SAFFRONFI

? · · gru_s4

token id: #442
symbol: SAFFRONFI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-02-14
predictions: 1,809

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

50.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0491

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0039

actual +0.0040

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	102.7	102.1012	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-20	oos	102.625	102.0284	-0.58%	102.7	+0.07%	0.0091	✗	0.87
2026-10-19	oos	105.395	104.6512	-0.71%	102.625	-2.63%	0.0314	✓	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	103.45	102.6921	-0.73%	105.395	+1.88%	0.0278	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	103.575	102.884	-0.67%	103.45	-0.12%	0.0013	✓	0.89
2026-10-16	oos	105.99	105.2264	-0.72%	103.575	-2.28%	0.0145	✓	0.89
2026-10-15	oos	105.38	104.6206	-0.72%	105.99	+0.58%	0.0198	✗	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	105.55	104.8898	-0.63%	105.38	-0.16%	0.0015	✓	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	108.61	107.8385	-0.71%	105.55	-2.82%	0.0047	✓	0.90
2026-10-12	oos	107.51	106.7451	-0.71%	108.61	+1.02%	0.0026	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	110.54	109.7723	-0.69%	107.51	-2.74%	0.0007	✓	0.86
2026-10-10	oos	110.135	109.5345	-0.55%	110.54	+0.37%	0.0013	✓	0.85
2026-10-09	oos	110.245	109.6863	-0.51%	110.135	-0.10%	0.0003	✓	0.85
2026-10-08	oos	109.26	108.7423	-0.47%	110.245	+0.90%	0.0049	✗	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	114.1	113.5411	-0.49%	109.26	-4.24%	0.0218	✓	0.87
2026-10-06	oos	112.01	111.629	-0.34%	114.1	+1.87%	0.0460	✗	0.90
2026-10-05	oos	109.91	109.563	-0.32%	112.01	+1.91%	0.0243	✗	0.91
2026-10-04	oos	112.355	112.0192	-0.30%	109.91	-2.18%	0.0110	✓	0.91
2026-10-03	oos	112.38	111.9441	-0.39%	112.355	-0.02%	0.0153	✓	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	114.17	113.6864	-0.42%	112.38	-1.57%	0.0141	✓	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	114.48	113.9997	-0.42%	114.17	-0.27%	0.0052	✗	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	120.395	119.7146	-0.57%	114.48	-4.91%	0.0594	✓	0.96
2026-09-29	oos	117.48	116.8604	-0.53%	120.395	+2.48%	0.0307	✗	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	115.535	114.9508	-0.51%	117.48	+1.68%	0.0197	✗	0.95
2026-09-27	oos	116.9	116.3049	-0.51%	115.535	-1.17%	0.0049	✓	0.97
2026-09-26	oos	118.39	117.7682	-0.53%	116.9	-1.26%	0.0079	✓	0.97
2026-09-25	oos	120.05	119.3892	-0.55%	118.39	-1.38%	0.0121	✓	0.97
2026-09-24	oos	118.01	117.4296	-0.49%	120.05	+1.73%	0.0254	✗	0.97
2026-09-23	oos	120.23	119.5969	-0.53%	118.01	-1.85%	0.0134	✓	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	121.06	120.4775	-0.48%	120.23	-0.69%	0.0185	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	120.92	120.3522	-0.47%	121.06	+0.12%	0.0103	✗	0.97
2026-09-20	oos	116.805	116.4597	-0.30%	120.92	+3.52%	0.0313	✓	1.06
2026-09-19	oos	114.55	114.3782	-0.15%	116.805	+1.97%	0.0220	✗	1.05
2026-09-18	oos	115.35	115.3297	-0.02%	114.55	-0.69%	0.0115	✓	1.06
2026-09-17	oos	112.23	112.9204	+0.62%	115.35	+2.78%	0.0437	✗	1.13
2026-09-16	oos	113.31	114.1257	+0.72%	112.23	-0.95%	0.0197	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	116.825	117.698	+0.75%	113.31	-3.01%	0.0465	✗	1.15
2026-09-14	oos	122.08	122.7205	+0.52%	116.825	-4.30%	0.0120	✗	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	123.545	124.406	+0.70%	122.08	-1.19%	0.0377	✗	1.06
2026-09-12	oos	130.19	130.9006	+0.55%	123.545	-5.10%	0.0516	✗	1.04
