TENDIES

TENDIES · Robinhood · gru_s4

token id: #799
symbol: TENDIES
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x45242320dbb855eea8fd36804c6487e10e97fcf9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-16
predictions: 270

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 90 predictions shown

direction hit

52.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1274

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0042

actual -0.0239

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003815	0.003817	+0.05%	–	pending	–	–	2.62
2026-10-21	oos	0.003821	0.003828	+0.20%	0.003815	-0.14%	0.0096	✗	2.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.004425	0.00442	-0.13%	0.003821	-13.67%	0.1779	✓	2.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.00342	0.003446	+0.76%	0.004425	+29.40%	0.2181	✓	2.40
2026-10-18	oos	0.0035	0.003528	+0.79%	0.00342	-2.29%	0.0264	✗	2.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.00385	0.003877	+0.71%	0.0035	-9.09%	0.1192	✗	2.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.003762	0.003793	+0.83%	0.00385	+2.34%	0.0181	✓	2.22
2026-10-15	oos	0.004347	0.004375	+0.65%	0.003762	-13.46%	0.1341	✗	2.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.004939	0.004963	+0.49%	0.004347	-11.99%	0.1478	✗	2.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.005042	0.005067	+0.49%	0.004939	-2.04%	0.0166	✓	2.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.004456	0.004494	+0.86%	0.005042	+13.15%	0.0785	✓	2.22
2026-10-11	oos	0.005425	0.005453	+0.51%	0.004456	-17.86%	0.1522	✗	2.12
2026-10-10	oos	0.005468	0.005502	+0.62%	0.005425	-0.79%	0.0336	✗	2.12
2026-10-09	oos	0.004698	0.004744	+0.97%	0.005468	+16.39%	0.1327	✓	2.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.005044	0.005093	+0.96%	0.004698	-6.86%	0.1028	✗	2.13
2026-10-07	oos	0.005198	0.005246	+0.93%	0.005044	-2.96%	0.0019	✓	2.15
2026-10-06	oos	0.006669	0.0067	+0.47%	0.005198	-22.06%	0.2004	✗	1.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.007464	0.007482	+0.24%	0.006669	-10.65%	0.1102	✗	1.98
2026-10-04	oos	0.006732	0.00677	+0.57%	0.007464	+10.87%	0.1154	✓	2.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.006723	0.00677	+0.71%	0.006732	+0.14%	0.0477	✗	2.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.006885	0.006934	+0.71%	0.006723	-2.36%	0.0367	✗	2.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.008486	0.008509	+0.27%	0.006885	-18.87%	0.2036	✗	2.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.008463	0.008496	+0.39%	0.008486	+0.27%	0.0319	✗	2.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.008951	0.008976	+0.28%	0.008463	-5.45%	0.0569	✗	1.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.00977	0.009781	+0.11%	0.008951	-8.38%	0.0930	✗	1.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.010303	0.0103	-0.03%	0.00977	-5.18%	0.0291	✓	1.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.011222	0.011199	-0.20%	0.010303	-8.19%	0.0845	✓	1.98
2026-09-25	oos	0.010876	0.010871	-0.05%	0.011222	+3.18%	0.0242	✗	1.98
2026-09-24	oos	0.010248	0.010263	+0.14%	0.010876	+6.13%	0.0650	✓	2.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.01068	0.010692	+0.11%	0.010248	-4.04%	0.0426	✗	1.99
2026-09-22	oos	0.011668	0.011651	-0.15%	0.01068	-8.47%	0.0451	✓	1.97
2026-09-21	oos	0.013417	0.013348	-0.51%	0.011668	-13.04%	0.1257	✓	1.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.012814	0.012819	+0.04%	0.013417	+4.71%	0.0894	✗	2.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.013697	0.013685	-0.08%	0.012814	-6.45%	0.0639	✓	2.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.014911	0.014862	-0.32%	0.013697	-8.14%	0.0908	✓	2.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.011718	0.011785	+0.57%	0.014911	+27.24%	0.1328	✓	1.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.01202	0.012085	+0.54%	0.011718	-2.51%	0.0356	✗	1.78
2026-09-15	oos	0.01274	0.012792	+0.41%	0.01202	-5.65%	0.0755	✗	1.79
2026-09-14	oos	0.014146	0.01417	+0.16%	0.01274	-9.94%	0.0479	✗	1.73
2026-09-13	oos	0.013051	0.013079	+0.21%	0.014146	+8.39%	0.0484	✓	1.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.014048	0.014053	+0.03%	0.013051	-7.10%	0.0639	✗	1.67
