TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1362
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0756
actual -0.0097
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.84993 | -2.88% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.864695 | -2.98% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.872621 | -3.03% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.816317 | -2.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.854089 | -2.93% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.858772 | -3.17% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 0.998114 | -4.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.983728 | -4.49% | 0.87515 | -15.03% | 0.1307 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.96489 | -4.82% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0774 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.937042 | -5.09% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0416 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0215 | -6.00% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.1783 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0656 | -6.26% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1729 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 0.988395 | -6.51% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.0956 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.961512 | -7.17% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0764 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 0.998826 | -8.02% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0515 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.0496 | -8.19% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0236 | -8.17% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0117 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.0798 | -7.63% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0397 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.11 | -7.67% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.776928 | -7.61% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.3315 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.774371 | -9.20% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.3288 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.787226 | -10.35% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.3251 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.91034 | -9.39% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.2052 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0416 | -8.50% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0406 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 0.995436 | -8.30% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1368 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.843763 | -6.48% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3502 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.773969 | -5.52% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0781 | ✗ | 1.00 |