2026-09-11	oos	131.485	132.2618	+0.59%	130.19	-0.98%	0.0165	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	139.39	140.033	+0.46%	131.485	-5.67%	0.0722	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	136.155	136.8298	+0.50%	139.39	+2.38%	0.0433	✓	1.10
2026-09-08	oos	146.19	146.6242	+0.30%	136.155	-6.86%	0.0718	✗	1.10
2026-09-07	oos	152.695	152.9904	+0.19%	146.19	-4.26%	0.0365	✗	1.10
2026-09-06	oos	160.67	160.9514	+0.18%	152.695	-4.96%	0.0347	✗	1.15
2026-09-05	oos	161.42	162.0422	+0.39%	160.67	-0.46%	0.0158	✗	1.15
2026-09-04	oos	147.05	148.2167	+0.79%	161.42	+9.77%	0.0829	✓	1.24
2026-09-03	oos	175.98	176.5898	+0.35%	147.05	-16.44%	0.1606	✗	1.14
2026-09-02	oos	176.43	176.7896	+0.20%	175.98	-0.26%	0.0656	✗	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	174.19	174.4669	+0.16%	176.43	+1.29%	0.0126	✓	1.22
2026-08-31	oos	166.31	166.8912	+0.35%	174.19	+4.74%	0.0611	✓	1.23
2026-08-30	oos	170.38	170.5139	+0.08%	166.31	-2.39%	0.0372	✗	1.07
2026-08-29	oos	169.63	169.8805	+0.15%	170.38	+0.44%	0.0107	✓	1.06
2026-08-28	oos	179.52	179.3763	-0.08%	169.63	-5.51%	0.0613	✓	1.07
2026-08-27	oos	191.01	190.7698	-0.13%	179.52	-6.02%	0.0287	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	211.81	210.8497	-0.45%	191.01	-9.82%	0.1159	✓	1.09
2026-08-25	oos	217.1	215.7426	-0.63%	211.81	-2.44%	0.0253	✓	1.09
2026-08-24	oos	229.97	228.2003	-0.77%	217.1	-5.60%	0.0435	✓	1.11
2026-08-23	oos	278.67	276.0146	-0.95%	229.97	-17.48%	0.2019	✓	1.21
2026-08-22	oos	287.94	285.2607	-0.93%	278.67	-3.22%	0.0340	✓	1.22
2026-08-21	oos	319.02	316.4706	-0.80%	287.94	-9.74%	0.0751	✓	1.18
2026-08-20	oos	306.52	303.4178	-1.01%	319.02	+4.08%	0.0420	✓	1.31
2026-08-19	oos	270.36	267.405	-1.09%	306.52	+13.37%	0.0713	✗	1.25
2026-08-18	oos	239.18	236.4687	-1.13%	270.36	+13.04%	0.0521	✗	1.19
2026-08-17	oos	216.8	214.3893	-1.11%	239.18	+10.32%	0.1057	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	226.32	223.7934	-1.12%	216.8	-4.21%	0.0640	✓	1.25
2026-08-15	oos	226.73	224.2616	-1.09%	226.32	-0.18%	0.0127	✗	1.25
2026-08-14	oos	229.55	227.1086	-1.06%	226.73	-1.23%	0.0025	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	211.17	209.0965	-0.98%	229.55	+8.70%	0.1023	✗	1.26
2026-08-12	oos	200.27	198.3362	-0.97%	211.17	+5.44%	0.0624	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	174.33	172.8636	-0.84%	200.27	+14.88%	0.1494	✗	1.20
2026-08-10	oos	181.34	179.7839	-0.86%	174.33	-3.87%	0.0237	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	176.56	175.1362	-0.81%	181.34	+2.71%	0.0524	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	172.5	171.1786	-0.77%	176.56	+2.35%	0.0321	✗	1.21
2026-08-07	oos	160.685	159.4962	-0.74%	172.5	+7.35%	0.0781	✗	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	136.26	135.5203	-0.54%	160.685	+17.93%	0.1595	✗	1.12
2026-08-05	oos	130.39	129.738	-0.50%	136.26	+4.50%	0.0550	✗	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	131.76	131.0766	-0.52%	130.39	-1.04%	0.0156	✓	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	131.56	130.8658	-0.53%	131.76	+0.15%	0.0044	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	130.19	129.47	-0.55%	131.56	+1.05%	0.0166	✗	1.19
2026-08-01	oos	118.78	118.2278	-0.46%	130.19	+9.61%	0.0831	✗	1.14
2026-07-31	oos	112.25	111.7965	-0.40%	118.78	+5.82%	0.0617	✗	1.14
2026-07-30	oos	116.04	115.4751	-0.49%	112.25	-3.27%	0.0051	✗	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	105.37	105.0002	-0.35%	116.04	+10.13%	0.0863	✗	1.07
2026-07-28	oos	106.24	105.8677	-0.35%	105.37	-0.82%	0.0055	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	104.86	104.5195	-0.32%	106.24	+1.32%	0.0138	✗	1.08
2026-07-26	oos	110.42	110.0117	-0.37%	104.86	-5.04%	0.0213	✓	1.05
2026-07-25	oos	107.48	107.1108	-0.34%	110.42	+2.74%	0.0135	✗	1.05
