8=======>

2022-05-04 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1324
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.83%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.7%
in alpha space · 97.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0244650.024434-0.13%0.023524-3.85%0.0465✗1.034.2M2022-05-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63895.6269-0.21%5.1342-8.95%0.0536✓0.46251k2022-05-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36643.3586-0.23%3.1181-7.38%0.0277✓0.575.6M2022-05-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.05490.054762-0.25%0.0556+1.28%0.0508✗0.43137k2022-05-05
XEMNEMnative0.09170.091465-0.26%0.0836-8.83%0.0132✓0.9355k2022-05-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00780.00778-0.26%0.00721-7.56%0.0240✓0.6328k2022-05-05
FTTFTXEthereum39.5639.4439-0.29%36.21-8.47%0.0129✓0.8811.7M2022-05-05
FIDABonfidaSolana1.1141.1106-0.30%1.017-8.71%0.0057✓1.0050k2022-05-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1710.139-0.31%8.65-14.95%0.1279✓0.382.5M2022-05-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.126040.125648-0.31%0.1152-8.60%0.0292✓0.7017k2022-05-05
KCSKuCoinnative18.40818.35-0.32%17.27-6.18%0.0031✓0.774.3M2022-05-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0180.017943-0.32%0.01676-6.89%0.0149✗1.01248k2022-05-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.689.6487-0.32%8.79-9.19%0.0575✓0.431.6M2022-05-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.15440.153884-0.33%0.1402-9.20%0.0803✗2.11269k2022-05-05
API3Api3Ethereum3.6523.6397-0.34%3.258-10.79%0.0291✓0.993.1M2022-05-05
XYMSymbolnative0.09590.095578-0.34%0.0893-6.88%0.0124✓0.67706k2022-05-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1847210.184092-0.34%0.171062-7.39%0.0070✗0.9813.8M2022-05-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.24780.246922-0.35%0.2243-9.48%0.0440✗1.701.3M2022-05-05
DIADIAEthereum0.810.807086-0.36%0.74-8.64%0.0507✓0.4471k2022-05-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0923.0807-0.36%2.887-6.63%0.0155✓0.601.2M2022-05-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.345.3202-0.37%4.97-6.93%0.0120✓0.681.1M2022-05-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.565.5392-0.37%4.88-12.23%0.0807✓0.56869k2022-05-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,669.5639,520.15-0.38%36,537.22-7.90%0.0038✗1.00553.2M2022-05-05
STXStacksnative0.990.986208-0.38%0.89-10.10%0.0234✓0.96274k2022-05-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.07945.0591-0.40%4.7697-6.10%0.0361✗1.158.6M2022-05-05
QTUMQtumQtum5.93685.9127-0.41%5.4859-7.59%0.0213✗1.1798k2022-05-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.212.1496-0.41%10.92-10.49%0.0141✓1.1318.3M2022-05-05
SOLSolanaSolana92.7692.3695-0.42%84.52-8.88%0.0104✗1.2185.8M2022-05-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.91.8919-0.42%2.11+11.05%0.1531✗0.53272k2022-05-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.3955.372-0.43%4.871-9.71%0.0014✓1.21184k2022-05-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2370.235988-0.43%0.22-7.17%0.0131✓0.6925k2022-05-05
RADRadworksEthereum4.013.9929-0.43%3.74-6.73%0.0037✓0.84565k2022-05-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.808090.804629-0.43%0.71032-12.10%0.0216✓1.251.4M2022-05-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1359080.135324-0.43%0.1281-5.75%0.0218✗0.937.1M2022-05-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44150.439596-0.43%0.3943-10.69%0.0197✓1.08491k2022-05-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.6329-0.43%1.48-9.76%0.0115✗1.34951k2022-05-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,665.5039,494.15-0.43%36,624.30-7.67%0.0020✓0.9425k2022-05-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.25105.7887-0.43%96.84-8.86%0.0051✓1.0117.3M2022-05-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.87651.8683-0.44%1.6972-9.55%0.0223✓0.9084k2022-05-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.019370.019285-0.44%0.01784-7.90%0.0173✓0.743.6M2022-05-05
