SAGA

Saga · Saga · gru_s4

token id: #196
symbol: SAGA
variant: –
chain: Saga
address: usaga
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-07-16
predictions: 2,457

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0452

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0022

actual -0.0044

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.01969	0.019503	-0.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-20	oos	0.019545	0.019374	-0.88%	0.01969	+0.74%	0.0176	✗	0.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.018775	0.018627	-0.79%	0.019545	+4.10%	0.0419	✗	0.47
2026-10-18	oos	0.01851	0.018346	-0.88%	0.018775	+1.43%	0.0241	✗	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.01908	0.018957	-0.64%	0.01851	-2.99%	0.0277	✓	0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.02015	0.019997	-0.76%	0.01908	-5.31%	0.0462	✓	0.50
2026-10-15	oos	0.01999	0.019837	-0.76%	0.02015	+0.80%	0.0195	✗	0.50
2026-10-14	oos	0.02013	0.019971	-0.79%	0.01999	-0.70%	0.0025	✓	0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.020745	0.020569	-0.85%	0.02013	-2.96%	0.0122	✓	0.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.020445	0.020287	-0.77%	0.020745	+1.47%	0.0141	✗	0.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.022525	0.022312	-0.94%	0.020445	-9.23%	0.0773	✓	0.43
2026-10-10	oos	0.02213	0.021926	-0.92%	0.022525	+1.78%	0.0228	✗	0.45
2026-10-09	oos	0.0218	0.021613	-0.86%	0.02213	+1.51%	0.0216	✗	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.022475	0.022281	-0.86%	0.0218	-3.00%	0.0267	✓	0.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.02334	0.023111	-0.98%	0.022475	-3.71%	0.0193	✓	0.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.02469	0.024405	-1.15%	0.02334	-5.47%	0.0338	✓	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.02444	0.024117	-1.32%	0.02469	+1.02%	0.0244	✗	0.40
2026-10-04	oos	0.022865	0.022586	-1.22%	0.02444	+6.89%	0.0829	✗	0.45
2026-10-03	oos	0.023355	0.023061	-1.26%	0.022865	-2.10%	0.0182	✓	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.02255	0.022274	-1.23%	0.023355	+3.57%	0.0461	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.0251	0.02472	-1.52%	0.02255	-10.16%	0.0901	✓	0.44
2026-09-30	oos	0.025095	0.024697	-1.58%	0.0251	+0.02%	0.0095	✓	0.43
2026-09-29	oos	0.025775	0.025394	-1.48%	0.025095	-2.64%	0.0114	✓	0.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.027605	0.027185	-1.52%	0.025775	-6.63%	0.0543	✓	0.47
2026-09-27	oos	0.02681	0.026426	-1.43%	0.027605	+2.97%	0.0497	✗	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.03197	0.031498	-1.48%	0.02681	-16.14%	0.1614	✓	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.035605	0.035089	-1.45%	0.03197	-10.21%	0.0950	✓	0.48
2026-09-24	oos	0.07402	0.068559	-7.38%	0.035605	-51.90%	0.6540	✓	0.34
2026-09-23	oos	0.04774	0.04554	-4.61%	0.07402	+55.05%	0.4857	✗	0.38
2026-09-22	oos	0.040475	0.03914	-3.30%	0.04774	+17.95%	0.2097	✗	0.52
2026-09-21	oos	0.039395	0.03782	-4.00%	0.040475	+2.74%	0.0705	✗	0.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.037745	0.035737	-5.32%	0.039395	+4.37%	0.0600	✗	0.58
2026-09-19	oos	0.025085	0.024621	-1.85%	0.037745	+50.47%	0.4278	✗	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.0249	0.024312	-2.36%	0.025085	+0.74%	0.0289	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.02211	0.021741	-1.67%	0.0249	+12.62%	0.1121	✗	0.41
2026-09-16	oos	0.01972	0.019518	-1.03%	0.02211	+12.12%	0.1236	✗	0.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.02417	0.023295	-3.62%	0.01972	-18.41%	0.1699	✓	0.45
2026-09-14	oos	0.01882	0.018642	-0.95%	0.02417	+28.43%	0.2850	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.01715	0.016969	-1.06%	0.01882	+9.74%	0.0915	✗	0.68
2026-09-12	oos	0.01723	0.017071	-0.92%	0.01715	-0.46%	0.0087	✓	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.01639	0.016246	-0.88%	0.01723	+5.13%	0.0584	✗	0.66
2026-09-10	oos	0.017345	0.017089	-1.48%	0.01639	-5.51%	0.0477	✓	0.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.014	0.014011	+0.08%	0.017345	+23.89%	0.2328	✓	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.0147	0.014718	+0.12%	0.014	-4.76%	0.0481	✗	0.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.015485	0.015482	-0.02%	0.0147	-5.07%	0.0445	✓	0.90