2026-07-24	oos	106.4	106.0673	-0.31%	107.48	+1.02%	0.0098	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	109.16	108.8246	-0.31%	106.4	-2.53%	0.0069	✓	1.04
2026-07-22	oos	111.91	111.5747	-0.30%	109.16	-2.46%	0.0053	✓	1.05
2026-07-21	oos	113.12	112.801	-0.28%	111.91	-1.07%	0.0011	✓	1.05
2026-07-20	oos	109.55	109.2666	-0.26%	113.12	+3.26%	0.0143	✗	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	112.77	112.4476	-0.29%	109.55	-2.86%	0.0346	✓	1.04
2026-07-18	oos	113.49	113.1747	-0.28%	112.77	-0.63%	0.0017	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	111.33	111.0575	-0.24%	113.49	+1.94%	0.0071	✗	1.04
2026-07-16	oos	115.02	114.7177	-0.26%	111.33	-3.21%	0.0321	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	118.58	118.2619	-0.27%	115.02	-3.00%	0.0118	✓	1.08
2026-07-14	oos	115.64	115.3758	-0.23%	118.58	+2.54%	0.0319	✗	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	114.74	114.4772	-0.23%	115.64	+0.78%	0.0391	✓	1.15
2026-07-12	oos	115.92	115.6669	-0.22%	114.74	-1.02%	0.0192	✗	1.16
2026-07-11	oos	117.23	116.9717	-0.22%	115.92	-1.12%	0.0084	✓	1.26
2026-07-10	oos	117.69	117.4306	-0.22%	117.23	-0.39%	0.0056	✗	1.31
2026-07-09	oos	105.24	105.1483	-0.09%	117.69	+11.83%	0.0938	✗	1.26
2026-07-08	oos	106.33	106.2397	-0.08%	105.24	-1.03%	0.0291	✓	1.31
2026-07-07	oos	109.19	109.0846	-0.10%	106.33	-2.62%	0.0022	✓	1.35
2026-07-06	oos	111.53	111.4049	-0.11%	109.19	-2.10%	0.0056	✓	1.36
2026-07-05	oos	108.29	108.2002	-0.08%	111.53	+2.99%	0.0216	✗	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	108.45	108.3462	-0.10%	108.29	-0.15%	0.0109	✓	1.33
2026-07-03	oos	103.55	103.4956	-0.05%	108.45	+4.73%	0.0351	✗	1.29
2026-07-02	oos	99.23	99.2284	-0.00%	103.55	+4.35%	0.0211	✗	1.29
2026-07-01	oos	97.2	97.2402	+0.04%	99.23	+2.09%	0.0121	✗	1.29
2026-06-30	oos	96.72	96.7933	+0.08%	97.2	+0.50%	0.0287	✗	1.35
2026-06-29	oos	101.52	101.5097	-0.01%	96.72	-4.73%	0.0111	✓	1.35
2026-06-28	oos	100.1	100.1122	+0.01%	101.52	+1.42%	0.0041	✗	1.57
2026-06-27	oos	100.63	100.6313	+0.00%	100.1	-0.53%	0.0077	✓	1.68
2026-06-26	oos	101.07	101.073	+0.00%	100.63	-0.44%	0.0025	✗	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	102.07	102.0791	+0.01%	101.07	-0.98%	0.0184	✗	1.69
2026-06-24	oos	102.095	102.122	+0.03%	102.07	-0.02%	0.0372	✓	1.78
2026-06-23	oos	105.73	105.7335	+0.00%	102.095	-3.44%	0.0132	✓	1.79
2026-06-22	oos	115.65	115.5772	-0.06%	105.73	-8.58%	0.0527	✓	1.76
2026-06-21	oos	120.06	119.9522	-0.09%	115.65	-3.67%	0.0565	✓	1.78
2026-06-20	oos	123.13	122.9997	-0.11%	120.06	-2.49%	0.0024	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	114.46	114.4352	-0.02%	123.13	+7.57%	0.0532	✗	1.71
2026-06-18	oos	116.8	116.7685	-0.03%	114.46	-2.00%	0.0362	✓	1.72
2026-06-17	oos	124.21	124.084	-0.10%	116.8	-5.97%	0.0188	✓	1.69
2026-06-16	oos	118.04	117.9709	-0.06%	124.21	+5.23%	0.0826	✗	1.73
2026-06-15	oos	101.84	101.9419	+0.10%	118.04	+15.91%	0.1642	✓	1.76
2026-06-14	oos	103.36	103.4443	+0.08%	101.84	-1.47%	0.0310	✗	1.78
2026-06-13	oos	100.71	100.8194	+0.11%	103.36	+2.63%	0.0101	✗	1.78
2026-06-12	oos	99.61	99.7317	+0.12%	100.71	+1.10%	0.0152	✗	1.79
2026-06-11	oos	102.23	102.3277	+0.10%	99.61	-2.56%	0.0262	✗	1.79
2026-06-10	oos	96.72	96.9143	+0.20%	102.23	+5.70%	0.0073	✗	1.79
2026-06-09	oos	100.91	101.0718	+0.16%	96.72	-4.15%	0.0371	✗	1.79
2026-06-08	oos	113.22	113.2025	-0.02%	100.91	-10.87%	0.0769	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	111.28	111.2433	-0.03%	113.22	+1.74%	0.0240	✗	1.69
2026-06-06	oos	97.28	97.4948	+0.22%	111.28	+14.39%	0.0715	✓	1.54
2026-06-05	oos	97.76	97.9835	+0.23%	97.28	-0.49%	0.0027	✗	1.51
