STONK
STONK · Solana · gru_s4
- token id
- #304
- symbol
- STONK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 6GmAFSYs4gk3FDao5FzzySQpPZaWsa4rUJHacpMpUNgx
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-21
- predictions
- 66
Track record at +7d
assessed
15
of 22 predictions shown
direction hit
86.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3002
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0245
actual -0.3071
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.12218 | 0.119595 | -2.12% | – | pending | – | – | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.12545 | 0.122417 | -2.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.114195 | 0.112119 | -1.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1019 | 0.100375 | -1.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.10575 | 0.104445 | -1.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.11242 | 0.111097 | -1.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.12122 | 0.119612 | -1.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.110945 | 0.110323 | -0.56% | 0.12218 | +10.13% | 0.0883 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.12159 | 0.120288 | -1.07% | 0.12545 | +3.17% | 0.0440 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.131815 | 0.130205 | -1.22% | 0.114195 | -13.37% | 0.1324 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.14763 | 0.144216 | -2.31% | 0.1019 | -30.98% | 0.3271 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.139145 | 0.137079 | -1.48% | 0.10575 | -24.00% | 0.2409 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.140195 | 0.138423 | -1.26% | 0.11242 | -19.81% | 0.1953 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.154645 | 0.151992 | -1.72% | 0.12122 | -21.61% | 0.2315 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.171875 | 0.167694 | -2.43% | 0.110945 | -35.45% | 0.3924 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.216735 | 0.209621 | -3.28% | 0.12159 | -43.90% | 0.5157 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.194225 | 0.188087 | -3.16% | 0.131815 | -32.13% | 0.3077 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.229225 | 0.221762 | -3.26% | 0.14763 | -35.60% | 0.3736 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.217215 | 0.209547 | -3.53% | 0.139145 | -35.94% | 0.3876 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.24939 | 0.239856 | -3.82% | 0.140195 | -43.78% | 0.5135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.255775 | 0.246655 | -3.57% | 0.154645 | -39.54% | 0.4290 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.24725 | 0.238532 | -3.53% | 0.171875 | -30.49% | 0.3244 | ✓ | 1.00 |