2026-09-06	oos	0.0155	0.015507	+0.04%	0.015485	-0.10%	0.0132	✓	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.01546	0.015458	-0.02%	0.0155	+0.26%	0.0032	✓	0.93
2026-09-04	oos	0.014815	0.014821	+0.04%	0.01546	+4.35%	0.0405	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.01502	0.015034	+0.10%	0.014815	-1.36%	0.0031	✓	0.90
2026-09-02	oos	0.014595	0.014592	-0.02%	0.01502	+2.91%	0.0222	✓	1.02
2026-09-01	oos	0.0147	0.014701	+0.01%	0.014595	-0.71%	0.0060	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.01503	0.015042	+0.08%	0.0147	-2.20%	0.0092	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.014655	0.014666	+0.07%	0.01503	+2.56%	0.0137	✓	0.94
2026-08-29	oos	0.01525	0.015254	+0.03%	0.014655	-3.90%	0.0334	✗	0.92
2026-08-28	oos	0.01509	0.015092	+0.01%	0.01525	+1.06%	0.0058	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.015295	0.015303	+0.06%	0.01509	-1.34%	0.0145	✓	0.93
2026-08-26	oos	0.0153	0.015301	+0.01%	0.015295	-0.03%	0.0151	✗	0.93
2026-08-25	oos	0.01452	0.014531	+0.07%	0.0153	+5.37%	0.0457	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.01496	0.014961	+0.01%	0.01452	-2.94%	0.0244	✗	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.0152	0.015179	-0.14%	0.01496	-1.58%	0.0309	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.01408	0.014084	+0.03%	0.0152	+7.95%	0.0674	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.015745	0.015694	-0.32%	0.01408	-10.57%	0.0925	✓	0.98
2026-08-20	oos	0.01418	0.014161	-0.13%	0.015745	+11.04%	0.0422	✗	0.91
2026-08-19	oos	0.01363	0.013594	-0.27%	0.01418	+4.04%	0.0067	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.013255	0.013195	-0.45%	0.01363	+2.83%	0.0380	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.013465	0.013395	-0.52%	0.013255	-1.56%	0.0138	✓	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.012975	0.012911	-0.49%	0.013465	+3.78%	0.0160	✗	1.01
2026-08-15	oos	0.013015	0.012948	-0.51%	0.012975	-0.31%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.01321	0.013142	-0.51%	0.013015	-1.48%	0.0105	✓	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	0.01271	0.01266	-0.39%	0.01321	+3.93%	0.0500	✗	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.01427	0.014186	-0.59%	0.01271	-10.93%	0.1101	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.013665	0.013612	-0.39%	0.01427	+4.43%	0.0491	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.01491	0.014832	-0.52%	0.013665	-8.35%	0.0750	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.01487	0.014793	-0.52%	0.01491	+0.27%	0.0214	✗	0.93
2026-08-08	oos	0.01653	0.016429	-0.61%	0.01487	-10.04%	0.0989	✓	0.91
2026-08-07	oos	0.013725	0.013693	-0.23%	0.01653	+20.44%	0.1881	✗	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.013965	0.013926	-0.28%	0.013725	-1.72%	0.0233	✓	0.91
2026-08-05	oos	0.013395	0.013364	-0.23%	0.013965	+4.26%	0.0487	✗	0.92
2026-08-04	oos	0.01308	0.013051	-0.22%	0.013395	+2.41%	0.0182	✗	0.91
2026-08-03	oos	0.013395	0.013357	-0.28%	0.01308	-2.35%	0.0295	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.012855	0.012813	-0.32%	0.013395	+4.20%	0.0449	✗	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.01228	0.012248	-0.26%	0.012855	+4.68%	0.0379	✗	0.90
2026-07-31	oos	0.012285	0.012238	-0.38%	0.01228	-0.04%	0.0043	✗	0.90
2026-07-30	oos	0.012	0.011959	-0.34%	0.012285	+2.38%	0.0555	✗	0.96
2026-07-29	oos	0.012175	0.012132	-0.35%	0.012	-1.44%	0.0233	✓	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.01255	0.012502	-0.38%	0.012175	-2.99%	0.0273	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.01231	0.012255	-0.44%	0.01255	+1.95%	0.0215	✗	0.95
2026-07-26	oos	0.01324	0.013184	-0.42%	0.01231	-7.02%	0.0454	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.01341	0.013349	-0.45%	0.01324	-1.27%	0.0231	✓	0.92
2026-07-24	oos	0.014255	0.01417	-0.60%	0.01341	-5.93%	0.0582	✓	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.012765	0.012705	-0.47%	0.014255	+11.67%	0.1299	✗	0.99