2026-06-04	oos	102.42	102.508	+0.09%	97.76	-4.55%	0.0211	✓	1.54
2026-06-03	oos	102.84	102.9202	+0.08%	102.42	-0.41%	0.0007	✓	1.53
2026-06-02	oos	105.23	105.1971	-0.03%	102.84	-2.27%	0.0393	✗	1.55
2026-06-01	oos	103	102.8759	-0.12%	105.23	+2.17%	0.1435	✗	1.79
2026-05-31	oos	105.02	104.8121	-0.20%	103	-1.92%	0.0395	✗	1.83
2026-05-30	oos	106.24	106.0029	-0.22%	105.02	-1.15%	0.0047	✓	1.73
2026-05-29	oos	104.52	104.313	-0.20%	106.24	+1.65%	0.0088	✗	1.73
2026-05-28	oos	102	101.8329	-0.16%	104.52	+2.47%	0.0295	✗	1.73
2026-05-27	oos	102.77	102.571	-0.19%	102	-0.75%	0.0133	✗	1.74
2026-05-26	oos	108.9	108.5653	-0.31%	102.77	-5.63%	0.0202	✓	1.72
2026-05-25	oos	115.21	114.747	-0.40%	108.9	-5.48%	0.0230	✓	1.57
2026-05-24	oos	114.49	114.0157	-0.41%	115.21	+0.63%	0.0048	✗	1.58
2026-05-23	oos	112.58	112.1237	-0.41%	114.49	+1.70%	0.0144	✗	1.53
2026-05-22	oos	104.65	104.3794	-0.26%	112.58	+7.58%	0.0515	✗	1.52
2026-05-21	oos	108.61	108.2763	-0.31%	104.65	-3.65%	0.0078	✗	1.52
2026-05-20	oos	110.37	110.0178	-0.32%	108.61	-1.59%	0.0143	✓	1.53
2026-05-19	oos	109.45	109.1338	-0.29%	110.37	+0.84%	0.0027	✓	1.52
2026-05-18	oos	113.34	112.9426	-0.35%	109.45	-3.43%	0.0280	✓	1.49
2026-05-17	oos	110.42	110.1271	-0.27%	113.34	+2.64%	0.0377	✗	1.49
2026-05-16	oos	106.5	106.3488	-0.14%	110.42	+3.68%	0.0510	✗	1.50
2026-05-15	oos	109.69	109.5158	-0.16%	106.5	-2.91%	0.0096	✓	1.51
2026-05-14	oos	110.74	110.5632	-0.16%	109.69	-0.95%	0.0304	✗	1.52
2026-05-13	oos	113.12	112.9457	-0.15%	110.74	-2.10%	0.0525	✓	1.47
2026-05-12	oos	113.72	113.5555	-0.14%	113.12	-0.53%	0.0186	✗	1.50
2026-05-11	oos	116.68	116.4623	-0.19%	113.72	-2.54%	0.0015	✓	1.46
2026-05-10	oos	119.15	118.9118	-0.20%	116.68	-2.07%	0.0113	✓	1.32
2026-05-09	oos	117.27	117.1232	-0.13%	119.15	+1.60%	0.0072	✓	1.29
2026-05-08	oos	123.47	123.2115	-0.21%	117.27	-5.02%	0.0571	✓	1.32
2026-05-07	oos	112.43	112.5133	+0.07%	123.47	+9.82%	0.0900	✓	1.28
2026-05-06	oos	127.76	127.5314	-0.18%	112.43	-12.00%	0.1075	✓	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	120	119.9857	-0.01%	127.76	+6.47%	0.0553	✗	1.14
2026-05-04	oos	126.2	126.0933	-0.08%	120	-4.91%	0.0645	✓	1.14
2026-05-03	oos	125.4	125.3381	-0.05%	126.2	+0.64%	0.0131	✓	1.22
2026-05-02	oos	124.74	124.7499	+0.01%	125.4	+0.53%	0.0071	✓	1.21
2026-05-01	oos	129.15	129.051	-0.08%	124.74	-3.41%	0.0411	✓	1.25
2026-04-30	oos	128.21	128.0502	-0.12%	129.15	+0.73%	0.0225	✓	1.24
2026-04-29	oos	125.68	125.5551	-0.10%	128.21	+2.01%	0.0118	✗	1.25
2026-04-28	oos	131.47	131.2285	-0.18%	125.68	-4.40%	0.0343	✓	1.20
2026-04-27	oos	129.98	129.8346	-0.11%	131.47	+1.15%	0.0289	✗	1.20
2026-04-26	oos	135.23	135.0211	-0.15%	129.98	-3.88%	0.0180	✓	1.19
2026-04-25	oos	135.68	135.3559	-0.24%	135.23	-0.33%	0.0164	✓	1.18
2026-04-24	oos	130.23	130.0013	-0.18%	135.68	+4.18%	0.0399	✗	1.18
2026-04-23	oos	136.62	136.2756	-0.25%	130.23	-4.68%	0.0330	✓	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	137.55	137.1265	-0.31%	136.62	-0.68%	0.0048	✓	1.18
2026-04-21	oos	135.85	135.2793	-0.42%	137.55	+1.25%	0.0118	✓	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	135.23	134.604	-0.46%	135.85	+0.46%	0.0017	✓	1.18
2026-04-19	oos	130.85	130.1613	-0.53%	135.23	+3.35%	0.0063	✗	1.17
2026-04-18	oos	134.07	133.44	-0.47%	130.85	-2.40%	0.0105	✗	1.18
2026-04-17	oos	147.48	146.718	-0.52%	134.07	-9.09%	0.0695	✓	1.16
2026-04-16	oos	142.63	141.8118	-0.57%	147.48	+3.40%	0.0097	✗	1.16
2026-04-15	oos	146.59	145.6693	-0.63%	142.63	-2.70%	0.0261	✓	1.16
2026-04-14	oos	140.56	139.6942	-0.62%	146.59	+4.29%	0.0379	✗	1.16
2026-04-13	oos	144.36	143.4335	-0.64%	140.56	-2.63%	0.0161	✓	1.15
