UPROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s4

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +1d

assessed

62

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

53.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1492

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0060

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.275788	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.276427	-0.42%	0.276795	-0.28%	0.0082	✗	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.248351	-0.20%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0803	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.219682	+0.01%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1295	✓	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.230954	-0.05%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0681	✓	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.280839	-0.44%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1917	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.278615	-0.48%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0302	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.273146	-0.45%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0087	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.293052	-1.45%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0227	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.199413	+0.49%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3640	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.236107	-0.09%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1256	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.209583	+0.53%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1013	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.207241	+0.71%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0031	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.199939	+0.97%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0077	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.230893	+0.74%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1161	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.245165	+0.63%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0147	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.26729	+0.33%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0879	✗	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.287922	+0.04%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0608	✗	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.290802	+0.17%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0503	✗	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.275051	+0.60%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0485	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.300839	+0.32%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0878	✗	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.401733	-1.03%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3236	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.389428	-1.10%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0435	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.293444	+0.78%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.2895	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.316822	+0.56%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0598	✗	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.36462	+0.04%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1472	✗	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.337705	+0.55%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0685	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.342113	+0.63%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0114	✗	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.395878	+0.15%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1524	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.478929	-0.84%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1527	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.546312	-1.93%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1151	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.461675	-0.10%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.0844	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.484546	-0.22%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0459	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.572595	-2.08%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1717	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.471888	-0.28%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1417	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.377542	+1.01%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2224	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.323754	+1.50%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1343	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.375898	+1.36%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1290	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.383874	+1.28%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0536	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.359286	+1.50%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0602	✓	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.387199	+1.34%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0905	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.401095	+1.17%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0582	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.423083	+1.02%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0424	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.502208	+0.05%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1795	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.552843	-0.91%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0884	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.66709	-1.79%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1631	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.775412	-1.88%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1388	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.615023	-2.53%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2488	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.755454	-1.85%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1603	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.820387	-2.12%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.1137	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.846881	-3.13%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.855465	-6.44%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.507323	-3.30%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.5776	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.320013	-1.34%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.5016	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.237568	-1.53%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.3063	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.261572	-1.18%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0500	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.351412	-5.59%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.2991	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.154373	-2.01%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8738	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.190665	-4.02%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.1851	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.136183	-3.35%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3616	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.085532	+0.51%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.4904	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110208	-0.44%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2422	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.104971	-0.41%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0171	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.