2026-09-11	oos	0.016721	0.016658	-0.38%	0.014048	-15.99%	0.1716	✓	1.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.018437	0.018304	-0.72%	0.016721	-9.31%	0.1051	✓	1.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.01575	0.015606	-0.91%	0.018437	+17.06%	0.2100	✗	1.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.016751	0.01654	-1.26%	0.01575	-5.98%	0.0449	✓	1.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.016325	0.016041	-1.74%	0.016751	+2.61%	0.0591	✗	1.93
2026-09-06	oos	0.017816	0.017485	-1.86%	0.016325	-8.37%	0.0391	✓	1.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.021024	0.020765	-1.23%	0.017816	-15.26%	0.1652	✓	1.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.01957	0.019342	-1.16%	0.021024	+7.43%	0.0796	✗	1.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.029397	0.029016	-1.30%	0.01957	-33.43%	0.3647	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.033181	0.032087	-3.30%	0.029397	-11.40%	0.1858	✓	1.97
2026-09-01	oos	0.017887	0.017732	-0.87%	0.033181	+85.50%	0.6292	✗	2.14
2026-08-31	oos	0.01556	0.015398	-1.04%	0.017887	+14.96%	0.1847	✗	2.34
2026-08-30	oos	0.01848	0.018311	-0.91%	0.01556	-15.80%	0.1905	✓	2.41
2026-08-29	oos	0.017954	0.017774	-1.00%	0.01848	+2.93%	0.0568	✗	2.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.01445	0.014274	-1.22%	0.017954	+24.25%	0.2170	✗	2.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.016556	0.016394	-0.98%	0.01445	-12.72%	0.0541	✓	2.34
2026-08-26	oos	0.017784	0.017605	-1.01%	0.016556	-6.91%	0.0991	✓	2.40
2026-08-25	oos	0.015549	0.015409	-0.90%	0.017784	+14.37%	0.1282	✗	2.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.020972	0.020675	-1.42%	0.015549	-25.86%	0.2722	✓	2.21
2026-08-23	oos	0.018399	0.01815	-1.35%	0.020972	+13.98%	0.1103	✗	2.14
2026-08-22	oos	0.01375	0.013624	-0.92%	0.018399	+33.81%	0.2824	✗	2.08
2026-08-21	oos	0.01328	0.013146	-1.01%	0.01375	+3.54%	0.0808	✗	2.19
2026-08-20	oos	0.01453	0.014361	-1.16%	0.01328	-8.60%	0.3237	✓	3.49
2026-08-19	oos	0.01378	0.013619	-1.17%	0.01453	+5.44%	0.1494	✓	4.10
2026-08-18	oos	0.009565	0.009577	+0.13%	0.01378	+44.07%	0.1821	✓	2.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01009	0.010077	-0.13%	0.009565	-5.20%	0.0605	✓	2.66
2026-08-16	oos	0.01105	0.011013	-0.34%	0.01009	-8.69%	0.1811	✓	3.63
2026-08-15	oos	0.01269	0.012605	-0.67%	0.01105	-12.92%	0.1214	✓	3.56
2026-08-14	oos	0.01476	0.014648	-0.76%	0.01269	-14.02%	0.1442	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.01771	0.017569	-0.80%	0.01476	-16.66%	0.1671	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.01887	0.018716	-0.81%	0.01771	-6.15%	0.0555	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.02139	0.021189	-0.94%	0.01887	-11.78%	0.1140	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.02278	0.022516	-1.16%	0.02139	-6.10%	0.0453	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.01943	0.019257	-0.89%	0.02278	+17.24%	0.1826	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.02054	0.020327	-1.04%	0.01943	-5.40%	0.0442	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.0169	0.016769	-0.78%	0.02054	+21.54%	0.2026	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.01809	0.017942	-0.82%	0.0169	-6.58%	0.0695	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.02558	0.025072	-1.99%	0.01809	-29.28%	0.3212	✓	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.02012	0.019851	-1.34%	0.02558	+27.14%	0.2450	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.01793	0.01773	-1.12%	0.02012	+12.21%	0.1173	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.01447	0.014373	-0.67%	0.01793	+23.91%	0.2216	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.01273	0.012661	-0.54%	0.01447	+13.67%	0.1219	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.01294	0.012861	-0.61%	0.01273	-1.62%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.01824	0.017995	-1.34%	0.01294	-29.06%	0.3000	✓	1.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.01305	0.012942	-0.83%	0.01824	+39.77%	0.3303	✗	1.00
2026-07-28	oos	0.00984	0.009673	-1.70%	0.01305	+32.62%	0.2987	✗	1.00
2026-07-27	oos	0.01129	0.011143	-1.30%	0.00984	-12.84%	0.1267	✓	1.00
2026-07-26	oos	0.01333	0.013189	-1.06%	0.01129	-15.30%	0.1299	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.01339	0.013253	-1.02%	0.01333	-0.45%	0.0103	✓	1.00