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2022-05-10 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.4755
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-34.53%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
31.3%
in alpha space · 33.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 217.4117.6532+1.40%1.06-93.91%2.6928✗1.777.5M2022-05-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98922.0104+1.07%1.4486-27.18%0.2562✗1.0610.0M2022-05-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8340.842739+1.05%0.54-35.25%0.3606✗1.2531k2022-05-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.01562.0316+0.79%1.177-41.61%0.4922✗0.794.6M2022-05-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.011250.011327+0.69%0.00973-13.51%0.1005✗0.76238k2022-05-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3811.3903+0.68%1.001-27.52%0.2466✗1.2117.4M2022-05-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2960.297916+0.65%0.197-33.45%0.3260✗1.294.1M2022-05-11
APEApeCoinEthereum9.039.0868+0.63%5.715-36.71%0.3098✗2.2777.0M2022-05-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34223.3615+0.58%1.8219-45.49%0.5273✗1.267.7M2022-05-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49890.501578+0.54%0.3939-21.05%0.1592✗1.2297k2022-05-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06220.062534+0.54%0.0412-33.76%0.3518✗0.971.9M2022-05-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520.522736+0.53%0.31-40.38%0.4280✗1.40383k2022-05-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005360.005388+0.52%0.00367-31.53%0.3328✗0.7620k2022-05-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.473230.475629+0.51%0.37834-20.05%0.1312✗1.441.4M2022-05-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.1770.177863+0.49%0.1056-40.34%0.4111✗1.63902k2022-05-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.10912.1194+0.49%1.1829-43.91%0.5300✗0.782.5M2022-05-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.3682.379+0.46%1.637-30.87%0.2891✗1.252.6M2022-05-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2793.2941+0.46%2.497-23.85%0.1690✗1.597.4M2022-05-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4552.4661+0.45%1.587-35.36%0.4073✗0.491.9M2022-05-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.355.3731+0.43%3.68-31.21%0.2922✗1.272.9M2022-05-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.421750.423453+0.40%0.30717-27.17%0.2320✗1.3244k2022-05-11
GMTGMTEthereum1.81.807+0.39%1.317-26.83%0.2486✗1.009.5M2022-05-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.726.7459+0.39%4.61-31.40%0.3383✗0.631.2M2022-05-11
STEEMSteemnative0.29290.294011+0.38%0.1956-33.22%0.3398✗1.002.7M2022-05-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.8954+0.37%4.27-37.85%0.4373✗0.622.8M2022-05-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.7211.7271+0.36%1.223-28.94%0.2389✗1.57582k2022-05-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5992.6075+0.33%1.653-36.40%0.3424✗1.671.1M2022-05-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.16793+0.32%0.1257-24.91%0.1884✗1.496.2M2022-05-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7490.751228+0.30%0.486-35.11%0.3463✗1.321.7M2022-05-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002280.002287+0.29%0.00125-45.18%0.5208✗1.233.9M2022-05-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0270.027073+0.27%0.014-48.15%0.5250✗1.9923.0M2022-05-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.791.7948+0.27%1.32-26.26%0.2144✗1.374.0M2022-05-11
MOVRMoonriverBase28.352528.4286+0.27%21.4392-24.38%0.1887✗1.38195k2022-05-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.8815.9219+0.26%13.85-12.78%0.0815✗0.86473k2022-05-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1070.107277+0.26%0.057-46.73%0.5831✗0.73117k2022-05-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.30.300747+0.25%0.19-36.67%0.3620✗1.44250k2022-05-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33610.336933+0.25%0.3065-8.81%0.0635✗0.46514k2022-05-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.151.1527+0.23%0.82-28.70%0.2459✗1.40892k2022-05-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.732.7363+0.23%1.84-32.60%0.3399✗0.84443k2022-05-11
