TENDIES

TENDIES · Robinhood · gru_s4

token id: #799
symbol: TENDIES
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x45242320dbb855eea8fd36804c6487e10e97fcf9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-16
predictions: 267

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 89 predictions shown

direction hit

57.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2832

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0300

actual -0.1541

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004573	0.004529	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	2.70
2026-10-20	oos	0.004425	0.004389	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	2.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.00342	0.003546	+3.69%	–	pending	–	–	2.40
2026-10-18	oos	0.0035	0.00364	+3.99%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.00385	0.003984	+3.49%	–	pending	–	–	2.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.003762	0.003938	+4.68%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-15	oos	0.004347	0.004477	+3.00%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.004939	0.005033	+1.90%	0.004573	-7.41%	0.1266	✗	2.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.005042	0.005126	+1.67%	0.004425	-12.23%	0.1425	✗	2.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.004456	0.004677	+4.96%	0.00342	-23.25%	0.3156	✗	2.22
2026-10-11	oos	0.005425	0.005502	+1.42%	0.0035	-35.48%	0.4095	✗	2.12
2026-10-10	oos	0.005468	0.005586	+2.15%	0.00385	-29.59%	0.3326	✗	2.12
2026-10-09	oos	0.004698	0.004961	+5.61%	0.003762	-19.92%	0.2498	✗	2.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.005044	0.005309	+5.26%	0.004347	-13.82%	0.2112	✗	2.13
2026-10-07	oos	0.005198	0.005422	+4.30%	0.004939	-4.98%	0.0486	✗	2.15
2026-10-06	oos	0.006669	0.006623	-0.69%	0.005042	-24.40%	0.2152	✓	1.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.007464	0.007314	-2.02%	0.004456	-40.30%	0.4010	✓	1.98
2026-10-04	oos	0.006732	0.006706	-0.38%	0.005425	-19.41%	0.1446	✓	2.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.006723	0.006766	+0.65%	0.005468	-18.66%	0.1685	✗	2.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.006885	0.006937	+0.76%	0.004698	-31.76%	0.3419	✗	2.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.008486	0.008366	-1.41%	0.005044	-40.56%	0.4303	✓	2.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.008463	0.008416	-0.56%	0.005198	-38.58%	0.4751	✓	2.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.008951	0.008918	-0.37%	0.006669	-25.49%	0.3354	✓	1.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.00977	0.009734	-0.36%	0.007464	-23.60%	0.3195	✓	1.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.010303	0.010244	-0.57%	0.006732	-34.66%	0.4673	✓	1.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.011222	0.011105	-1.04%	0.006723	-40.10%	0.5095	✓	1.98
2026-09-25	oos	0.010876	0.010857	-0.17%	0.006885	-36.70%	0.4652	✓	1.98
2026-09-24	oos	0.010248	0.010351	+1.01%	0.008486	-17.19%	0.2096	✗	2.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.01068	0.010787	+1.00%	0.008463	-20.76%	0.2231	✗	1.99
2026-09-22	oos	0.011668	0.011632	-0.30%	0.008951	-23.29%	0.2028	✓	1.97
2026-09-21	oos	0.013417	0.013178	-1.78%	0.00977	-27.19%	0.2280	✓	1.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.012814	0.012869	+0.43%	0.010303	-19.59%	0.3054	✗	2.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.013697	0.013708	+0.08%	0.011222	-18.07%	0.2798	✗	2.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.014911	0.014781	-0.87%	0.010876	-27.06%	0.3878	✓	2.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.011718	0.011847	+1.10%	0.010248	-12.54%	0.3230	✗	1.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.01202	0.012088	+0.56%	0.01068	-11.15%	0.3064	✗	1.78
2026-09-15	oos	0.01274	0.012681	-0.47%	0.011668	-8.41%	0.3185	✓	1.79
2026-09-14	oos	0.014146	0.014122	-0.17%	0.013417	-5.16%	0.2285	✓	1.73
2026-09-13	oos	0.013051	0.013042	-0.07%	0.012814	-1.82%	0.1113	✓	1.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.014048	0.014019	-0.21%	0.013697	-2.50%	0.1071	✓	1.67
