STONK

STONK · Solana · gru_s4

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 22 predictions shown

direction hit

71.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0786

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0039

actual -0.0331

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12218	0.121676	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.12545	0.124633	-0.65%	0.12218	-2.61%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.114195	0.113873	-0.28%	0.12545	+9.86%	0.0835	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.1019	0.101696	-0.20%	0.114195	+12.07%	0.1180	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.10575	0.105685	-0.06%	0.1019	-3.64%	0.0441	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.11242	0.112368	-0.05%	0.10575	-5.93%	0.0592	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.12122	0.121103	-0.10%	0.11242	-7.26%	0.0668	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.110945	0.111094	+0.13%	0.12122	+9.26%	0.0804	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.12159	0.121563	-0.02%	0.110945	-8.75%	0.0727	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.131815	0.131739	-0.06%	0.12159	-7.76%	0.0967	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.14763	0.146894	-0.50%	0.131815	-10.71%	0.0849	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	0.139145	0.138943	-0.15%	0.14763	+6.10%	0.0514	✗	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	0.140195	0.140067	-0.09%	0.139145	-0.75%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.154645	0.154266	-0.24%	0.140195	-9.34%	0.1060	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.171875	0.171127	-0.44%	0.154645	-10.02%	0.0821	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.216735	0.21517	-0.72%	0.171875	-20.70%	0.1978	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.194225	0.192931	-0.67%	0.216735	+11.59%	0.1188	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.229225	0.22759	-0.71%	0.194225	-15.27%	0.1497	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.217215	0.21539	-0.84%	0.229225	+5.53%	0.0416	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.24939	0.246753	-1.06%	0.217215	-12.90%	0.1303	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.255775	0.25384	-0.76%	0.24939	-2.50%	0.0136	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.24725	0.245609	-0.66%	0.255775	+3.45%	0.0252	✗	1.00