TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

38.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4282

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0297

actual -0.3422

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.0093	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.009082	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009085	-1.03%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008853	-1.03%	–	pending	–	–	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008319	-0.67%	–	pending	–	–	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007966	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007949	-0.01%	–	pending	–	–	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008649	-0.47%	0.00942	+8.40%	0.0415	✗	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010181	-1.87%	0.00918	-11.52%	0.0973	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010233	-1.70%	0.00918	-11.82%	0.1123	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.01219	-3.18%	0.008945	-28.95%	0.2481	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.01081	-2.13%	0.008375	-24.17%	0.2000	✓	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010455	-1.69%	0.007985	-24.92%	0.2319	✓	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.010535	-1.41%	0.00795	-25.60%	0.2969	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.012021	-2.82%	0.00869	-29.75%	0.2643	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012242	-3.11%	0.010375	-17.89%	0.0753	✓	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.013705	-4.19%	0.01041	-27.23%	0.1264	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.014462	-7.53%	0.01259	-19.50%	0.0354	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.01152	-0.48%	0.011045	-4.58%	0.0178	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.011272	+0.65%	0.010635	-5.04%	0.0060	✓	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014513	-5.45%	0.010685	-30.39%	0.2060	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.00939	+6.95%	0.01237	+40.89%	0.2828	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.00957	+7.72%	0.012635	+42.21%	0.2299	✓	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.009562	+8.59%	0.014305	+62.46%	0.3452	✓	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.01151	+6.77%	0.01564	+45.08%	0.2577	✓	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012907	+6.19%	0.011575	-4.77%	0.1168	✗	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.012566	+7.17%	0.0112	-4.48%	0.1250	✗	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.016371	+4.21%	0.01535	-2.29%	0.0751	✗	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.019233	+2.96%	0.00878	-53.00%	0.7743	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.021461	+1.66%	0.008885	-57.91%	0.8517	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.021337	+2.19%	0.008805	-57.83%	0.8482	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.022059	+3.95%	0.01078	-49.20%	0.7559	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.021497	+4.97%	0.012155	-40.65%	0.6086	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.022231	+5.76%	0.011725	-44.22%	0.6788	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.023778	+6.94%	0.01571	-29.35%	0.5145	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.025483	+7.12%	0.01868	-21.48%	0.4132	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.028553	+6.84%	0.02111	-21.01%	0.4334	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.03459	+5.60%	0.02088	-36.25%	0.6071	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.031662	+7.08%	0.02122	-28.24%	0.4554	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.035392	+7.12%	0.02048	-38.01%	0.5971	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.032477	+8.26%	0.02102	-29.93%	0.4815	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.033708	+9.28%	0.022235	-27.91%	0.4136	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.039891	+9.97%	0.02379	-34.42%	0.4892	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.052011	+8.74%	0.026725	-44.13%	0.6287	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.060031	+8.11%	0.032755	-41.01%	0.5941	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.082386	+4.66%	0.02957	-62.43%	0.9796	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.097412	+2.69%	0.03304	-65.17%	1.0485	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.097794	+3.27%	0.03	-68.32%	1.1502	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.116344	+1.62%	0.030845	-73.06%	1.2676	✗	1.00