2026-04-12	oos	128.35	127.5297	-0.64%	144.36	+12.47%	0.0671	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	141.28	140.358	-0.65%	128.35	-9.15%	0.0541	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	145.62	144.6012	-0.70%	141.28	-2.98%	0.0245	✓	1.07
2026-04-09	oos	133.67	132.755	-0.68%	145.62	+8.94%	0.0750	✗	1.06
2026-04-08	oos	117.18	116.4634	-0.61%	133.67	+14.07%	0.1274	✗	1.04
2026-04-07	oos	124.07	123.2538	-0.66%	117.18	-5.55%	0.0386	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	120.16	119.3503	-0.67%	124.07	+3.25%	0.0064	✓	1.04
2026-04-05	oos	124.07	123.1921	-0.71%	120.16	-3.15%	0.0226	✓	1.04
2026-04-04	oos	124.07	123.2285	-0.68%	124.07	+0.00%	0.0191	✓	1.03
2026-04-03	oos	119.27	118.5305	-0.62%	124.07	+4.02%	0.0406	✗	1.02
2026-04-02	oos	131.68	130.7463	-0.71%	119.27	-9.42%	0.0929	✓	1.03
2026-04-01	oos	148.48	146.6378	-1.24%	131.68	-11.31%	0.0893	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	133.71	131.4967	-1.66%	148.48	+11.05%	0.1231	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	94.86	94.1957	-0.70%	133.71	+40.96%	0.3302	✗	0.91
2026-03-29	oos	68.22	68.2144	-0.01%	94.86	+39.05%	0.3197	✗	0.85
2026-03-28	oos	68.28	68.2775	-0.00%	68.22	-0.09%	0.0038	✗	0.85
2026-03-27	oos	68.72	68.7278	+0.01%	68.28	-0.64%	0.0061	✗	0.85
2026-03-26	oos	78.04	77.8973	-0.18%	68.72	-11.94%	0.0962	✓	0.82
2026-03-25	oos	83.59	83.3151	-0.33%	78.04	-6.64%	0.0363	✓	0.80
2026-03-24	oos	81.88	81.6408	-0.29%	83.59	+2.09%	0.0149	✗	0.80
2026-03-23	oos	80.19	79.9827	-0.26%	81.88	+2.11%	0.0273	✗	0.80
2026-03-22	oos	77.44	77.356	-0.11%	80.19	+3.55%	0.0012	✗	0.80
2026-03-21	oos	80.04	79.9247	-0.14%	77.44	-3.25%	0.0192	✓	0.80
2026-03-20	oos	82.16	82.0152	-0.18%	80.04	-2.58%	0.0062	✓	0.80
2026-03-19	oos	82.11	82.0163	-0.11%	82.16	+0.06%	0.0048	✓	0.80
2026-03-18	oos	83.59	83.4995	-0.11%	82.11	-1.77%	0.0012	✓	0.83
2026-03-17	oos	88.2	88.067	-0.15%	83.59	-5.23%	0.0213	✓	0.83
2026-03-16	oos	92.75	92.5466	-0.22%	88.2	-4.91%	0.0376	✓	0.82
2026-03-15	oos	87.93	87.8318	-0.11%	92.75	+5.48%	0.0319	✗	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	83.97	83.9621	-0.01%	87.93	+4.72%	0.0286	✗	0.79
2026-03-13	oos	85.52	85.5294	+0.01%	83.97	-1.81%	0.0215	✗	0.77
2026-03-12	oos	86.84	86.8699	+0.03%	85.52	-1.52%	0.0201	✗	0.77
2026-03-11	oos	86.34	86.4162	+0.09%	86.84	+0.58%	0.0014	✓	0.76
2026-03-10	oos	100.48	100.4369	-0.04%	86.34	-14.07%	0.1539	✓	0.76
2026-03-09	oos	101.39	101.3472	-0.04%	100.48	-0.90%	0.0255	✓	0.76
2026-03-08	oos	103.17	103.1184	-0.05%	101.39	-1.73%	0.0458	✓	0.79
2026-03-07	oos	99.77	99.7706	+0.00%	103.17	+3.41%	0.0492	✓	0.81
2026-03-06	oos	104.975	104.9345	-0.04%	99.77	-4.96%	0.0403	✓	0.81
2026-03-05	oos	110.03	109.9599	-0.06%	104.975	-4.59%	0.0142	✓	0.81
2026-03-04	oos	110.59	110.5267	-0.06%	110.03	-0.51%	0.0158	✗	0.81
2026-03-03	oos	100.21	100.2491	+0.04%	110.59	+10.36%	0.0509	✓	0.77
2026-03-02	oos	101.99	102.0313	+0.04%	100.21	-1.75%	0.0124	✗	0.77
2026-03-01	oos	101.96	102.0252	+0.06%	101.99	+0.03%	0.0426	✗	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	106.48	106.5076	+0.03%	101.96	-4.24%	0.0255	✗	1.00
2026-02-27	oos	104.9	104.966	+0.06%	106.48	+1.51%	0.0024	✗	1.00
2026-02-26	oos	110.4	110.4322	+0.03%	104.9	-4.98%	0.0268	✗	1.00
2026-02-25	oos	110.78	110.8348	+0.05%	110.4	-0.34%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-02-24	oos	110.32	110.4171	+0.09%	110.78	+0.42%	0.0606	✗	1.07
2026-02-23	oos	115.54	115.6149	+0.06%	110.32	-4.52%	0.0377	✗	1.06
2026-02-22	oos	118.83	118.9158	+0.07%	115.54	-2.77%	0.0198	✓	1.07
2026-02-21	oos	126.83	126.8727	+0.03%	118.83	-6.31%	0.0602	✗	1.06
2026-02-20	oos	123.41	123.4983	+0.07%	126.83	+2.77%	0.0271	✓	1.05