KSMKusamaHydration93.0393.2425+0.23%72.92-21.62%0.1683✗1.141.1M2022-05-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.013440.01347+0.22%0.01058-21.28%0.1782✗0.933.2M2022-05-11
DODODODOEthereum0.2380.238521+0.22%0.166-30.25%0.2736✗1.314.7M2022-05-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7760.777636+0.21%0.574-26.03%0.2293✗1.1050k2022-05-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11341.1156+0.20%0.76561-31.23%0.2889✗1.29805k2022-05-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5068550.507856+0.20%0.3862-23.80%0.1913✗1.225.7M2022-05-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.2824.3276+0.20%19.2-20.92%0.1455✗1.353.8M2022-05-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11150.111715+0.19%0.0782-29.87%0.2422✗1.69232k2022-05-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0191160.019151+0.18%0.014156-25.95%0.2344✗1.004.3M2022-05-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30330.303854+0.18%0.2258-25.55%0.2203✗1.13486k2022-05-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.897.9043+0.18%4.83-38.78%0.4161✗1.13666k2022-05-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.654390.655573+0.18%0.49716-24.03%0.1871✗1.3293k2022-05-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin11.3611.3804+0.18%8.58-24.47%0.2041✗1.167.4M2022-05-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.413.4161+0.18%2.35-31.09%0.2652✗1.61357k2022-05-11
DIADIAEthereum0.510.510901+0.18%0.35-31.37%0.3383✗0.5970k2022-05-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006020.006031+0.18%0.00457-24.09%0.2036✗1.091.7M2022-05-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.963.9666+0.17%3.46-12.63%0.0915✗0.67804k2022-05-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1294.1357+0.16%2.623-36.47%0.4014✗0.801.4M2022-05-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1342.1374+0.16%1.365-36.04%0.3935✗0.81748k2022-05-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014710.014734+0.16%0.00948-35.55%0.3411✗1.4745.0M2022-05-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.18820.188499+0.16%0.143-24.02%0.1896✗1.28372k2022-05-11
XMRMoneroMonero163.04163.2982+0.16%140.01-14.13%0.0874✗0.983.0M2022-05-11
STXStacksnative0.680.681033+0.15%0.58-14.71%0.0889✗1.06260k2022-05-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39110.391693+0.15%0.2974-23.96%0.1982✗1.148.5M2022-05-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.0661+0.15%2.86-29.56%0.2991✗0.78829k2022-05-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20540.205705+0.15%0.175-14.80%0.0651✗1.43634k2022-05-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.271.2719+0.15%0.91-28.35%0.2810✗0.80142k2022-05-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.5713.5899+0.15%10.75-20.78%0.1488✗1.2619.8M2022-05-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046280.046344+0.14%0.03319-28.28%0.2519✗1.2187k2022-05-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.8150.816099+0.13%0.62-23.93%0.1818✗1.37344k2022-05-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.43.4045+0.13%2.339-31.21%0.2691✗1.5720k2022-05-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30420.304586+0.13%0.2219-27.05%0.2441✗1.07316k2022-05-11
XVGVergenative0.00630.006308+0.12%0.00436-30.79%0.2891✗1.18885k2022-05-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.2182.2207+0.12%1.428-35.62%0.3920✗0.73903k2022-05-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5050.505593+0.12%0.299-40.79%0.4239✗1.501.7M2022-05-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147680.014785+0.12%0.012056-18.36%0.1575✗0.69198k2022-05-11
AAVEAaveEthereum105.24105.3599+0.11%82.28-21.82%0.1514✗1.418.6M2022-05-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029420.029453+0.11%0.0209-28.96%0.2823✗0.90227k2022-05-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.10790.108021+0.11%0.065-39.76%0.4130✗1.40204k2022-05-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1140.114126+0.11%0.0833-26.93%0.2209✗1.393.7M2022-05-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4760.476505+0.11%0.318-33.19%0.3484✗0.831.1M2022-05-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.7332.7358+0.10%1.785-34.69%0.3265✗1.4884k2022-05-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.7913.7948+0.10%2.496-34.16%0.3305✗1.31190k2022-05-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.3911.3924+0.10%1.068-23.22%0.2066✗0.8725k2022-05-11
