TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
57.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0655
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0126
actual +0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.871235 | -0.45% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.886829 | -0.50% | 0.87515 | -1.81% | 0.0141 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.894892 | -0.56% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0008 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.834563 | -0.37% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0749 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.875947 | -0.45% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0432 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.882853 | -0.46% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0036 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0355 | -0.75% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1473 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0217 | -0.80% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0141 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.005 | -0.87% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0432 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.978381 | -0.90% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0191 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0748 | -1.10% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1226 | -1.25% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0416 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0444 | -1.21% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0803 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0224 | -1.29% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0231 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0703 | -1.44% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1261 | -1.49% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0978 | -1.51% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0429 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1516 | -1.48% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1781 | -2.01% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0284 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.828856 | -1.44% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3691 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.838331 | -1.70% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.861567 | -1.89% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0256 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.987211 | -1.74% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1161 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1169 | -1.88% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.1080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0586 | -2.48% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0846 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.889307 | -1.43% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.1988 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.806496 | -1.55% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1083 | ✗ | 1.00 |