XVSVenusEthereum8.528.4824-0.44%7.57-11.15%0.0266✓1.063.0M2022-05-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,939.982,926.93-0.44%2,747.43-6.55%0.0197✗1.01438.2M2022-05-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21183.1974-0.45%2.9655-7.67%0.0242✓0.623.5M2022-05-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041090.040904-0.45%0.0378-8.01%0.0097✓0.8436k2022-05-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001772-0.46%0.00000168-5.62%0.0049✗0.717.7M2022-05-05
HIVEHivenative0.82910.825272-0.46%0.7673-7.45%0.0096✗1.001.5M2022-05-05
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.8614-0.46%1.78-4.81%0.0137✗0.71159k2022-05-05
NANOnanopayBase1.80611.7976-0.47%1.6305-9.72%0.0095✓1.07149k2022-05-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4491-0.47%4.19-6.26%0.0005✓0.72719k2022-05-05
GTGateEthereum6.5236.4923-0.47%6.3361-2.87%0.0126✗0.454.2M2022-05-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.1821.1764-0.47%1.07-9.48%0.0084✗1.25357k2022-05-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7833.765-0.47%3.518-7.01%0.0410✓0.332.4M2022-05-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45260.450436-0.48%0.407-10.08%0.0281✓0.89299k2022-05-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.65851.6505-0.48%1.4683-11.47%0.0238✓1.13886k2022-05-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.0823.9629-0.49%22.31-7.35%0.0019✓0.89417k2022-05-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.122.1097-0.49%1.93-8.96%0.0064✓1.00124k2022-05-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04481.0396-0.50%0.9653-7.61%0.0291✗1.256.6M2022-05-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin15.7115.6317-0.50%13.98-11.01%0.0236✓1.077.5M2022-05-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4741.4666-0.50%1.236-16.15%0.0808✓1.1055k2022-05-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12950.128852-0.50%0.1235-4.63%0.0320✗0.91156k2022-05-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021780.000021671-0.50%0.00002029-6.84%0.0222✗1.071.4M2022-05-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0061.0009-0.50%0.908-9.74%0.0014✓1.171.1M2022-05-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6150.611898-0.50%0.571-7.15%0.0056✓0.771.4M2022-05-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.95750.952644-0.51%0.85534-10.67%0.0103✓1.1894k2022-05-05
SCSiacoinnative0.008980.008934-0.51%0.00804-10.47%0.0083✓1.18382k2022-05-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.75220.748358-0.51%0.6722-10.64%0.0050✓1.24110k2022-05-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.95298.4008-0.52%277.17-7.59%0.0075✗0.995.3M2022-05-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.460.45758-0.53%0.41-10.87%0.0122✗1.48293k2022-05-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1151.1091-0.53%0.999-10.40%0.0147✓1.093.6M2022-05-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.55380.550871-0.53%0.4982-10.04%0.0159✓1.038.0M2022-05-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.3720.37003-0.53%0.3743+0.62%0.1210✗1.33188k2022-05-05
QNTQuantEthereum101.58101.0395-0.53%91.88-9.55%0.0236✓0.873.4M2022-05-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.684.655-0.53%4.203-10.19%0.0227✓0.9767k2022-05-05
ZECZcashZcash134.35133.6307-0.54%125.68-6.45%0.0313✗1.135.5M2022-05-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.3216.2321-0.54%14.59-10.60%0.0202✓1.0511.7M2022-05-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.042530.0423-0.54%0.03924-7.74%0.0090✓0.80236k2022-05-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.675480.671815-0.54%0.60513-10.41%0.0078✓1.1873k2022-05-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.25570.254309-0.54%0.229-10.44%0.0138✗1.446.9M2022-05-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.1960.194914-0.55%0.1758-10.31%0.0078✓1.161.5M2022-05-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2821.2749-0.55%1.287+0.39%0.0958✗1.05462k2022-05-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.021610.021487-0.57%0.01861-13.88%0.1045✓0.48193k2022-05-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15920.158289-0.57%0.143-10.18%0.0029✓1.275.3M2022-05-05