BANDBandEthereum2.2432.2451+0.09%1.809-19.35%0.1248✗1.35537k2022-05-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4632+0.09%2.28-34.10%0.3600✗0.86557k2022-05-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0410.041037+0.09%0.0314-23.41%0.1840✗1.24179k2022-05-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5413+0.08%1.05-31.82%0.3454✗0.57221k2022-05-11
XEMNEMnative0.06080.060849+0.08%0.049-19.41%0.1392✗1.1469k2022-05-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.588.5867+0.08%6.93-19.23%0.1296✗1.2519.6M2022-05-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.31281.3137+0.07%1.0189-22.39%0.1903✗0.9489k2022-05-11
ZECZcashZcash93.0893.1381+0.06%83.09-10.73%0.0313✗1.225.1M2022-05-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14210.142178+0.05%0.107-24.70%0.1994✗1.251.2M2022-05-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1921.1926+0.05%0.856-28.19%0.2354✗1.428.3M2022-05-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021381+0.05%0.01772-17.08%0.1476✗0.59405k2022-05-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.15340.153474+0.05%0.1157-24.58%0.2146✗1.001.1M2022-05-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56680.567045+0.04%0.415-26.78%0.2202✗1.36299k2022-05-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.280.280111+0.04%0.1885-32.68%0.3418✗0.802,9402022-05-11
MINAMina Protocolnative1.431.4306+0.04%0.99-30.77%0.2843✗1.24755k2022-05-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7570.757278+0.04%0.471-37.78%0.3892✗1.26869k2022-05-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche44.5444.5522+0.03%31.1-30.18%0.2714✗1.3045.0M2022-05-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.27340.273475+0.03%0.2133-21.98%0.1674✗1.20186k2022-05-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.6209+0.03%2.25-37.85%0.4258✗0.74429k2022-05-11
HIVEHivenative0.59690.597054+0.03%0.4772-20.05%0.1466✗1.141.5M2022-05-11
QNTQuantEthereum72.3972.4018+0.02%64.1-11.45%0.0525✗1.023.5M2022-05-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.76030.760424+0.02%0.5963-21.57%0.1538✗1.326.1M2022-05-11
SOLSolanaSolana66.8666.8692+0.01%50.82-23.99%0.1866✗1.3087.4M2022-05-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1920.192024+0.01%0.119-38.02%0.4332✗0.6719k2022-05-11
NANOnanopayBase1.38521.3853+0.01%1.0802-22.01%0.1703✗1.16161k2022-05-11
SCSiacoinnative0.006170.00617+0.00%0.00435-29.50%0.2614✗1.30382k2022-05-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.3511.3502+0.00%9.05-20.26%0.1450✗1.2011.8M2022-05-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12810.128101+0.00%0.078-39.11%0.4284✗1.004.0M2022-05-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum10.5710.5679-0.02%7.42-29.80%0.2675✓1.278.0M2022-05-11
XTZTezosTezos2.11412.1136-0.03%1.7776-15.92%0.0917✓1.20866k2022-05-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,038.9031,029.96-0.03%28,313.90-8.78%0.0265✓0.9640k2022-05-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.6817.6732-0.04%14.26-19.34%0.1298✓1.25695k2022-05-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.908623-0.04%0.8-11.99%0.0537✓1.093.3M2022-05-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1550.15493-0.05%0.1188-23.35%0.1662✓1.47108k2022-05-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011520.011515-0.05%0.00936-18.75%0.1382✓1.021.0M2022-05-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.031090.031076-0.05%0.02413-22.39%0.1926✓0.8930k2022-05-11
XECeCashnative0.000058420.000058392-0.05%0.0000364-37.69%0.3943✓1.166.7M2022-05-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.08230.082259-0.05%0.056-31.96%0.3195✓0.96416k2022-05-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.05327-0.06%0.04295-19.42%0.1564✓0.879,7632022-05-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062880.062845-0.06%0.04918-21.79%0.1856✓0.8826k2022-05-11