2026-07-22	oos	0.01323	0.013165	-0.49%	0.012765	-3.51%	0.0155	✓	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.01354	0.013469	-0.53%	0.01323	-2.29%	0.0116	✓	0.97
2026-07-20	oos	0.01278	0.012714	-0.52%	0.01354	+5.95%	0.0454	✗	0.88
2026-07-19	oos	0.012045	0.011988	-0.47%	0.01278	+6.10%	0.0570	✗	0.86
2026-07-18	oos	0.012375	0.01231	-0.53%	0.012045	-2.67%	0.0203	✓	0.85
2026-07-17	oos	0.012295	0.012235	-0.49%	0.012375	+0.65%	0.0017	✓	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.01237	0.012312	-0.47%	0.012295	-0.61%	0.0034	✓	1.05
2026-07-15	oos	0.012765	0.012706	-0.46%	0.01237	-3.09%	0.0113	✓	1.05
2026-07-14	oos	0.01259	0.012535	-0.44%	0.012765	+1.39%	0.0226	✗	1.05
2026-07-13	oos	0.012285	0.012245	-0.32%	0.01259	+2.48%	0.0181	✓	1.07
2026-07-12	oos	0.012695	0.012648	-0.37%	0.012285	-3.23%	0.0040	✓	1.07
2026-07-11	oos	0.012735	0.012685	-0.39%	0.012695	-0.31%	0.0013	✓	1.02
2026-07-10	oos	0.01311	0.013053	-0.44%	0.012735	-2.86%	0.0190	✓	1.01
2026-07-09	oos	0.012865	0.012811	-0.42%	0.01311	+1.90%	0.0080	✗	1.01
2026-07-08	oos	0.012865	0.012817	-0.38%	0.012865	+0.00%	0.0113	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.01287	0.012816	-0.42%	0.012865	-0.04%	0.0216	✗	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.01375	0.013702	-0.35%	0.01287	-6.40%	0.0516	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.01395	0.013903	-0.34%	0.01375	-1.43%	0.0178	✓	1.03
2026-07-04	oos	0.014145	0.014097	-0.34%	0.01395	-1.38%	0.0186	✓	1.04
2026-07-03	oos	0.0137	0.013659	-0.30%	0.014145	+3.25%	0.0260	✗	0.99
2026-07-02	oos	0.01404	0.013997	-0.31%	0.0137	-2.42%	0.0385	✓	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.012965	0.012941	-0.18%	0.01404	+8.29%	0.0570	✗	0.98
2026-06-30	oos	0.012555	0.012541	-0.11%	0.012965	+3.27%	0.0095	✗	0.98
2026-06-29	oos	0.012925	0.012904	-0.16%	0.012555	-2.86%	0.0003	✓	0.98
2026-06-28	oos	0.012955	0.012935	-0.15%	0.012925	-0.23%	0.0117	✓	0.95
2026-06-27	oos	0.01281	0.012792	-0.14%	0.012955	+1.13%	0.0202	✗	0.97
2026-06-26	oos	0.01302	0.013001	-0.14%	0.01281	-1.61%	0.0137	✓	0.98
2026-06-25	oos	0.01316	0.013141	-0.14%	0.01302	-1.06%	0.0142	✓	0.98
2026-06-24	oos	0.0136	0.013575	-0.19%	0.01316	-3.24%	0.0109	✓	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.014455	0.014411	-0.30%	0.0136	-5.91%	0.0325	✓	0.95
2026-06-22	oos	0.01462	0.014563	-0.39%	0.014455	-1.13%	0.0124	✗	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.01546	0.015317	-0.93%	0.01462	-5.43%	0.0576	✓	0.98
2026-06-20	oos	0.01372	0.01368	-0.29%	0.01546	+12.68%	0.1383	✗	1.04
2026-06-19	oos	0.01305	0.013028	-0.17%	0.01372	+5.13%	0.0397	✗	1.03
2026-06-18	oos	0.01341	0.013387	-0.17%	0.01305	-2.68%	0.0352	✓	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.01376	0.013719	-0.30%	0.01341	-2.54%	0.0028	✓	1.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.014095	0.014036	-0.42%	0.01376	-2.38%	0.0009	✓	1.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.01301	0.012988	-0.17%	0.014095	+8.34%	0.0926	✗	1.08
2026-06-14	oos	0.01302	0.013003	-0.13%	0.01301	-0.08%	0.0088	✓	1.08
2026-06-13	oos	0.01338	0.013364	-0.12%	0.01302	-2.69%	0.0478	✓	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.01294	0.012945	+0.04%	0.01338	+3.40%	0.0180	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.01311	0.013114	+0.03%	0.01294	-1.30%	0.0129	✗	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.012	0.012052	+0.44%	0.01311	+9.25%	0.0494	✓	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.012545	0.012596	+0.41%	0.012	-4.34%	0.0445	✗	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.01321	0.013253	+0.32%	0.012545	-5.03%	0.0324	✗	1.02
2026-06-07	oos	0.01346	0.01351	+0.37%	0.01321	-1.86%	0.0185	✗	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.01349	0.013568	+0.58%	0.01346	-0.22%	0.0499	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.0139	0.013979	+0.57%	0.01349	-2.95%	0.0325	✗	1.03
2026-06-04	oos	0.01561	0.015649	+0.25%	0.0139	-10.95%	0.0755	✗	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.01747	0.017474	+0.02%	0.01561	-10.65%	0.1094	✗	0.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01654	0.016551	+0.07%	0.01747	+5.62%	0.0949	✓	1.02
