.66%68.45+12.43%0.0971✓1.3531k2022-05-13
STXStacksnative0.50.503295+0.66%0.52+4.00%0.0218✓1.09260k2022-05-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038670.038928+0.67%0.04297+11.12%0.0894✓0.949,2282022-05-13
KSMKusamaHydration68.7469.2055+0.68%73.84+7.42%0.0527✓1.221.1M2022-05-13
LSKLiskEthereum0.9893910.996188+0.69%1.1379+15.01%0.1227✓1.0396k2022-05-13
AAVEAaveEthereum76.7577.2854+0.70%82.28+7.21%0.0478✓1.488.6M2022-05-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29480.296859+0.70%0.3159+7.16%0.0499✓1.238.5M2022-05-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13450.135447+0.70%0.1399+4.01%0.0167✓1.576.2M2022-05-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043480.043787+0.71%0.05005+15.11%0.1240✓0.9726k2022-05-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.598.651+0.71%9.76+13.62%0.1051✓1.565.8M2022-05-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.17650.177767+0.72%0.1897+7.48%0.0548✓1.022,9402022-05-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0107130.01079+0.72%0.01331+24.24%0.2024✓0.75198k2022-05-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010810.000010888+0.72%0.00001281+18.50%0.1495✓1.311.3M2022-05-13
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7857.8412+0.72%8.53+9.57%0.0579✓2.6483.4M2022-05-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09680.097503+0.73%0.111+14.67%0.1163✓1.341.2M2022-05-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015050.015159+0.73%0.01598+6.18%0.0459✓0.69391k2022-05-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5790.583218+0.73%0.672+16.06%0.1272✓1.45344k2022-05-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0078870.007946+0.75%0.009457+19.90%0.1639✓1.0232k2022-05-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.058910.05935+0.75%0.06424+9.05%0.0690✓1.0219k2022-05-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.629.692+0.75%10.3+7.07%0.0476✓1.3220.1M2022-05-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21350.215099+0.75%0.2519+17.99%0.1457✓1.23486k2022-05-13
MOVRMoonriverBase21.312321.4725+0.75%22.6376+6.22%0.0384✓1.45195k2022-05-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.9490.956161+0.75%1.056+11.28%0.0897✓0.9625k2022-05-13
XEMNEMnative0.04110.041411+0.76%0.058+41.12%0.3249✓1.2097k2022-05-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031690.031932+0.76%0.03518+11.01%0.0836✓1.3394k2022-05-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.5811.6684+0.76%12.71+9.76%0.0766✓0.90520k2022-05-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.100468+0.77%0.1102+10.53%0.0769✓1.561.8M2022-05-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5370.541147+0.77%0.609+13.41%0.1063✓1.1846k2022-05-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.443160.446592+0.77%0.49964+12.74%0.0982✓1.4093k2022-05-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021330.021497+0.78%0.02399+12.47%0.0993✓1.04222k2022-05-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39390.396993+0.79%0.4631+17.57%0.1395✓1.46299k2022-05-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1080.108852+0.79%0.1223+13.24%0.1074✓0.9119k2022-05-13
BANDBandEthereum1.5141.526+0.79%1.72+13.61%0.1055✓1.43537k2022-05-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7291.743+0.81%1.948+12.67%0.0948✓1.6587k2022-05-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.18.1656+0.81%8.73+7.78%0.0544✓1.257.4M2022-05-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021760.021936+0.81%0.02379+9.33%0.0713✓0.9830k2022-05-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19110.192672+0.82%0.2208+15.54%0.1242✓1.21305k2022-05-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.052429+0.83%0.0573+10.19%0.0777✓1.11416k2022-05-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007926+0.84%0.00953+21.25%0.1735✓1.081.0M2022-05-13
HIVEHivenative0.40370.40716+0.86%0.4549+12.68%0.0988✓1.211.5M2022-05-13
XVGVergenative0.004130.004165+0.86%0.00472+14.29%0.1117✓1.33885k2022-05-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.1611.171+0.86%1.493+28.60%0.2330✓1.009.5M2022-05-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13020.131321+0.86%0.1491+14.52%0.1133✓1.37372k2022-05-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.708950.715111+0.87%1.022+44.15%0.3428✓1.43886k2022-05-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07730.077978+0.88%0.0821+6.21%0.0364✓1.523.7M2022-05-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.311712+0.88%0.344+11.33%0.0886✓1.001.1M2022-05-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1331.143+0.88%1.194+5.38%0.0269✓1.68582k2022-05-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06530.065879+0.89%0.0704+7.81%0.0564✓1.004.0M2022-05-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10080.101697+0.89%0.112+11.11%0.0855✓1.101.1M2022-05-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343760.337439+0.92%0.366416+9.58%0.0694✓1.306.1M2022-05-13
