TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

41.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1138

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0060

actual -0.0513

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.00941	-0.11%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.009175	-0.05%	0.00942	+2.61%	0.0356	✗	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009175	-0.06%	0.00918	+0.00%	0.0415	✓	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008939	-0.06%	0.00918	+2.63%	0.0331	✗	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008377	+0.03%	0.008945	+6.81%	0.0416	✓	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007996	+0.14%	0.008375	+4.88%	0.0508	✓	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007967	+0.21%	0.007985	+0.44%	0.0265	✓	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008703	+0.15%	0.00795	-8.52%	0.1122	✗	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010364	-0.10%	0.00869	-16.24%	0.1178	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010404	-0.06%	0.010375	-0.34%	0.0544	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.012534	-0.45%	0.01041	-17.32%	0.1144	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.011028	-0.15%	0.01259	+13.99%	0.1051	✗	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010632	-0.03%	0.011045	+3.86%	0.0251	✗	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.01069	+0.05%	0.010635	-0.47%	0.0357	✗	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.012335	-0.28%	0.010685	-13.62%	0.0879	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012591	-0.35%	0.01237	-2.10%	0.0660	✗	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.014178	-0.88%	0.012635	-11.67%	0.1077	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.015155	-3.10%	0.014305	-8.54%	0.0304	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.01159	+0.13%	0.01564	+35.12%	0.2432	✓	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.01123	+0.27%	0.011575	+3.35%	0.0226	✓	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014975	-2.45%	0.0112	-27.04%	0.2797	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.008906	+1.43%	0.01535	+74.83%	0.5119	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.009023	+1.56%	0.00878	-1.18%	0.0252	✗	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.008953	+1.68%	0.008885	+0.91%	0.0122	✓	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.010944	+1.52%	0.008805	-18.32%	0.1930	✗	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012332	+1.45%	0.01078	-11.31%	0.1356	✗	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.011912	+1.59%	0.012155	+3.67%	0.0124	✓	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.015888	+1.13%	0.011725	-25.37%	0.2971	✗	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.018851	+0.91%	0.01571	-15.90%	0.1823	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.021243	+0.63%	0.01868	-11.51%	0.1072	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.021039	+0.76%	0.02111	+1.10%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.021452	+1.09%	0.02088	-1.60%	0.0919	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.020738	+1.26%	0.02122	+3.61%	0.0239	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.02131	+1.38%	0.02048	-2.57%	0.0441	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.022577	+1.54%	0.02102	-5.46%	0.1290	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.024162	+1.56%	0.022235	-6.54%	0.0858	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.027134	+1.53%	0.02379	-10.98%	0.1389	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.033183	+1.31%	0.026725	-18.41%	0.1827	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.030025	+1.54%	0.032755	+10.77%	0.0693	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.033541	+1.51%	0.02957	-10.50%	0.1200	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.030491	+1.64%	0.03304	+10.13%	0.0796	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.031373	+1.71%	0.03	-2.74%	0.0535	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.036914	+1.76%	0.030845	-14.97%	0.1570	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.04861	+1.63%	0.036275	-24.16%	0.2906	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.056379	+1.54%	0.04783	-13.86%	0.1563	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.0795	+1.00%	0.055525	-29.46%	0.3433	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.095439	+0.60%	0.078715	-17.02%	0.1990	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.095355	+0.69%	0.094865	+0.17%	0.0071	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.11489	+0.35%	0.0947	-17.29%	0.1735	✗	1.00