2026-06-01	oos	0.01794	0.017895	-0.25%	0.01654	-7.80%	0.0179	✓	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.01799	0.017936	-0.30%	0.01794	-0.28%	0.0286	✗	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	0.01787	0.017819	-0.28%	0.01799	+0.67%	0.0120	✗	0.91
2026-05-29	oos	0.01784	0.017792	-0.27%	0.01787	+0.17%	0.0007	✓	0.92
2026-05-28	oos	0.018475	0.01842	-0.30%	0.01784	-3.44%	0.0302	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.01875	0.018695	-0.29%	0.018475	-1.47%	0.0022	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.020105	0.020017	-0.44%	0.01875	-6.74%	0.0478	✓	0.87
2026-05-25	oos	0.023435	0.023008	-1.82%	0.020105	-14.21%	0.1190	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.01931	0.019274	-0.19%	0.023435	+21.36%	0.1925	✗	0.85
2026-05-23	oos	0.01991	0.019844	-0.33%	0.01931	-3.01%	0.0309	✓	0.86
2026-05-22	oos	0.019475	0.0194	-0.38%	0.01991	+2.23%	0.0124	✗	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.0206	0.0205	-0.48%	0.019475	-5.46%	0.0284	✓	0.83
2026-05-20	oos	0.02052	0.0204	-0.58%	0.0206	+0.39%	0.0090	✗	0.84
2026-05-19	oos	0.020385	0.020274	-0.55%	0.02052	+0.66%	0.0045	✓	0.83
2026-05-18	oos	0.021895	0.02173	-0.75%	0.020385	-6.90%	0.0620	✓	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.02097	0.020873	-0.46%	0.021895	+4.41%	0.0528	✗	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.02273	0.022618	-0.49%	0.02097	-7.74%	0.0683	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.024385	0.024257	-0.53%	0.02273	-6.79%	0.0556	✓	0.78
2026-05-14	oos	0.0265	0.02632	-0.68%	0.024385	-7.98%	0.0576	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.02909	0.028828	-0.90%	0.0265	-8.90%	0.1020	✓	0.80
2026-05-12	oos	0.04488	0.042073	-6.25%	0.02909	-35.18%	0.3597	✓	0.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.02601	0.025659	-1.35%	0.04488	+72.55%	0.5712	✗	0.79
2026-05-10	oos	0.01997	0.019968	-0.01%	0.02601	+30.25%	0.2693	✗	0.85
2026-05-09	oos	0.0197	0.019667	-0.17%	0.01997	+1.37%	0.0008	✓	0.85
2026-05-08	oos	0.01911	0.01909	-0.10%	0.0197	+3.09%	0.0266	✗	0.83
2026-05-07	oos	0.01818	0.018181	+0.01%	0.01911	+5.12%	0.0479	✓	0.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.018485	0.018492	+0.04%	0.01818	-1.65%	0.0006	✗	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.01823	0.018237	+0.04%	0.018485	+1.40%	0.0071	✓	0.99
2026-05-04	oos	0.01757	0.017581	+0.06%	0.01823	+3.76%	0.0236	✓	0.97
2026-05-03	oos	0.01781	0.017811	+0.01%	0.01757	-1.35%	0.0293	✗	0.96
2026-05-02	oos	0.01776	0.01776	-0.00%	0.01781	+0.28%	0.0044	✗	0.97
2026-05-01	oos	0.01715	0.017155	+0.03%	0.01776	+3.56%	0.0291	✓	0.97
2026-04-30	oos	0.017015	0.017029	+0.08%	0.01715	+0.79%	0.0188	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.01737	0.017371	+0.01%	0.017015	-2.04%	0.0282	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.01748	0.017462	-0.10%	0.01737	-0.63%	0.0027	✗	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.017475	0.017436	-0.22%	0.01748	+0.03%	0.0171	✗	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.017725	0.01766	-0.37%	0.017475	-1.41%	0.0075	✗	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.0174	0.017339	-0.35%	0.017725	+1.87%	0.0078	✗	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.01781	0.017751	-0.33%	0.0174	-2.30%	0.0227	✓	1.10
2026-04-23	oos	0.01766	0.017607	-0.30%	0.01781	+0.85%	0.0231	✗	1.10
2026-04-22	oos	0.01731	0.017284	-0.15%	0.01766	+2.02%	0.0205	✗	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.018155	0.018125	-0.17%	0.01731	-4.65%	0.0729	✓	1.12
2026-04-20	oos	0.018535	0.01852	-0.08%	0.018155	-2.05%	0.0270	✓	1.12
2026-04-19	oos	0.01845	0.018456	+0.03%	0.018535	+0.46%	0.0268	✗	1.14
2026-04-18	oos	0.02128	0.021278	-0.01%	0.01845	-13.30%	0.1140	✓	1.12