DIADIAEthereum0.321210.324163+0.92%0.37682+17.31%0.1430✓0.7570k2022-05-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.4832.5059+0.92%2.913+17.32%0.1341✓1.652.4M2022-05-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.06820.068844+0.94%0.0917+34.46%0.2702✓1.65204k2022-05-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.63e-74.68e-7+0.95%6.19e-7+33.52%0.2745✓0.521.4M2022-05-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.950.959019+0.95%1.041+9.58%0.0683✓1.37755k2022-05-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.288640.291398+0.96%0.34417+19.24%0.1510✓1.5539k2022-05-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1722.1929+0.96%2.3+5.89%0.0308✓1.7023k2022-05-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7750.782537+0.97%0.832+7.35%0.0461✓1.528.2M2022-05-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.827993+0.97%0.89+8.54%0.0630✓0.92142k2022-05-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.332934+0.97%0.35077+6.38%0.0373✓1.491.4M2022-05-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4862.5103+0.98%2.607+4.87%0.0211✓1.677.7M2022-05-13
XVSVenusEthereum3.623.6556+0.98%4.24+17.13%0.1342✓1.422.9M2022-05-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1842.2056+0.99%2.496+14.29%0.1087✓1.50206k2022-05-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.192.2122+1.02%2.39+9.13%0.0678✓0.95429k2022-05-13
PROPropyEthereum0.880.889034+1.03%1.19+35.23%0.2849✓0.67528k2022-05-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.6066+1.05%1.66+4.40%0.0159✓1.68399k2022-05-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.1732+1.08%2.31+7.44%0.0438✓1.73357k2022-05-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.162.1834+1.08%2.32+7.41%0.0503✓1.04553k2022-05-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13370.135154+1.09%0.1483+10.92%0.0780✓1.487.3M2022-05-13
STEEMSteemnative0.17710.17904+1.10%0.2185+23.38%0.1892✓1.002.1M2022-05-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003590.00363+1.10%0.00377+5.01%0.0286✓0.9420k2022-05-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34290.346688+1.10%0.375+9.36%0.0658✓1.2794k2022-05-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4050.409485+1.11%0.499+23.21%0.1834✓1.44869k2022-05-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6772.7067+1.11%3.487+30.26%0.2433✓1.001.4M2022-05-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.62.629+1.11%3.09+18.85%0.1524✓0.92817k2022-05-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.72813+1.13%0.82+13.89%0.1037✓1.52842k2022-05-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.172360.174335+1.15%0.19584+13.62%0.1003✓1.61250k2022-05-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01630.016487+1.15%0.0164+0.61%0.0276✗2.2425.3M2022-05-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.6893+1.16%1.78+6.59%0.0423✓1.00392k2022-05-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003590.003632+1.16%0.00429+19.50%0.1549✓1.171.7M2022-05-13
XECeCashnative0.000031730.000032099+1.16%0.00004212+32.75%0.2583✓1.356.7M2022-05-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.2641.2788+1.17%1.446+14.40%0.1128✓1.01724k2022-05-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.4571.4741+1.17%1.62+11.19%0.0804✓1.402.6M2022-05-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06480.065565+1.18%0.0714+10.19%0.0664✓1.88194k2022-05-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1433+1.18%1.39+23.01%0.1807✓1.464.1M2022-05-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1350.136597+1.18%0.152+12.59%0.0925✓1.444.7M2022-05-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.094.1386+1.19%4.86+18.83%0.1523✓0.842.8M2022-05-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.294.3414+1.20%4.87+13.52%0.1070✓0.791.2M2022-05-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2430.24605+1.26%0.283+16.46%0.1229✓1.711.7M2022-05-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001210.001225+1.26%0.00132+9.09%0.0597✓1.483.9M2022-05-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.5678+1.28%1.758+13.57%0.0950✓1.961.0M2022-05-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.634.69+1.30%4.76+2.81%0.0015✓1.34666k2022-05-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.191461+1.30%0.206+8.99%0.0586✓1.464.1M2022-05-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008890.009008+1.33%0.00989+11.25%0.0770✓1.6444.1M2022-05-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L20.8960.907966+1.34%1.004+12.05%0.0873✓1.3316.1M2022-05-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0650.06587+1.34%0.071+9.23%0.0647✓1.03115k2022-05-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03890.039424+1.35%0.0463+19.02%0.1494✓1.141.7M2022-05-13
AVTAventusEthereum0.730.739835+1.35%0.83+13.70%0.1076✓0.74221k2022-05-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.231.2467+1.36%1.324+7.64%0.0510✓0.92826k2022-05-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5830.590947+1.36%0.67+14.92%0.1110✓1.4624k2022-05-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.05571.0702+1.38%1.6119+52.69%0.3991✓1.052.5M2022-05-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29541.3137+1.41%1.5516+19.78%0.1546✓1.199.8M2022-05-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.289990.294146+1.43%0.34+17.25%0.1288✓1.61365k2022-05-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.3810.386496+1.44%0.487+27.82%0.2164✓1.481.7M2022-05-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.4211.4415+1.44%1.83+28.78%0.2317✓0.691.8M2022-05-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07850.079678+1.50%0.1018+29.68%0.2269✓1.81734k2022-05-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.0571.0737+1.58%1.4675+38.84%0.3021✓1.044.2M2022-05-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.42711.4511+1.68%2.8848+102.14%0.6716✓1.567.0M2022-05-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.