2026-02-19	oos	119.42	119.5661	+0.12%	123.41	+3.34%	0.0159	✓	1.05
2026-02-18	oos	124.21	124.3426	+0.11%	119.42	-3.86%	0.0492	✗	1.06
2026-02-17	oos	118.775	118.9896	+0.18%	124.21	+4.58%	0.0592	✓	1.04
2026-02-16	oos	121.49	121.7228	+0.19%	118.775	-2.23%	0.0035	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	121.42	121.7038	+0.23%	121.49	+0.06%	0.0027	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	128.2	128.4762	+0.22%	121.42	-5.29%	0.0419	✗	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	132.58	132.8669	+0.22%	128.2	-3.30%	0.0501	✗	1.02
2026-02-12	oos	136.93	137.2083	+0.20%	132.58	-3.18%	0.0748	✗	1.05
2026-02-11	oos	148.8	148.5548	-0.16%	136.93	-7.98%	0.0679	✓	1.11
2026-02-10	oos	146.95	146.108	-0.57%	148.8	+1.26%	0.0477	✗	1.12
2026-02-09	oos	113.17	113.3639	+0.17%	146.95	+29.85%	0.2815	✓	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	76.9	77.765	+1.12%	113.17	+47.17%	0.3782	✓	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	68.03	69.0466	+1.49%	76.9	+13.04%	0.0912	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	63.97	65.0494	+1.69%	68.03	+6.35%	0.0639	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	60.66	61.8517	+1.96%	63.97	+5.46%	0.0993	✗	1.14
2026-02-04	oos	74.61	75.7841	+1.57%	60.66	-18.70%	0.0666	✗	1.04
2026-02-03	oos	75.54	76.7274	+1.57%	74.61	-1.23%	0.0095	✓	1.05
2026-02-02	oos	92.03	93.076	+1.14%	75.54	-17.92%	0.1682	✗	1.04
2026-02-01	oos	91.49	92.6659	+1.29%	92.03	+0.59%	0.0263	✗	0.85
2026-01-31	oos	105.93	106.9712	+0.98%	91.49	-13.63%	0.1392	✗	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	112.79	113.6525	+0.76%	105.93	-6.08%	0.0189	✗	0.77
2026-01-29	oos	130	130.6684	+0.51%	112.79	-13.24%	0.1435	✗	0.76
2026-01-28	oos	128.92	129.5218	+0.47%	130	+0.84%	0.0482	✓	0.83
2026-01-27	oos	150.08	150.446	+0.24%	128.92	-14.10%	0.1548	✗	0.85
2026-01-26	oos	156.06	156.4235	+0.23%	150.08	-3.83%	0.0495	✗	0.83
2026-01-25	oos	162.48	162.8541	+0.23%	156.06	-3.95%	0.0590	✗	0.85
2026-01-24	oos	168.06	168.2006	+0.08%	162.48	-3.32%	0.0104	✗	0.84
2026-01-23	oos	163.68	163.9056	+0.14%	168.06	+2.68%	0.0288	✓	0.86
2026-01-22	oos	163.14	163.3967	+0.16%	163.68	+0.33%	0.0016	✓	0.87
2026-01-21	oos	161.03	161.364	+0.21%	163.14	+1.31%	0.0099	✓	0.89
2026-01-20	oos	159.15	159.658	+0.32%	161.03	+1.18%	0.0022	✓	0.91
2026-01-19	oos	164.44	164.5961	+0.09%	159.15	-3.22%	0.0112	✓	0.95
2026-01-18	oos	173.43	173.2995	-0.08%	164.44	-5.18%	0.0422	✓	0.89
2026-01-17	oos	175.07	174.8206	-0.14%	173.43	-0.94%	0.0073	✗	0.98
2026-01-16	oos	174.31	174.1255	-0.11%	175.07	+0.44%	0.0094	✗	0.97
2026-01-15	oos	182.76	182.4156	-0.19%	174.31	-4.62%	0.0446	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	192.53	191.9244	-0.31%	182.76	-5.07%	0.0347	✓	1.00
2026-01-13	oos	196.14	195.7362	-0.21%	192.53	-1.84%	0.0330	✓	1.01
2026-01-12	oos	186.46	186.6255	+0.09%	196.14	+5.19%	0.0104	✓	0.87
2026-01-11	oos	209.79	209.6523	-0.07%	186.46	-11.12%	0.1206	✓	0.97
2026-01-10	oos	255.69	254.8595	-0.32%	209.79	-17.95%	0.2003	✓	1.04
2026-01-09	oos	263.33	262.3902	-0.36%	255.69	-2.90%	0.0232	✓	1.68
2026-01-08	oos	274.74	273.6463	-0.40%	263.33	-4.15%	0.0291	✓	1.65
2026-01-07	oos	285.03	283.7348	-0.45%	274.74	-3.61%	0.0278	✓	1.58
2026-01-06	oos	294.16	292.6299	-0.52%	285.03	-3.10%	0.0142	✗	1.53
2026-01-05	oos	292.13	290.6047	-0.52%	294.16	+0.69%	0.0145	✗	1.50
2026-01-04	oos	301.38	299.731	-0.55%	292.13	-3.07%	0.0643	✓	1.50
2026-01-03	oos	300.78	299.0889	-0.56%	301.38	+0.20%	0.0069	✓	1.48
2026-01-02	oos	304.74	302.8266	-0.63%	300.78	-1.30%	0.0176	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	299.75	297.9282	-0.61%	304.74	+1.66%	0.0016	✓	1.54