2026-04-17	oos	0.027215	0.027134	-0.30%	0.02128	-21.81%	0.2240	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.02657	0.026536	-0.13%	0.027215	+2.43%	0.0018	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.026955	0.026923	-0.12%	0.02657	-1.43%	0.0179	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.02686	0.026825	-0.13%	0.026955	+0.35%	0.0046	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.02782	0.027773	-0.17%	0.02686	-3.45%	0.0296	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.02737	0.027321	-0.18%	0.02782	+1.64%	0.0394	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.02832	0.028261	-0.21%	0.02737	-3.35%	0.0046	✗	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.02819	0.028136	-0.19%	0.02832	+0.46%	0.0051	✗	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.02831	0.028257	-0.19%	0.02819	-0.42%	0.0211	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.02702	0.026987	-0.12%	0.02831	+4.77%	0.0366	✗	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.02935	0.029292	-0.20%	0.02702	-7.94%	0.0678	✓	1.12
2026-04-06	oos	0.02841	0.028369	-0.14%	0.02935	+3.31%	0.0152	✓	1.13
2026-04-05	oos	0.02898	0.028911	-0.24%	0.02841	-1.97%	0.0150	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.029835	0.029773	-0.21%	0.02898	-2.87%	0.0557	✓	1.14
2026-04-03	oos	0.028205	0.028165	-0.14%	0.029835	+5.78%	0.0519	✗	1.14
2026-04-02	oos	0.027015	0.027003	-0.05%	0.028205	+4.40%	0.0425	✗	1.14
2026-04-01	oos	0.028485	0.028451	-0.12%	0.027015	-5.16%	0.0313	✓	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02728	0.027261	-0.07%	0.028485	+4.42%	0.0458	✗	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02824	0.028219	-0.07%	0.02728	-3.40%	0.0594	✓	1.16
2026-03-29	oos	0.02713	0.027133	+0.01%	0.02824	+4.09%	0.0264	✓	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.02862	0.02861	-0.03%	0.02713	-5.21%	0.0468	✓	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.02884	0.028838	-0.01%	0.02862	-0.76%	0.0070	✓	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.02934	0.029354	+0.05%	0.02884	-1.70%	0.0241	✓	1.17
2026-03-25	oos	0.03119	0.031206	+0.05%	0.02934	-5.93%	0.0196	✗	1.16
2026-03-24	oos	0.0307	0.03072	+0.06%	0.03119	+1.60%	0.0026	✓	1.16
2026-03-23	oos	0.03012	0.030153	+0.11%	0.0307	+1.93%	0.0236	✓	1.16
2026-03-22	oos	0.02907	0.029096	+0.09%	0.03012	+3.61%	0.0163	✗	1.16
2026-03-21	oos	0.03052	0.030527	+0.02%	0.02907	-4.75%	0.0308	✗	1.16
2026-03-20	oos	0.03102	0.031021	+0.00%	0.03052	-1.61%	0.0101	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	0.03068	0.030685	+0.02%	0.03102	+1.11%	0.0013	✓	1.16
2026-03-18	oos	0.03241	0.032407	-0.01%	0.03068	-5.34%	0.0329	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.03409	0.034079	-0.03%	0.03241	-4.93%	0.0071	✓	1.16
2026-03-16	oos	0.0348	0.034792	-0.02%	0.03409	-2.04%	0.0054	✓	1.18
2026-03-15	oos	0.03385	0.03386	+0.03%	0.0348	+2.81%	0.0052	✗	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	0.03399	0.034011	+0.06%	0.03385	-0.41%	0.0311	✗	1.19
2026-03-13	oos	0.03436	0.034399	+0.11%	0.03399	-1.08%	0.0168	✗	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.03411	0.034161	+0.15%	0.03436	+0.73%	0.0012	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.03478	0.034823	+0.12%	0.03411	-1.93%	0.0262	✗	1.19
2026-03-10	oos	0.03266	0.032727	+0.21%	0.03478	+6.49%	0.0567	✓	1.19
2026-03-09	oos	0.03109	0.031158	+0.22%	0.03266	+5.05%	0.0210	✓	1.18
2026-03-08	oos	0.03067	0.030733	+0.21%	0.03109	+1.37%	0.0324	✗	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.02969	0.029769	+0.27%	0.03067	+3.30%	0.0533	✓	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03167	0.031754	+0.26%	0.02969	-6.25%	0.0522	✗	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.03208	0.032181	+0.31%	0.03167	-1.28%	0.0327	✓	1.22
2026-03-04	oos	0.03242	0.032527	+0.33%	0.03208	-1.05%	0.0168	✓	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0326	0.03269	+0.28%	0.03242	-0.55%	0.0880	✗	1.29
2026-03-02	oos	0.02987	0.02997	+0.34%	0.0326	+9.14%	0.0934	✓	1.29
2026-03-01	oos	0.02882	0.028922	+0.35%	0.02987	+3.64%	0.0265	✗	1.29
2026-02-28	oos	0.03017	0.030272	+0.34%	0.02882	-4.47%	0.0256	✗	1.31
2026-02-27	oos	0.030455	0.030554	+0.32%	0.03017	-0.94%	0.0345	✗	1.31
2026-02-26	oos	0.03044	0.030545	+0.35%	0.030455	+0.05%	0.0294	✓	1.32
2026-02-25	oos	0.03135	0.031454	+0.33%	0.03044	-2.90%	0.0230	✗	1.32