LUNATerraTerra 286.0985.5937-0.58%82.42-4.26%0.0655✗1.267.3M2022-05-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084850.084361-0.58%0.07734-8.85%0.0196✓0.8232k2022-05-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.914.8815-0.58%4.62-5.91%0.0003✓0.67648k2022-05-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2130.21174-0.59%0.1941-8.87%0.0193✓0.821.2M2022-05-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.81620.81133-0.60%0.7414-9.16%0.0156✗1.29311k2022-05-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9942.9761-0.60%2.892-3.41%0.0300✗0.71915k2022-05-05
XECeCashnative0.000078520.000078051-0.60%0.00007207-8.21%0.0023✓1.007.8M2022-05-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.015240.015148-0.60%0.01415-7.15%0.0063✗0.911.1M2022-05-05
DASHDashDash95.8595.2729-0.60%87.47-8.74%0.0002✓1.041.2M2022-05-05
MOVRMoonriverBase43.573443.3097-0.61%38.4703-11.71%0.0023✓1.47182k2022-05-05
XMRMoneroMonero225.24223.8751-0.61%206.75-8.21%0.0030✓0.933.5M2022-05-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.0311.9567-0.61%11.08-7.90%0.0075✗1.02963k2022-05-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.070790.070356-0.61%0.0643-9.17%0.0244✓0.8014k2022-05-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8171.8059-0.61%1.574-13.37%0.0464✓1.118.2M2022-05-05
DODODODOEthereum0.3230.321014-0.61%0.284-12.07%0.0254✓1.185.1M2022-05-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.9351.9231-0.62%1.788-7.60%0.0107✓0.7624k2022-05-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.2866.8618-0.62%59.02-12.28%0.0269✓1.1944.2M2022-05-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.9523.801-0.62%21.5-10.23%0.0044✓1.29532k2022-05-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.028520.028342-0.62%0.02621-8.10%0.0417✓0.44416k2022-05-05
STEEMSteemnative0.39660.394126-0.62%0.4007+1.03%0.0988✗1.003.9M2022-05-05
XTZTezosTezos2.70282.6858-0.63%2.4895-7.89%0.0113✗1.06855k2022-05-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066750.066326-0.64%0.06067-9.11%0.0011✓1.0775k2022-05-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.47792.4621-0.64%2.365-4.56%0.0146✗0.6715k2022-05-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7170.712416-0.64%0.639-10.88%0.0075✗1.411.6M2022-05-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23744.2103-0.64%3.7423-11.68%0.0345✓1.01173k2022-05-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos19.9119.782-0.64%17.83-10.45%0.0161✓1.0719.4M2022-05-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0136310.013543-0.64%0.011926-12.51%0.0542✓0.8943k2022-05-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.38460.382116-0.65%0.3282-14.66%0.1087✓0.534,1372022-05-05
BANDBandEthereum3.3423.3204-0.65%2.939-12.06%0.0175✓1.27537k2022-05-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum33.3333.1134-0.65%28.96-13.11%0.0279✓1.294.0M2022-05-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.820.814657-0.65%0.72-12.20%0.0291✓1.15430k2022-05-05
UNIUniswapEthereum7.947.8878-0.66%7.34-7.56%0.0179✗1.094.4M2022-05-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum14.2814.186-0.66%12.71-10.99%0.0131✓1.188.7M2022-05-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29790.295928-0.66%0.2692-9.63%0.0127✗1.30763k2022-05-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0762.0622-0.66%1.91-8.00%0.0108✗1.0616.1M2022-05-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.28290.281012-0.67%0.2551-9.83%0.0055✓1.11391k2022-05-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.11090.110157-0.67%0.101-8.93%0.0143✓0.88425k2022-05-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.141.1323-0.67%1.035-9.21%0.0056✓1.162.2M2022-05-05