2025-12-31	oos	294.44	292.8326	-0.55%	299.75	+1.80%	0.0007	✓	1.61
2025-12-30	oos	287.39	285.951	-0.50%	294.44	+2.45%	0.0456	✗	1.60
2025-12-29	oos	295.675	294.1873	-0.50%	287.39	-2.80%	0.0470	✓	1.61
2025-12-28	oos	289.84	288.4038	-0.50%	295.675	+2.01%	0.0390	✗	1.61
2025-12-27	oos	295.85	294.3406	-0.51%	289.84	-2.03%	0.0166	✓	1.53
2025-12-26	oos	299.19	297.6139	-0.53%	295.85	-1.12%	0.0153	✓	1.60
2025-12-25	oos	308.69	306.9299	-0.57%	299.19	-3.08%	0.0278	✓	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	299.73	298.0559	-0.56%	308.69	+2.99%	0.0431	✗	1.61
2025-12-23	oos	302.23	300.4689	-0.58%	299.73	-0.83%	0.0058	✓	1.65
2025-12-22	oos	317.89	315.6783	-0.70%	302.23	-4.93%	0.0227	✓	1.62
2025-12-21	oos	307.91	305.7649	-0.70%	317.89	+3.24%	0.0404	✗	1.63
2025-12-20	oos	301.61	299.4352	-0.72%	307.91	+2.09%	0.0220	✗	1.65
2025-12-19	oos	307.38	304.9515	-0.79%	301.61	-1.88%	0.0154	✓	1.66
2025-12-18	oos	280.98	279.1544	-0.65%	307.38	+9.40%	0.0464	✗	1.65
2025-12-17	oos	308.54	306.1406	-0.78%	280.98	-8.93%	0.0715	✓	1.63
2025-12-16	oos	310.03	307.3897	-0.85%	308.54	-0.48%	0.0344	✗	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	307.59	305.0046	-0.84%	310.03	+0.79%	0.0108	✓	1.64
2025-12-14	oos	308	305.1081	-0.94%	307.59	-0.13%	0.0418	✗	1.68
2025-12-13	oos	289.37	286.3772	-1.03%	308	+6.44%	0.1128	✗	1.71
2025-12-12	oos	302.6	299.2895	-1.09%	289.37	-4.37%	0.0333	✓	1.72
2025-12-11	oos	300.2	296.3721	-1.28%	302.6	+0.80%	0.0636	✗	1.73
2025-12-10	oos	325.26	320.8393	-1.36%	300.2	-7.70%	0.0760	✓	1.74
2025-12-09	oos	332.52	327.9154	-1.38%	325.26	-2.18%	0.0040	✓	1.71
2025-12-08	oos	324	319.2232	-1.47%	332.52	+2.63%	0.0031	✓	1.70
2025-12-07	oos	289.54	285.526	-1.39%	324	+11.90%	0.1217	✗	1.69
2025-12-06	oos	285.71	281.9224	-1.33%	289.54	+1.34%	0.0053	✓	1.69
2025-12-05	oos	288.1	284.1185	-1.38%	285.71	-0.83%	0.0070	✓	1.69
2025-12-04	oos	296.1	291.3225	-1.61%	288.1	-2.70%	0.0399	✗	1.68
2025-12-03	oos	314.86	309.0725	-1.84%	296.1	-5.96%	0.0185	✓	1.66
2025-12-02	oos	306.26	300.0699	-2.02%	314.86	+2.81%	0.0086	✓	1.70
2025-12-01	oos	248.06	245.2634	-1.13%	306.26	+23.46%	0.1336	✗	1.56
2025-11-30	oos	301.5	295.9773	-1.83%	248.06	-17.72%	0.1135	✓	1.36
2025-11-29	oos	318.94	309.9975	-2.80%	301.5	-5.47%	0.0210	✓	1.34
2025-11-28	oos	263.41	255.9847	-2.82%	318.94	+21.08%	0.2210	✗	1.34
2025-11-27	oos	197.85	195.3487	-1.26%	263.41	+33.14%	0.3051	✗	1.35
2025-11-26	oos	168.18	167.8656	-0.19%	197.85	+17.64%	0.1523	✗	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	164.31	164.3459	+0.02%	168.18	+2.36%	0.0234	✗	1.31
2025-11-24	oos	162.32	162.6121	+0.18%	164.31	+1.23%	0.0245	✓	1.32
2025-11-23	oos	163.89	164.3917	+0.31%	162.32	-0.96%	0.0349	✗	1.33
2025-11-22	oos	164.41	165.1474	+0.45%	163.89	-0.32%	0.0415	✗	1.37
2025-11-21	oos	165.91	166.8672	+0.58%	164.41	-0.90%	0.0086	✗	1.37
2025-11-20	oos	172.66	173.6754	+0.59%	165.91	-3.91%	0.0224	✗	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	175.95	176.8035	+0.49%	172.66	-1.87%	0.0523	✓	1.37
2025-11-18	oos	163.42	164.7972	+0.84%	175.95	+7.67%	0.0877	✓	1.41
2025-11-17	oos	161.65	163.1893	+0.95%	163.42	+1.09%	0.0109	✗	1.40
2025-11-16	oos	162.59	164.1549	+0.96%	161.65	-0.58%	0.0157	✓	1.39
2025-11-15	oos	158.28	159.9917	+1.08%	162.59	+2.72%	0.0362	✓	1.40
2025-11-14	oos	169.12	170.8094	+1.00%	158.28	-6.41%	0.0919	✗	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	199.31	199.7683	+0.23%	169.12	-15.15%	0.0999	✗	1.26
2025-11-12	oos	205.325	205.1956	-0.06%	199.31	-2.93%	0.0039	✓	1.25
2025-11-11	oos	212.15	211.2949	-0.40%	205.325	-3.22%	0.0125	✓	1.20
2025-11-10	oos	224.5	222.3133	-0.97%	212.15	-5.50%	0.0150	✓	1.12
2025-11-09	oos	259.1	255.7055	-1.31%	224.5	-13.35%	0.1445	✓	1.18