2026-02-24	oos	0.02889	0.029002	+0.39%	0.03135	+8.52%	0.0003	✓	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.029195	0.029312	+0.40%	0.02889	-1.04%	0.0034	✓	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.03072	0.030836	+0.38%	0.029195	-4.96%	0.0034	✓	1.28
2026-02-21	oos	0.03137	0.031489	+0.38%	0.03072	-2.07%	0.0183	✗	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.032015	0.032137	+0.38%	0.03137	-2.01%	0.0236	✗	1.28
2026-02-19	oos	0.03174	0.03187	+0.41%	0.032015	+0.87%	0.0147	✗	1.28
2026-02-18	oos	0.03252	0.032652	+0.41%	0.03174	-2.40%	0.0393	✗	1.32
2026-02-17	oos	0.03461	0.034737	+0.37%	0.03252	-6.04%	0.0494	✗	1.06
2026-02-16	oos	0.03456	0.034694	+0.39%	0.03461	+0.14%	0.0191	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.03583	0.035947	+0.33%	0.03456	-3.54%	0.0404	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.03387	0.034012	+0.42%	0.03583	+5.79%	0.0675	✓	1.07
2026-02-13	oos	0.03316	0.033313	+0.46%	0.03387	+2.14%	0.0015	✓	1.07
2026-02-12	oos	0.03225	0.032422	+0.53%	0.03316	+2.82%	0.0190	✗	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.03194	0.032122	+0.57%	0.03225	+0.97%	0.0170	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.02987	0.03007	+0.67%	0.03194	+6.93%	0.0889	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.03141	0.031608	+0.63%	0.02987	-4.90%	0.0363	✗	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.03117	0.031382	+0.68%	0.03141	+0.77%	0.0037	✓	1.11
2026-02-07	oos	0.03288	0.033094	+0.65%	0.03117	-5.20%	0.0766	✗	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.03335	0.033562	+0.63%	0.03288	-1.41%	0.0003	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.02907	0.029427	+1.23%	0.03335	+14.72%	0.0037	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.034805	0.035011	+0.59%	0.02907	-16.48%	0.0093	✗	1.17
2026-02-03	oos	0.034995	0.03518	+0.53%	0.034805	-0.54%	0.0321	✓	1.19
2026-02-02	oos	0.03587	0.036033	+0.46%	0.034995	-2.44%	0.0187	✓	1.23
2026-02-01	oos	0.03433	0.034566	+0.69%	0.03587	+4.49%	0.0096	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.0361	0.036307	+0.57%	0.03433	-4.90%	0.0269	✗	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.04212	0.042182	+0.15%	0.0361	-14.29%	0.0754	✗	1.20
2026-01-29	oos	0.04236	0.042425	+0.15%	0.04212	-0.57%	0.0015	✓	1.21
2026-01-28	oos	0.04791	0.047808	-0.21%	0.04236	-11.58%	0.0604	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.04801	0.04789	-0.25%	0.04791	-0.21%	0.0002	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.0478	0.047697	-0.22%	0.04801	+0.44%	0.0045	✓	1.13
2026-01-25	oos	0.04549	0.045486	-0.01%	0.0478	+5.08%	0.0280	✗	1.12
2026-01-24	oos	0.04984	0.049728	-0.22%	0.04549	-8.73%	0.0579	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.04781	0.047744	-0.14%	0.04984	+4.25%	0.0478	✗	1.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.05072	0.050637	-0.16%	0.04781	-5.74%	0.0576	✓	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.05398	0.053865	-0.21%	0.05072	-6.04%	0.0614	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.05441	0.054317	-0.17%	0.05398	-0.79%	0.0194	✓	1.12
2026-01-19	oos	0.05993	0.059747	-0.30%	0.05441	-9.21%	0.0432	✓	1.07
2026-01-18	oos	0.0669	0.066574	-0.49%	0.05993	-10.42%	0.0928	✓	1.07
2026-01-17	oos	0.06146	0.061226	-0.38%	0.0669	+8.85%	0.1058	✗	1.10
2026-01-16	oos	0.06281	0.062554	-0.41%	0.06146	-2.15%	0.0131	✓	1.10
2026-01-15	oos	0.05834	0.058138	-0.35%	0.06281	+7.66%	0.0783	✗	1.10
2026-01-14	oos	0.0615	0.061301	-0.32%	0.05834	-5.14%	0.0339	✓	1.10
2026-01-13	oos	0.0646	0.064334	-0.41%	0.0615	-4.80%	0.0635	✓	1.13
2026-01-12	oos	0.0562	0.056045	-0.28%	0.0646	+14.95%	0.0965	✗	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.0575	0.05735	-0.26%	0.0562	-2.26%	0.0238	✓	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.0589	0.058755	-0.25%	0.0575	-2.38%	0.0274	✓	1.05
2026-01-09	oos	0.059	0.058859	-0.24%	0.0589	-0.17%	0.0024	✗	1.12
2026-01-08	oos	0.0596	0.059459	-0.24%	0.059	-1.01%	0.0014	✓	1.12
