QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s4

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

71.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1496

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0118

actual -0.0675

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.007425	0.007303	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.00785	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008275	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008475	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008736	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008725	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008835	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.00867	-2.26%	0.007425	-16.29%	0.1755	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008832	-2.08%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.0971	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008928	-2.22%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0545	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009422	-2.11%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0640	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009503	-2.39%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0394	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009227	-2.16%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0159	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009221	-1.95%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0239	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009185	-1.66%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0143	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009766	-1.65%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0509	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010021	-1.90%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0483	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010802	-2.33%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.0845	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011116	-2.88%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1118	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010642	-2.86%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.0984	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010011	-2.52%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0254	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010153	-2.56%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.0800	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010512	-2.44%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.0755	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011077	-2.49%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1087	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010585	-2.17%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0217	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010958	-2.38%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0401	✗	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010066	-1.89%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0803	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009823	-1.86%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0396	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.009918	-2.09%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0580	✗	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009733	-2.08%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.1306	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009498	-2.13%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.2152	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008404	-1.77%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.2165	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.00855	-1.83%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2374	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008538	-1.86%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1496	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008394	-2.85%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0842	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.00843	-2.77%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0910	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.00856	-3.12%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0413	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008546	-1.89%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0407	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008735	-2.12%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0696	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009683	-1.35%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1486	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010008	-1.01%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1787	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010562	-0.73%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.1989	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011309	+0.03%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2439	✗	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011212	+0.64%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.2094	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.01277	-0.50%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.3739	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.011028	+2.26%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1720	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011113	+2.33%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.0956	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.010049	+3.23%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0325	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008694	+4.50%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.2608	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007682	+2.63%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.3760	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.008175	+2.83%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.2983	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008827	+3.24%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.3691	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.009082	+2.62%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.1473	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009196	+2.52%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.1519	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009629	+2.00%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0057	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010741	+2.10%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2633	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.0102	+1.84%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.2957	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011248	+1.06%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3377	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011699	+0.72%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.3101	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011726	+0.23%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.2809	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011771	-0.08%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.2814	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011983	+0.11%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2346	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011914	-1.13%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.1888	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011756	-2.36%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2545	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011555	-3.55%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.1932	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011265	-3.31%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1341	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.0112	-3.28%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1307	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010959	-3.01%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.0931	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011132	-3.20%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.1057	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011133	-3.70%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0352	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010664	-2.96%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0524	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010818	-2.89%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0888	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011336	-3.11%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0210	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011532	-3.30%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0264	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011444	-3.43%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0081	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011448	-3.48%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0244	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011319	-3.42%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0297	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011088	-3.50%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0034	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011214	-3.54%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0014	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011013	-3.06%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0561	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011852	-3.48%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0071	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011844	-3.31%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0208	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.01138	-2.73%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0209	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011888	-2.92%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0099	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012872	-2.78%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1203	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013616	-2.67%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1600	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013668	-2.37%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1828	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015301	-2.54%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2049	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014867	-2.32%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1817	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014475	-2.06%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2035	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016467	-2.51%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.2941	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016515	-2.40%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2063	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016694	-2.41%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1586	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.01698	-2.67%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1816	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016677	-2.53%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0653	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017891	-2.90%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1583	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017985	-3.10%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.1975	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019232	-3.84%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1382	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016872	-2.33%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0082	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018569	-2.93%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0949	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013381	-0.66%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2633	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.01692	-1.20%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0131	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.027953	-10.55%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.4154	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013174	+0.19%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3429	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013545	+0.11%	0.02	+47.82%	0.3894	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012766	+0.44%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3040	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.01207	+0.80%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4606	✓	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012734	+0.66%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0558	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012945	+0.55%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.2798	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012418	+0.76%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9232	✓	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.01212	+0.92%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.0827	✓	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011243	+1.38%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.1878	✓	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014657	-0.90%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.1478	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010353	+1.70%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1608	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009311	+2.20%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3121	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010421	+1.87%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2143	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009728	+2.30%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2380	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009914	+2.47%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.1929	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.00978	+2.84%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1268	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010696	+2.36%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3226	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011244	+2.22%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.1076	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012317	+1.88%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.3124	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012374	+1.89%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.2015	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.01196	+2.22%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2401	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012793	+2.05%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2867	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013599	+1.79%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3635	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012647	+2.15%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1929	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012352	+2.55%	0.011	-8.68%	0.1164	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.013179	+2.32%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0872	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013697	+2.22%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.1210	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.014057	+2.27%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1835	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.015131	+1.89%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1882	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015774	+1.70%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1658	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015751	+2.11%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2411	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017303	+1.51%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3623	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.018183	+1.19%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3431	✗	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.018053	+1.37%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.2969	✗	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.018223	+1.63%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2795	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019789	+0.91%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2854	✗	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.020071	+0.51%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2581	✗	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.021038	+0.13%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.3132	✗	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021463	-0.31%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2387	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021863	-0.85%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2220	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022158	-1.23%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2556	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021232	-1.11%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.2143	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022064	-1.32%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1591	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020878	-1.05%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0745	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.02138	-1.29%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0515	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022682	-1.83%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.0942	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021748	-1.68%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0066	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022695	-1.86%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0228	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021845	-1.55%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0273	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024044	-1.96%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0770	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024524	-2.10%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1613	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026425	-2.42%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2076	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025443	-2.39%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.0993	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027232	-2.57%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2069	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.027889	-2.66%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.1889	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027723	-2.51%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2277	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027739	-2.31%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1356	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027625	-1.80%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.1089	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028439	-2.37%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0535	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027735	-1.96%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0688	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027852	-1.62%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0048	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027545	-1.31%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0323	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028753	-1.77%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0127	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028858	-1.91%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029693	-2.00%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0674	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029567	-1.51%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0119	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029802	-1.71%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0468	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030214	-2.16%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.0883	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.02963	-2.47%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1051	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.030869	-2.41%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.0780	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031181	-2.50%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.0828	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032365	-3.10%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1133	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.033598	-3.57%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.1850	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033081	-3.50%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1456	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034008	-3.41%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1281	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.033911	-2.89%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1085	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.03488	-3.26%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1110	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034528	-3.23%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.0866	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036146	-2.75%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0535	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.034944	-2.61%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0289	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.033669	-3.10%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.032847	-3.05%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0499	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034089	-3.54%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034237	-2.96%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0268	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.