2025-11-08	oos	331.17	326.7975	-1.32%	259.1	-21.76%	0.2645	✓	1.39
2025-11-07	oos	350.58	345.9916	-1.31%	331.17	-5.54%	0.0309	✓	1.32
2025-11-06	oos	370.07	365.2442	-1.30%	350.58	-5.27%	0.0680	✓	1.39
2025-11-05	oos	371.54	366.2659	-1.42%	370.07	-0.40%	0.0454	✗	1.40
2025-11-04	oos	304.82	300.4892	-1.42%	371.54	+21.89%	0.1826	✗	1.27
2025-11-03	oos	270.06	266.2946	-1.39%	304.82	+12.87%	0.2086	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	266.28	262.2234	-1.52%	270.06	+1.42%	0.0867	✗	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	248.47	244.4873	-1.60%	266.28	+7.17%	0.0786	✗	1.56
2025-10-31	oos	248.1	243.9641	-1.67%	248.47	+0.15%	0.0114	✓	1.52
2025-10-30	oos	250.71	246.4487	-1.70%	248.1	-1.04%	0.0109	✓	1.54
2025-10-29	oos	257.46	253.001	-1.73%	250.71	-2.62%	0.0150	✓	1.53
2025-10-28	oos	252.05	247.6255	-1.76%	257.46	+2.15%	0.0794	✗	1.57
2025-10-27	oos	239.2	234.8961	-1.80%	252.05	+5.37%	0.0869	✗	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	227.29	223.1545	-1.82%	239.2	+5.24%	0.0758	✗	1.59
2025-10-25	oos	218.51	214.375	-1.89%	227.29	+4.02%	0.0174	✓	1.61
2025-10-24	oos	205.15	201.0151	-2.02%	218.51	+6.51%	0.0746	✗	1.58
2025-10-23	oos	186.69	183.0144	-1.97%	205.15	+9.89%	0.1011	✗	1.56
2025-10-22	oos	179.88	176.195	-2.05%	186.69	+3.79%	0.0212	✗	1.58
2025-10-21	oos	231.08	225.2233	-2.53%	179.88	-22.16%	0.2138	✓	1.53
2025-10-20	oos	211.08	205.8752	-2.47%	231.08	+9.48%	0.1477	✗	1.60
2025-10-19	oos	175.62	172.1135	-2.00%	211.08	+20.19%	0.1798	✗	1.41
2025-10-18	oos	174.8	171.0612	-2.14%	175.62	+0.47%	0.0069	✓	1.43
2025-10-17	oos	153.19	150.4109	-1.81%	174.8	+14.11%	0.1405	✗	1.40
2025-10-16	oos	160.52	157.2472	-2.04%	153.19	-4.57%	0.0039	✓	1.38
2025-10-15	oos	162.23	157.7815	-2.74%	160.52	-1.05%	0.0502	✗	1.39
2025-10-14	oos	126.05	123.9769	-1.64%	162.23	+28.70%	0.3005	✗	1.56
2025-10-13	oos	150.14	145.3936	-3.16%	126.05	-16.05%	0.1142	✓	1.48
2025-10-12	oos	130.685	124.391	-4.82%	150.14	+14.89%	0.1855	✗	1.48
2025-10-11	oos	69.25	68.4572	-1.14%	130.685	+88.71%	0.6206	✗	0.68
2025-10-10	oos	66.89	66.1195	-1.15%	69.25	+3.53%	0.0599	✗	0.69
2025-10-09	oos	71.07	70.0903	-1.38%	66.89	-5.88%	0.0001	✓	0.63
2025-10-08	oos	59.61	58.984	-1.05%	71.07	+19.22%	0.1964	✗	0.75
2025-10-07	oos	60.94	60.2745	-1.09%	59.61	-2.18%	0.0235	✓	0.78
2025-10-06	oos	55.75	55.261	-0.88%	60.94	+9.31%	0.1219	✗	0.89
2025-10-05	oos	60.7	60.0641	-1.05%	55.75	-8.15%	0.0836	✓	0.94
2025-10-04	oos	52.43	52.031	-0.76%	60.7	+15.77%	0.1463	✗	0.90
2025-10-03	oos	47.75	47.414	-0.70%	52.43	+9.80%	0.0995	✗	0.89
2025-10-02	oos	40.17	40.0244	-0.36%	47.75	+18.87%	0.1653	✗	0.80
2025-10-01	oos	38.88	38.7481	-0.34%	40.17	+3.32%	0.0231	✗	0.79
2025-09-30	oos	36.28	36.1692	-0.31%	38.88	+7.17%	0.0451	✗	0.69
2025-09-29	oos	36.75	36.6321	-0.32%	36.28	-1.28%	0.0069	✓	1.05
2025-09-28	oos	41.4	41.1575	-0.59%	36.75	-11.23%	0.1337	✓	1.07
2025-09-27	oos	34.835	34.6814	-0.44%	41.4	+18.85%	0.1564	✗	0.91
2025-09-26	oos	29	28.9317	-0.24%	34.835	+20.12%	0.1858	✗	0.89
2025-09-25	oos	28.34	28.2817	-0.21%	29	+2.33%	0.0197	✗	0.88
2025-09-24	oos	30.515	30.429	-0.28%	28.34	-7.13%	0.0401	✓	0.80
2025-09-23	oos	29.99	29.9083	-0.27%	30.515	+1.75%	0.0107	✗	0.80
2025-09-22	oos	30.78	30.6934	-0.28%	29.99	-2.57%	0.0181	✓	0.79
2025-09-21	oos	32.635	32.5343	-0.31%	30.78	-5.68%	0.0389	✓	0.74
2025-09-20	oos	33.01	32.906	-0.32%	32.635	-1.14%	0.0050	✓	0.80
2025-09-19	oos	33.75	33.6371	-0.33%	33.01	-2.19%	0.0193	✓	0.81
2025-09-18	oos	33.315	33.2033	-0.34%	33.75	+1.31%	0.0268	✗	0.85
2025-09-17	oos	33.34	33.2263	-0.34%	33.315	-0.07%	0.0022	✓	0.89

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.