2026-01-07	oos	0.0612	0.061053	-0.24%	0.0596	-2.61%	0.0193	✓	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.0647	0.064494	-0.32%	0.0612	-5.41%	0.0065	✓	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.0646	0.064379	-0.34%	0.0647	+0.15%	0.0077	✗	1.75
2026-01-04	oos	0.0645	0.064291	-0.32%	0.0646	+0.16%	0.0413	✓	1.80
2026-01-03	oos	0.0618	0.061616	-0.30%	0.0645	+4.37%	0.0280	✗	1.80
2026-01-02	oos	0.063	0.06281	-0.30%	0.0618	-1.90%	0.0290	✓	1.80
2026-01-01	oos	0.0611	0.060915	-0.30%	0.063	+3.11%	0.0092	✗	1.79
2025-12-31	oos	0.0563	0.056259	-0.07%	0.0611	+8.53%	0.0580	✗	1.74
2025-12-30	oos	0.0557	0.055681	-0.03%	0.0563	+1.08%	0.0291	✗	1.76
2025-12-29	oos	0.0564	0.056409	+0.02%	0.0557	-1.24%	0.0382	✗	1.74
2025-12-28	oos	0.0593	0.059278	-0.04%	0.0564	-4.89%	0.0345	✓	1.74
2025-12-27	oos	0.0607	0.060667	-0.06%	0.0593	-2.31%	0.0241	✓	1.71
2025-12-26	oos	0.059	0.059008	+0.01%	0.0607	+2.88%	0.0183	✓	1.70
2025-12-25	oos	0.057	0.057057	+0.10%	0.059	+3.51%	0.0311	✓	1.70
2025-12-24	oos	0.0594	0.059422	+0.04%	0.057	-4.04%	0.0331	✗	1.70
2025-12-23	oos	0.0593	0.059328	+0.05%	0.0594	+0.17%	0.0023	✗	1.71
2025-12-22	oos	0.058	0.058032	+0.06%	0.0593	+2.24%	0.0438	✓	1.73
2025-12-21	oos	0.0582	0.058239	+0.07%	0.058	-0.34%	0.0025	✗	1.73
2025-12-20	oos	0.0608	0.060786	-0.02%	0.0582	-4.28%	0.0498	✓	1.77
2025-12-19	oos	0.0596	0.059639	+0.07%	0.0608	+2.01%	0.0146	✓	1.77
2025-12-18	oos	0.0566	0.056741	+0.25%	0.0596	+5.30%	0.0045	✗	1.77
2025-12-17	oos	0.0578	0.05794	+0.24%	0.0566	-2.08%	0.0079	✗	1.78
2025-12-16	oos	0.063	0.063087	+0.14%	0.0578	-8.25%	0.0542	✗	1.76
2025-12-15	oos	0.0632	0.06331	+0.17%	0.063	-0.32%	0.0341	✗	1.77
2025-12-14	oos	0.0669	0.066973	+0.11%	0.0632	-5.53%	0.0224	✗	1.77
2025-12-13	oos	0.0717	0.071737	+0.05%	0.0669	-6.69%	0.0287	✗	1.76
2025-12-12	oos	0.0699	0.069956	+0.08%	0.0717	+2.58%	0.0251	✓	1.76
2025-12-11	oos	0.0709	0.070961	+0.09%	0.0699	-1.41%	0.0290	✓	1.78
2025-12-10	oos	0.071	0.071068	+0.10%	0.0709	-0.14%	0.0121	✗	1.78
2025-12-09	oos	0.073	0.073055	+0.08%	0.071	-2.74%	0.0157	✗	1.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.0699	0.07	+0.14%	0.073	+4.43%	0.0024	✓	1.78
2025-12-07	oos	0.0691	0.069234	+0.19%	0.0699	+1.16%	0.0046	✓	1.78
2025-12-06	oos	0.0719	0.072021	+0.17%	0.0691	-3.89%	0.0642	✗	1.80
2025-12-05	oos	0.069	0.069159	+0.23%	0.0719	+4.20%	0.0404	✓	1.80
2025-12-04	oos	0.0718	0.071948	+0.21%	0.069	-3.90%	0.0133	✓	1.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.0749	0.075035	+0.18%	0.0718	-4.14%	0.0174	✗	1.82
2025-12-02	oos	0.0751	0.075267	+0.22%	0.0749	-0.27%	0.0477	✗	1.84
2025-12-01	oos	0.071	0.071236	+0.33%	0.0751	+5.77%	0.0550	✗	1.90
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.07843	+0.23%	0.071	-9.27%	0.0108	✗	1.92
2025-11-29	oos	0.07905	0.079232	+0.23%	0.07825	-1.01%	0.0029	✗	1.90
2025-11-28	oos	0.0808	0.080997	+0.24%	0.07905	-2.17%	0.0228	✗	1.90
2025-11-27	oos	0.08385	0.084026	+0.21%	0.0808	-3.64%	0.0305	✗	1.90
2025-11-26	oos	0.08755	0.087689	+0.16%	0.08385	-4.23%	0.0625	✗	1.90
2025-11-25	oos	0.08885	0.088976	+0.14%	0.08755	-1.46%	0.0865	✗	1.99
2025-11-24	oos	0.08875	0.088873	+0.14%	0.08885	+0.11%	0.0211	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.08635	0.086514	+0.19%	0.08875	+2.78%	0.0080	✗	2.01
2025-11-22	oos	0.08625	0.08648	+0.27%	0.08635	+0.12%	0.0534	✗	2.10
2025-11-21	oos	0.09335	0.093366	+0.02%	0.08625	-7.61%	0.0698	✗	2.10
2025-11-20	oos	0.1142	0.112547	-1.45%	0.09335	-18.26%	0.1524	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.08525	0.085514	+0.31%	0.1142	+33.96%	0.4372	✓	2.67
2025-11-18	oos	0.08265	0.082927	+0.33%	0.08525	+3.15%	0.0701	✓	2.69
2025-11-17	oos	0.07945	0.079771	+0.40%	0.08265	+4.03%	0.0117	✓	2.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.082	0.082298	+0.36%	0.07945	-3.11%	0.0252	✓	2.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.08505	0.085332	+0.33%	0.082	-3.59%	0.0010	✓	2.71
2025-11-14	oos	0.0849	0.085211	+0.37%	0.08505	+0.18%	0.0316	✗	2.72
2025-11-13	oos	0.08795	0.088208	+0.29%	0.0849	-3.47%	0.1139	✓	2.89
2025-11-12	oos	0.09065	0.090876	+0.25%	0.08795	-2.98%	0.0257	✓	2.90
2025-11-11	oos	0.092	0.092221	+0.24%	0.09065	-1.47%	0.0218	✓	2.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.10315	0.103077	-0.07%	0.092	-10.81%	0.0319	✓	2.88