2026-09-11	oos	0.016721	0.016334	-2.32%	0.014911	-10.83%	0.1679	✓	1.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.018437	0.017723	-3.87%	0.011718	-36.44%	0.4096	✓	1.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.01575	0.015381	-2.34%	0.01202	-23.68%	0.1934	✓	1.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.016751	0.016084	-3.98%	0.01274	-23.94%	0.1622	✓	1.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.016325	0.01537	-5.85%	0.014146	-13.34%	0.0604	✓	1.93
2026-09-06	oos	0.017816	0.016203	-9.06%	0.013051	-26.75%	0.1313	✓	1.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.021024	0.019164	-8.85%	0.014048	-33.18%	0.2483	✓	1.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.01957	0.017597	-10.08%	0.016721	-14.56%	0.0090	✓	1.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.029397	0.027624	-6.03%	0.018437	-37.28%	0.3159	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.033181	0.030762	-7.29%	0.01575	-52.53%	0.6942	✓	1.97
2026-09-01	oos	0.017887	0.016945	-5.27%	0.016751	-6.35%	0.0404	✓	2.14
2026-08-31	oos	0.01556	0.014777	-5.03%	0.016325	+4.92%	0.0840	✗	2.34
2026-08-30	oos	0.01848	0.01748	-5.41%	0.017816	-3.59%	0.0626	✓	2.41
2026-08-29	oos	0.017954	0.017003	-5.30%	0.021024	+17.10%	0.1628	✗	2.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.01445	0.013563	-6.14%	0.01957	+35.43%	0.3098	✗	2.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.016556	0.015706	-5.13%	0.029397	+77.56%	0.5982	✗	2.34
2026-08-26	oos	0.017784	0.016855	-5.22%	0.033181	+86.58%	0.7301	✗	2.40
2026-08-25	oos	0.015549	0.014734	-5.24%	0.017887	+15.04%	0.2286	✗	2.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.020972	0.019891	-5.15%	0.01556	-25.81%	0.2339	✓	2.21
2026-08-23	oos	0.018399	0.017415	-5.35%	0.01848	+0.44%	0.0611	✗	2.14
2026-08-22	oos	0.01375	0.013146	-4.39%	0.017954	+30.57%	0.2801	✗	2.08
2026-08-21	oos	0.01328	0.012736	-4.09%	0.01445	+8.81%	0.1399	✗	2.19
2026-08-20	oos	0.01453	0.013512	-7.01%	0.016556	+13.94%	0.1282	✓	3.49
2026-08-19	oos	0.01378	0.012646	-8.23%	0.017784	+29.06%	0.1981	✓	4.10
2026-08-18	oos	0.009565	0.009563	-0.02%	0.015549	+62.56%	0.0250	✓	2.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01009	0.010017	-0.73%	0.020972	+107.85%	0.1988	✗	2.66
2026-08-16	oos	0.01105	0.010897	-1.39%	0.018399	+66.51%	0.2484	✓	3.63
2026-08-15	oos	0.01269	0.01226	-3.39%	0.01375	+8.35%	0.6002	✓	3.56
2026-08-14	oos	0.01476	0.014039	-4.88%	0.01328	-10.03%	0.2737	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.01771	0.01665	-5.99%	0.01453	-17.96%	0.2769	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.01887	0.017633	-6.55%	0.01378	-26.97%	0.3354	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.02139	0.019938	-6.79%	0.009565	-55.28%	0.7524	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.02278	0.021222	-6.84%	0.01009	-55.71%	0.7523	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.01943	0.01801	-7.31%	0.01105	-43.13%	0.4570	✓	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.02054	0.01901	-7.45%	0.01269	-38.22%	0.3746	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.0169	0.015421	-8.75%	0.01476	-12.66%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.01809	0.016522	-8.67%	0.01771	-2.10%	0.0826	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.02558	0.023546	-7.95%	0.01887	-26.23%	0.2028	✓	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.02012	0.018808	-6.52%	0.02139	+6.31%	0.1368	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.01793	0.016878	-5.87%	0.02278	+27.05%	0.2929	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.01447	0.013759	-4.91%	0.01943	+34.28%	0.3241	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.01273	0.012277	-3.56%	0.02054	+61.35%	0.4811	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.01294	0.012456	-3.74%	0.0169	+30.60%	0.2727	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.01824	0.017071	-6.41%	0.01809	-0.82%	0.0650	✓	1.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.01305	0.012513	-4.12%	0.02558	+96.02%	0.7041	✗	1.00
2026-07-28	oos	0.00984	0.009836	-0.04%	0.02012	+104.47%	0.7125	✗	1.00
2026-07-27	oos	0.01129	0.011075	-1.90%	0.01793	+58.81%	0.4854	✗	1.00
2026-07-26	oos	0.01333	0.012822	-3.81%	0.01447	+8.55%	0.1495	✗	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.01339	0.012888	-3.75%	0.01273	-4.93%	0.0118	✓	1.00