UMAUMAEthereum4.1944.1916-0.06%2.847-32.12%0.2845✓1.512.2M2022-05-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1079150.107846-0.06%0.084774-21.44%0.1716✓1.027.1M2022-05-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.076.066-0.07%4.89-19.44%0.1386✓1.144.1M2022-05-11
ADACardanoCardano0.62830.627816-0.08%0.5161-17.86%0.1132✓1.2242.0M2022-05-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.15580.155675-0.08%0.1138-26.96%0.2149✓1.451.8M2022-05-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.842.8377-0.08%1.74-38.73%0.3881✓1.49371k2022-05-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1483970.148274-0.08%0.125737-15.27%0.0961✓1.0113.8M2022-05-11
KCSKuCoinnative13.91913.9068-0.09%11.39-18.17%0.1422✓0.854.1M2022-05-11
ZENHorizenBase25.4125.3878-0.09%19.64-22.71%0.1585✓1.45173k2022-05-11
COMPCompoundEthereum88.8188.729-0.09%70.97-20.09%0.1355✓1.3037k2022-05-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016140.000016125-0.10%0.00001195-25.96%0.2179✓1.211.2M2022-05-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.09693.094-0.10%2.5145-18.81%0.1279✓1.17188k2022-05-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.24580.24555-0.10%0.1517-38.28%0.3940✓1.296.8M2022-05-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.467240.466736-0.11%0.37334-20.10%0.1428✓1.19144k2022-05-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.621.618-0.12%1.41-12.96%0.0664✓1.05134k2022-05-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash231.66231.3721-0.12%193.96-16.27%0.1038✓1.075.2M2022-05-11
PROPropyEthereum1.411.4082-0.13%1.07-24.11%0.2365✓0.56528k2022-05-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum13,692.5513,673.60-0.14%11,348.99-17.12%0.1106✓1.122.6M2022-05-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.93751.9348-0.14%1.7025-12.13%0.0875✓0.6015k2022-05-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,340.512,337.20-0.14%2,075.93-11.30%0.0500✓1.01464.2M2022-05-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001450.000001448-0.14%0.00000121-16.55%0.1303✓0.737.7M2022-05-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5063.5008-0.15%2.897-17.37%0.1231✓0.9881k2022-05-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin80.1279.9886-0.16%66.31-17.24%0.1134✓1.0917.5M2022-05-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,002.3930,948.88-0.17%28,972.34-6.55%0.0017✗1.00634.5M2022-05-11
XYMSymbolnative0.08130.081146-0.19%0.0681-16.24%0.1296✓0.67619k2022-05-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.7381.7346-0.19%1.406-19.10%0.1423✓1.005.2M2022-05-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.097640.097447-0.20%0.06818-30.17%0.2967✓0.8918k2022-05-11
DASHDashDash73.3373.183-0.20%58.06-20.82%0.1572✓1.101.0M2022-05-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1314.1014-0.20%9.48-32.91%0.3010✓1.423.5M2022-05-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.75214.7421-0.21%4.0098-15.62%0.0894✓1.16134k2022-05-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.8923.8395-0.21%19.91-16.66%0.0992✓1.204.4M2022-05-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.2663.1229-0.22%52.8-16.53%0.1176✓0.902.0M2022-05-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0431.0406-0.23%1.001-4.03%0.0377✗1.13574k2022-05-11
FTTFTXEthereum33.0832.9974-0.25%29.94-9.49%0.0332✓0.9412.7M2022-05-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.18e-78.15e-7-0.27%5.80e-7-29.06%0.3173✓0.351.1M2022-05-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10220.101904-0.29%0.0924-9.59%0.0418✓0.83169k2022-05-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.58480.582908-0.32%0.4525-22.62%0.1790✓1.1012.6M2022-05-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0109120.010876-0.33%0.009172-15.95%0.1046✓0.9738k2022-05-11
GTGateEthereum5.83485.813-0.37%4.9785-14.68%0.1230✓0.474.7M2022-05-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9771.9694-0.39%1.502-24.03%0.1794✓1.355.3M2022-05-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42455.4011-0.43%5.25-3.22%0.0096✓0.28284k2022-05-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.414.327-0.51%9.91-31.18%0.2792✓1.32134k2022-05-11
TRXTRONTron0.0770550.076614-0.57%0.074146-3.78%0.0236✗0.83463k2022-05-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.