2025-11-09	oos	0.1014	0.101436	+0.04%	0.10315	+1.73%	0.0185	✗	2.90
2025-11-08	oos	0.09815	0.098176	+0.03%	0.1014	+3.31%	0.0357	✗	2.92
2025-11-07	oos	0.0988	0.09881	+0.01%	0.09815	-0.66%	0.0212	✓	2.88
2025-11-06	oos	0.08365	0.084048	+0.48%	0.0988	+18.11%	0.1071	✓	2.80
2025-11-05	oos	0.0847	0.085069	+0.44%	0.08365	-1.24%	0.0546	✓	2.84
2025-11-04	oos	0.08105	0.081523	+0.58%	0.0847	+4.50%	0.0289	✗	2.87
2025-11-03	oos	0.08535	0.085752	+0.47%	0.08105	-5.04%	0.0915	✓	3.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.10165	0.101865	+0.21%	0.08535	-16.04%	0.0683	✗	2.96
2025-11-01	oos	0.09955	0.099861	+0.31%	0.10165	+2.11%	0.0047	✓	2.97
2025-10-31	oos	0.09405	0.09444	+0.42%	0.09955	+5.85%	0.0393	✓	2.97
2025-10-30	oos	0.09355	0.09401	+0.49%	0.09405	+0.53%	0.0336	✗	2.97
2025-10-29	oos	0.10345	0.103849	+0.39%	0.09355	-9.57%	0.0582	✗	2.93
2025-10-28	oos	0.10255	0.102942	+0.38%	0.10345	+0.88%	0.0827	✓	3.02
2025-10-27	oos	0.10895	0.109277	+0.30%	0.10255	-5.87%	0.0322	✗	3.01
2025-10-26	oos	0.11645	0.116678	+0.20%	0.10895	-6.44%	0.0564	✗	3.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.1135	0.113858	+0.32%	0.11645	+2.60%	0.0557	✗	3.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.11195	0.112369	+0.37%	0.1135	+1.38%	0.0073	✗	3.09
2025-10-23	oos	0.11395	0.114384	+0.38%	0.11195	-1.76%	0.0475	✗	3.10
2025-10-22	oos	0.1096	0.110196	+0.54%	0.11395	+3.97%	0.0387	✗	3.11
2025-10-21	oos	0.11465	0.115193	+0.47%	0.1096	-4.40%	0.0274	✗	3.11
2025-10-20	oos	0.12245	0.122854	+0.33%	0.11465	-6.37%	0.0059	✗	3.14
2025-10-19	oos	0.12285	0.123306	+0.37%	0.12245	-0.33%	0.0607	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.12155	0.122096	+0.45%	0.12285	+1.07%	0.0364	✗	3.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.11985	0.120527	+0.56%	0.12155	+1.42%	0.0133	✗	3.12
2025-10-16	oos	0.1246	0.125185	+0.47%	0.11985	-3.81%	0.0070	✓	3.13
2025-10-15	oos	0.12925	0.129694	+0.34%	0.1246	-3.60%	0.0352	✓	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.13585	0.136083	+0.17%	0.12925	-4.86%	0.0127	✓	3.17
2025-10-13	oos	0.14545	0.145398	-0.04%	0.13585	-6.60%	0.0067	✓	3.17
2025-10-12	oos	0.1329	0.133249	+0.26%	0.14545	+9.44%	0.0821	✓	3.07
2025-10-11	oos	0.12115	0.122052	+0.74%	0.1329	+9.70%	0.0323	✗	3.09
2025-10-10	oos	0.12685	0.127601	+0.59%	0.12115	-4.49%	0.0094	✓	3.09
2025-10-09	oos	0.19935	0.199165	-0.09%	0.12685	-36.37%	0.2781	✓	2.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.20705	0.206835	-0.10%	0.19935	-3.72%	0.0059	✓	2.33
2025-10-07	oos	0.199	0.198922	-0.04%	0.20705	+4.05%	0.0005	✗	2.48
2025-10-06	oos	0.21995	0.219755	-0.09%	0.199	-9.52%	0.0334	✓	2.44
2025-10-05	oos	0.20715	0.207165	+0.01%	0.21995	+6.18%	0.0364	✓	2.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.2123	0.212312	+0.01%	0.20715	-2.43%	0.0458	✗	2.45
2025-10-03	oos	0.21945	0.219372	-0.04%	0.2123	-3.26%	0.0356	✓	2.46
2025-10-02	oos	0.22475	0.224466	-0.13%	0.21945	-2.36%	0.0574	✓	2.49
2025-10-01	oos	0.2153	0.215095	-0.10%	0.22475	+4.39%	0.0027	✗	2.52
2025-09-30	oos	0.20915	0.208955	-0.09%	0.2153	+2.94%	0.0742	✓	2.64
2025-09-29	oos	0.20345	0.203423	-0.01%	0.20915	+2.80%	0.0348	✗	2.71
2025-09-28	oos	0.2131	0.212865	-0.11%	0.20345	-4.53%	0.0995	✓	2.84
2025-09-27	oos	0.2075	0.207373	-0.06%	0.2131	+2.70%	0.0382	✓	2.88
2025-09-26	oos	0.20955	0.209361	-0.09%	0.2075	-0.98%	0.0085	✓	2.89
2025-09-25	oos	0.1997	0.199655	-0.02%	0.20955	+4.93%	0.0309	✗	2.89
2025-09-24	oos	0.21865	0.218241	-0.19%	0.1997	-8.67%	0.0251	✗	2.94
2025-09-23	oos	0.21325	0.21297	-0.13%	0.21865	+2.53%	0.0085	✓	2.95
2025-09-22	oos	0.21845	0.218165	-0.13%	0.21325	-2.38%	0.0042	✓	2.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.2513	0.25066	-0.25%	0.21845	-13.07%	0.0749	✓	2.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.255	0.254236	-0.30%	0.2513	-1.45%	0.0001	✓	2.83
2025-09-19	oos	0.24655	0.245901	-0.26%	0.255	+3.43%	0.0348	✗	2.83
2025-09-18	oos	0.2656	0.264694	-0.34%	0.24655	-7.17%	0.0366	✓	2.81
2025-09-17	oos	0.26805	0.266818	-0.46%	0.2656	-0.91%	0.0199	✓	2.83

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.