COMPCompoundEthereum114.56113.7771-0.68%104.67-8.63%0.0124✗1.1733k2022-05-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4516.3362-0.69%14.24-13.43%0.0220✓1.40145k2022-05-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4780.474692-0.69%0.421-11.92%0.0351✓1.034.3M2022-05-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.7855.7449-0.69%5.336-7.76%0.0241✓0.601.5M2022-05-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7642.7447-0.70%2.445-11.54%0.0160✗1.60719k2022-05-05
SUSHISushiEthereum2.622.6016-0.70%2.28-12.98%0.0267✓1.283.6M2022-05-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0735.0372-0.71%4.535-10.61%0.0138✗1.447.7M2022-05-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.48110.477667-0.71%0.434-9.79%0.0640✓0.39580k2022-05-05
XVGVergenative0.008960.008896-0.72%0.00803-10.38%0.0120✓1.10943k2022-05-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.6378.0584-0.73%73.79-6.16%0.0122✗0.832.1M2022-05-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09730.09659-0.73%0.091-6.47%0.0088✗0.832.8M2022-05-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8002760.794438-0.73%0.716712-10.44%0.0184✓1.035.3M2022-05-05
ZENHorizenBase33.733.454-0.73%30.98-8.07%0.0340✗1.35173k2022-05-05
MINAMina Protocolnative2.011.9953-0.73%1.79-10.95%0.0166✓1.121.1M2022-05-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,332.5918,198.25-0.73%16,867.45-7.99%0.0024✓0.952.7M2022-05-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.1244.0936-0.74%3.643-11.66%0.0264✗1.741.4M2022-05-05
GITCOINGITCOIN5.1475.1078-0.76%4.554-11.52%0.0063✓1.4719k2022-05-05
UMAUMAEthereum5.675.6266-0.77%5.148-9.21%0.0258✗1.391.6M2022-05-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2220.220284-0.77%0.1995-10.14%0.0147✗1.38114k2022-05-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.2220.220262-0.78%0.1929-13.11%0.0247✓1.312.1M2022-05-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020560.020398-0.79%0.01722-16.25%0.0474✓1.4848.2M2022-05-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.73243.7024-0.80%3.0675-17.81%0.1235✓0.7810.0M2022-05-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.83.7693-0.81%3.292-13.37%0.0232✓1.3679k2022-05-05
ADACardanoCardano0.89830.890932-0.82%0.7884-12.23%0.0330✓1.0941.1M2022-05-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.16130.159971-0.82%0.1399-13.27%0.0273✓1.30180k2022-05-05
KSMKusamaHydration140.48139.318-0.83%127.39-9.32%0.0008✓1.10954k2022-05-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34380.340934-0.83%0.3012-12.39%0.0262✓1.196.8M2022-05-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009340.009261-0.84%0.0083-11.13%0.0142✓1.162.3M2022-05-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.6130.3508-0.85%28.32-7.48%0.0258✗1.164.9M2022-05-05
AAVEAaveEthereum159.43158.067-0.85%141.32-11.36%0.0072✓1.279.8M2022-05-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003499-0.87%0.00312-11.61%0.0237✓1.114.2M2022-05-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1680.166457-0.92%0.142-15.48%0.1240✓0.42132k2022-05-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05980.059246-0.93%0.0533-10.87%0.0124✓1.13179k2022-05-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04390.043468-0.98%0.0371-15.49%0.0224✓1.6523.0M2022-05-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.57e-79.48e-7-0.99%9.15e-7-4.46%0.0406✓-0.06646k2022-05-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.651350.644871-0.99%0.58772-9.77%0.0049✓1.07126k2022-05-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71530.708136-1.00%0.6344-11.31%0.0324✓0.9410.9M2022-05-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.175.1169-1.03%4.57-11.61%0.0092✓1.49339k2022-05-05
PROPropyEthereum1.721.6995-1.19%1.67-2.91%0.0323✗0.61470k2022-05-05
APEApeCoinEthereum15.55715.3707-1.20%13.688-12.01%0.0508✗2.0363.9M2022-05-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5962.5636-1.25%2.454-5.47%0.0658✗1.335.1M2022-05-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.394.3335-1.29%3.82-12.98%0.0087✓1.43385k2022-05-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1521.7255-1.92%18.95-14.45%0.0301✓1.302.2M2022-05-05
TRXTRONTron0.0863970.084605-2.07%0.074707-13.53%0.0685✓0.68296k2022-05-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.